A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
We consider the problem of online prediction in a marginally stable linear dynamical system subject to bounded adversarial or (non-isotropic) stochastic perturbations. This poses two challenges. Firstly, the system is in general unidentifiable, so recent and classical results on parameter recovery do not apply. Secondl…
We study the decades-old problem of online portfolio management and propose the first algorithm with logarithmic regret that is not based on Cover's Universal Portfolio algorithm and admits much faster implementation. Specifically Universal Portfolio enjoys optimal regret O(NlnT) for N financial instrum…
This paper analyzes regret bounds for Gaussian process Thompson sampling.
problem Analyzing the performance of Gaussian process Thompson sampling (GP-TS) in Bayesian optimization.
method The paper derives several regret bounds for GP-TS, including a lower bound, upper bounds on the second moment of cumulative regret, expected lenient regret, and improved cumulative regret.
result The paper provides improved regret upper bounds for GP-TS, showing that it suffers from a polynomial dependence on 1/δ with probability δ.
We study a general online linear optimization problem(OLO). At each round, a subset of objects from a fixed universe of n objects is chosen, and a linear cost associated with the chosen subset is incurred. To measure the performance of our algorithms, we use the notion of regret which is the difference between the to…
We describe a novel algorithm for noisy global optimisation and continuum-armed bandits, with good convergence properties over any continuous reward function having finitely many polynomial maxima. Over such functions, our algorithm achieves square-root regret in bandits, and inverse-square-root error in optimisation, …
We consider Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) where the rewards are unknown and may change in an adversarial manner. We provide an algorithm that achieves state-of-the-art regret bound of O(τ(ln∣S∣+ln∣A∣)Tln(T)), where S is the state space, A is the action space, τ is the mixing time of the MDP, and $…
We consider adaptive control of the Linear Quadratic Regulator (LQR), where an unknown linear system is controlled subject to quadratic costs. Leveraging recent developments in the estimation of linear systems and in robust controller synthesis, we present the first provably polynomial time algorithm that provides high…
The experimental design problem concerns the selection of k points from a potentially large design pool of p-dimensional vectors, so as to maximize the statistical efficiency regressed on the selected k design points. Statistical efficiency is measured by optimality criteria, including A(verage), D(eterminant), T(race)…
We consider online algorithms under both the competitive ratio criteria and the regret minimization one. Our main goal is to build a unified methodology that would be able to guarantee both criteria simultaneously. For a general class of online algorithms, namely any Metrical Task System (MTS), we show that one can sim…
New algorithms achieve better regret bounds for online classification with relaxed benchmarks.
problem Competing with worst-case optimal binary loss in online classification.
method Comparing against predictors robust to small input perturbations, performing well under Gaussian smoothing, or maintaining a prescribed output margin.
result Regret guarantees depend only on VC dimension and instance space complexity, with an O(log(1/γ)) dependence on the generalized margin.
The paper tackles Nash-regret minimization in congestion games with bandit feedback.
problem Minimizing Nash-regret in congestion games with bandit feedback.
method Proposes centralized and decentralized algorithms for congestion games with bandit feedback, and a centralized algorithm for Markov congestion games.
result Sample complexity depends polynomially on the number of players and facilities, not the size of the action set.
Study non-linear combinatorial bandits with polynomial rewards, finding significant differences from linear cases.
problem Adversarial combinatorial bandits with general non-linear reward functions.
method Extending existing work on adversarial linear combinatorial bandits, analyzing minimax optimal regret for polynomial and non-polynomial reward functions.
result Minimax optimal regret bounds for adversarial combinatorial bandits with general non-linear reward functions.
New insights into natural exponential families improve regret bounds for bandit problems.
problem Improving regret bounds for bandit problems with subexponential tails.
method Proving self-concordance for natural exponential families and applying to bandits.
result Optimistic algorithms for generalized linear bandits have second-order regret bounds that are free of an exponential dependence on problem parameters.
We present a generalization of the adversarial linear bandits framework, where the underlying losses are kernel functions (with an associated reproducing kernel Hilbert space) rather than linear functions. We study a version of the exponential weights algorithm and bound its regret in this setting. Under conditions on …
In the context of stochastic continuum-armed bandits, we present an algorithm that adapts to the unknown smoothness of the objective function. We exhibit and compute a polynomial cost of adaptation to the H{ö}lder regularity for regret minimization. To do this, we first reconsider the recent lower bound of Locatelli an…
New algorithm optimizes Hölder smooth functions in RKHS with tighter regret bounds.
problem Optimizing Hölder smooth functions in RKHS with bounded norm.
method Proposes a new algorithm ( exttt{LP-GP-UCB}) using Local Polynomial (LP) estimators and multi-scale UCB.
result Derives high probability bounds on simple and cumulative regret, matching optimal performance for SE kernel and uniformly tighter bounds for Matérn kernels.
Contextual multi-armed bandit algorithms are widely used in sequential decision tasks such as news article recommendation systems, web page ad placement algorithms, and mobile health. Most of the existing algorithms have regret proportional to a polynomial function of the context dimension, d. In many applications ho…