A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Proposes ML methods for robust price-sensitivity estimation in dynamic pricing.
Risk management in financial derivative markets requires inevitably the calculation of the different price sensitivities. The literature contains an abundant amount of research works that have studied the computation of these important values. Most of these works consider the well-known Black and Scholes model where th…
Study parameter sensitivities in bond pricing models with jumps.
New method reduces errors in pricing and sensitivities for discontinuous payoffs.
Paper develops methods for fair insurance pricing without direct access to sensitive attributes.
The paper analyzes binary option markets with exogenous information and price sensitivity.
Study local sensitivity of HDD and CDD temperature derivatives prices.
Optimizes insurance pricing by accounting for policyholders' price sensitivity.
Researchers quantify risk exposure and sensitivities in financial markets under model uncertainty.
Banks must manage their trading books, not just value them. Pricing includes valuation adjustments collectively known as XVA (at least credit, funding, capital and tax), so management must also include XVA. In trading book management we focus on pricing, hedging, and allocation of prices or hedging costs to desks on an…
Model dynamic customer sensitivities across categories.
Framework for pricing waterfall structures using simulation and uncertainty modeling.
This paper investigates the large-time asymptotic behavior of the sensitivities of cash flows. In quantitative finance, the price of a cash flow is expressed in terms of a pricing operator of a Markov diffusion process. We study the extent to which the pricing operator is affected by small changes of the underlying Mar…
Estimates price sensitivity from transaction data using a novel odds ratio method.
In this paper we propose a transform method to compute the prices and greeks of barrier options driven by a class of Levy processes. We derive analytical expressions for the Laplace transforms in time of the prices and sensitivities of single barrier options in an exponential Levy model with hyper-exponential jumps. In…
The study compares on-chain option prices with a model and finds significant differences.
This article presents valuation of Treasury Bonds (T-Bonds) on Macedonian Stock Exchange (MSE) and empirical test of duration, modified duration and convexity of the T-bonds at MSE in order to determine sensitivity of bonds prices on interest rate changes. The main goal of this study is to determine how standard valuat…
Study improves MACD trading strategy with volume and price adjustments.
Paper uses Chebyshev Tensors for accurate dynamic sensitivities and ISDA SIMM computation.
A minimal model of a market of myopic non-cooperative agents who trade bilaterally with random bids reproduces qualitative features of short-term electric power markets, such as those in California and New England. Each agent knows its own budget and preferences but not those of any other agent. The near-equilibrium pr…
Suppose an investor aims at Delta hedging a European contingent claim in a jump-diffusion model, but incorrectly specifies the stock price's volatility and jump sensitivity, so that any hedging strategy is calculated under a misspecified model. When does the erroneously computed strategy super-replicate the t…
Unified pricing method for FX options with barriers.
A general market model with memory is considered in terms of stochastic functional differential equations. We aim at representation formulae for the sensitivity analysis of the dependence of option prices on the memory. This implies a generalization of the concept of delta.
In the framework of risk management, for the study of the sensitivity of pricing and hedging in stochastic financial models to changes of parameters and to perturbations of the stock prices, we propose an error calculus which is an extension of the Malliavin calculus based on Dirichlet forms. Although useful also in ph…
We study the effect of parameter uncertainty on a stochastic diffusion model, in particular the impact on the pricing of contingent claims, using methods from the theory of Dirichlet forms. We apply these techniques to hedging procedures in order to compute the sensitivity of SDE trajectories with respect to parameter …
In this paper incomplete-information models are developed for the pricing of securities in a stochastic interest rate setting. In particular we consider credit-risky assets that may include random recovery upon default. The market filtration is generated by a collection of information processes associated with economic…
In this article, a sensitivity analysis of long-term cash flows with respect to perturbations in the underlying process is presented. For this purpose, we employ the martingale extraction through which a pricing operator is transformed into what is easier to address. The method of Fournie et al. will be combined with t…
QMC and GSA improve option pricing and risk measures efficiency.
The paper compares machine learning methods with traditional techniques for pricing and sensitivities of financial products with path-dependent structures.
We consider the problem of multi-product dynamic pricing, in a contextual setting, for a seller of differentiated products. In this environment, the customers arrive over time and products are described by high-dimensional feature vectors. Each customer chooses a product according to the widely used Multinomial Logit (…
By incorporating market impact and asymmetric sensitivity into the evolutionary minority game, we study the coevolutionary dynamics of stock prices and investment strategies in financial markets. Both the stock price movement and the investors' global behavior are found to be closely related to the phase region they fa…
In a recent paper, we have demonstrated how the affinity between TPUs and multi-dimensional financial simulation resulted in fast Monte Carlo simulations that could be setup in a few lines of python Tensorflow code. We also presented a major benefit from writing high performance simulations in an automated differentiat…
Two machine learning methods detect insider trading from investor activity data.
A deep reinforcement learning method for cost-sensitive portfolio selection.
The paper links labor income risk to stock returns using industry portfolio returns.
The incorporation of a dividend yield in the classical option pricing model of Black- Scholes results in a minor modification of the Black-Scholes formula, since the lognormal dynamic of the underlying asset is preserved. However, market makers prefer to work with cash dividends with fixed value instead of a dividend y…
The paper analyzes robustness and sensitivity of rough Volterra stochastic volatility models.
In the paper portfolio optimization over long run risk sensitive criterion is considered. It is assumed that economic factors which stimulate asset prices are ergodic but non necessarily uniformly ergodic. Solution to suitable Bellman equation using local span contraction with weighted norms is shown. The form of optim…
We study the effect of parameters uncertainties on a stochastic diffusion model, in particular the impact on the pricing of contingent claims, thanks to Dirichlet Forms methods. We apply recent techniques, developed by Bouleau, to hedging procedures in order to compute the sensitivities of SDE trajectories with respect…
This study compares microscopic and macroscopic models for commodity index derivatives pricing.
It is essential to incorporate the impact of investor behavior when modeling the dynamics of asset returns. In this paper, we reconcile behavioral finance and rational finance by incorporating investor behavior within the framework of dynamic asset pricing theory. To include the views of investors, we employ the method…
Analytical approximations for Asian option sensitivities in Black-Scholes model.
Market efficiency at least requires the absence of weak arbitrage opportunities, but this is not sufficient to establish a situation where the market is sensitive, i.e., where it "fully reflects" or "rapidly adjusts to" some information flow including the evolution of asset prices. By contrast, No Weak Arbitrage togeth…
Extends pricing methods for index options under rough volatility.
Derivative-informed models improve financial surrogates for accurate hedging and risk management.
Model explains stock price bubbles through debt crises and financial crashes.
We present the results of study of a possible relationship between the space weather and terrestrial markets of agricultural products. It is shown that to implement the possible effect of space weather on the terrestrial harvests and prices, a simultaneous fulfillment of three conditions is required: 1) sensitivity of …
AXI assesses bank funding costs transparently, improving loan pricing and reducing financial risk.