We propose a new NFT price index to track the digital art market.
problem Lack of a comprehensive NFT price index.
method Developed a new methodology to create a NFT Price Index.
result Demonstrated the dynamics and performances of NFT markets.
NFTs with diverse rare attributes sell at higher prices.
problem Understanding how rarity affects NFT market dynamics.
method Analyzed 3.7M NFT transactions across 410 collections.
result Rarer NFTs sell for higher prices and are less risky.
Deep learning predicts NFT prices with high accuracy.
problem Dynamic valuation of non-fungible tokens (NFTs).
method Trained deep learning model on Ethereum blockchain data.
result Highly accurate price predictions of NFTs.
Study predicts NFT bubbles using LPPL model.
problem Tackles bubble prediction of NFTs.
method Applied logarithmic periodic power law (LPPL) model to NFT price data.
result NFTs, Decentraland, and ArtBlocks are in bubbles, while Ethereum Name Service is in a negative bubble.
Article examines NFT market microstructure and trading risks.
problem Difficulty in distinguishing genuine NFTs from fads and scams.
method Analyzes price formation, market structure, and transparency.
result Provides due-diligence pointers to mitigate NFT trading risk.
Study reveals investor behavior in NFT bubbles.
problem Understanding retail investor behavior in asset bubbles.
method Systematic study of NFTs using public blockchain data.
result Sophisticated investors outperform others in NFT bubbles.
NFT royalties boost creator earnings by sharing risk, reducing info asymmetry, and enabling price discrimination.
problem NFTs' royalties are criticized for being neutralized by speculators.
method Analyzes NFTs' royalties in various market conditions and their effects on creators.
result Royalties enable creators to capitalize on speculators' presence through risk sharing, info reduction, and price discrimination.
Study on price fluctuations in NFT market, showing heavy-tailed distributions and long-range memory.
problem Characterizing price fluctuations in NFT market.
method Analysis of capitalization, floor price, transactions, inter-transaction times, and volume value of NFTs.
result NFT market exhibits heavy-tailed probability distribution functions, well described by stretched exponentials, with long-range memory.
Cryptocurrency and NFT prices are highly correlated, mirroring historical bubbles.
problem Evaluating the wealth effect of cryptocurrency prices on real estate.
method Exploiting metaverse LAND and cryptocurrencies to track correlations and causality.
result Cryptocurrency prices Granger cause NFT LAND prices, similar to historical bubbles.
Analyzes NFT market trends, trade networks, and visual features.
problem Understanding the structure and evolution of NFT market.
method Data analysis of 6.1 million trades of 4.7 million NFTs.
result NFTs form tight clusters and collections contain visually homogeneous objects.
AnChain.AI detects NFT wash trading with 0.14% of transactions flagged.
problem NFT market manipulation through wash trading.
method Algorithm flags transactions within 30 days of repurchase.
result 0.14% of NFT transactions are involved in wash trading.
NFT art market shows strong preferential ties among sellers and buyers.
problem Reducing preferential ties in NFT art market.
method Analyzing NFT art sales data from multiple galleries.
result NFT art market is highly concentrated with preferential ties.
This paper examines challenges in analyzing NFT transaction data.
problem Challenges in analyzing NFT transaction data due to non-fungible nature and blockchain.
method Analysis of transaction history of eight NFT collections.
result Illustrates challenges such as price differentiation, lateral swaps, and volatility.
Study identifies NFT whales driving the market with consistent high returns.
problem Lack of financial analysis of NFT trading ecosystem.
method Longitudinal study of 3.8M NFT transactions, classifying traders into whales, dolphins, and minnows.
result Top 0.1% of NFT traders (whales) drive the market with consistent, high returns.
Sandbox LAND prices differ based on unit of account, affecting investment returns.
problem Investment returns vary based on how prices are denominated.
method Analyzed over 71,000 transactions to compare different units of account.
result Users are willing to pay more in SAND and less in wETH for transactions.
NFTs raise concerns like scams, racism, and sexism; centralization vs decentralization debate.
problem Concerns and value judgments of stakeholders in NFT market.
method Mixed quantitative and qualitative methods: social media analysis and interviews.
result Identified financial scams, counterfeit NFTs, hacking, and unethical NFTs as major issues.
NFTs revolutionize art sales by providing proof of ownership.
problem Lack of provenance and authenticity in digital art.
method Analysis of major art NFT marketplaces.
result NFTs reduce the need for intermediaries in the art trade.
The paper examines how NFT valuations correlate with market data and social trends.
problem Predicting NFT valuations based on market data and social trends.
method Utilizes public market data, NFT metadata, and social trends data; employs linear regression and recurrent neural networks.
result Identifies correlations between NFT valuations and various features.
Simplified NFT games discussed with methods for extracting value.
problem Issues influencing NFT games' structure and stability.
method Three methods for extracting value from NFT games.
result Various design constraints and mutual beneficial games.
This paper explores using NFTs for patents, offering a framework and addressing challenges.
problem Lack of research in applying NFT to intellectual property, especially patents.
method Developed a layered conceptual NFT-based patent framework.
result Promotes transparency and liquidity in patent markets.
AI detects 38% NFT trades likely manipulated, improving on indirect methods.
problem Detecting crypto wash trading using indirect methods and leaked data.
method Public NFT data analysis, direct estimation, AI-based estimator.
result AI reduces estimation errors in NFT markets, improving on indirect methods.
This paper detects fraudulent trading in the NFT market.
problem Fraudulent activities like wash trading in the NFT market.
method Unsupervised learning using K-means clustering on market data.
result Identified groups of traders with suspicious behavior.
This paper examines unfair trading practices in NFT markets.
problem Sophisticated actors exploit market inefficiencies for unfair profits.
method Analyzes three types of opportunistic trading strategies.
result Identifies and categorizes unfair trading practices in NFT markets.
Generative model predicts NFT collection transactions based on early history.
problem Predict future transactions of newly minted NFT collections.
method Unsupervised learning to extract contexts, then generate future transactions.
result Projected market value of new NFT collections.
Study examines NFT market dynamics using correlation and noise analysis.
problem Understanding correlations and noise in NFT market.
method Used detrended correlation coefficient and correlation matrix analysis.
result Correlation strength in NFT market is lower than in cryptocurrency markets.
NFT learns group actions without knowing the data's structure.
problem Learning equivariant representations without knowing the data's structure.
method Neural Fourier Transform (NFT) framework for learning latent linear actions of groups.
result Linear equivariant features are equivalent to group invariants.
Digital currencies exhibit multifractality due to heavy-tailed returns and temporal correlations.
problem Understanding market inefficiencies and predicting volatility in digital currencies.
method Multifractal cross-correlation analysis (MFCCA) and multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis (MFDFA).
result Temporal correlations are the primary source of multifractality in digital currency markets.
The paper uncovers the impact of price and payoff autocorrelations in multi-period asset pricing models.
problem Hidden dependence of asset pricing models on price and payoff autocorrelations.
method Obtained approximations of the basic pricing equation describing various parameters.
result Valid results for other pricing models like ICAPM and APM.
Paper introduces benchmark-neutral pricing for long-term contracts.
problem High prices of long-term contracts under risk-neutral pricing.
method Uses growth optimal portfolio as numeraire and new pricing measure.
result Identifies minimal possible prices for contingent claims.
We explore nature of price formation in financial markets and develop a theory of bid and ask price dynamics in which the two prices form due to quantum-chaotic interaction between buy and sell orders. In this model bid and ask prices are represented by eigenvalues of a 2x2 price operator corresponding to 'bid' and 'as…
New pricing algorithm learns demand curves and optimizes prices in dynamic markets.
problem Dynamic pricing in markets with incomplete demand information and shifting conditions.
method Actor-Critic Information-Directed Pricing (ACIDP) using IDS algorithms and auditing procedures.
result ACIDP outperforms UCB and TS in market environment shifts.
In this paper we study dynamic pricing mechanisms of financial derivatives. A typical model of such pricing mechanism is the so-called g--expectation defined by solutions of a backward stochastic differential equation with g as its generating function. Black-Scholes pricing model is a special linear case of this pricin…
At the ultra high frequency level, the notion of price of an asset is very ambiguous. Indeed, many different prices can be defined (last traded price, best bid price, mid price,...). Thus, in practice, market participants face the problem of choosing a price when implementing their strategies. In this work, we propose …
Study utility indifference pricing in a Bachelier model with small linear price impact.
problem Utility indifference pricing in a model with linear price impact.
method Analyzes the Bachelier model with exponential utility indifference prices for vanilla European options.
result Computes the scaling limit of utility indifference prices for a vanishing price impact inversely proportional to risk aversion.
A pricing principle is introduced for non-attainable claims in incomplete markets.
problem Pricing non-attainable contingent claims in incomplete markets.
method Distorted Radon-Nikodym derivative and Tsallis relative entropy over a family of equivalent martingale measures.
result The pricing principle is closely related to backward stochastic differential equations and is arbitrage-free and time-consistent.
Price without transaction makes no sense. Trading volume authenticates its corresponding price, so there exist mutual information and correlation between price and trading volume. We are curious about fractal features of this correlation and need to know how structures in different scales translate information. To expl…
Revisits behavioral finance option pricing model to align with rational asset pricing theory.
problem Inconsistency between behavioral finance and rational asset pricing models in option pricing.
method Introduces arbitrage transaction costs to modify the behavioral finance option pricing formula.
result Modifies behavioral finance option pricing formula to be consistent with rational asset pricing theory.
The paper extends option pricing theory for markets with informed traders.
problem Discontinuity in option pricing for markets with informed traders.
method New models for option pricing in complete markets considering informed traders' information on stock price direction and return mean.
result The discontinuity puzzle in option pricing is resolved using continuous diffusion price processes.
How does dynamic price information flow among Northern European electricity spot prices and prices of major electricity generation fuel sources? We use time series models combined with new advances in causal inference to answer these questions. Applying our methods to weekly Nordic and German electricity prices, and oi…
Research predicts XRP price anomalies using graph topologies.
problem Forecasting extreme price movements in XRP cryptoasset.
method Analyzed topological features of XRP transaction graphs.
result Topological features indicate extreme price surges.
Path integral method calculates barrier option prices.
problem Barrier option pricing in finance.
method Path integral method applied to trapezoid and square potential barriers.
result Analytical expressions for option pricing derived.
In this paper we apply active learning algorithms for dynamic pricing in a prominent e-commerce website. Dynamic pricing involves changing the price of items on a regular basis, and uses the feedback from the pricing decisions to update prices of the items. Most popular approaches to dynamic pricing use a passive learn…
A statistical decision problem is hidden in the core of option pricing. A simple form for the price C of a European call option is obtained via the minimum Bayes risk, R_B, of a 2-parameter estimation problem, thus justifying calling C Bayes (B-)price. The result provides new insight in option pricing, among others obt…
The paper addresses pricing interest rate derivatives in markets with volatility uncertainty.
problem Pricing interest rate derivatives under uncertainty about volatility.
method Modeling volatility uncertainty with G-Brownian motion and defining forward sublinear expectation.
result Developed robust pricing formulas for interest rate derivatives.
The paper modifies asset pricing models using Taylor series expansions and market-based averages.
problem Improving asset pricing models to better reflect market dynamics.
method Derives new pricing equations using Taylor series expansions and market-based averages.
result New expressions for asset prices and volatilities derived from market data.
The paper reviews historical and modern approaches to asset pricing probability measures.
problem Constructing or selecting probability measures for asset pricing.
method Historical review of various approaches including state price theory, martingale measures, and modern data-driven methods.
result Modern asset pricing involves constructing, transforming, or selecting probability measures to represent market prices.
Introduces an unobservable intrinsic electricity price to link storage theory with risk premium.
problem Connecting storage theory with risk premium in electricity markets.
method Introduces an unobservable intrinsic electricity price and derives prices for various contracts.
result Finds an overall negative risk premium in empirical analysis.
It is well known how to determine the price of perpetual American options if the underlying stock price is a time-homogeneous diffusion. In the present paper we consider the inverse problem, that is, given prices of perpetual American options for different strikes, we show how to construct a time-homogeneous stock pric…