This paper uses NARX neural networks for macroeconomic forecasting and goal setting.
problem Improving accuracy in macroeconomic forecasting and goal setting.
method Literature review and construction of specific NARX neural networks for macroeconomic indicators.
result NARX neural networks can be trained to make accurate predictions for macroeconomic indicators and national goals.
Any discussion on exchange rate movements and forecasting should include explanatory variables from both the current account and the capital account of the balance of payments. In this paper, we include such factors to forecast the value of the Indian rupee vis a vis the US Dollar. Further, factors reflecting political…
The Nonlinear autoregressive exogenous (NARX) model, which predicts the current value of a time series based upon its previous values as well as the current and past values of multiple driving (exogenous) series, has been studied for decades. Despite the fact that various NARX models have been developed, few of them ca…
Estimates hybrid dynamical systems with polynomial expansions and Markovian switching.
problem Identifying hybrid dynamical systems with nonlinear autoregressive exogenous (NARX) components and Markovian switching.
method Probabilistic framework using Expectation Maximization for parameter estimation, including submodel coefficients, hidden state values, and transition probabilities. Disentangles mode classification and NARX regression tasks. Uses soft-labels and coordinate descent approach for parameter fitting.
result Demonstrated on a SMNARX problem with three nonlinear sub-models, achieving parsimonious models through l1-norm bridge estimation and hard-thresholding.
mNARX+ creates accurate surrogate models for complex systems without requiring domain expertise.
problem Creating accurate surrogate models for complex dynamical systems without extensive domain knowledge.
method Data-driven, recursive algorithm that automatically selects temporal features and their causal ordering.
result Automatically identifies critical auxiliary quantities and their order for accurate modeling.
The economic and social impact of poor air quality in towns and cities is increasingly being recognised, together with the need for effective ways of creating awareness of real-time air quality levels and their impact on human health. With local authority maintained monitoring stations being geographically sparse and t…
Surrogate models help predict complex systems with less computational cost.
problem Uncertainty in complex systems due to variability and external loads.
method Surrogate models trained on limited simulations to approximate full time-dependent response.
result Efficient surrogate models reduce computational expense for UQ in nonlinear dynamics.
Novel F2NARX model improves surrogate modeling for stochastic dynamical systems.
problem Challenges in constructing accurate and efficient surrogate models for stochastic dynamical systems.
method Function-on-Function Nonlinear AutoRegressive model with eXogenous inputs (F2NARX) combining PCA and Gaussian process regression.
result F2NARX outperforms state-of-the-art NARX models in efficiency and accuracy.
Controller seeks informative system observations to predict nonlinear dynamics.
problem Predicting nonlinear dynamics with uncertain parameters.
method Expected free energy minimization for balancing goal state and informative observations.
result Controller improves performance in uncertain parameter scenarios.
Developing mathematical models of dynamic systems is central to many disciplines of engineering and science. Models facilitate simulations, analysis of the system's behavior, decision making and design of automatic control algorithms. Even inherently model-free control techniques such as reinforcement learning (RL) hav…
We introduce GP-FNARX: a new model for nonlinear system identification based on a nonlinear autoregressive exogenous model (NARX) with filtered regressors (F) where the nonlinear regression problem is tackled using sparse Gaussian processes (GP). We integrate data pre-processing with system identification into a fully …
Gaussian processes are used in machine learning to learn input-output mappings from observed data. Gaussian process regression is based on imposing a Gaussian process prior on the unknown regressor function and statistically conditioning it on the observed data. In system identification, Gaussian processes are used to …
Data-driven control of robotic systems using Koopman operators with error bounds.
problem Real-time control of nonlinear robotic systems with unknown dynamics.
method Constructing a Koopman operator-based linear representation using higher-order derivatives of nonlinear dynamics, with error bounds derived from Taylor series accuracy analysis.
result The Koopman model provides marginally better performance than competing nonlinear modeling methods and can be efficiently controlled using linear control design tools.
Graphs of neural networks are represented to preserve symmetry, improving performance across various tasks.
problem Lack of equivariance in neural network representations of other neural networks.
method Represent neural networks as computational graphs and use graph neural networks to preserve permutation symmetry.
result Single model encodes diverse neural architectures, outperforming state-of-the-art methods.
Neural networks can approximate functions uniformly across various measures.
problem Universal approximation of functions across different probability measures.
method Proving neural networks are dense in Orlicz spaces, extending classical theorems.
result Neural networks uniformly approximate functions for weakly compact families of measures.
Optimal rates for shallow ReLU networks in nonparametric regression.
problem Approximating smooth and non-smooth functions with shallow ReLU networks.
method Analysis of shallow ReLUk neural networks, using variation norms and deep learning theory. result Optimal approximation rates for shallow ReLU networks in nonparametric regression.
Novel framework explains generalization in deep neural networks.
problem Understanding and improving generalization in deep neural networks.
method Topological Quantum Neural Networks as the semi-classical limit of Deep Neural Networks.
result Demonstrates that the perceptron, viewed as the semi-classical limit, achieves similar results to standard neural networks without training.
Investigates how neural network graph structure impacts predictive performance.
problem Lack of understanding between neural network graph structure and predictive performance.
method Developed relational graph representation to analyze neural networks, identifying a 'sweet spot' for improved performance.
result Identified a 'sweet spot' in relational graph structure that significantly improves neural network predictive performance.
Equivariant neural networks use symmetry to interpret complex data.
problem Interpreting and understanding the behavior of equivariant neural networks.
method Decompose layers into simple representations and analyze nonlinear activation functions.
result Equivariant neural networks can be interpreted using a filtration generalizing Fourier series.
Two new criteria help understand the advantage of deep neural networks.
problem Understanding the advantage of deepening neural networks.
method Proposed two new criteria to evaluate the expressivity of functions computable by deep neural networks.
result Increasing layers is more effective than increasing units in improving the expressivity of deep neural networks.
Paper benchmarks quantum neural networks against classical ones for binary classification tasks.
problem Comparing quantum neural networks with classical ones for binary classification.
method Evaluated with two toy examples, focusing on model complexity and training data size.
result EQNN and QNN outperform ENN and DNN for smaller parameter sets and training data samples.
Secret neural networks hidden within trained models.
problem Excess capacity in neural networks allows embedding secret models.
method Novel framework for hiding secret neural networks within carrier networks.
result Detection of hidden networks is computationally infeasible.
The paper proves consistency of neural networks with regularization.
problem Overfitting in neural networks with large scale data.
method Theoretical framework of neural networks with regularization, sieves method, and minimal neural networks theory.
result The estimated neural network converges to the true underlying function as sample size increases.
New proof shows neural networks can represent all multivariate functions.
problem Representing all multivariate functions with neural networks.
method Proved that three-layer neural networks can represent both continuous and discontinuous functions.
result Three-layer neural networks can represent all multivariate functions, including discontinuous ones.
New learning rules for wide neural networks without backpropagation.
problem Training wide neural networks efficiently and without backpropagation.
method Input-weight alignment driven by gradient descent in the NTK regime.
result Biologically-motivated learning rules equivalent to backpropagation in wide networks.
DeepWeightFlow generates diverse neural network weights efficiently.
problem Generating complete neural network weights efficiently and accurately.
method Flow Matching in weight space with Git Re-Basin and TransFusion.
result DeepWeightFlow generates high-accuracy neural networks without fine-tuning.
Neural networks improve nonparametric regression with measurement errors.
problem Nonparametric regression with measurement errors.
method Proposes a neural network design using FNN, normalizing flow, and inference network.
result Neural network approach is more flexible and superior or comparable to classical methods.
Graph Metanetworks process diverse neural architectures efficiently.
problem Processing diverse neural architectures efficiently.
method Builds metanetworks using graph neural networks to process graphs representing input neural networks.
result Proves GMNs are expressive and equivariant to parameter permutation symmetries.
A powerful network teaches a weak one, improving its performance.
problem Improving the performance of a weak neural network using a more powerful one.
method During training, a weak network learns features from a strong network to minimize feature distance.
result A weak neural network can increase its performance by learning from a more powerful network.
Neural networks can model chaos efficiently by becoming geometrically chaotic.
problem Lack of theoretical understanding of how neural networks learn chaos.
method Employed a geometric perspective to show neural networks can model chaotic dynamics.
result Neural networks can reconstruct strange attractors and accurately predict local divergence rates.
Affine spiking neural networks learn efficiently and generalize well.
problem Learning with spiking neural networks, especially with positive weights.
method Affine encoders and decoders, continuous parameter dependence, gradient-based training.
result Affine spiking neural networks can approximate shallow ReLU networks and generalize well.
Unified platform SOCRATES for neural network analysis.
problem Analyzing neural networks for bugs and fairness.
method Standardized format, assertion language, and multiple analysis algorithms.
result Unified platform for neural network analysis.
Explains equivariant neural networks for machine learning.
problem Understanding equivariance in neural networks.
method Simple mathematical treatment of neural network concepts.
result Clarifies the mathematical basis of equivariant neural networks.
Research on neural networks has gained significant momentum over the past few years. Because training is a resource-intensive process and training data cannot always be made available to everyone, there has been a trend to reuse pre-trained neural networks. As such, neural networks themselves have become research data.…
DCNs mimic neuronal networks for improved neural classification.
problem Lack of topological similarity between DNNs and biological neural networks.
method Developed DCNs with topologies inspired by real-world neuronal networks.
result High classification accuracy achieved by DCNs.
Neural networks are mathematically represented via quiver representations.
problem Understanding how neural networks process data and create representations.
method Representing neural networks as quiver representations with activation functions.
result Neural networks' computations can be studied algebraically and geometrically.
Adapting robust statistics to neural networks, researchers found neural networks can be more robust with certain loss functions.
problem The robustness of neural networks in complex learning tasks.
method Adapting the regression breakdown point from robust statistics to neural networks and comparing different configurations and contamination settings.
result Neural networks can benefit from robust loss functions, as demonstrated in extensive simulations.
Paper introduces a noise-robust classification method using hypergraph neural networks.
problem Noisy label learning problem in image datasets.
method PCA for dimensionality reduction, then applies graph-based semi-supervised learning methods including hypergraph neural network.
result Our proposed hypergraph neural network achieves the best performance when noise level increases.
Paper introduces new neural network models and theories.
problem Understanding neural networks beyond over-parameterized regime.
method Develops two exact models and a novel representor theory.
result Provides insights into neural network training and kernel evolution.
New neural networks combine additive regression with traditional architectures.
problem Performance limitations and high parameter requirements of traditional neural networks.
method Introduce hybrid deep additive neural networks with simpler activation and basis functions.
result Hybrid neural networks achieve better performance with fewer parameters.
QRPNNs use quaternion-valued recurrent correlation neural networks to solve cross-talk issues.
problem Cross-talk problem in QRCNNs.
method Combining non-local projection learning with QRCNNs.
result QRPNNs exhibit greater storage capacity and noise tolerance.
This paper analyzes the limits of neural networks under adversarial attacks.
problem Understanding how neural networks perform under adversarial noise.
method Defined the adversarial VC-dimension and combined it with the VC-dimension of halfspace classifiers.
result Concluded the adversarial VC-dimension of neural networks with sign activation functions.
New neural networks learn distribution functions using quantiles and moments.
problem Approximating functions of distributions in probability spaces.
method Quantile and moment neural networks, mixing quantile and moment features.
result Moment neural network outperforms others for bivariate distributions.
Quadratic models explain neural network behavior during training.
problem Understanding neural network dynamics during training with large learning rates.
method Developed and tested Neural Quadratic Models.
result Neural Quadratic Models exhibit the 'catapult phase' similar to neural networks.
Neural Ordinary Differential Equation (Neural ODE) has been proposed as a continuous approximation to the ResNet architecture. Some commonly used regularization mechanisms in discrete neural networks (e.g. dropout, Gaussian noise) are missing in current Neural ODE networks. In this paper, we propose a new continuous ne…
Probabilistic deep learning uses neural networks and models to handle uncertainty.
problem Handling uncertainty in deep learning models.
method Two approaches: probabilistic neural networks and deep probabilistic models.
result TensorFlow Probability library supports both approaches.
Braid theory optimizes neural network structures.
problem Optimizing the architecture of neural networks.
method Using braid theory to describe and construct neural network structures.
result Braid-based networks outperform other architectures in classification tasks.
Dense neural networks can't approximate all functions.
problem Approximation capabilities of dense neural networks.
method Model compression approach combining weak regularity lemma and graph neural networks.
result Existence of Lipschitz continuous functions not approximable by dense neural networks.