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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,051 papers · 148 categories

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8.3%16.7%25.0%33.3% · Jan 199319922001200920182026
48 results for Non-linear Estimation

Proves energy estimates for tensorial wave equations, decoupling components for stability proof.

problem Proving stability of (1+3)(1+3)-Minkowski space-time with various non-linearities.
method Decouples energy estimates for tensorial wave equations, exploiting tensorial structure and Lie derivatives.
result Decoupled energy estimates for tensorial solutions, allowing new stability proofs.

Paper uses black-box inference to estimate non-linear latent force models.

problem Estimating posterior state and forcing term in non-linear systems with unknown forcing terms.
method Black-box variational inference with local inverse autoregressive flows.
result Demonstrates effectiveness of approximation on known posterior systems and non-linear dynamics.

The paper establishes boundary estimates for solutions to elliptic equations on Hermitian manifolds.

problem Boundary estimates for solutions to fully non-linear elliptic equations on Hermitian manifolds.
method Unified approach using quantitative boundary estimates, gradient estimates, and existence results.
result Established gradient estimates and unified approach to Dirichlet problem solutions.

New method improves covariance estimation for weighted samples.

problem Improving covariance estimation for weighted sample data.
method Asymptotic non-linear shrinkage formulas for covariance and precision matrix estimators of weighted sample covariances.
result Asymptotic non-linear shrinkage formulas for covariance and precision matrix estimators of weighted sample covariances.

Quantum computing offers a quadratic speedup for estimating non-linear functionals.

problem Estimating non-linear functionals of probability distributions.
method Proposes a quantum-inside-quantum Monte Carlo algorithm for a broad class of non-linear estimation problems.
result Achieves a quadratic speedup for non-linear estimation problems, including nested conditional expectations and stochastic optimization.

Non-linear shrinkage isn't optimal for portfolio optimization, especially when asset dependence is non-stationary.

problem Optimizing portfolios with non-stationary asset dependence structures.
method Derived and compared non-linear shrinkage with an optimal target for covariance matrix estimation.
result Non-linear shrinkage can be significantly improved for portfolio optimization.

Paper establishes limits for accurately estimating low-rank matrices from noisy, non-linear data.

problem Estimating low-rank matrices from noisy, non-linear observations.
method Proves strong universality result with equivalent Gaussian model and effective prior parameters.
result Signal-to-noise ratio requirement grows as $N^{ rac 12 (1-1/k_F)}$ for accurate reconstruction.

Sharp L∞ estimates for fully non-linear elliptic equations on compact complex manifolds.

problem Sharp L∞ estimates for fully non-linear elliptic equations on compact complex manifolds.
method Comparison with auxiliary complex Monge-Ampère equations, Hölder-Young inequality, and De Giorgi iteration lemma.
result Improved L∞ estimates for fully non-linear elliptic equations on Kähler and Hermitian manifolds.

Study Tikhonov regularization for non-linear inverse problems to improve image reconstruction accuracy.

problem Reconstructing quantities from noisy, non-linearly transformed observations.
method Tikhonov regularization using reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces.
result Developed optimal convergence rates for the estimator.

In this paper, non-linear time series models are used to describe volatility in financial time series data. To describe volatility, two of the non-linear time series are combined into form TAR (Threshold Auto-Regressive Model) with AARCH (Asymmetric Auto-Regressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity) error term and its par…

2013-11-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops inverse EKF for non-linear systems with stability guarantees and learning unknown dynamics.

problem Estimating adversary's Kalman-filtered estimates in highly non-linear systems.
method Proposes inverse extended Kalman filter (I-EKF) for second-order, Gaussian sum, and dithered forward models. Uses reproducing kernel Hilbert space for learning unknown dynamics.
result Derives theoretical stability guarantees for inverse second-order EKF.

Solves Dirichlet problem for elliptic equations on Hermitian manifolds.

problem Solving Dirichlet problem for fully non-linear elliptic equations on Hermitian manifolds.
method Establishing a quantitative boundary estimate under a subsolution assumption.
result Derives solvability and regularity of the Dirichlet problem.

Sharp LL^\infty estimates proved for complex Monge-Ampère equations.

problem Proving sharp LL^\infty estimates for complex Monge-Ampère equations.
method PDE proof covering fixed and degenerating background metrics, extends to general fully non-linear equations.
result Sharp LL^\infty estimates proved for complex Monge-Ampère equations.

We provide a pointwise confidence bound for non-linear least-squares with fixed design.

problem Confidence estimation in non-linear 2\ell^2-regularized least squares.
method Pointwise confidence bound for local minimizers, using weighted norm involving inverse-Hessian.
result The proposed confidence bound scales with the test input's similarity to the training data.

Enhances Cox model for survival analysis with symbolic non-linear log-risk functions.

problem Limited interpretability and non-linearity in traditional Cox models.
method Introduces GCPH model using Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks for symbolic non-linear log-risk functions.
result GCPH achieves competitive performance and superior interpretability.

This paper tackles efficient and scalable estimation of a complex model involving stochastic linear combinations of non-linear regressions.

problem Estimating a model involving stochastic linear combinations of non-linear regressions efficiently and scalably.
method The paper provides algorithms for estimating the model under specific assumptions about the variate vector and sample size, using techniques like zero-bias transformation and sub-sampling.
result The paper provides theoretical guarantees for the estimation of the model, showing that the estimation errors are of the order O(pn)O(\sqrt{\frac{p}{n}}) and O(1p+pn)O(\frac{1}{\sqrt{p}}+\sqrt{\frac{p}{n}}) with high probability.

Paper proposes a new Taylor moment expansion for non-linear Gaussian filtering and smoothing.

problem Non-linear Gaussian filtering and smoothing in continuous-discrete state-space models.
method Taylor moment expansion (TME) for moment functions directly and in time variable.
result Significantly outperforms state-of-the-art methods in terms of estimation accuracy and numerical stability.

Develops a data-driven smoothing technique for high-dimensional, non-linear panel data.

problem Improving prediction accuracy in high-dimensional, non-linear panel data models.
method Adaptive discrete smoothing with data-driven weights based on individual function similarity.
result Significant improvement in prediction accuracy compared to traditional linear panel data estimators.

Adversarial Regression uses GANs for non-linear regression with uncertainty estimation.

problem Performing high-dimensional non-linear regression with uncertainty estimation.
method Conditional Generative Adversarial Network (CGAN) approach.
result CGANs provide an approximate predictive distribution for new observations.

Proposes a new method for feature selection in non-linear functions.

problem Feature selection for non-linear functions in high-dimensional data.
method Continuous relaxation of Bernoulli distributions to learn feature selection indicators via gradient descent.
result Demonstrates the effectiveness of the approach on synthetic and real-life applications.

Least squares estimator fails to achieve optimal risk in bounded distributions, but non-linear predictors can.

problem Optimal risk in bounded distributions for constrained least squares.
method Comparison of least squares and non-linear predictors.
result Non-linear predictors can achieve optimal risk O(d/n)O(d/n) in bounded distributions.

KalmanNet uses neural networks to improve state estimation in systems with unknown dynamics.

problem State estimation of systems with non-linear dynamics and partial information.
method KalmanNet integrates a recurrent neural network with the Kalman filter to handle non-linearities and model mismatches.
result KalmanNet outperforms classic filtering methods in systems with both mismatched and accurate domain knowledge.

GP-KAN uses Gaussian Processes in KANs for robust, parameter-efficient non-linear modeling.

problem Non-linear modeling with limited parameters and uncertainty estimates.
method Integrates Gaussian Processes into Kolmogorov Arnold Networks (KANs) for robust non-linear modeling.
result GP-KAN achieves 98.5% accuracy on MNIST with 80k parameters compared to 1.5M for state-of-the-art models.

Two Fisher information matrix estimators are analyzed for neural networks, focusing on their variances and trade-offs.

problem Estimating the Fisher information matrix in neural networks due to its high computational cost.
method Examined two popular diagonal Fisher information matrix estimators and their variances in neural networks for regression and classification.
result The variances of the estimators depend on the non-linearity with respect to different parameter groups and should not be neglected.

RNN-HAR model improves VaR forecasting with long-memory and non-linear dynamics.

problem Efficiently forecasting Value at Risk (VaR) with long-memory and non-linear realized volatility.
method Loss-based generalized Bayesian inference with Sequential Monte Carlo for model estimation and prediction.
result RNN-HAR model consistently outperforms other VaR forecasting models.

Develops a new approach to study nonlinear PDEs and their singularities.

problem Understanding the propagation domains of solutions to nonlinear PDEs.
method Derived geometric machinery and sheaf theory to study nonlinear PDEs and their singular supports.
result Estimates the domains of propagation for solutions of non-linear systems.

Paper presents a deep learning method for estimating asset return precision matrices in noisy financial markets.

problem Estimating precision matrices of asset returns in low signal-to-noise ratio environments.
method Non-linear factor model within deep learning framework, consistent estimator with error covariance estimator.
result Superior accuracy in simulations and empirical data.

Methodology for estimating marked Hawkes processes with neural networks.

problem Estimating conditional intensity of marked Hawkes processes.
method Proposes two models: Shallow Neural Hawkes with marks and Neural Network for Non-Linear Hawkes with Marks.
result Validation on synthetic datasets and real-world cryptocurrency order book data.

Study proves global existence and decay for complex wave equations.

problem Global existence and decay for quasilinear wave equations with weak-null condition.
method Novel decoupling of higher order energy estimates, focusing on tangential components.
result Established global existence and decay for solutions with small data.

Paper presents a machine learning method to improve significance tests for misspecified linear models.

problem Misspecification of linear assumptions in social science models leads to inaccurate significance levels.
method Apply machine learning to fit ground truth function, calculate linear approximation, and adjust the estimator.
result The method significantly outperforms linear regression for non-linear ground truth functions.

This paper presents a unified framework to tackle estimation problems in Digital Signal Processing (DSP) using Support Vector Machines (SVMs). The use of SVMs in estimation problems has been traditionally limited to its mere use as a black-box model. Noting such limitations in the literature, we take advantage of sever…

2013-11-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Estimates signals from a continuous dictionary with sparse mixtures using optimization.

problem Estimating signals from a continuous dictionary with unknown mixtures and noise.
method Formulates a regularized optimization problem with data fidelity and (1,Lp)(\ell_1,L^p)-penalty.
result High probability bounds on prediction error for the Group-Nonlinear-Lasso solution.