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A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

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48 results for Portfolio Risk

Risk diversification is one of the dominant concerns for portfolio managers. Various portfolio constructions have been proposed to minimize the risk of the portfolio under some constrains including expected returns. We propose a portfolio construction method that incorporates the complex valued principal component anal…

2018-10-10abs ↗pdf ↗

The article develops a model for skewness risk in risk parity portfolios.

problem Managing skewness risk in asset allocation models.
method Modeling asset returns with skewness and jumps, deriving analytical formulas for risk contributions.
result Skewness-based risk parity portfolios outperform volatility-based portfolios in managing jump risks.

A new portfolio method using quantum mechanics improves risk diversification.

problem Improving risk-based portfolio construction methods for multi-asset portfolios.
method Schrödinger principal component analysis applied to extract common factors from asset fluctuations.
result The proposed method outperforms conventional risk parity and other risk diversification methods.

Study on risk contributions of portfolios using lambda quantile risk measures.

problem No known allocation rule for non-positively homogeneous risk measures.
method Defined lambda quantiles on portfolio compositions, derived derivatives, and introduced generalized Euler contributions.
result Explicit formulae for the derivatives of lambda quantiles, showing their homogeneity properties.

The study infers risk preferences from portfolio choices and measures portfolio efficiency.

problem Measuring the efficiency of household investment portfolios based on risk preferences.
method Statistical analysis of portfolio choices and demographic information over six years.
result Implied risk aversion increases with wealth and financial literacy, impacting portfolio efficiency.

Study proposes a new risk measure for optimal portfolio allocation.

problem Challenges in estimating optimal portfolios based on pessimistic risk.
method Introduces uniform pessimistic risk and computational algorithm.
result Demonstrates the usefulness of the proposed risk and portfolio model with real data analysis.

Novel risk matrix for optimal portfolio choice with tail risk considerations.

problem Optimal portfolio choice with tail risk events.
method Risk matrix with Value-at-Risk and Delta-CoVaR measures, derived conditions for closed-form solution, examination of portfolio risk and centrality, demonstration of asset centrality's impact on optimal weight allocation.
result Portfolio risk is not necessarily increasing with stock centrality and can be improved by high connectivity.

This paper compares three portfolio designs for Indian stocks.

problem Designing an optimum portfolio that balances return and risk.
method Three approaches: minimum risk, optimum risk, and Eigen portfolios.
result Optimum risk portfolios and Eigen portfolios identified for each sector.

The paper proposes a new model using financial big data to improve portfolio risk analysis.

problem Addressing potential information loss in portfolio risk measurement.
method Uses financial big data to incorporate out-of-target-portfolio information and overcomes the curse of dimensionality.
result The use of financial big data improves small portfolio risk analysis.

A new portfolio method uses NMF for risk budgeting, outperforming classical methods.

problem Portfolio diversification and risk management in crypto and traditional assets.
method Risk factor budgeting using convex Non-negative Matrix Factorization (NMF).
result Our method outperforms classical portfolio allocations in diversification and risk profile.

Study optimal portfolio choice with risk control for log-returns.

problem Optimal portfolio choice with risk management in continuous-time markets.
method Characterized optimal terminal wealth using concave envelope, derived analytical expressions for optimal wealth and policy, found efficient frontier.
result Efficient frontier is concave curve connecting minimum-risk to growth-optimal portfolios, not a vertical line.

MILLION framework optimizes portfolio risk and return efficiently.

problem Optimizing risk and return in AI for FinTech portfolio management.
method Two phases: return maximization with auxiliary objectives and risk control with portfolio interpolation and improvement.
result Framework achieves fine-grained risk control and improved return rates.

Paper uses neural networks to compress large portfolios of options, reducing risk and capital requirements.

problem Managing risk and capital requirements for large portfolios of financial options.
method Artificial neural network framework for portfolio compression, static hedging, and risk management.
result The compressed portfolio's risk profiles align closely with the target portfolio's, reducing capital requirements.

New vine copula method forecasts portfolio risk measures robust to market downturns.

problem Inaccurate risk measure estimation for financial portfolios due to lack of cross-dependency capture.
method Combines vine copulas with ARMA-GARCH models for marginal risk estimation.
result Portfolio is robust to American market downturns but not European market.

This study proposes an equal-weight portfolio strategy to reduce risk compared to traditional ETFs.

problem Risk of passive ETFs not matching optimal portfolio weights.
method Introduced an equal-weight portfolio strategy to reduce idiosyncratic risk.
result Equal-weight portfolio has lower risk than traditional ETFs, especially during idiosyncratic events.

Managing a portfolio to a risk model can tilt the portfolio toward weaknesses of the model. As a result, the optimized portfolio acquires downside exposure to uncertainty in the model itself, what we call "second order risk." We propose a risk measure that accounts for this bias. Studies of real portfolios, in asset-by…

2009-08-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Study optimal portfolio selection with Recovery Average Value at Risk, showing better control over liabilities.

problem Optimizing portfolios with a new risk measure under known or uncertain distributions.
method Existence results for mean-risk optimal portfolios under different distributional assumptions.
result Portfolio selection under Recovery Average Value at Risk provides better control over liabilities.

Bayesian Parametric Portfolio Policies corrects overestimation of utility and risk in traditional PPP.

problem Traditional Parametric Portfolio Policies ignore policy risk, leading to overestimation of expected utility and understatement of portfolio risk.
method Developed Bayesian Parametric Portfolio Policies (BPPP) by placing a prior on policy coefficients to correct the decision rule.
result BPPP delivers higher Sharpe ratios, lower turnover, larger investor welfare, and lower tail risk compared to traditional PPP.

Algorithm finds near-optimal VaR portfolios using MILP, improving risk management.

problem Computing optimal VaR portfolios is hard due to non-convexity and combinatorial nature.
method Formulates VaR portfolio problem as MILP, uses alternate formulations for guarantees.
result Near-optimal VaR portfolios with near-optimality guarantees.

Diversified risk parity strategies outperform equally-weighted portfolios in various asset universes.

problem Finding optimal portfolio allocations that balance risk and reward.
method Integrates various reward-risk measures and generic allocation rules into diversified risk parity.
result Diversified reward-risk parity strategies exhibit higher average returns, Sharpe ratios, and Calmar ratios compared to equally-weighted risk portfolios.

Paper optimizes trend-following portfolios using autocorrelation models.

problem Developing an optimal trend-following portfolio strategy.
method Introduces a unifying theoretical setting with autocorrelation models for covariance matrices of trends and risk premia. Specifies practical models for covariance matrices. Decomposes optimal portfolio into four basic components.
result Empirical backtests confirm overperformance of the proposed optimal portfolio.

The paper optimizes portfolios using relative tail risk measures.

problem Optimizing portfolios with respect to relative tail risk.
method Analytic forms of portfolio CoVaR and CoCVaR derived on a market model. Monte-Carlo simulation for CoCVaR and marginal contributions. Risk budgeting method applied.
result Derivation of analytic forms for CoVaR and CoCVaR, and their marginal contributions.

Dynamic risk constraints help limit risky behavior in financial portfolios.

problem Static risk measures fail to control tail-risk-seeking traders.
method Introduces dynamic risk constraints applied throughout the trading horizon.
result Dynamic risk constraints can effectively limit risky behavior in portfolios.

This paper develops a new portfolio optimization framework that considers network spillovers.

problem Modern financial markets' complex interconnections are not fully captured by variance alone.
method Formulates a three-objective optimization problem with a quadratic measure of network spillovers.
result Establishes a three-dimensional efficient surface and a risk-risk frontier.

Paper studies optimal investing for retirees with risk constraints.

problem Retirees' longevity and living standard risks in a fluctuating market.
method Formulated as a portfolio choice problem under time-varying risk capacity constraint. Derived optimal investment strategy using differential equations. Demonstrated endogenous spending measure and active investment strategy.
result Time-varying risk capacity constraint impacts asset allocation in retirement.

Optimal portfolios for fat-tailed risks using a new tail risk measure.

problem Optimizing portfolios for pension funds and insurance liabilities with extreme risk sensitivity.
method Developed a new tail risk measure (Extreme Deviation, XD) and optimized portfolios based on this measure.
result Optimal portfolios maximize return per unit of XD, balancing hedging and risk contributions.

This study compares three portfolio design approaches for stock selection.

problem Designing a profitable portfolio with precise stock returns and risks.
method Three portfolio design approaches: mean-variance portfolio, hierarchical risk parity, and autoencoder-based portfolio.
result Autoencoder portfolios outperform MVP on annual returns, but MVP is best on risk-adjusted returns.

The study assesses carbon risk in investment portfolios and proposes new management strategies.

problem The impact of carbon risk on stock pricing and portfolio construction.
method Developed a BMG risk factor and estimated time-varying carbon beta using a multi-factor model.
result Carbon risk can be incorporated into portfolio construction to reduce unrewarded financial risks.

Unified formula for optimal portfolio under piecewise hyperbolic risk aversion.

problem Optimizing portfolios with piecewise hyperbolic risk aversion utilities.
method Derive a unified closed-form formula for the optimal portfolio.
result Unified formula reflects risk aversion behaviors and risk-taking behaviors.

TDA-based portfolios show better risk-adjusted returns than classical methods.

problem Traditional portfolio selection methods fail to capture complex asset dynamics.
method Topological Data Analysis (TDA) using persistence landscapes to quantify portfolio risk.
result TDA-based portfolios outperform classical models in excess mean return and financial ratios.

Derives derivatives of risk measures for various types of portfolio losses.

problem Calculating precise risk measures for portfolio losses.
method Analyzes first and second order derivatives of risk measures for both continuous and discrete portfolio loss scenarios.
result Provides asymptotic results for conditional moments of heavy-tailed portfolio losses.

This note finds closed-form solutions for mean-risk portfolios using a specific type of mixture distribution.

problem Finding optimal portfolios under mean-risk criteria for general distributions.
method Using normal mean-variance mixture (NMVM) distributions, the paper derives closed-form expressions for mean-risk frontiers by optimizing a Markowitz model with adjusted return vectors.
result Closed-form solutions for mean-risk portfolios are found for return vectors following NMVM distributions.

Machine learning factors outperform traditional portfolio optimization methods.

problem Comparing machine learning and traditional portfolio optimization methods.
method Examined machine learning and factor-based portfolio optimization using autoencoder neural networks and dimensionality reduction techniques.
result Minimum-variance portfolios using latent factors derived from autoencoders and sparse methods outperform simpler benchmarks in risk minimization.

Paper breaks down risk contribution into inherent and correlation risk components.

problem Understanding the sources of risk in portfolio contributions.
method Leave-one-out decomposition approach to separate inherent and correlation risk contributions.
result The decomposition reveals distinct contributions of position volatility and correlation to portfolio risk.

Study improves portfolio optimization for Indonesian banks using robust methods.

problem Uncertainty in historical return and risk estimates leads to suboptimal portfolios.
method Robust optimization with moving-window and bootstrapping methods.
result Moving-window method with smaller risk-aversion parameter provides better risk-return trade-off.