A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
NDI aims to forecast future natural disasters risk for insurers.
The study examines how formal index insurance compares to informal risk sharing in managing natural disasters.
In recent years, we have been faced with a series of natural disasters causing a tremendous amount of financial, environmental, and human losses. The unpredictable nature of natural disasters' behavior makes it hard to have a comprehensive situational awareness (SA) to support disaster management. Using opinion surveys…
The study uses machine learning to predict CAT bond coupons based on climate data.
Socio-economic inequality is measured using various indices. The Gini () index, giving the overall inequality is the most commonly used, while the recently introduced Kolkata () index gives a measure of fraction of population who possess top fraction of wealth in the society. This article reviews the ch…
Graph Attention Networks predict power outage durations from natural disasters.
Nostradamus links climate and stock market performance.
Bayesian model uses mobile data to assess business resilience after hurricanes.
Unified framework for growth models with environmental risk and pollution-dependent disasters.
This paper classifies typhoon damage features using aerial photography.
Paper detects important sub-events in disaster tweets.
Paper examines how income support affects retirement decisions for low-income individuals.
Monitoring of disasters is crucial for mitigating their effects on the environment and human population, and can be facilitated by the use of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAV), equipped with camera sensors that produce aerial photos of the areas of interest. A modern technique for recognition of events based on aerial pho…
Study proposes a tax-based system to share disaster risk among regions.
SwiGAN generates drought scenarios for climate risk management.
This paper improves typhoon intensity prediction using social media data and semantic word embeddings.
We develop a simple test for deviations from power law tails, which is based on the asymptotic properties of the empirical distribution function. We use this test to answer the question whether great natural disasters, financial crashes or electricity price spikes should be classified as dragon kings or 'only' as black…
Automatic post-disaster damage detection using aerial imagery is crucial for quick assessment of damage caused by disaster and development of a recovery plan. The main problem preventing us from creating an applicable model in practice is that damaged (positive) examples we are trying to detect are much harder to obtai…
Proposes a new Hawkes process bandit model for disaster search and rescue.
Investigates how extreme temperature events affect global equity portfolios.
Paper introduces a new index to measure financial and workplace resilience of firms.
In all types of disasters, from earthquakes to armed conflicts, aid workers need accurate and timely data such as damage to buildings and population displacement to mount an effective response. Remote sensing provides this data at an unprecedented scale, but extracting operationalizable information from satellite image…
Natural disasters can have catastrophic impacts on the functionality of infrastructure systems and cause severe physical and socio-economic losses. Given budget constraints, it is crucial to optimize decisions regarding mitigation, preparedness, response, and recovery practices for these systems. This requires accurate…
Stocks of more resilient firms outperformed during the pandemic, reflecting disaster risk.
DASC combines social media and car sensors to improve disaster response.
I-AID categorizes disaster tweets into useful information types.
Machine learning research for developing countries can demonstrate clear sustainable impact by delivering actionable and timely information to in-country government organisations (GOs) and NGOs in response to their critical information requirements. We co-create products with UK and in-country commercial, GO and NGO pa…
This paper analyzes extreme flooding risks and proposes insurance and bond solutions.
A crucial and time-sensitive task when any disaster occurs is to rescue victims and distribute resources to the right groups and locations. This task is challenging in populated urban areas, due to the huge burst of help requests generated in a very short period. To improve the efficiency of the emergency response in t…
Archetypal analysis represents a set of observations as convex combinations of pure patterns, or archetypes. The original geometric formulation of finding archetypes by approximating the convex hull of the observations assumes them to be real valued. This, unfortunately, is not compatible with many practical situations…
Study uses SVM to predict weather-induced home insurance claims and losses.
This paper studies the problem of spectrum shortage in an unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) network during critical missions such as wildfire monitoring, search and rescue, and disaster monitoring. Such applications involve a high demand for high-throughput data transmissions such as real-time video-, image-, and voice- st…
Study examines stock price reactions to Texas winter storm power outages.
Satellite imaging is a critical technology for monitoring and responding to natural disasters such as flooding. Despite the capabilities of modern satellites, there is still much to be desired from the perspective of first response organisations like UNICEF. Two main challenges are rapid access to data, and the ability…
Modeling complex systems with multi-resolution data and causal dependencies.
The study examines how climate risk influences sovereign debt default decisions.
Recent financial disasters emphasised the need to investigate the consequence associated with the tail co-movements among institutions; episodes of contagion are frequently observed and increase the probability of large losses affecting market participants' risk capital. Commonly used risk management tools fail to acco…
Study quantifies financial contagion risks in supply chains.
It is a challenging and complex task to acquire information from different regions of a disaster-affected area in a timely fashion. The extensive spread and reach of social media and networks allow people to share information in real-time. However, the processing of social media data and gathering of valuable informati…
With broad applications in various public services like aviation management and urban disaster warning, numerical precipitation prediction plays a crucial role in weather forecast. However, constrained by the limitation of observation and conventional meteorological models, the numerical precipitation predictions are o…
Many post-disaster and -conflict regions do not have sufficient data on their transportation infrastructure assets, hindering both mobility and reconstruction. In particular, as the number of aging and deteriorating bridges increase, it is necessary to quantify their load characteristics in order to inform maintenance …
In this paper, a frequency coefficient based on the Sen-Shorrocks-Thon (SST) poverty index notion is proposed. The clustering SST index can be used as the method for determination of the connection between similar neighbor sub-clusters. Consequently, connections can reveal existence of natural homogeneous. Through esti…
Census data provide detailed information about population characteristics at a coarse resolution. Nevertheless, fine-grained, high-resolution mappings of population counts are increasingly needed to characterize population dynamics and to assess the consequences of climate shocks, natural disasters, investments in infr…
Stock return forecasting is of utmost importance in the business world. This has been the favourite topic of research for many academicians since decades. Recently, regularization techniques have reported to tremendously increase the forecast accuracy of the simple regression model. Still, this model cannot incorporate…
This study tackles basis risk in weather parametric insurance using Monte Carlo simulations.
Massive fermions help understand index theorems without chiral symmetry.
Spatially-aware model improves earthquake hazard assessment accuracy.
We introduce a new class of natural, explicitly defined, transversally elliptic differential operators over manifolds with compact group actions. Under certain assumptions, the symbols of these operators generate all the possible values of the equivariant index. We also show that the components of the representation-va…