Staking and on-chain lending can reduce PoS network security if rewards are not calibrated properly.
problem Rational actors can reduce PoS network security if block rewards are not calibrated appropriately above on-chain lending yields.
method Simple stochastic model and agent-based simulations to validate the phase transition between staking and lending.
result Rational actors can reduce PoS network security if block rewards are not calibrated appropriately above on-chain lending yields.
Paper introduces OCRR Score for quantifying DeFi wallet credit risk.
problem Inability to assess credit risk in decentralized finance.
method Probabilistic measure based on historical and predictive on-chain activity.
result Dynamic adjustment of LTV and LT based on wallet risk profile.
This study measures liquidity risks in Aave, a blockchain lending protocol.
problem Liquidity risks in lending protocols, especially in Aave.
method Measurements of liquidity risks using Aave as a case study, focusing on available liquidity and market concentration.
result Liquidity risks in Aave are volatile and affect the protocol negatively, especially for repeat borrowers.
Compound examines decentralized lending users and their short loan durations.
problem Systemic risk in decentralized finance due to concentration and interconnection.
method Analysis of on-chain transaction data and smart contract programming.
result Many users borrow for yield farming, not for traditional lending.
A new method for creating derivatives without oracles.
problem Lack of trust in external oracles for derivatives pricing.
method Using Replicating Market Makers (RMMs) to create derivative instruments.
result Demonstrated the feasibility of on-chain expiring options without oracles.
The study analyzes how cross-chain interoperability affects decentralized lending protocols' performance.
problem Understudied cross-chain elements in DeFi lending risk management.
method Panel regression fixed effects and OLS models applied to empirical analysis.
result Cross-chain activity impacts protocol performance, with bridge volume being a critical driver.
Study finds on-chain data can proxy off-chain cryptocurrency pricing.
problem Develop methods to proxy off-chain cryptocurrency pricing using on-chain data.
method Graphical models, mutual information, and ensemble machine learning.
result A significant amount of pricing information is contained in on-chain data, but precise prices are hard to recover except on short time scales.
CryptoRLPM uses on-chain data to improve crypto portfolio management performance.
problem Lack of effective use of on-chain data in RL-based crypto portfolio management.
method Developed CryptoRLPM, an RL-based system that incorporates on-chain data for crypto PM, consisting of five units.
result CryptoRLPM outperforms baselines in ARR, DRR, and SR, especially for Bitcoin.
The study compares on-chain option prices with a model and finds significant differences.
problem Measuring and comparing on-chain option prices with a model-based benchmark.
method Used a two-regime MS-AR-(GJR)-GARCH model to estimate volatility and GLS to compare prices.
result On-chain option prices are significantly higher than model-based benchmarks, especially for call options.
This paper presents the theory of non-smooth Lie group actions on chains of Banach manifolds. The rigorous functional analytic spaces are given to deal with quotients of such actions. A hydrodynamical example is studied in detail.
The paper uses AI to analyze on-chain parameters and identify risky cryptocurrencies.
problem Identifying risky cryptocurrencies and understanding their price factors.
method Historical data analysis, AI algorithms, clustering, classification.
result A significant negative correlation between cryptocurrency price and maximum and total supply, and a weak positive correlation with 24-hour trading volume.
This study aims to improve communication between fragmented blockchain systems in finance.
problem Inefficient and insecure communication in fragmented blockchain systems.
method Analysis of cross-chain interoperability protocols and their properties.
result Comparison and evaluation of cross-chain interoperability protocols.
This paper designs a new on-chain option that amortizes perpetual options for blockchain environments.
problem No equivalent standard for on-chain options exists, leading to high-frequency oracles and liquidation engines failures.
method Develops an amortizing perpetual option contract tailored to blockchain constraints, introducing a decentralized market framework.
result Demonstrates that the new contract functions as a risk primitive for DeFi, enabling applications like endogenous collateralization and de-peg insurance.
A note on setting swap parameters for traders.
problem Determining optimal slippage parameters and trade size for wealth swapping.
method Theoretical solution and framework for optimal slippage parameters and trade size.
result Offers a method to solve optimal slippage parameters and trade size for wealth swapping.
Study shows diverse data sources improve cryptocurrency forecasting models.
problem Improving cryptocurrency market forecasting accuracy.
method Integrating various data types, including on-chain metrics, traditional indices, and macroeconomic indicators.
result Data source diversity significantly enhances forecasting model performance.
New model assesses risks of staking and borrowing in smart contracts.
problem Security and efficiency of staking in smart contract platforms.
method Combines birth-death Pólya processes and credit derivatives models.
result Derivatives can reduce wealth concentration in staking networks.
Adaptive pricing framework for perpetual contracts using liquidity curves and oracles.
problem Ensuring stable and predictable pricing for perpetual contracts.
method Uses liquidity curves and on-chain oracles with parabolic and sigmoid functions to quote prices and fees.
result Ensures pricing stability and predictability through adaptive pricing framework.
This study categorizes RWA tokenization challenges and solutions.
problem Navigating the gap between on-chain deterministic code and off-chain probabilistic reality.
method Taxonomy and comparative analysis of RWA protocols, legal and technical standards.
result RWA tokenization requires overcoming legal and technical interoperability issues.
Study of Polymarket's prediction market microstructure using tick-level order book data.
problem Understanding the microstructure of decentralized prediction markets.
method Analysis of a continuous tick-level order book feed and on-chain trade records.
result Trade direction inferred from Polymarket's public order-book feed disagrees with on-chain data in ~59% of cases.
Study on-chain peak shaving to reduce Ethereum transaction costs.
problem Reducing transaction costs in blockchain networks, especially during congested periods.
method Analyzing transaction-level data from multiple firms across various industries to understand scheduling responses and cost management strategies.
result Firms' scheduling responses to congestion vary, leading to different fee savings and residual costs.
Develops an LLM-based agent for superior cryptocurrency trading.
problem Lack of LLMs in cryptocurrency trading due to its unique data types.
method Combines on-chain and off-chain data analysis with a reflective mechanism.
result Demonstrates superior performance in maximizing returns compared to traditional strategies.
This research simplifies lending pools in decentralized finance for better understanding and security.
problem Complexity and lack of executable models make lending pools hard to understand and predict.
method Developed a formal model to reflect common features of lending pools and proved general properties.
result Proved correct handling of funds and described vulnerabilities and attacks.
Paper develops a risk scoring framework for tokenized RWA markets.
problem Tokenized assets may not reflect true risk due to illiquidity and concentration.
method Develops a risk scoring framework based on observable indicators.
result Assets with limited transfer activity and concentrated ownership have high empirical risk.
Optimizes hedge ratio for delta-neutral liquidity positions in AMMs.
problem Balancing price exposure and liquidation risk in borrowing-funded delta-neutral positions.
method Model token prices as correlated geometric Brownian motions, derive optimal hedge ratio maximizing risk-adjusted return subject to liquidation probability constraint.
result Optimal hedge ratio h** = min(h*, h_bar(alpha)) lies between 50% and 70% for typical DeFi lending conditions.
Contextual bandit framework improves revenue optimization in securities lending market.
problem Optimizing revenue for agent lenders in a dynamic securities lending market.
method Utilized contextual bandit frameworks to address dynamic pricing problems in an e-commerce-like securities lending market.
result Contextual bandit approach consistently outperforms traditional methods by at least 15% in total revenue generated.
Relationship lending is broadly interpreted as a strong partnership between a lender and a borrower. Nevertheless, we still lack consensus regarding how to quantify the strength of a lending relationship, while simple statistics such as the frequency and volume of loans have been used as proxies in previous studies. He…
Determines surgeries on chain links bounding rational homology balls using lattice-theoretic methods.
problem Integral surgeries on chain links bounding rational homology balls.
method Lattice-theoretic cubiquity obstruction and practical computation methods.
result Proves slice-ribbon conjecture for quasi-alternating 3-braid links, extending previous results.
Dynamic pricing improves DeFi lending efficiency by reducing regret to logarithmic levels.
problem Static pricing mechanisms in DeFi lending protocols lead to suboptimal welfare and revenue.
method Online learning model for static and dynamic pricing models in DeFi lending.
result Adaptive supply models achieve logarithmic regret, outperforming static models.
The study examines cross-border lending behavior from G7 countries, showing changes in driving factors after the 2008 financial crisis.
problem Understanding the factors affecting cross-border lending behavior among G7 countries.
method Employed a gravity model to analyze bilateral and global factors influencing cross-border lending.
result Driving factors for cross-border lending have changed since the 2008 financial crisis, with continent variable becoming more significant.
Study analyzes risk management in Aave and Compound lending protocols, finding v3 better than v2.
problem Risk management in decentralized lending protocols.
method Cross-version and cross-chain analysis using fixed effects model.
result v3 protocols have better risk management, with stronger impact on L2 blockchains.
The study calculates securities lending haircuts and indemnification costs.
problem Managing borrower default risk in securities markets.
method Repo haircut model applied to securities lending transactions; quantifies haircuts and indemnification costs.
result Computed borrower-dependent haircuts and indemnification costs for US Treasuries and equities.
Study proposes optimal risk-aware interest rates for crypto lending protocols.
problem Determining optimal interest rates for decentralized lending protocols to maximize profit and minimize risk.
method Agent-based model, Riccati-type ODEs for linear behaviors, Monte-Carlo estimator and deep learning for nonlinear behaviors.
result Calibrated model shows superior risk-adjusted performance compared to industry-standard interest rate models.
Optimizes routing in decentralized exchanges with gas fees.
problem Routing in decentralized exchanges with fixed gas fees.
method General optimization framework with mixed-integer model, incorporating gas fees.
result Explicit Karush-Kuhn-Tucker system linking prices, fees, and activation.
Improved AMM protocol supports diverse loan maturities in DeFi.
problem Challenges in designing AMMs for fixed-income lending with time-related complexities.
method Generalized BondMM protocol to support arbitrary maturities.
result BondMM-A protocol demonstrates superior performance in interest rate stability and financial robustness.
Paper assesses risks of stablecoins, from lending to business-to-business.
problem Credit risks in decentralized stablecoin issuance.
method Examines mechanisms, risks, and mitigation strategies at each layer.
result Potential for scaling stablecoins while maintaining systemic health.
The paper analyzes Lending Club's loan applicants to predict default risk.
problem Predicting default risk in loan applicants of Lending Club.
method Exploratory data analysis and machine learning (Logistic Regression, Random Forest) were used.
result A credit derivative based on Credit Default Swap was designed to hedge default risk.
New method finds better arbitrage opportunities in AMMs.
problem Finding optimal arbitrage trades in multi-token AMMs.
method Closed-form solutions using convex optimisation.
result Better arbitrage opportunities than traditional methods.
New measure predicts Dutch housing market downturns.
problem Understanding causes of Dutch housing boom and bust.
method Modelled household lending capacity using bank formulas.
result New measure outperforms traditional measures in forecasting housing prices.
Debt-financed collateral in DeFi increases stability risks.
problem Financial stability risks in DeFi ecosystems due to debt-financed collateral.
method Categorization and classification algorithm to measure debt-financed collateral.
result Wide-spread use of stablecoins as debt-financed collateral increases financial stability risks.
The study improves credit evaluation in peer-to-peer lending using machine learning.
problem Traditional credit histories are insufficient for distinguishing good from bad borrowers.
method Used machine learning classification and clustering algorithms to predict creditworthiness.
result Achieved 65% F1 and 73% AUC on LendingClub data, identifying key secondary attributes.
A new framework integrates credit scoring into profit scoring for better P2P lending investments.
problem Maximizing profit while minimizing risk in P2P lending investments.
method Two-stage framework using Light Gradient Boosting Machine (lightGBM) to integrate credit scoring into profit scoring.
result The proposed framework identifies more profitable loans and provides better investment guidance.
Private credit markets have expanded significantly, offering unique lending technology to private equity firms.
problem Understanding the growth and characteristics of private credit markets.
method Systematic survey of academic literature, development of integrated theoretical framework, empirical evidence.
result Private credit markets offer a distinct lending technology with higher spreads over syndicated loans.
This study examines liquidation risks in DeFi lending markets.
problem Liquidity risks in decentralized finance lending protocols.
method Quantitative analysis of liquidation data from four major DeFi platforms.
result Current liquidation mechanisms incentivize liquidators but lead to excessive collateral sales.
Study examines factors influencing lending to SMEs by Kenyan banks.
problem Lack of creditworthiness makes SMEs difficult to finance by banks.
method Descriptive research design, census of 43 banks, secondary data analysis.
result Bank size and liquidity significantly influence lending to SMEs, while credit risk and interest rates do not.
Study predicts P2P lending platform failures using machine learning.
problem Predicting failures of P2P lending platforms in China.
method Used machine learning models with filter and wrapper methods, forward selection, and backward elimination.
result Identified robust variables for predicting platform failures with high AUC and F1 scores.
We propose an in-depth study of lending behaviors in Kiva using a mix of quantitative and large-scale data mining techniques. Kiva is a non-profit organization that offers an online platform to connect lenders with borrowers. Their site, kiva.org, allows citizens to microlend small amounts of money to entrepreneurs (bo…
New technique reduces gender discrimination in credit lending models.
problem Bias and unfairness in credit lending predictions.
method Subgroup Threshold Optimizer (STO) technique.
result Reduces gender discrimination by over 90%.
LDA-XGB1 balances fairness and accuracy in lending models.
problem Fair lending practices and model interpretability in binary classification.
method Biobjective optimization using binning and information value, leveraging XGBoost.
result Achieves effective balance between accuracy, fairness, and interpretability.