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134269403537 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Predictive Explanations

New definition reveals encoding explanations that retain predictive power.

problem Challenges in evaluating and identifying encoding explanations.
method Developed a definition of encoding based on conditional dependence.
result Existing evaluation scores do not rank non-encoding explanations correctly, but STRIPE-X does.

Method trains deep models to explain predictions with fewer examples.

problem Difficulty in humans understanding deep model predictions.
method Simultaneously trains prediction and explanation models with sparse regularization.
result Improves faithfulness of explanations with fewer examples while maintaining predictive performance.

Study finds visual explanations do not significantly improve human accuracy or trust in model predictions.

problem Measuring the impact of visual explanations on human accuracy and trust in model predictions.
method Randomized controlled trial with image-based age prediction task, varying levels of explanation quality.
result Visual explanations do not significantly alter human accuracy or trust in the model.

This research examines how model explanations change under distribution shifts in tabular data.

problem Detecting distribution shifts in tabular data affecting model performance and explanations.
method Investigates the relationship between model performance and explanation characteristics under distribution shifts.
result Explanation shifts are a better indicator for detecting predictive performance changes than traditional distribution shift techniques.

RAW-Explainer generates interpretable subgraph explanations for link predictions in knowledge graphs.

problem Interpreting GNN predictions for link prediction in heterogeneous settings is challenging.
method RAW-Explainer uses random walk objective and neural network to generate connected, concise subgraph explanations.
result RAW-Explainer strikes a balance between explanation quality and computational efficiency.

ID-ExpO fine-tunes neural networks for more faithful explanations.

problem Improving the faithfulness of explanations for complex machine learning models.
method Differentiable insertion/deletion metric-aware regularizers for optimization.
result Fine-tuned predictors produce more faithful explanations.

The study evaluates how well local explanations align with model predictions.

problem Capturing the faithfulness of local explanations to model predictions.
method Introducing consistency and sufficiency as properties, and developing quantitative measures and estimators.
result Quantitative measures of consistency and sufficiency depend on test-time data distribution.

New research challenges the idea that counterfactual explanations should be sparse.

problem Predictive multiplicity leads to multiple models giving almost equal solutions.
method Derive a general upper bound for counterfactual costs under multiplicity and compare sparse vs. data support approaches.
result Data support methods are more robust to multiplicity but have higher counterfactual costs.

Modern learning algorithms excel at producing accurate but complex models of the data. However, deploying such models in the real-world requires extra care: we must ensure their reliability, robustness, and absence of undesired biases. This motivates the development of models that are equally accurate but can be also e…

2017-05-29abs ↗pdf ↗

This study analyzes counterfactual explanations for student success models.

problem Improving trust in machine learning models for student success prediction.
method Comparison of counterfactual generation methods (WhatIf, Multi-Objective, Nearest Instance) for student success prediction models.
result WhatIf Counterfactual Explanations are more effective for student success prediction models.

New method provides calibrated feature importance explanations for regression models.

problem Lack of uncertainty quantification in existing local explanation methods.
method Extension of Calibrated Explanations method to support regression and probabilistic regression.
result Calibrated Explanations for regression provides quantified uncertainty and robust explanations.

Study proposes explainable analytics for manufacturing process planning.

problem Improving data-driven decision-making in manufacturing.
method Combines process mining, machine learning, and XAI. Uses deep learning for prediction and Shapley values/ICE plots for explanations.
result Enhanced decision-making capabilities through local post-hoc explanations.

Study on the relationship between explanations and predictions in machine learning models.

problem Understanding the relationship between explanations and predictions in machine learning models.
method Causal inference to measure treatment effect on hyperparameters and inputs.
result The relationship between explanations and predictions is far from ideal, especially in high-performing models.

We introduce a new model-agnostic explanation technique which explains the prediction of any classifier called CLE. CLE gives an faithful and interpretable explanation to the prediction, by approximating the model locally using an interpretable model. We demonstrate the flexibility of CLE by explaining different models…

2019-10-02abs ↗pdf ↗

This research investigates reliable local explanations for machine listening models.

problem Generating reliable local explanations for machine listening models.
method Investigates the sensitivity of SoundLIME explanations to input perturbations and proposes a novel method for identifying suitable content types.
result SoundLIME explanations are sensitive to the content in occluded input regions, and the average magnitude of input mel-spectrogram bins is the most suitable content type for temporal explanations.

Artificial intelligence (AI) comes with great opportunities but can also pose significant risks. Automatically generated explanations for decisions can increase transparency and foster trust, especially for systems based on automated predictions by AI models. However, given, e.g., economic incentives to create dishones…

2020-01-21abs ↗pdf ↗

We introduce a new method to explain Gaussian processes using Shapley values.

problem Explaining the uncertainty in Gaussian process models.
method Extending Shapley values to stochastic cooperative games for Gaussian processes.
result Our method generates explanations that are random variables and satisfy favorable axioms.

Paper proposes Coalitional BAE to improve explainability of unsupervised deep learning models.

problem Improving explainability of Autoencoder's predictions.
method Introduces Coalitional BAE, inspired by agent-based system theory, to reduce correlation in explanations.
result Improved quality of explanations using Coalitional BAE on publicly available datasets.

We propose a general model explanation system (MES) for "explaining" the output of black box classifiers. This paper describes extensions to Turner (2015), which is referred to frequently in the text. We use the motivating example of a classifier trained to detect fraud in a credit card transaction history. The key asp…

2016-06-30abs ↗pdf ↗

LIMEtree offers faithful explanations for multiple classes in predictive models.

problem Generating explanations for several classes can be difficult due to conflicting evidence.
method LIMEtree uses multi-output regression trees for consistent and faithful explanations of multiple classes.
result LIMEtree provides diverse explanation types and outperforms LIME in evaluations.

Fraud detection is a difficult problem that can benefit from predictive modeling. However, the verification of a prediction is challenging; for a single insurance policy, the model only provides a prediction score. We present a case study where we reflect on different instance-level model explanation techniques to aid …

2018-06-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Many methods to explain black-box models, whether local or global, are additive. In this paper, we study global additive explanations for non-additive models, focusing on four explanation methods: partial dependence, Shapley explanations adapted to a global setting, distilled additive explanations, and gradient-based e…

2018-01-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Improves local model explanations using GANs and Linear Model Trees.

problem Need for accurate and intuitive explanations of complex machine learning models.
method Generative Adversarial Network (GAN) for synthetic data generation and Linear Model Trees for surrogate model training.
result Significantly improved local model explanations with contextual information.

Generative models explain machine learning predictions with counterfactual instances.

problem Generating human-interpretable insights into machine learning model predictions.
method Sparse counterfactual explanations using conditional generative models.
result Single forward pass generates batches of counterfactual instances.

Proposes new methods for interpreting document classification models.

problem Interpretation fragility of attention-based neural networks.
method Corpus-level and concept-based explanation methods using attention weights.
result Extracts semantically meaningful keywords and concepts for model predictions.

Due to the increasing use of machine learning in practice it becomes more and more important to be able to explain the prediction and behavior of machine learning models. An instance of explanations are counterfactual explanations which provide an intuitive and useful explanations of machine learning models. In this su…

2019-11-15abs ↗pdf ↗

In this work, we develop a technique to produce counterfactual visual explanations. Given a 'query' image II for which a vision system predicts class cc, a counterfactual visual explanation identifies how II could change such that the system would output a different specified class cc'. To do this, we select a 'dis…

2019-04-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Study proposes a novel local explanation method for deep learning classifiers in process mining.

problem Lack of interpretability in deep learning models for process mining.
method Defines local regions using latent space representations and visualizes explanations.
result Deep learning classifier achieves high performance and local explanations increase user trust.