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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for Portfolio performance

The paper optimizes stock portfolios with constraints based on performance attribution.

problem Optimizing stock portfolios with performance attribution constraints.
method Minimizes expected tail loss, constrains asset allocation and selection effect, tests on Dow Jones stocks.
result Imposing constraints on asset allocation and selection effect improves portfolio performance.

The paper analyzes how stock market dimensionality changes impact portfolio performance.

problem Impact of dimensional changes on portfolio performance in a changing market.
method Development of self-financing stock portfolios in a stochastic portfolio theory framework with dimensional jumps.
result Quantification of how listing or delisting events and market shocks affect portfolio return.

This study compares three portfolio design approaches for stock selection.

problem Designing a profitable portfolio with precise stock returns and risks.
method Three portfolio design approaches: mean-variance portfolio, hierarchical risk parity, and autoencoder-based portfolio.
result Autoencoder portfolios outperform MVP on annual returns, but MVP is best on risk-adjusted returns.

Improved portfolio optimization using machine learning and hierarchical clustering.

problem Suboptimal out-of-sample performance and unrealistic allocations in the Markowitz Model.
method Refined Markowitz Model with hierarchical clustering-based approach.
result Enhanced portfolio performance on a risk-adjusted basis.

This paper compares three portfolio designs for Indian stocks.

problem Designing an optimum portfolio that balances return and risk.
method Three approaches: minimum risk, optimum risk, and Eigen portfolios.
result Optimum risk portfolios and Eigen portfolios identified for each sector.

The paper introduces eigen-portfolios using PCA to improve portfolio construction in finance.

problem Overfitting and poor generalization in selecting a single eigen-portfolio.
method Principal Component Analysis (PCA) to derive eigen-portfolios from asset return correlation matrices.
result An ensemble strategy combining multiple top-performing eigen-portfolios significantly improves out-of-sample performance.

The paper optimizes portfolios using a new GARCH model with regime switching and tempered stable innovations.

problem Mitigating left tail risk in multi-asset portfolios.
method Proposes a Markov regime-switching GARCH model with multivariate normal tempered stable innovation (MRS-MNTS-GARCH) for portfolio optimization.
result Optimal portfolios with tail risk measures outperform standard deviation-based portfolios and equally weighted portfolios in various performance metrics.

Study analyzes portfolio performance of crypto and traditional assets.

problem Impact of cryptocurrencies on portfolio performance.
method Used GARCH-Copula and GARCH-Vine Copula methods for risk structure calculation; Markowitz optimization for optimal asset weights.
result Portfolio with both crypto and traditional assets has higher Sharpe ratio and more stable performance.

The paper presents a framework for optimizing crypto-currency portfolios using generative models.

problem Optimizing crypto-currency portfolios using generative models.
method The approach involves evaluating diverse pairings of generative model forecasts and objective functions, using simulations and blending strategies.
result Eclectic blended portfolios outperform individual generative model-based portfolios.

Graph neural networks improve volatility forecasts and portfolio performance.

problem Improving volatility forecasting for better portfolio performance.
method Compared Heterogeneous Autoregressive and Long Short-Term Memory models with GraphSAGE models built on rolling correlation, sector, and Granger-causal graphs.
result GraphSAGE models with macro regime features outperform other models in terms of forecast accuracy, ranking quality, and portfolio Sharpe ratio.

DSL uses supervised learning to optimize portfolios, improving stability and performance.

problem Optimizing robust portfolios in financial markets.
method DSL reframes portfolio construction as a supervised learning problem, using cross-entropy loss and optimizing Sharpe or Sortino ratios. Deep Ensemble methods are employed to reduce variance.
result DSL outperforms traditional and machine learning methods, achieving higher median returns and more stable risk-adjusted performance.

This study evaluates different portfolio designs for Indian stocks.

problem Optimizing portfolio weights for risk and return in volatile stock markets.
method Three portfolio design approaches: risk minimization, risk optimization, and equal weighting. Historical data from 2017-2022 used.
result Equal-weight portfolios outperformed other designs in most sectors.

This study compares two portfolio optimization methods on Indian stocks.

problem Designing an optimal portfolio considering stock returns and risks.
method Hierarchical Risk Parity and Eigen Portfolio approaches on NIFTY 50 sectors.
result Hierarchical Risk Parity portfolio outperforms Eigen portfolio in most sectors tested.

A flexible calendar rebalancing approach for Indian stock portfolios.

problem Optimizing stock portfolio performance in the Indian stock market.
method Calendar rebalancing of sector-specific portfolios based on historical stock prices.
result The proposed calendar rebalancing approach improves portfolio performance over the test period.

Investment strategies involving cryptocurrencies and VIX INDEX show positive impact in market performance.

problem Investment strategies involving cryptocurrencies and VIX INDEX.
method Parameter estimation on raw data, comparison of two different portfolios, and analysis of different market conditions.
result VIX INDEX positively impacts the investment portfolio of cryptocurrencies in both standard and downward markets.

Diffolio uses a diffusion model for multivariate financial forecasting and portfolio construction.

problem Probabilistic forecasting of multivariate financial time-series with complex cross-sectional dependencies.
method Diffolio employs a denoising network with hierarchical attention architecture, incorporating asset-level and market-level layers and a correlation-guided regularizer.
result Diffolio outperforms various probabilistic forecasting baselines in multivariate forecasting accuracy and portfolio performance.

Project predicts stock performance and builds an efficient portfolio for six Indian sectors.

problem Predicting stock prices accurately for optimal portfolio design.
method Analysis of time series, machine learning, and deep learning models; Modern Portfolio Theory; minimum variance and optimal risk portfolio optimization.
result Built and tested an efficient portfolio for six Indian sectors using historical stock prices.

In financial asset management, choosing a portfolio requires balancing returns, risk, exposure, liquidity, volatility and other factors. These concerns are difficult to compare explicitly, with many asset managers using an intuitive or implicit sense of their interaction. We propose a mechanism for learning someone's s…

2017-08-24abs ↗pdf ↗

ML helps select variables for minimum-variance portfolios, reducing risk and improving performance.

problem Optimizing minimum-variance portfolios with relevant predictors.
method Parameterized minimum-variance portfolio weights using a large pool of firm-level characteristics and their transformations.
result ML-selected predictors lead to lower risk and better performance in minimum-variance portfolios.

This study tackles mutual fund portfolio prediction, focusing on novel items.

problem Predicting novel items in mutual fund portfolios is challenging and less explored.
method Created a comprehensive benchmark dataset and evaluated various recommender system models.
result Autoencoder-based approaches outperform state-of-the-art models in predicting novel items.

This paper reexamines the profitability of loser, winner and contrarian portfolios in the Chinese stock market using monthly data of all stocks traded on the Shanghai Stock Exchange and Shenzhen Stock Exchange covering the period from January 1997 to December 2012. We find evidence of short-term and long-term contraria…

2015-05-02abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper analyzes constrained optimal portfolios in high dimensions using novel statistical learning techniques.

problem Forming optimal portfolios with constraints in high-dimensional asset spaces.
method CROWN method integrating factor models with nodewise regression for estimation in large dimensions.
result Demonstrates estimation consistency and convergence rates for constrained portfolio weights, risk, and Sharpe Ratio.

System designs for analyzing and pricing non-performing consumer credit portfolios.

problem Technical challenges in analyzing and pricing portfolios of non-performing consumer credit loans.
method Bottom-up architecture, simultaneous quantile regression, R-copula, Gaussian one-factor copula model.
result Successfully developed a methodology for analyzing credit portfolio risks of consumer loans.

We study the design of portfolios under a minimum risk criterion. The performance of the optimized portfolio relies on the accuracy of the estimated covariance matrix of the portfolio asset returns. For large portfolios, the number of available market returns is often of similar order to the number of assets, so that t…

2015-03-27abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper uses TDA to select stocks for a sparse portfolio, improving performance across market scenarios.

problem Sparse portfolio selection in financial markets.
method Topological data analysis (TDA) for clustering stock price movements.
result The TDA-based clustering strategy significantly enhances sparse portfolio performance.

This study compares three portfolio optimization methods on Indian stocks.

problem Comparing portfolio optimization methods on Indian stocks.
method Mean-Variance, Hierarchical Risk Parity, and Reinforcement Learning approaches.
result Reinforcement Learning outperformed other methods in terms of Sharpe ratio.

Diversified risk parity strategies outperform equally-weighted portfolios in various asset universes.

problem Finding optimal portfolio allocations that balance risk and reward.
method Integrates various reward-risk measures and generic allocation rules into diversified risk parity.
result Diversified reward-risk parity strategies exhibit higher average returns, Sharpe ratios, and Calmar ratios compared to equally-weighted risk portfolios.

BPASGM uses sparse graphical models to optimize portfolio selection.

problem Portfolio optimization in high-dimensional settings with estimation error.
method BPASGM extends BPA to a sparse graphical model, screening assets for diversification.
result BPASGM portfolios outperform standard mean-variance portfolios in risk-adjusted performance.

Consider an equity market with nn stocks. The vector of proportions of the total market capitalizations that belong to each stock is called the market weight. The market weight defines the market portfolio which is a buy-and-hold portfolio representing the performance of the entire stock market. Consider a function th…

2014-02-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Introduces new performance measures using scaled utility functions.

problem Performance measurement in financial contexts.
method Certainty equivalents defined via scaled utility functions, well-posed portfolio optimization problem under generic conditions.
result Link between portfolio dynamics, benchmark process, and utility function choice in the long-run setting.

Proposes a bond portfolio solution for managing interest rate risk.

problem Managing long-term assets and liabilities under interest rate risk.
method Proposes a bond portfolio solution based on ambiguity-averse preferences, accommodating various constraints and interest rate perturbations.
result Optimal portfolio can be computed as a simple generalized least squares problem, enhancing out-of-sample performance.

Generative AI models enhance sector-based investment portfolios, but performance varies by market conditions.

problem Improving investment performance through better stock selection in volatile markets.
method Applied LLMs from OpenAI, Google, Anthropic, DeepSeek, and xAI to select and weight stocks within S&P 500 sectors.
result LLM-weighted portfolios outperform sector indices in stable markets but underperform in volatile ones.

Unified framework for fast large-scale portfolio optimization.

problem Efficient portfolio optimization for large-scale financial data.
method Incorporates shrinkage and regularization techniques, addressing multiple objectives.
result AP-Trees and PCA-based factor models consistently outperform other approaches in out-of-sample portfolio performance.

We introduce a pathwise approach to analyze the relative performance of an equity portfolio with respect to a benchmark market portfolio. In this energy-entropy framework, the relative performance is decomposed into three components: a volatility term, a relative entropy term measuring the distance between the portfoli…

2013-08-25abs ↗pdf ↗

The study optimizes investment portfolios using deep learning models for variance-covariance estimation.

problem Estimating an appropriate variance-covariance matrix in Modern Portfolio Theory.
method Employed LSTM-RNN and probabilistic deep learning models (DeepVAR, GPVAR) for multivariate forecasting and portfolio optimization.
result LSTM-RNN models generally yield the best performance in terms of information ratio and annualized returns.