Improved Naive Bayes classifier with neural network models.
problem Limited complexity handling and independence assumption in Naive Bayes.
method Introducing Neural Naive Bayes and Neural Pooled Markov Chain models.
result Error rate reduced by 4.5 on IMDB dataset.
Neural Empirical Bayes estimates source distributions from noisy simulations.
problem Estimating source distributions from noisy, simulated data.
method Uses neural density estimators to estimate a prior or source distribution over uncorrupted samples, then performs posterior inference.
result Recovering ground truth source distributions up to symmetries.
Graph neural networks extend neural Bayes estimators to irregular spatial data.
problem Estimating parameters from irregular spatial data with computational efficiency.
method Employing graph neural networks to approximate Bayes estimators for irregular spatial data.
result Extending neural Bayes estimation to irregular spatial data with computational benefits.
Neural Bayes methods simplify fitting complex bivariate extremal models.
problem Inference on complex multivariate extremal dependence models with computationally expensive likelihood functions.
method Use neural networks to approximate Bayes estimators and classifiers for model selection.
result Proposed neural Bayes methods enable routine implementation of complex extreme-value dependence models.
Bayes-TrEx finds in-distribution examples for model inspection.
problem Challenges in interpreting neural networks, especially high-confidence failures and ambiguous classifications.
method Bayesian sampling approach to find in-distribution examples with specified prediction confidence.
result Bayes-TrEx enables more flexible holistic model analysis than just inspecting the test set.
Bayesian inference improves neural network pruning efficiency.
problem Reducing computational and memory demands of large neural networks.
method Utilizes Bayesian inference to calculate Bayes factors for iterative pruning.
result Achieves desired levels of sparsity while maintaining competitive accuracy.
Efficient neural Bayes estimators for censored peaks-over-threshold models improve inference speed and accuracy.
problem Computational burden in inference with spatial extremal dependence models due to intractable or censored likelihoods.
method Developed neural Bayes estimators using data augmentation techniques to encode censoring information.
result Significant gains in computational and statistical efficiency compared to traditional methods.
In order to interact intelligently with objects in the world, animals must first transform neural population responses into estimates of the dynamic, unknown stimuli which caused them. The Bayesian solution to this problem is known as a Bayes filter, which applies Bayes' rule to combine population responses with the pr…
We explore the family of methods "PAC-Bayes with Backprop" (PBB) to train probabilistic neural networks by minimizing PAC-Bayes bounds. We present two training objectives, one derived from a previously known PAC-Bayes bound, and a second one derived from a novel PAC-Bayes bound. Both training objectives are evaluated o…
New PAC-Bayes training method improves model generalization for unbounded loss.
problem Improving generalization of complex models under unbounded loss.
method Established new PAC-Bayes bound for unbounded loss, jointly training prior and posterior.
result Outperforms existing PAC-Bayes training algorithms and matches ERM accuracy.
Bayes-optimal learning of deep random networks with Gaussian weights is studied.
problem Learning a target function corresponding to a deep, extensive-width, non-linear neural network with random Gaussian weights.
method Closed-form expressions for Bayes-optimal test error, ridge regression, kernel and random features regression are computed.
result Optimally regularized ridge regression and kernel regression achieve Bayes-optimal performances, while logistic loss yields a near-optimal test error for classification.
New complexity measure explains neural network generalization gap.
problem Understanding the generalization gap between neural networks and linear models.
method Introducing a new complexity measure for functions that governs PAC-Bayes bounds and relates to neural network complexity.
result Demonstrates a separation in sample complexity between 2 and 4-layer neural networks for periodic functions.
Deep neural networks are optimal for dependent data using PAC-Bayes bounds.
problem Optimizing deep neural networks for dependent data.
method PAC-Bayes oracle inequalities and Bernstein inequality.
result Upper and lower bounds match, proving minimax optimality.
New clustering algorithm for time series data using RNN and variational Bayes.
problem Lack of generative model-based clustering methods for time series data.
method Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) with variational Bayes method.
result Robustness against phase shift, amplitude, and signal length variations.
Survey and compare PAC-Bayes bounds for bandit problems.
problem Designing and evaluating bandit algorithms with strong performance guarantees.
method PAC-Bayes bounds applied to bandit problems.
result PAC-Bayes bounds useful for offline bandit algorithms, but loose for online algorithms.
We present a particle flow realization of Bayes' rule, where an ODE-based neural operator is used to transport particles from a prior to its posterior after a new observation. We prove that such an ODE operator exists. Its neural parameterization can be trained in a meta-learning framework, allowing this operator to re…
Bayesian Empirical Bayes extends EB to complex structures using probabilistic symmetry.
problem Improving simultaneous inference in complex settings like arrays and graphs.
method Generalized empirical Bayes approach based on probabilistic symmetry.
result BEB outperforms existing methods in denoising arrays and spatial data.
The paper improves risk certificate tightness for neural networks using PAC-Bayes bounds.
problem Improving the usability of risk certificates for neural networks based on PAC-Bayes bounds.
method Theoretical contributions including KL divergence bounds, efficient methodology for optimization, and methods for optimizing non-differentiable objectives.
result First non-vacuous generalization bounds on CIFAR-10 for neural networks.
Introduces PAC-Bayes bounds for understanding learning procedures.
problem Understanding the generalization ability of learning procedures.
method PAC-Bayesian bounds and their applications to neural networks.
result Simplified version of localization technique described.
Neural Bayes simplifies computing complex stats for unsupervised learning.
problem Computing mutual information and optimal labeling of disjoint manifolds in unsupervised learning.
method Parameterization using neural networks to express statistical quantities in closed form.
result Neural Bayes enables efficient computation of mutual information and optimal labeling of disjoint manifolds.
Bayes-optimal learning of a neural network with quadratic activations is achieved with GAMP-RIE.
problem Learning a neural network with quadratic activations from quadratic samples.
method Combining approximate message passing with rotationally invariant matrix denoising.
result Derives a closed-form expression for Bayes-optimal test error.
New work shows limits of certifying neural network robustness.
problem Certified training improves robustness but decreases accuracy.
method Bayes error analysis to investigate robustness limits.
result Upper bound for certified robust accuracy established.
New algorithm optimizes PAC-Bayes bound without surrogate loss.
problem Mismatch between optimisation objective and generalisation bound in stochastic neural networks.
method Proposes a novel training algorithm that optimizes the PAC-Bayesian bound directly.
result Empirical results show improved performance over existing PAC-Bayesian training methods.
In this draft, which reports on work in progress, we 1) adapt the information bottleneck functional by replacing the compression term by class-conditional compression, 2) relax this functional using a variational bound related to class-conditional disentanglement, 3) consider this functional as a training objective for…
Stochastic variational inference for Bayesian deep neural network (DNN) requires specifying priors and approximate posterior distributions over neural network weights. Specifying meaningful weight priors is a challenging problem, particularly for scaling variational inference to deeper architectures involving high dime…
Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) hold great promise as a flexible and principled solution to deal with uncertainty when learning from finite data. Among approaches to realize probabilistic inference in deep neural networks, variational Bayes (VB) is theoretically grounded, generally applicable, and computationally effic…
Oracle inequality for sparse neural nets adapts to unknown structure.
problem Sparse deep neural nets in nonparametric regression.
method Gibbs posterior distribution with Metropolis-adjusted Langevin algorithms and mixture of uniform priors.
result Oracle inequality showing adaptation to unknown regularity and structure, achieving minimax-optimal rate of convergence.
Proposes a new method for uncertainty estimation in neural networks.
problem Estimating uncertainty in neural networks.
method Samples outputs from Gaussian distributions parametrized by mean and variance sub-layers.
result Achieves better uncertainty quality than other methods.
Deep neural networks have achieved impressive results on a wide variety of tasks. However, quantifying uncertainty in the network's output is a challenging task. Bayesian models offer a mathematical framework to reason about model uncertainty. Variational methods have been used for approximating intractable integrals t…
During the past five years the Bayesian deep learning community has developed increasingly accurate and efficient approximate inference procedures that allow for Bayesian inference in deep neural networks. However, despite this algorithmic progress and the promise of improved uncertainty quantification and sample effic…
The paper improves deep learning generalization bounds using PAC-Bayes compression.
problem Improving generalization bounds for deep neural networks.
method Quantizing neural network parameters in a linear subspace to develop tight generalization bounds.
result Large models can be compressed significantly, explaining Occam's razor.
Optimizes pruning masks for neural networks using probabilistic fine-tuning and PAC-Bayes bounds.
problem Improving neural network performance through adaptive pruning of weights.
method Optimizes stochastic pruning masks by minimizing expected loss, considering data-adaptive regularization and feature alignment.
result Probabilistic fine-tuning leads to improved test error over baseline methods in neural networks.
Paper presents new training methods for neural networks with tighter risk certificates.
problem Training probabilistic neural networks with tighter risk certificates.
method Derived from PAC-Bayes bounds, two training objectives implemented for the first time in neural networks.
result Competitive test set errors and non-vacuous risk bounds with tighter values than previous results.
Unified empirical and variational Bayes for unnormalized densities.
problem Approximating unnormalized densities using latent variable models.
method Formulate a latent variable model for Y=X+N(0,σ2Id), use ELBO as parametrization of Y's energy function, and estimate X with empirical Bayes least-squares. result UVB has higher capacity to approximate energy functions than MLPs in DEEN.
Paper establishes statistical validity for variational Bayes in neural networks.
problem Lack of theoretical validity for Variational Bayes in Bayesian Neural Networks.
method Establishes posterior consistency for mean-field variational posterior in feed-forward neural networks.
result Proves VP concentrates around Hellinger neighborhoods of true density function under certain conditions.
Neural GARCH models financial time series with time-varying coefficients.
problem Modeling conditional heteroskedasticity in financial time series.
method Neural network adaptation of GARCH and BEKK models with time-varying coefficients parameterized by a recurrent neural network.
result Neural Students t model consistently outperforms other models on financial time series.
Modern neural networks tend to be overconfident on unseen, noisy or incorrectly labelled data and do not produce meaningful uncertainty measures. Bayesian deep learning aims to address this shortcoming with variational approximations (such as Bayes by Backprop or Multiplicative Normalising Flows). However, current appr…
LLEB uses a learned prior to quantify neural network uncertainty.
problem Quantifying uncertainty in neural network predictions.
method LLEB uses a learnable prior as a normalizing flow to maximize the evidence lower bound.
result LLEB performs on par with existing approaches in uncertainty quantification.
Evidence Networks simplify Bayesian model comparison for complex models.
problem Bayesian model comparison challenges with intractable likelihoods or priors.
method Loss functions and neural networks for fast, amortized estimation of Bayes factors.
result Evidence Networks provide accurate and scalable Bayes factor estimation.
Improved neural topic model for semi-supervised learning.
problem Representing textual data in an interpretable manner with limited labeled data.
method Label-Indexed Neural Topic Model (LI-NTM) that combines deep generative models with semi-supervised learning.
result LI-NTM outperforms existing models in document reconstruction and classifier performance.
Paper tightens PAC-Bayes bounds using coin-betting for better estimates.
problem Estimating mean of random elements with possibly S-dependent parameters.
method Refined PAC-Bayes proof strategy based on coin-betting framework.
result Derives tighter concentration inequalities for all sample sizes.
Bayesian framework for policy learning in decision problems.
problem Maximizing expected welfare in decision-making problems.
method Loss-based Bayesian updating and squared-loss surrogate for welfare maximization.
result General Bayes posterior over decision rules with Gaussian pseudo-likelihood interpretation.
Optimal classifiers derived from GMMs are approximated by deep neural networks.
problem Binary classification of high-dimensional overlapping Gaussian mixtures.
method Closed-form expressions for Bayes optimal decision boundaries derived from GMMs' eigenstructure. Empirical validation through synthetic and real-world data.
result Deep neural networks approximate optimal classifiers for GMMs, with decision thresholds related to covariance eigenvectors.
New method improves training stochastic neural networks with tighter guarantees.
problem Training stochastic neural networks with provable guarantees.
method Developed partially-aggregated estimators and reformulated PAC-Bayesian bounds.
result Derives a differentiable objective leading to tighter generalisation guarantees.
NBE method speeds up Lévy process parameter estimation.
problem Challenging parameter estimation for Lévy processes with unavailable or costly likelihoods.
method Neural Bayes estimation (NBE) framework using permutation-invariant neural networks.
result NBE provides accurate and consistent estimators with reduced runtime.
Naive Bayes can be used as a discriminative classifier, matching the definition of logistic regression.
problem The definition of generative and discriminative classifiers.
method Comparing Naive Bayes and logistic regression, showing they can be used in either generative or discriminative ways.
result Naive Bayes can be used as a discriminative classifier.
Hidden Markov Neural Networks balance adaptation and forgetting in time-series data.
problem Balancing adaptation to new data and forgetting outdated information in time-series forecasting.
method Modeling weights as hidden states of a Hidden Markov model, using a filtering algorithm for learning a variational approximation of the posterior distribution over weights, and employing sequential Bayes by Backprop with variational DropConnect for regularization.
result Achieves strong predictive performance and effective uncertainty quantification on various tasks.
Study on neural networks with regularisation and its impact on training dynamics.
problem Understanding the dynamics of neural networks with regularization.
method Established explicit dynamics for neural networks with a regularizing term, linearizing around initialisation.
result The regularisation term modifies the standard NTK dynamics, leading to new insights into network training.