Improved VAEs learn consistent posterior distributions from missing data.
problem Learning VAEs from data with missing values, especially in the encoder.
method Formal definition of posterior consistency and regularization approach.
result Regularization leads to improved performance in reconstruction and downstream tasks.
FMM fails to accurately determine the number of components even with consistent posterior.
problem Determining the number of subpopulations in a data set using FMM.
method Analysis of FMM component-count posterior under model misspecification.
result FMM component-count posterior diverges under model misspecification, contrary to intuition.
The paper revisits and improves on a Bayesian relevance vector machine method for small sample sizes.
problem Statistical modeling with small sample sizes relative to the number of covariates.
method Introduces a new class of global-local priors and provides theoretical properties.
result Results on posterior consistency and contraction rates are provided.
Improved diffusion models for inverse problems by integrating data consistency constraints.
problem Errors in earlier steps of diffusion models during posterior sampling.
method Guided Decoupled Posterior Sampling (GDPS) with data consistency constraint.
result GDPS achieves state-of-the-art performance, improving accuracy over existing methods.
This paper establishes the asymptotic consistency of the {\it loss-calibrated variational Bayes} (LCVB) method. LCVB was proposed in~\cite{LaSiGh2011} as a method for approximately computing Bayesian posteriors in a `loss aware' manner. This methodology is also highly relevant in general data-driven decision-making con…
This paper investigates Frequentist consistency properties of the posterior distributions constructed via Generalized Variational Inference (GVI). A number of generic and novel strategies are given for proving consistency, relying on the theory of Γ-convergence. Specifically, this paper shows that under minimal regul…
Bayesian model infers factor dimensionality and sparse loading matrix adaptively.
problem Inference of high-dimensional sparse factor model with varying sparsity and factor dimensions.
method Adaptive Bayesian sparse factor model with posterior concentration.
result Posterior distribution asymptotically concentrates on true factor dimensionality and sparsity.
Estimates the ratio of posterior distributions of latent variables.
problem Comparing posterior distributions of latent variables inferred from observations.
method Parametric model approximation and estimation using observed and prior samples.
result Consistent and asymptotically normal estimation of posterior ratio parameters.
We study the asymptotic consistency properties of α-Rényi approximate posteriors, a class of variational Bayesian methods that approximate an intractable Bayesian posterior with a member of a tractable family of distributions, the member chosen to minimize the α-Rényi divergence from the true posterior. Unique to o…
We propose a vector-valued regression problem whose solution is equivalent to the reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS) embedding of the Bayesian posterior distribution. This equivalence provides a new understanding of kernel Bayesian inference. Moreover, the optimization problem induces a new regularization for the …
Proposes a method to learn sparse deep neural networks with theoretical guarantees.
problem Over-parameterized deep neural networks cause training, prediction, and interpretation difficulties.
method Frequentist-like method for sparse DNNs under Bayesian framework.
result Consistent sparse DNNs with at most O(n/log(n)) connections. Proposes sampling from reverse diffusion posteriors for contextual bandits.
problem Complex distributions in contextual bandits.
method Approximate posterior sampling with a diffusion model prior using Laplace approximation.
result Empirically consistent and efficient approximations for contextual bandits.
Differentially private statistical inference using β-divergence.
problem Achieving differential privacy without altering data generation.
method Sampling from a generalised posterior minimizing β-divergence. result More precise inference with broader applicability.
Develops variational Bayesian neural network for complex biomedical applications.
problem High computational cost of Markov Chain Monte Carlo in BNN.
method Variational Bayes inference for posterior consistency and classification accuracy.
result Developed statistical theory for posterior consistency and prediction accuracy.
SC improves robustness in model comparison for misspecified models.
problem Model misspecification challenges in amortized Bayesian inference.
method Parameter posterior-based methods augmented with SC training.
result SC improves robustness under model misspecification.
Develops intrinsic Gaussian process regression for manifold-valued data.
problem Lack of intrinsic Gaussian process methods for manifold-valued response variables.
method Proposes an intrinsic covariance structure and a novel intrinsic Gaussian process regression model.
result Establishes asymptotic properties and shows posterior consistency.
Theoretical framework for M-posteriors connects Bayesian and frequentist statistics.
problem Connecting Bayesian and frequentist approaches in statistical inference.
method Developed a theoretical framework for M-posteriors, showing asymptotic normality and frequentist consistency.
result M-posteriors are robust and contract around M-estimators under mild conditions.
Paper establishes statistical validity for variational Bayes in neural networks.
problem Lack of theoretical validity for Variational Bayes in Bayesian Neural Networks.
method Establishes posterior consistency for mean-field variational posterior in feed-forward neural networks.
result Proves VP concentrates around Hellinger neighborhoods of true density function under certain conditions.
Develops a new Bayesian inference method for discrete data.
problem Computational challenges in discrete state spaces, especially intractable likelihoods.
method Uses a discrete Fisher divergence to update beliefs about model parameters, circumventing the intractable normalising constant.
result Establishes statistical properties of the generalised posterior and proposes a calibration approach.
Bayesian DDR models complex multivariate distributions.
problem Modeling relationships between multivariate distributions with differing dimensions.
method Generalized Bayesian framework using sliced Wasserstein distance and MALA for inference.
result Posterior consistency and robust fits demonstrated in simulations and real data.
C-DPS improves diffusion posterior sampling for inverse problems without projection or likelihood approximation.
problem Inaccurate and unstable solutions in inverse problems due to complex or high-noise conditions.
method C-DPS introduces a forward stochastic process in measurement space evolving in parallel with data-space diffusion, leading to a closed-form posterior.
result C-DPS consistently outperforms existing methods across multiple inverse problem benchmarks.
The paper optimizes LLM accuracy by stopping early based on consistent answers.
problem Improving LLM accuracy in math and reasoning problems.
method Bayesian stopping policy to save on sampling costs, tracking only the L-1 most frequent answer counts.
result The L=3 stopping policy is sufficient for asymptotic optimality and significantly reduces inference costs.
Develops an online Gaussian process method that maintains convergence guarantees without sample complexity issues.
problem The computational intractability of Gaussian processes with streaming data.
method Parsimonious Online Gaussian Processes (POG) that maintains asymptotic consistency with bounded memory.
result POG preserves convergence guarantees to the population posterior with finite memory, even for constant error radius.
DRO-NPE improves neural posterior estimation by reducing overconfidence and overfitting.
problem Overconfident and unreliable posteriors in simulation-based inference with limited simulation budgets.
method Distributionally robust approach using Wasserstein ambiguity set and KL-based metrics.
result Consistently improves coverage and calibration across benchmark tasks.
Structured Nonparametric Variational Inference for Dependent Latent Modeling
problem Approximating posterior distributions with complex dependencies among latent variables
method Structured Nonparametric Variational Inference (SN-VI)
result Flexible and accurate posterior approximation with arbitrary shapes
Robust VB framework handles contamination using min-max median aggregation.
problem Handling contamination and outliers in datasets.
method Partition data into subsets, formulate robust optimization problem, use min-max median KL divergence.
result Min-max median formulation improves robustness and statistical rates.
Bayesian neural networks approximate Gaussian, this method adapts to non-Gaussian posteriors.
problem Bayesian neural networks struggle with non-Gaussian posteriors, leading to poor performance.
method Proposes a Riemannian Laplace approximation to adapt to the shape of the true posterior.
result Consistently improves over conventional Laplace approximation across tasks.
Variational inference (VI) provides fast approximations of a Bayesian posterior in part because it formulates posterior approximation as an optimization problem: to find the closest distribution to the exact posterior over some family of distributions. For practical reasons, the family of distributions in VI is usually…
ConDiSim uses diffusion models to approximate complex system posteriors efficiently.
problem Simulation-based inference of systems with intractable likelihoods.
method Conditional diffusion model with forward and reverse processes.
result Effective posterior approximation across various benchmark and real-world problems.
A key challenge for modern Bayesian statistics is how to perform scalable inference of posterior distributions. To address this challenge, variational Bayes (VB) methods have emerged as a popular alternative to the classical Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods. VB methods tend to be faster while achieving comparabl…
Develops a Bayesian framework for portfolio choice with a new posterior distribution.
problem Estimation risk in parametric portfolio policies.
method Generalized Bayesian framework with Gibbs posterior, utility maximization, and KNEEDLE algorithm.
result Optimal scaling parameter λ controls the balance between prior and data. Variational Bayesian neural networks combine the flexibility of deep learning with Bayesian uncertainty estimation. However, inference procedures for flexible variational posteriors are computationally expensive. A recently proposed method, noisy natural gradient, is a surprisingly simple method to fit expressive poste…
Deep learning speeds up gravitational wave analysis.
problem Computational challenge in analyzing gravitational wave data.
method Trained a neural-network to model posterior probability distributions over 15-dimensional system parameters.
result Generated accurate posterior samples at high speed.
New method samples from posterior distributions efficiently.
problem Posterior sampling in score-based models is intractable.
method Annealed Langevin Monte Carlo with KL and Fisher divergence.
result Tractable sampling from distributions close to posterior and prior.
This paper introduces a spline-based method for nonparametric ADVI that handles complex posterior distributions.
problem Learning complex posterior distributions with skewness, multimodality, and bounded support.
method Develops a spline-based nonparametric approximation approach for ADVI.
result Establishes the asymptotic consistency of the derived lower bound for importance weighted autoencoder.
This work proposes validation diagnostics for SBI algorithms using Normalizing Flows.
problem Lack of appropriate validation methods for SBI algorithms with complex, high-dimensional data.
method Develops validation diagnostics based on Normalizing Flows with theoretical guarantees.
result Offers theoretical guarantees on consistency of NF-based estimators.
Generative sampler learns velocity fields for efficient posterior inference.
problem Sampling from complex posterior distributions in high dimensions.
method Generative multivariate posterior sampler via flow matching, learning a velocity field for a deterministic transport map.
result Conditional Brenier map enables fast generation of credible sets with theoretical consistency guarantees.
Optimal Bayesian feature selection (OBFS) is a multivariate supervised screening method designed from the ground up for biomarker discovery. In this work, we prove that Gaussian OBFS is strongly consistent under mild conditions, and provide rates of convergence for key posteriors in the framework. These results are of …
The paper proposes a Gibbs sampler for neural network posterior sampling.
problem Sampling from the posterior of neural networks.
method Adding noise to activations and using a Gibbs sampler.
result The Gibbs sampler achieves similar performance to MCMC methods on real and synthetic data.
Bayesian decision theory outlines a rigorous framework for making optimal decisions based on maximizing expected utility over a model posterior. However, practitioners often do not have access to the full posterior and resort to approximate inference strategies. In such cases, taking the eventual decision-making task i…
This technical report proves components consistency for the Doubly Stochastic Dirichlet Process with exponential convergence of posterior probability. We also present the fundamental properties for DSDP as well as inference algorithms. Simulation toy experiment and real-world experiment results for single and multi-clu…
A new algorithm improves posterior sampling for linear inverse problems.
problem Efficiently sampling from posterior distributions in noisy linear inverse problems.
method Proposes \pddim, a DDIM-type sampler that separately samples along singular directions of the measurement operator.
result The method converges to the Bayesian posterior conditioned on the measurements.
Develops a new method for sampling from Bayesian credible sets using deep generative quantile learning.
problem Sampling from posterior distributions in high-dimensional spaces with intractable likelihoods.
method Uses deep neural networks to implicitly sample from Bayesian credible sets via a push-forward mapping and Monge-Kantorovich depth.
result Demonstrates improved performance and theoretical consistency of the quantile learning framework.
The paper analyzes sparse high-dimensional linear regression with random design and unknown error variance, providing adaptiveness and concentration rates.
problem Sparse high-dimensional linear regression with random design and unknown error variance.
method Analysis of posterior concentration rates, employing techniques to address model misspecification.
result Adaptiveness and concentration rates of the posterior for sparse high-dimensional linear regression.
Diffusion models tackle noisy inverse problems with posterior sampling.
problem Efficiently solving general noisy inverse problems.
method Approximation of posterior sampling for diffusion models.
result Diffusion models can handle various noise statistics and nonlinear problems.
Bayesian SSR on graphs improves regression with noisy labels.
problem Estimating function values on graphs from noisy labeled data.
method Bayesian approach using graph Laplacian and Gaussian prior.
result Rates of contraction of posterior measure around ground truth.
New method uses kernel Stein discrepancy for measure transport without strict continuity constraints.
problem Minimizing Kullback-Leibler divergence for posterior approximation.
method Proposes minimizing kernel Stein discrepancy instead of Kullback-Leibler divergence.
result Demonstrates consistency and competitiveness of the new method.
Efficiently samples posterior distributions using Langevin dynamics.
problem Challenges in generating diverse posterior samples in high-dimensional spaces.
method Simulates Langevin dynamics in the noise space of a pre-trained generative model.
result Noise-space Langevin dynamics approximates the posterior without restarting the full sampling chain.