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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

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24487195 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Negative Log-Likelihood

In this article we use rate-distortion theory, a branch of information theory devoted to the problem of lossy compression, to shed light on an important problem in latent variable modeling of data: is there room to improve the model? One way to address this question is to find an upper bound on the probability (equival…

2019-04-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Maximum likelihood training improves the performance of score-based diffusion models.

problem Training score-based diffusion models with maximum likelihood.
method Trained by minimizing a weighted combination of score matching losses, with a specific weighting scheme that bounds negative log-likelihood.
result Maximum likelihood training improves the log-likelihood of score-based diffusion models across multiple datasets.

Noise-Contrastive Estimation improves efficiency for estimating log-likelihood of complex point processes.

problem Estimating log-likelihood of complex multivariate point processes is computationally expensive.
method Noise-Contrastive Estimation adapted for multivariate point processes, with provable guarantees.
result Our method achieves similar log-likelihood with fewer evaluations and less time.

Separable losses are inconsistent for structured prediction models.

problem Inconsistency of separable losses in structured prediction models.
method Analysis of separable negative log-likelihood losses for structured prediction.
result Separable losses are not Bayes consistent and may not predict the most probable structure.

We exhibit a strong link between frequentist PAC-Bayesian risk bounds and the Bayesian marginal likelihood. That is, for the negative log-likelihood loss function, we show that the minimization of PAC-Bayesian generalization risk bounds maximizes the Bayesian marginal likelihood. This provides an alternative explanatio…

2016-05-27abs ↗pdf ↗

By exploiting the property that the RBM log-likelihood function is the difference of convex functions, we formulate a stochastic variant of the difference of convex functions (DC) programming to minimize the negative log-likelihood. Interestingly, the traditional contrastive divergence algorithm is a special case of th…

2017-09-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Partition Tree estimates conditional densities for mixed continuous and categorical variables.

problem Estimating conditional densities for mixed data types.
method Tree-based framework modeling conditional distributions as piecewise-constant densities on adaptive partitions, minimizing conditional negative log-likelihood.
result Improved probabilistic prediction compared to CART-style trees and state-of-the-art methods.

We show that the log-likelihood of several probabilistic graphical models is Lipschitz continuous with respect to the lp-norm of the parameters. We discuss several implications of Lipschitz parametrization. We present an upper bound of the Kullback-Leibler divergence that allows understanding methods that penalize the …

2012-02-14abs ↗pdf ↗

ELU algorithm improves on EM for over-specified Gaussian mixtures.

problem Slow convergence of EM in over-specified Gaussian mixtures.
method Developed ELU algorithm for two-component mixtures, combining exponential location update and gradient descent.
result ELU converges to final statistical radius after logarithmic iterations, resolving open question.

Quantum machine learning uses quantum cross entropy to minimize loss, but measurement loss affects this process.

problem Quantum machine learning's loss minimization through cross entropy is affected by measurement outcomes.
method Defined quantum cross entropy, proved its lower bounds, and investigated its relation to quantum fidelity and likelihood.
result Quantum cross entropy is lower-bounded by negative log-likelihood when derived from quantum data, but measurement outcomes can cause loss.

GBHT uses gradient boosting for density estimation with theoretical guarantees.

problem Density estimation for unsupervised learning.
method Gradient Boosting Histogram Transform (GBHT) with Negative Log Likelihood loss.
result GBHT achieves faster convergence rates and better performance than base learners in density estimation.

We empirically investigate the (negative) expected accuracy as an alternative loss function to cross entropy (negative log likelihood) for classification tasks. Coupled with softmax activation, it has small derivatives over most of its domain, and is therefore hard to optimize. A modified, leaky version is evaluated on…

2019-05-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Study reveals structure of local minima in GMMs, identifying key cluster centers.

problem Identifying optimal cluster centers in non-convex GMM landscapes.
method Analyzing the negative log-likelihood function of GMMs in the population limit.
result Local minima share a common structure that partially identifies true cluster centers.

This work investigates power laws in deep neural network ensembles and predicts their performance.

problem Understanding the performance of deep neural network ensembles and their optimal structure.
method Investigated the behavior of negative log-likelihood (CNLL) of a deep ensemble as a function of ensemble size and member network size, identifying power law dependencies.
result One large network may perform worse than an ensemble of several medium-size networks, known as a memory split.

The paper analyzes LASSO penalization for high-dimensional Beta regression models.

problem Theoretical analysis of LASSO in high-dimensional Beta regression.
method Non-convexity handling through a neighborhood framework, debiasing for confidence intervals, proximal gradient algorithm.
result Non-asymptotic bound on 1\ell_1-error of stationary points.

Active-set algorithm improves Cox regression for shape-restricted covariates.

problem Improving Cox regression for shape-restricted covariates.
method Shape-restricted inference using active-set optimization for spline basis expansion.
result Active-set algorithm produces accurate linear covariate effect estimates.

Post-hoc calibration of neural networks using g-Layers proves theoretical justification.

problem Ensuring the confidence of neural network decisions in real-world applications.
method Proves theoretical justification for post-hoc calibration methods by adding g-Layers and minimizing NLL.
result Proves that adding g-Layers and minimizing NLL can lead to a calibrated network.

A new VIS approach improves log-likelihood estimation in latent variable models.

problem Challenges in achieving high log-likelihood with VI for complex posterior distributions.
method Uses forward χ2χ^2 divergence to optimize proposal distribution for better log-likelihood estimation.
result Consistently outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in log-likelihood and parameter estimation.

Gaussian mixture models (GMM) are powerful parametric tools with many applications in machine learning and computer vision. Expectation maximization (EM) is the most popular algorithm for estimating the GMM parameters. However, EM guarantees only convergence to a stationary point of the log-likelihood function, which c…

2017-11-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Event datasets are sequences of events of various types occurring irregularly over the time-line, and they are increasingly prevalent in numerous domains. Existing work for modeling events using conditional intensities rely on either using some underlying parametric form to capture historical dependencies, or on non-pa…

2020-02-21abs ↗pdf ↗

The Restricted Boltzmann Machines (RBM) can be used either as classifiers or as generative models. The quality of the generative RBM is measured through the average log-likelihood on test data. Due to the high computational complexity of evaluating the partition function, exact calculation of test log-likelihood is ver…

2015-10-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Evidential Softmax preserves multimodality in sparse probability distributions for generative models.

problem Sparse probability distributions in deep generative models make exact marginalization computationally intractable.
method Introduce ev-softmax, a sparse normalization function that preserves multimodality and can be trained with probabilistic loss functions.
result ev-softmax outperforms existing techniques in distributional accuracy and dimensionality reduction.

We introduce Information Condensing Active Learning (ICAL), a batch mode model agnostic Active Learning (AL) method targeted at Deep Bayesian Active Learning that focuses on acquiring labels for points which have as much information as possible about the still unacquired points. ICAL uses the Hilbert Schmidt Independen…

2020-02-18abs ↗pdf ↗

A keyword spotting (KWS) system determines the existence of, usually predefined, keyword in a continuous speech stream. This paper presents a query-by-example on-device KWS system which is user-specific. The proposed system consists of two main steps: query enrollment and testing. In query enrollment step, phonetic pos…

2019-10-11abs ↗pdf ↗

New Holder bounds improve variational inference by flattening thermodynamic curves.

problem Improving variational inference by addressing performance gaps between theory and practice.
method Generalizing thermodynamic integration to weighted Holder mean, introducing Holder bounds.
result Holder bounds promise a one-step approximation of exact marginal log-likelihood.

wd1 improves reasoning in dLLMs by optimizing policies without policy ratios.

problem Improving reasoning in diffusion-based large language models through RL.
method wd1: ratio-free policy optimization using weighted log-likelihood.
result wd1 outperforms diffusion-based GRPO while requiring lower computational cost.

We explain SSL objectives as log-likelihoods in a data curation model.

problem Lack of understanding of SSL objectives as log-likelihoods.
method Formulate SSL objectives as a log-likelihood in a generative model of data curation.
result SSL methods can be understood as lower-bounds on a principled log-likelihood.

New algorithm for safer machine learning with different testing and training distributions.

problem Challenges in modern machine learning where training and testing distributions differ.
method First-order optimization algorithm for superquantile-based learning.
result Promising numerical results show the approach's effectiveness.

This work evaluates deep generative models using RD curves, providing a more comprehensive quality assessment.

problem Quantitative evaluation of deep generative models is challenging, especially for implicit models.
method Proposes using rate distortion (RD) curves to evaluate and compare deep generative models, approximating the entire curve with similar computations to log-likelihood estimation.
result Approximating the entire RD curve provides a more comprehensive quality assessment than scalar-valued metrics.

A new method normalizes EBM training by introducing a learnable parameter.

problem Training energy-based models with maximum likelihood is challenging due to intractable normalisation constants.
method Proposes a self-normalised log-likelihood (SNL) objective that introduces a learnable parameter representing the normalisation constant.
result The SNL objective is a lower bound of the log-likelihood and can be directly optimised using stochastic gradient techniques.

Likelihood-based generative models are the backbones of lossless compression due to the guaranteed existence of codes with lengths close to negative log likelihood. However, there is no guaranteed existence of computationally efficient codes that achieve these lengths, and coding algorithms must be hand-tailored to spe…

2019-05-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Latent factor models for Recommender Systems with implicit feedback typically treat unobserved user-item interactions (i.e. missing information) as negative feedback. This is frequently done either through negative sampling (point--wise loss) or with a ranking loss function (pair-- or list--wise estimation). Since a ze…

2018-04-30abs ↗pdf ↗