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A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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3577131,0701,426 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for PMC index model

This paper measures the intensity of implicit government guarantees using PMC index model.

problem Excessive local government debt due to implicit government guarantees.
method Text mining of policy documents related to municipal investment bonds, PMC index model.
result Recent policies have reduced the intensity of implicit government guarantees.

Study quantifies properties of PMC hypersurfaces with area bounds.

problem Understanding the topology and singular set of PMC hypersurfaces.
method Established quantitative topological and singularity properties for PMC hypersurfaces.
result Quantitative bounds on Betti numbers and Minkowski content of singular sets.

Study on PMC surfaces in complex space forms, linking biconservative and totally real properties.

problem Characterizing PMC surfaces in complex space forms and their properties.
method Analyzing interactions between PMC, totally real, and biconservative properties; proving rigidity and reduction codimension results.
result PMC surfaces in non-flat complex space forms are biconservative if and only if totally real.

Study finds implicit government guarantee improves municipal investment bond ratings.

problem Questioning the objectivity of municipal investment bond ratings due to implicit government guarantee.
method Text mining of policy documents and PMC index model for implicit guarantee strength calculation.
result Implicit government guarantee boosts municipal investment bond ratings, especially in less developed regions.

Paper proves existence of PMC hypersurfaces in conformal product manifolds.

problem Existence of prescribed mean curvature hypersurfaces in conformal product manifolds.
method Established existence through barrier condition and quasi-decreasing condition.
result New solutions to high-dimensional PMC Plateau problem with explicit topology.

New algorithm improves volatility forecasting using Pairwise Markov Chains.

problem Inability to effectively predict volatility due to feature problem and non-stationarity.
method Introduced a new algorithm for prediction with Pairwise Markov Chains (PMC), extending its capabilities.
result Enhanced performance of volatility forecasting models compared to GARCH(1,1) and feedforward neural models.

We prove a Simons type equation for non-minimal surfaces with parallel mean curvature vector (pmc surfaces) in Mn(c)×RM^n(c)\times\mathbb{R}, where Mn(c)M^n(c) is an nn-dimensional space form. Then, we use this equation in order to characterize complete non-minimal pmc surfaces with non-negative Gaussian curvature.

2011-02-01abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper constructs infinitely many surfaces with specific mean curvature.

problem Creating surfaces with prescribed mean curvature in the presence of a strictly stable minimal surface.
method Synthesizing ideas from previous constructions to create multiple surfaces.
result Infinitely many distinct surfaces with prescribed mean curvature are constructed.

We consider surfaces with parallel mean curvature vector (pmc surfaces) in CPn×R\mathbb{C}P^n\times\mathbb{R} and CHn×R\mathbb{C}H^n\times\mathbb{R}, and, more generally, in cosymplectic space forms. We introduce a holomorphic quadratic differential on such surfaces. This is then used in order to show that the anti-invariant…

2010-11-21abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper introduces Tree-Pyramidal Adaptive Importance Sampling (TP-AIS), a novel iterated sampling method that outperforms state-of-the-art approaches like deterministic mixture population Monte Carlo (DM-PMC), mixture population Monte Carlo (M-PMC) and layered adaptive importance sampling (LAIS). TP-AIS iteratively…

2019-12-18abs ↗pdf ↗

PPT optimizes transformer behavior by steering its latent posterior using prior samples.

problem Eliciting desired behavior from transformers without backpropagation.
method Posterior Prefix Tuning (PPT) uses predictive Monte Carlo (PMC) samples and importance sampling to optimize the latent posterior.
result PPT optimizes transformer behavior without backpropagation, achieving high utility across different utility functions.

In this paper, we are interested in continuous time models in which the index level induces some feedback on the dynamics of its composing stocks. More precisely, we propose a model in which the log-returns of each stock may be decomposed into a systemic part proportional to the log-returns of the index plus an idiosyn…

2009-11-15abs ↗pdf ↗

We present a new model for credit index derivatives, in the top-down approach. This model has a dynamic loss intensity process with volatility and jumps and can include counterparty risk. It handles CDS, CDO tranches, Nth-to-default and index swaptions. Using properties of affine models, we derive closed formulas for t…

2009-11-09abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper reviews and analyzes various modeling approaches for financial index tracking.

problem Efficient replication of market index performance in financial markets.
method Categorization into three frameworks: optimization, statistical, and machine learning; empirical study on S&P 500 dataset.
result Optimization-based models deliver the most precise index tracking, statistical-based models achieve the strongest return-risk balance, and data-driven models provide competitive performance.

This study compares Markowitz and Single-Index models for Malaysian stocks.

problem Optimizing portfolio selection for Malaysian stocks using different models.
method Applied Markowitz and Single-Index models to 10-year historical data of 10 stocks and a risk-free asset.
result Comparison of minimum variance and maximum Sharpe portfolios for both models under various constraints.

Improved stock index analysis using fuzzy parameters and machine learning.

problem Analyzing the S&P 500 stock index with long-term dependence.
method Combining fuzzy theory and machine learning to modify the Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard model.
result The new model effectively captures the stochastic dynamics of the stock index time series.

We develop a simple stock selection model to explain why active equity managers tend to underperform a benchmark index. We motivate our model with the empirical observation that the best performing stocks in a broad market index often perform much better than the other stocks in the index. Randomly selecting a subset o…

2015-10-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Notwithstanding almost forty years of efforts, the market for paintings still lacks a widely accepted price index. In this paper, we introduce a simple and intuitive metric to construct such index. Our metric is based on the price of a painting divided by its area. This formulation rests on a solid mathematical foundat…

2014-04-21abs ↗pdf ↗

This study compares microscopic and macroscopic models for commodity index derivatives pricing.

problem Lack of accurate futures curve dynamics in macroscopic models for real scenarios.
method Calibrated both microscopic and macroscopic models using S\&P GSCI Crude Oil excess-return index derivatives.
result Macroscopic models struggle to capture futures curve dynamics, affecting pricing and sensitivities.

The paper examines the stability of binary choice models using Gini index and scoring indicators.

problem Stability and discriminatory power of binary choice models.
method Derives the real Gini index and incorporates PSI and KS statistics into the model.
result The real Gini index should be less than the calculated Gini index when the population distribution changes.

Paper decomposes C-index to analyze survival prediction model performance.

problem Evaluating the performance of survival prediction models.
method Decomposes C-index into two weighted quantities: ranking observed vs. other events and observed vs. censored cases.
result Deep learning models outperform classical models in ranking observed events, leading to better C-index stability.

Bank transactions help predict macroeconomic indexes faster and more accurately.

problem Lag in macroeconomic index availability and autoregressive models' limitations in complex scenarios.
method Use financial transactions data to estimate macroeconomic indexes using neural networks and smart sampling.
result Neural network approach outperforms baseline methods on hand-crafted features based on transactions.

Researchers analyze the relationship between ML cost functions and the C-index in survival analysis.

problem Understanding the relationship between ML cost functions and the C-index in survival analysis.
method Provided C-index Fisher-consistency results and excess risk bounds for various cost functions in survival analysis.
result Identified conditions under which ML cost functions are consistent with the C-index.

Paper tackles continual learning with single-index models, proving regret bounds.

problem Continual learning with single-index models across multiple tasks.
method Proposes a randomized strategy to learn a common single-index and task-specific link functions.
result Proves regret bounds for the proposed strategy under various loss function assumptions.

Index structures are important for efficient data access, which have been widely used to improve the performance in many in-memory systems. Due to high in-memory overheads, traditional index structures become difficult to process the explosive growth of data, let alone providing low latency and high throughput performa…

2019-05-08abs ↗pdf ↗

The p-index improves investment performance for NYSE stocks but not for SSE stocks.

problem Improving investment performance for stocks using the p-index.
method Comparing different p-ratio strategies and empirical efficient frontiers for SSE and NYSE stocks.
result The p-index enhances investment performance for NYSE stocks but not for SSE stocks.

Single index model is a powerful yet simple model, widely used in statistics, machine learning, and other scientific fields. It models the regression function as g(<a,x>)g(<a,x>), where a is an unknown index vector and x are the features. This paper deals with a nonlinear generalization of this framework to allow for a regre…

2019-02-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Abstract reviews algorithms for multi-index models, focusing on polynomial-time methods and their limitations.

problem Estimating the index space in multi-index models efficiently and accurately.
method Polynomial-time algorithms in Gaussian space, nonparametric gradient estimation, and neural network fitting.
result A gap exists between computationally efficient methods and information-theoretical minimum.

Paper models demand and solvency for index insurance, combining traditional and measurable index-based coverage.

problem Reducing protection gaps for emerging risks.
method Develops a model for demand and solvency conditions, combining traditional and index-based insurance.
result Deduces a product that benefits from both traditional and index-based insurance approaches.

The Stochastic Volatility (SV) model and its variants are widely used in the financial sector while recurrent neural network (RNN) models are successfully used in many large-scale industrial applications of Deep Learning. Our article combines these two methods in a non-trivial way and proposes a model, which we call th…

2019-06-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Analyzes how inclusion/exclusion from STOXX Europe 600 Index affects company prices.

problem Understanding price dynamics of companies in STOXX Europe 600 Index.
method Used logit models and neural networks to analyze data.
result Identified independent variables affecting price changes.

A new tail-shape index based on Value at Risk and Expected Shortfall.

problem Measuring and comparing tail behavior of loss distributions.
method Introducing a new θθ-index based on equal level relationships between Value at Risk and Expected Shortfall.
result The θθ-index provides a level-dependent, scale-free measure of upper tail behavior.