A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Study examines how different types of advertising impact brand attitudes.
daep learns from irregular, multimodal astronomical data.
Agents learn user preferences with less explicit feedback via spatial interface valuing.
Dynamic pricing model considers ambiguity in endowment growth rate.
Here, we present a novel approach to solve the problem of reconstructing perceived stimuli from brain responses by combining probabilistic inference with deep learning. Our approach first inverts the linear transformation from latent features to brain responses with maximum a posteriori estimation and then inverts the …
Study classifies human stress using EEG, GSR, and PPG signals.
Monopoly breakup impacts AT&T and AMX's market value by 65% and 32%.
For a safe, natural and effective human-robot social interaction, it is essential to develop a system that allows a robot to demonstrate the perceivable responsive behaviors to complex human behaviors. We introduce the Multimodal Deep Attention Recurrent Q-Network using which the robot exhibits human-like social intera…
The artistic style of a painting is a subtle aesthetic judgment used by art historians for grouping and classifying artwork. The recently introduced `neural-style' algorithm substantially succeeds in merging the perceived artistic style of one image or set of images with the perceived content of another. In light of th…
In this paper we show that reporting a single performance score is insufficient to compare non-deterministic approaches. We demonstrate for common sequence tagging tasks that the seed value for the random number generator can result in statistically significant (p < 10^-4) differences for state-of-the-art systems. For …
We propose a model for the credit markets in which the random default times of bonds are assumed to be given as functions of one or more independent "market factors". Market participants are assumed to have partial information about each of the market factors, represented by the values of a set of market factor informa…
Study reveals how people perceive their carbon footprint.
There is a consensus that human and non-human subjects experience temporal distortions in many stages of their perceptual and decision-making systems. Similarly, intertemporal choice research has shown that decision-makers undervalue future outcomes relative to immediate ones. Here we combine techniques from informatio…
Study tests rough fractional volatility model across different time scales, revealing new volatility patterns.
Spatially-aware machine learning predicts gentrification better than non-spatial models.
ChatGPT launch boosted AI-related crypto assets by 10.7% to 15.6%.
Plots show miscalibration directly as slopes of secant lines.
Bayesian model estimates feature values of premium products.
Oil is perceived as a good diversification tool for stock markets. To fully understand this potential, we propose a new empirical methodology that combines generalized autoregressive score copula functions with high frequency data and allows us to capture and forecast the conditional time-varying joint distribution of …
We introduce a stochastic heterogeneous interacting-agent model for the short-time non-equilibrium evolution of excess demand and price in a stylized asset market. We consider a combination of social interaction within peer groups and individually heterogeneous fundamentalist trading decisions which take into account t…
Paper proposes VAE-BPTF for better tensor factorization of sparse, imbalanced count data.
New technique crafts imperceivable sparse adversarial attacks.
The paper explains how to construct a credit spread curve from bond prices.
This work models market regimes using CTMSTOU and simulates trading policies.
Survey shows users value usability over functionality in process discovery tools.
In this paper incomplete-information models are developed for the pricing of securities in a stochastic interest rate setting. In particular we consider credit-risky assets that may include random recovery upon default. The market filtration is generated by a collection of information processes associated with economic…
We introduce a framework to study the effective objectives at different time scales of financial market microstructure. The financial market can be regarded as a complex adaptive system, where purposeful agents collectively and simultaneously create and perceive their environment as they interact with it. It has been s…
We present a simple agent-based model of a financial system composed of leveraged investors such as banks that invest in stocks and manage their risk using a Value-at-Risk constraint, based on historical observations of asset prices. The Value-at-Risk constraint implies that when perceived risk is low, leverage is high…
We present a novel, log-radius profile representation for convex curves and define a new operation for combining the shape features of curves. Unlike the standard, angle profile-based methods, this operation accurately combines the shape features in a visually intuitive manner. This method have implications in shape an…
A2MT learns agents to select which modalities to acquire at test time.
PROTOCOL tackles imbalanced multi-view clustering by enhancing contrastive learning.
Model compresses event-like contexts using gated surprise signals.
This paper presents a model to describe contractual dispute resolution by mediation in situations where a defaulting supplier is near insolvent. While each party has internal constraints, and if alternate performances are available, such as more costly alternative goods, the proposed approach allows the mediator to fin…
Variational inference is a powerful concept that underlies many iterative approximation algorithms; expectation propagation, mean-field methods and belief propagations were all central themes at the school that can be perceived from this unifying framework. The lectures of Manfred Opper introduce the archetypal example…
New model predicts which search snippets will be clicked.
ML weather forecasts lack physical consistency, but add value.
What return should you expect when you take on a given amount of risk? How should that return depend upon other people's behavior? What principles can you use to answer these questions? In this paper, we approach these topics by exploring the consequences of two simple hypotheses about risk. The first is a common-sense…
This research converts visual information into audio for users to perceive.
This paper develops a dynamic equilibrium model where agents exhibit a strong form of belief heterogeneity: they disagree about zero probability events. It is shown that, somewhat surprisingly, equilibrium exists in this setting, and that the disagreement about nullsets naturally leads to equilibrium asset pricing bubb…
RIVCoin stabilizes cryptocurrency portfolios through a DAO and redistributes income.
Automated vehicles learn to predict upcoming maneuvers with high accuracy.
ICYM2I corrects missingness bias in multimodal learning.
We study dynamics of a simulated world with stock and money, driven by the externally given processes which we refer to as sentiments. The considered sentiments influence the buy/sell stock trading attitude, the perceived price uncertainty, and the trading intensity of all or a part of the market participants. We study…
We propose Deep Feature Factorization (DFF), a method capable of localizing similar semantic concepts within an image or a set of images. We use DFF to gain insight into a deep convolutional neural network's learned features, where we detect hierarchical cluster structures in feature space. This is visualized as heat m…
PHASE dataset simulates complex social interactions in physical environments.
As algorithms are increasingly used to make important decisions that affect human lives, ranging from social benefit assignment to predicting risk of criminal recidivism, concerns have been raised about the fairness of algorithmic decision making. Most prior works on algorithmic fairness normatively prescribe how fair …
The article presents a translation of some widespread financial terminology into the language of decision theory. For instance, financial leverage can be regarded as an object of choice or a decision. We show how the optics of decision theory allows perceiving the recently introduced metrics of see-through-leverage, wh…
The paper studies projections of asset prices under equivalent martingale measures.