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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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1223 · May 202519922001200920172026
48 results for Neyman--Pearson

Adapts Neyman-Pearson classification for both source and target distribution shifts.

problem Minimizing errors while controlling both Type-I and Type-II errors under distribution shifts.
method Derives an adaptive procedure that guarantees improved error rates and adapts to uninformative sources.
result Automatic adaptation to uninformative sources avoids negative transfer.

Combines cost-sensitive and Neyman-Pearson paradigms for better binary classification.

problem Asymmetric binary classification problems with unequal error severities.
method Develops TUBE-CS algorithm to bridge cost-sensitive and Neyman-Pearson paradigms.
result High-probability control of population type I error.

Characterizes distribution-free rates in unbalanced classification problems.

problem Minimizing error under two different distributions in unbalanced settings.
method Characterizes minimax rates over all pairs of distributions using a geometric condition.
result Identifies a dichotomy between hard and easy classes based on a three-points-separation condition.

The paper tackles Neyman-Pearson classification control issues.

problem Neyman-Pearson classification's control constraint is hard to satisfy in finite samples.
method Developed refined learning procedures under two accuracy control strategies.
result Proposed methods achieve desired control levels in finite samples.

Develops NPMC method for noisy labels, improving multiclass classification accuracy.

problem Asymmetric misclassification costs and label noise in multiclass classification.
method Empirical likelihood approach using exponential tilting density ratio model.
result Root n consistent and asymptotically normal estimators for clean labels and noise mechanism.

Develops algorithms for multi-class Neyman-Pearson classification with cost sensitivity.

problem Asymmetric misclassification costs in multi-class classification problems.
method Establishes connection with cost-sensitive learning, proposes two algorithms, extends NP oracle properties.
result Proposes algorithms with theoretical guarantees for multi-class Neyman-Pearson classification.

Most existing binary classification methods target on the optimization of the overall classification risk and may fail to serve some real-world applications such as cancer diagnosis, where users are more concerned with the risk of misclassifying one specific class than the other. Neyman-Pearson (NP) paradigm was introd…

2015-08-13abs ↗pdf ↗

A neural network for online NP classification with reduced complexity.

problem Online nonlinear Neyman-Pearson classification.
method Single hidden layer feedforward neural network (SLFN) initialized with random Fourier features (RFFs). Uses stochastic gradient descent for sequential learning.
result Expedited online adaptation and powerful nonlinear Neyman-Pearson modeling.

Motivated by problems of anomaly detection, this paper implements the Neyman-Pearson paradigm to deal with asymmetric errors in binary classification with a convex loss. Given a finite collection of classifiers, we combine them and obtain a new classifier that satisfies simultaneously the two following properties with …

2011-02-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Optimal selective classification using likelihood ratios improves model reliability.

problem Enhancing predictive model reliability by allowing uncertain predictions.
method Neyman--Pearson lemma applied to likelihood ratios for optimal selection.
result Neyman--Pearson-informed methods outperform existing baselines under covariate shifts.

In the problem of domain adaptation for binary classification, the learner is presented with labeled examples from a source domain, and must correctly classify unlabeled examples from a target domain, which may differ from the source. Previous work on this problem has assumed that the performance measure of interest is…

2018-10-03abs ↗pdf ↗

Unified framework for Bayes-optimal classifiers under group fairness.

problem Mitigating disparate impacts from algorithmic predictions in high-stakes decision-making.
method Unified framework based on Neyman-Pearson argument for deriving Bayes-optimal classifiers under group fairness constraints.
result Proposes FairBayes method that directly controls disparity and achieves optimal fairness-accuracy tradeoff.

Robust hypothesis testing designs a test for worst-case distributions using kernel methods.

problem Design a robust test for hypothesis testing under uncertainty sets.
method Data-driven uncertainty sets constructed using kernel mean embeddings and maximum mean discrepancy (MMD). Bayesian and Neyman-Pearson settings investigated.
result Proposed robust kernel tests are exponentially consistent and asymptotically optimal.

Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) are popular risk measures from academic, industrial and regulatory perspectives. The problem of minimizing CVaR is theoretically known to be of Neyman-Pearson type binary solution. We add a constraint on expected return to investigate the Mean-CVaR portfolio sele…

2013-08-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper introduces exact credible sets for classification problems.

problem No general way to construct exact credible sets for classification.
method Generalized credible set with connection to Neyman--Pearson lemma and randomized decision rule.
result Achieves any preassigned credible level for classification problems.

New algorithm for precise changepoint localization without assumptions.

problem Offline changepoint localization in arbitrary distributions.
method Distribution-free algorithm CONformal CHangepoint localization (CONCH) using exchangeability arguments.
result Derives principled score functions for informative and small confidence sets with normalized length shrinking to zero.

Optimal classification requires choosing the right group symmetries, contrary to intuition.

problem Improving binary classification performance by selecting appropriate group symmetries.
method Developed a theoretical framework for designing group equivariant neural networks.
result Optimal classification performance is achieved by selecting the appropriate subgroups of symmetries, not the largest equivariant groups.

Robust test for distributions under Hellinger distance, simpler than optimal tests.

problem Testing and estimating distributions robustly under Hellinger distance.
method Simple robust hypothesis test with optimal sample complexity, robust to Hellinger distance perturbations.
result Empirically demonstrated robustness and power of the test on canonical distributions.

Minimizes indecisions in selective classification to control misclassification rates.

problem Controlling misclassification rates in high-risk scenarios.
method Using indecisions to control misclassification rates, even below Bayes optimal.
result Control of misclassification rates to any user-specified level, even below Bayes optimal.

We study nonzero-sum hypothesis testing games that arise in the context of adversarial classification, in both the Bayesian as well as the Neyman-Pearson frameworks. We first show that these games admit mixed strategy Nash equilibria, and then we examine some interesting concentration phenomena of these equilibria. Our…

2019-09-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Study tests whether trade-off functions are above or below benchmarks using finite samples.

problem Testing trade-off functions between unknown distributions.
method Identifies a condition for nontrivial testing, constructs a test with error guarantees, and inverts the test for confidence bands.
result Finite-sample testing is possible under specific structural assumptions about rejection regions.

Deep learning models are considered to be state-of-the-art in many offline machine learning tasks. However, many of the techniques developed are not suitable for online learning tasks. The problem of using deep learning models with sequential data becomes even harder when several loss functions need to be considered si…

2019-05-26abs ↗pdf ↗

The Neyman-Pearson (NP) paradigm in binary classification seeks classifiers that achieve a minimal type II error while enforcing the prioritized type I error controlled under some user-specified level αα. This paradigm serves naturally in applications such as severe disease diagnosis and spam detection, where people h…

2018-02-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops methods for fair classification under linear disparity constraints.

problem Disparate impacts of machine learning algorithms on protected groups.
method Bayes-optimal fair classification methods via pre-, in-, and post-processing.
result Explicit forms of Bayes-optimal fair classifiers under linear disparity measures.

We compute exact values respectively bounds of "distances" - in the sense of (transforms of) power divergences and relative entropy - between two discrete-time Galton-Watson branching processes with immigration GWI for which the offspring as well as the immigration is arbitrarily Poisson-distributed (leading to arbitra…

2010-05-20abs ↗pdf ↗

A novel unified Bayesian framework for network detection is developed, under which a detection algorithm is derived based on random walks on graphs. The algorithm detects threat networks using partial observations of their activity, and is proved to be optimum in the Neyman-Pearson sense. The algorithm is defined by a …

2013-11-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Model change detection is studied, in which there are two sets of samples that are independently and identically distributed (i.i.d.) according to a pre-change probabilistic model with parameter θθ, and a post-change model with parameter θθ', respectively. The goal is to detect whether the change in the model is sign…

2018-11-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Study benchmarks TSC algorithms in distinguishing diffusions using the likelihood ratio test.

problem Benchmarking optimality of TSC algorithms in distinguishing diffusion processes.
method Proposes to benchmark TSC algorithms using the likelihood ratio test (LRT).
result LRT benchmarks are computationally efficient and can be applied to various time series types.

Hypothesis testing plays a central role in statistical inference, and is used in many settings where privacy concerns are paramount. This work answers a basic question about privately testing simple hypotheses: given two distributions PP and QQ, and a privacy level ε\varepsilon, how many i.i.d. samples are needed to…

2018-11-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Extends likelihood ratio exponential families to analyze various optimization methods.

problem Analyzing optimization methods like rate-distortion and information bottleneck.
method Linking geometric mixture paths to exponential families and using hypothesis testing.
result Provides a common mathematical framework for understanding these methods.

Quantum states can be learned efficiently using gentle measurements.

problem Efficiently learning quantum states with minimal measurements.
method Introducing α-LGM measurements and proving strong quantum DPI.
result The number of states needed for accurate learning is of order 1/(ε^2 α^2).

FedSGM tackles constrained federated learning with unified framework.

problem Functional constraints, communication bottlenecks, local updates, and partial client participation in federated learning.
method Unified framework based on switching gradient method, incorporating bi-directional error feedback, and soft switching for stability.
result Achieves O(1/T)\boldsymbol{\mathcal{O}}(1/\sqrt{T}) convergence rate with high-probability bounds decoupling from sampling noise.

Feature selection aims to select the smallest subset of features for a specified level of performance. The optimal achievable classification performance on a feature subset is summarized by its Receiver Operating Curve (ROC). When infinite data is available, the Neyman- Pearson (NP) design procedure provides the most e…

2013-01-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Network detection is an important capability in many areas of applied research in which data can be represented as a graph of entities and relationships. Oftentimes the object of interest is a relatively small subgraph in an enormous, potentially uninteresting background. This aspect characterizes network detection as …

2013-03-22abs ↗pdf ↗

RS-Del provides robustness for sequence classifiers against edit distance attacks.

problem Certifying robustness of discrete sequence classifiers against edit distance attacks.
method Randomized deletion (RS-Del) for discrete sequence classifiers, focusing on edit distance-bounded adversaries.
result Achieved a certified accuracy of 91% at an edit distance radius of 128 bytes on malware detection.