Optimal contracts are found for agents with quadratic effort costs.
problem Finding optimal contracts in principal-agent problems with quadratic effort costs.
method Modeling the problem using Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) equations and proving the existence of classical solutions.
result Existence of optimal contracts for agents with quadratic effort costs is proven.
The paper analyzes reinsurance strategies in peer-to-peer insurance schemes.
problem Strategic interaction between plan managers and reinsurers in P2P insurance.
method Develops two game-theoretic contract designs: Pareto and Bowley designs, deriving optimal contracts and analyzing their welfare effects.
result The Bowley design yields a unique optimal contract, while the Pareto design allows for multiple Pareto-optimal contracts.
We consider a general framework of optimal mechanism design under adverse selection and ambiguity about the type distribution of agents. We prove the existence of optimal mechanisms under minimal assumptions on the contract space and prove that centralized contracting implemented via mechanisms is equivalent to delegat…
Paper uses relaxation techniques to find optimal brokerage fees with private signals.
problem Finding optimal brokerage fees for clients with private trading signals.
method Relaxation techniques to establish contract existence in asymmetric information settings.
result Existence of optimal brokerage fees established in a market model with private signals.
Optimal contracts help principals delegate data collection in decentralized ML.
problem Dealing with information asymmetries in decentralized ML.
method Design of optimal and near-optimal contracts addressing uncertainty in model quality and performance.
result Simple linear contracts achieve 1-1/e fraction of optimal utility.
Optimal reinsurance contracts designed for a continuum of risk types.
problem Designing optimal reinsurance contracts with a continuum of risk types.
method Principal-agent model, VaR at risk tolerance level, change of variables, univariate approach.
result Optimal reinsurance contracts are in stop-loss form, classifying agents into high and low risk groups.
New method designs fairer transport plans with uncertainty.
problem Designing fair and balanced mass transport plans.
method Hierarchical fully probabilistic design (HFPD) for transport plans.
result Optimal hyperprior for transport plans with uncertain marginals.
Optimal insurance contracts are designed to screen risk preferences and risk types under asymmetric information.
problem Designing optimal insurance contracts under asymmetric information and risk types.
method Constructing a menu of contracts that maximizes mean-variance utilities, subject to truth-telling constraints.
result Equilibrium contracts exhibit nonlinear pricing with decreasing risk loadings, inducing self-selection.
This paper optimizes reinsurance contracts with belief differences between insurer and reinsurer.
problem Dynamic reinsurance design with heterogeneous beliefs under mean-variance framework.
method Modeling surplus process, applying partitioned domain optimization, solving HJB system.
result Optimal reinsurance contracts with belief heterogeneity are more complex than standard contracts.
New formulations capture aversion to ambiguity about volatility.
problem Capturing aversion to ambiguity about unknown and time-varying volatility.
method Introduces novel preference formulations and compares them with existing models.
result Illustrates the impact of ambiguity aversion in static and dynamic models.
SBT model uses randomized sharding and sub-models to improve Bayesian Additive Regression Trees.
problem Improving efficiency and accuracy of Bayesian Additive Regression Trees.
method Randomized sharding, sub-models, intersection tree structure, optimal design.
result Theoretical optimal weights and worst-case complexity of SBT model.
Bernard et al. (2015) study an optimal insurance design problem where an individual's preference is of the rank-dependent utility (RDU) type, and show that in general an optimal contract covers both large and small losses. However, their contracts suffer from a problem of moral hazard for paying more compensation for a…
Optimal insurance contract limits insurer's risk exposure variance.
problem Designing an optimal insurance contract limiting insurer's risk exposure variance.
method Derive optimal policy semi-analytically, focusing on actuarially fair case.
result Expected coverage is larger for wealthier insured, indicating normal good.
Investigates optimal withdrawal strategies in VA contracts with tax and ratchet mechanisms.
problem Optimizing withdrawal strategies and behavior of policyholders in VA contracts with tax and ratchet mechanisms.
method Solving a backward dynamic programming problem to optimize cash flows from VA contracts, considering hybrid products and taxation effects.
result Tax-shielding effect of the cash fund enhances contract attractiveness, ratchet mechanism discourages early surrender, and cash fund discourages active withdrawals.
Fair insurance contracts are designed to handle default risk using cooperative game theory.
problem Designing fair insurance contracts in the presence of default risk.
method Cooperative game theory to specify premiums and participation in benefit.
result Fair benefit participation emerges as a game outcome involving residual risks.
Study optimal reinsurance pricing under model uncertainty for multiple insurers.
problem Optimal reinsurance pricing in the presence of multiple sources of model uncertainty.
method Solves a continuous-time Stackelberg game for general reinsurance contracts, considering entropy penalties and ambiguity in insurers' models.
result Reinsurer prices under a distortion of the barycentre of insurers' models, maximizing expected wealth with an entropy penalty.
AMM finds optimal contract for LPs to maximize order flow.
problem Maximizing order flow in AMMs with LPs.
method Leader-follower stochastic game, closed-form equilibrium solutions.
result LPs incentivized to add liquidity when external price attracts more noise trading.
Study develops a smart contract framework for efficient and fair resource allocation.
problem Lack of rigorous economic foundation in decentralized coordination and smart contract implementations.
method Mechanism design framework with provable convergence guarantees for decentralized price adjustment.
result Proves stability and robustness of the proposed mechanism under various perturbations.
We consider the issue of a market maker acting at the same time in the lit and dark pools of an exchange. The exchange wishes to establish a suitable make-take fees policy to attract transactions on its venues. We first solve the stochastic control problem of the market maker without the intervention of the exchange. T…
The paper proposes modern computational methods for optimizing reinsurance contracts.
problem Optimizing catastrophe excess-of-loss reinsurance contracts with realistic constraints and risk measures.
method Two approaches: simulated annealing for local search and quantum branch & bound for future potential.
result Quantum branch & bound approach shows potential for future optimization with quantum computers.
The present work studies and analyzes general defaultable OTC contract in presence of a contingent CSA, which is a theoretical counterparty risk mitigation mechanism of switching type that allows the counterparty of a general OTC contract to switch from zero to full/perfect collateralization and switch back whenever sh…
Bayesian framework for sphere regression using Gaussian fields.
problem Nonparametric regression on the sphere with Gaussian priors.
method Isotropic Gaussian field priors, harmonic structure, exact posterior distributions, optimal spectral truncation, posterior contraction rates.
result Sharp posterior contraction rates for Gaussian priors with polynomially decaying angular power spectra.
The study examines how alternative resource adequacy contract designs affect market participants' risk profiles and resource mix.
problem The tension between promoting reliability and competition in liberalized electricity markets.
method Constructs a stochastic equilibrium model of a competitive market with incomplete risk trading and computes investment equilibria under different contracting regimes.
result Alternative contracting regimes can induce different risk profiles and resource mixes, affecting market outcomes.
In this paper, we consider the problem of optimal reinsurance design, when the risk is measured by a distortion risk measure and the premium is given by a distortion risk premium. First, we show how the optimal reinsurance design for the ceding company, the reinsurance company and the social planner can be formulated i…
We study the solution's existence for a generalized Dynkin game of switching type which is shown to be the natural representation for general defaultable OTC contract with contingent CSA. This is a theoretical counterparty risk mitigation mechanism that allows the counterparty of a general OTC contract to switch from z…
Optimal execution strategy for merger & acquisition contracts with price impact.
problem Optimal execution and pricing of financial derivatives in M&A deals.
method Indifference utility arguments, considering linear and nonlinear contracts.
result Linear contracts are more expensive and vulnerable to manipulation.
Holographic Invariant Storage uses vector architectures to ensure LLM safety at design time.
problem Mitigating context drift in large language models (LLMs) during deployment.
method Introduces Holographic Invariant Storage (HIS) protocol that combines known properties of bipolar Vector Symbolic Architectures into a design-time safety contract.
result Closed-form guarantees for single-signal recovery fidelity, continuous-noise robustness, and multi-signal capacity degradation are provided and validated.
We employ a 2x3 factorial experiment to study two central factors in the design of prediction markets (PMs) for idea evaluation: the overall design of the PM, and the elasticity of market prices set by a market maker. The results show that 'multi-market designs' on which each contract is traded on a separate PM lead to…
Study uses machine learning to estimate effective policies in settings with hidden individual actions.
problem Estimating effective policies in settings with hidden individual actions.
method Instrumental Regression and Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) estimator.
result Demonstrates how to estimate a good contract in principal-agent problems.
Optimizes hybrid insurance contracts for heavy-tailed losses.
problem Providing insurance against heavy-tailed losses with finite expected loss.
method Combines traditional and parametric insurance, using a Pareto-type criterion for optimization.
result The hybrid contract outperforms traditional contracts in simulations and real data.
This paper investigates Pareto optimal (PO, for short) insurance contracts in a behavioral finance framework, in which the insured evaluates contracts by the rank-dependent utility (RDU) theory and the insurer by the expected value premium principle. The incentive compatibility constraint is taken into account, so the …
Optimal linear contracts are possible even with memory in Gaussian settings.
problem Can optimal dynamic contracts be linear when agents control memory processes?
method Developed a methodology for non-Markovian and non-semimartingale settings, showed linear contracts are optimal for one-dimensional models.
result Linear contracts are optimal for one-dimensional models with memory, and for radial effort cost functions in higher dimensions.
The paper explores local-correlation models for pricing complex financial contracts.
problem Calibrating synthetic quanto forward contracts and composite options.
method Design on-line calibration procedures for local and stochastic volatility models.
result Calibration performance of local-correlation models compared to simpler approximations.
Bayesian nonparametric LABS model adapts to function smoothness in Besov spaces.
problem Estimating functions with unknown smoothness in Besov spaces.
method Lévy Adaptive B-spline (LABS) regression model with automatic smoothness adaptation.
result LABS posterior contracts around true function in Besov classes at nearly minimax-optimal rates.
Study analyzes smart contract adoption under bounded risk, showing stable adoption but fragile financial outcomes.
problem Understanding smart contract adoption in derivative markets under risk constraints.
method Structural theory linked with simulation and real-world validation.
result Adoption intensity is stable but profitability and service outcomes are sensitive to volatility.
We consider the problem of designing a derivatives exchange aiming at addressing clients needs in terms of listed options and providing suitable liquidity. We proceed into two steps. First we use a quantization method to select the options that should be displayed by the exchange. Then, using a principal-agent approach…
This paper develops a method to select a reference contract for multi-contract quoting to minimize execution risk.
problem Minimizing execution risk in multi-contract quoting sequences.
method Develops a diagnostic framework using order-flow Hawkes forecasts and CLF to select a stable reference contract.
result Event-history and LOB-state signals offer complementary views for reference-contract selection.
Optimal reinsurance contracts for multiple dependent risks are derived without specific dependency assumptions.
problem Finding optimal reinsurance contracts for multiple dependent risks without assuming their dependency structure.
method Assumes maximal expected utility criterion and independent negotiation of reinsurance for each risk. Derives optimality conditions and shows that under mild assumptions, optimal contracts are classical (non-randomized) type.
result Optimal reinsurance contracts exist and can be classical (non-randomized) type under mild assumptions.
Prediction markets can be manipulated by traders who can move contract settlements, harming price discovery.
problem Manipulation of settlement times in prediction markets leads to unfair wealth transfer and harms price discovery.
method Developed a model showing how settlement manipulation transfers wealth and harms price discovery, and observed real-world effects on Polymarket's Bitcoin contract.
result Manipulators capture significant profits from retail traders, especially when settlement times are short.
SFC aims to protect the Amazon with a digital currency and smart contracts.
problem Protecting the Amazon's ecosystem and ensuring resource credibility.
method Blockchain, digital contracts, smart contracts with oracles.
result Ensures credibility and security for financial resources invested in Amazon projects.
TradeMech nets trades without changing counterparty relationships.
problem Netting trades without altering counterparty exposure in complex financial networks.
method Transforms contracts into chains and cycles, nets designated object multilaterally, and replaces contracts with new multiparty agreements.
result Maximal multilateral netting of a designated object while preserving each agent's profit and counterparty risk.
Bayesian methods estimate regression functions on submanifolds using graph Laplacian eigenbasis.
problem Estimating regression functions on unknown smooth submanifolds.
method Random geometric graph structure, Bayesian priors based on random basis expansion in graph Laplacian eigenbasis.
result Posterior contraction rates are minimax optimal for any positive smoothness index.
Study on reinsurance decisions using mean-variance criterion with irreversible contracts.
problem Optimizing reinsurance premiums and contracts in a Stackelberg game with irreversible contracts.
method Unified singular control framework applied to both discrete and continuous time reinsurance contracts.
result A single once-for-all reinsurance contract is preferred over multiple contracts, and the signing time is crucial.
Study optimal contracts for pandemic risk, offering fixed shares and prevention mechanisms.
problem Optimal delegation contracts in the face of pandemic shutdown risk.
method Dynamic principal-agent model with exogenous early termination risk.
result Explicit characterization of optimal wage and action for prevention mechanisms.
The paper categorizes and analyzes various event-linked perpetual futures contracts.
problem Developing a risk-design framework for complex event-linked perpetual futures.
method Formal taxonomy of seven pure-form canonical variants, organized along four design axes.
result Detailed analysis of microstructure properties and limitations of various variants.
This work presents a methodology for forward electricity contract price projection based on market equilibrium and social welfare optimization. In the methodology supply and demand for forward contracts are produced in such a way that each agent (generator/load/trader) optimizes a risk adjusted expected value of its re…
The paper analyzes optimal investment strategies for life insurance contracts using mean-variance optimization.
problem Optimal portfolio choice for equity holders in life insurance contracts.
method Mean-variance optimization, explicit formulas, Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equations, numerical analysis.
result Equity holders increase investment in risky assets during economic downturns.
In principal-agent models, a principal offers a contract to an agent to perform a certain task. The agent exerts a level of effort that maximizes her utility. The principal is oblivious to the agent's chosen level of effort, and conditions her wage only on possible outcomes. In this work, we consider a model in which t…