The paper examines stochastic ordering of Gini indexes for multivariate elliptical risks.
problem Stochastic ordering of Gini indexes for multivariate elliptical risks.
method Established conditions for monotonicity of Gini index in usual stochastic order.
result Suitable conditions for multivariate elliptical risks generalize those for multivariate normal risks.
New method for geodesics of multivariate normals, derived from a Toda lattice.
problem Computing geodesics of multivariate normal distributions.
method Using block Cholesky decomposition and a natural Riemannian submersion, a new Toda lattice type Lax pair is derived.
result A new Toda lattice type Lax pair derived from geodesics and block Cholesky decomposition.
Characterizes connections on multivariate normal distributions.
problem Characterizing connections on statistical manifold of multivariate normal distributions.
method Analyzes statistical manifold (N,gF,ablaA,ablaA∗) of multivariate normal distributions. result The Amari-Chentsov connection ablaA is characterized by conjugate symmetry. A new algorithm speeds up elliptical slice sampling for truncated multivariate normals.
problem Efficiently sampling from truncated multivariate normal distributions with linear constraints.
method Adapting elliptical slice sampling to linearly truncated multivariate normals, with an algorithm for ellipse-polytope intersection in O(m log m) time.
result The algorithm enhances numerical stability, speeds up running time, and is easy to parallelize.
New process capability index for non-normal data.
problem Measuring process capability when data does not follow normal distributions.
method Developed a new multivariate non-parametric PCI using Support Vector Data Description (SVDD).
result Demonstrated improved accuracy in process capability measurement for non-normal data.
New distances for comparing multivariate normal distributions.
problem Comparing multivariate normal distributions efficiently and accurately.
method Approximated Fisher-Rao distance and pullback SPD cone distances.
result Efficient computation of distances between normal distributions.
The paper estimates CoVaR with various models for financial risk analysis.
problem Estimating conditional value-at-risk with financial time series data.
method Fitting multivariate parametric models and copula functions to capture stylized facts of equity returns.
result Backtesting shows that certain models provide better risk estimates than others.
The rebmix package provides R functions for random univariate and multivariate finite mixture model generation, estimation, clustering and classification. The paper is focused on multivariate normal mixture models with unrestricted variance-covariance matrices. The objective is to show how to generate datasets for a kn…
This paper uses multivariate probability models to assess financial system risks.
problem Assessing systemic risk in financial systems.
method Computes multivariate conditional probability distributions for elliptical distributions, focusing on Student-t and Normal models.
result Proposes measures of stress impact and systemic risk.
The paper calculates moments and conditional risks for skewed elliptical distributions.
problem Estimating moments and tail conditional risks for skewed elliptical distributions.
method Derives explicit expressions for multivariate doubly truncated moments and conditional risks for generalized skew-elliptical distributions.
result Explicit formulas for multivariate doubly truncated moments and conditional risks are derived for various skewed elliptical distributions.
The paper defines MTCov for skewed elliptical distributions.
problem No specific problem stated, but dealing with skewed elliptical distributions.
method Defined MTCov for generalized skew-elliptical distributions and compared with skewed and non-skewed normal distributions.
result Special formula for MTCov of generalized skew-elliptical distributions.
Combines MCTM and NF for flexible multivariate density regression with interpretable marginals.
problem Difficult interpretation of flexible NF models and limitations of MCTM in flexibility.
method Hybrid approach combining MCTM for interpretable marginals and NF for complex joint distributions.
result Demonstrates versatility and improved performance compared to MCTM and other NF models.
COMET Flows model multivariate extremes with heavy tails and asymmetric dependence.
problem Normalizing flows struggle with multivariate extremes and asymmetric tail dependence.
method COMET Flows decomposes modeling into marginal and copula parts; uses tail belief and kernel density for marginals, and low-dimensional manifold for tail dependence.
result COMET Flows outperform other models in capturing heavy-tailed marginals and asymmetric tail dependence.
Improved time series forecasting with multivariate probabilistic models.
problem Improving accuracy in forecasting time series with statistical dependencies.
method Conditioned Normalizing Flows for autoregressive deep learning models.
result Improved performance over state-of-the-art models on real-world data sets.
Develops methods for integrating multivariate normals and computing classification measures.
problem Computing performance of multivariate normal models is challenging due to lack of general analytical expressions.
method Mathematical results and open-source software for integrating and analyzing multivariate normal distributions.
result Provides tools for calculating classification errors, discriminability, and reliability.
The paper proposes a method to learn evolving multivariate distributions from sample paths.
problem Learning the temporal evolution of multivariate densities from sample data.
method Normalizing flows to construct time-dependent mappings.
result The method can approximate evolving probability density functions from observed data.
We prove a central limit theorem for the components of the eigenvectors corresponding to the d largest eigenvalues of the normalized Laplacian matrix of a finite dimensional random dot product graph. As a corollary, we show that for stochastic blockmodel graphs, the rows of the spectral embedding of the normalized La…
GPDFlow models extreme threshold exceedance with flexible dependence using normalizing flows.
problem Challenges in modeling multivariate threshold exceedance probabilities due to infinite parametrizations.
method GPDFlow uses normalizing flows to flexibly represent dependence without explicit parametric assumptions.
result GPDFlow significantly improves modeling accuracy and flexibility compared to traditional parametric methods.
Enhanced VAE with DT improves flexibility in latent variable modeling.
problem Limitations of VAE's diagonal covariance matrix in matching true posterior distribution.
method Proposes dyadic transformation (DT) to model multivariate normal distributions.
result DT enhances posterior flexibility and achieves competitive results.
Unified derivation of stochastic order conditions for elliptical distributions.
problem Classifying multivariate elliptical distributions based on stochastic orders.
method Established an identity for comparing expectations of functions of elliptical vectors and used it to derive conditions for stochastic orders.
result Unified derivation of conditions for various stochastic orders in multivariate elliptical distributions.
We show that the coefficients of the re-normalized link invariants of the paper "Multivariable link invariants arising from Lie superalgebras of type I" are Vassiliev invariants which give rise to a canonical family of weight systems.
Solves utility maximization for delayed informed investors.
problem Maximizing utility in a discrete time framework with delayed information.
method Utilizes theory from [4] and optimal portfolio guessing.
result Solution for exponential utility maximization in a multivariate normal setting with delay.
Paper describes profiles of multivariate normal distributions and novel estimators for mutual information.
problem Estimating mutual information for complex distributions.
method Analytical description of profiles, introduction of Bend and Mix Models, Monte Carlo estimation.
result Bend and Mix Models accurately estimate mutual information profiles and provide Bayesian estimates.
Bayesian method for knot inference in multivariate spline regression.
problem Inference on knot locations in multivariate spline regression due to non-differentiability and varying dimensions.
method Fully Bayesian approach with a new prior on knot number and analytic formula for normal model, extended Bayesian information criterion for non-normal cases, reversible jump Markov chain Monte Carlo.
result Demonstrated superior performance in function fitting with jumping discontinuity.
Robust multivariate linear regression methods for online and offline use.
problem Estimating parameters of multivariate Gaussian linear regression models robustly.
method Robust versions of least-square criterion with online and offline algorithms.
result Asymptotic normality of robust estimates proved under weak assumptions.
New connections found on zero-mean multivariate normal distributions.
problem Characterizing statistical connections on zero-mean multivariate normal distributions.
method Investigating invariant conjugate symmetric statistical connections on the submanifold of zero-mean multivariate normal distributions.
result Invariant connections on zero-mean multivariate normal distributions are not uniquely characterized by invariance under the general linear group action.
EP method speeds up Bayesian probit regression in high dimensions.
problem Computational challenges in high-dimensional Bayesian probit regression.
method Adapting EP approximation to multivariate Gaussian prior and skew-normal distribution.
result EP routine is computationally feasible in high-dimensional settings.
We exploit the link between the transport equation and derivatives of expectations to construct efficient pathwise gradient estimators for multivariate distributions. We focus on two main threads. First, we use null solutions of the transport equation to construct adaptive control variates that can be used to construct…
Study invariant connections on multivariate Gaussian distributions.
problem Understanding statistical connections on multivariate Gaussian distributions.
method Investigate invariant connections on N0n with the Fisher metric. result Explicitly determined invariant connections and their moduli spaces.
Non-asymptotic rates for SGD via martingale CLT.
problem Improving the convergence rates of SGD.
method Combining Stein's method and Lindeberg's argument for multivariate martingale CLT, then applying to SGD.
result Explicit rates for multivariate martingale CLT and SGD convergence.
Flexible models cluster RNA sequencing data.
problem Clustering discrete data from RNA sequencing studies.
method Finite mixtures of multivariate Poisson-log normal factor analyzers with constraints.
result Models give favorable clustering performance on real and simulated data.
We consider random vectors drawn from a multivariate normal distribution and compute the sample statistics in the presence of non-stationary correlations. For this purpose, we construct an ensemble of random correlation matrices and average the normal distribution over this ensemble. The resulting distribution contains…
The purpose of this paper is to synthesize the approaches taken by Chatterjee-Meckes and Reinert-Röllin in adapting Stein's method of exchangeable pairs for multivariate normal approximation. The more general linear regression condition of Reinert-Röllin allows for wider applicability of the method, while the method of…
The paper develops approximations for Pearson's chi-square statistic and applies them to confidence intervals.
problem Finding confidence intervals for strictly convex functions of discrete distribution weights.
method Non-asymptotic local normal approximation for multinomial probabilities, deriving bounds and coupling inequalities.
result Developed methods to find confidence intervals for negative entropy of discrete distributions.
We show two results about the Conway potential function which is known as the normalized multivariable Alexander polynomial. We first show that the Conway potential function introduced by Kauffman in "Formal Knot Theory" is indeed a link invariant. Next we show that Kauffman's potential function equals Hartley's potent…
The paper proposes methods to find a shared active subspace for multivariate vector-valued functions.
problem Minimizing the deviation between function evaluations in the original and reconstructed spaces.
method Manipulating gradients or SPD matrices to identify a shared structure.
result Summing SPD matrices often identifies the best shared active subspace.
This paper tests the multivariate normality of node degrees in Erdős-Rényi graphs.
problem Testing the multivariate normality of node degrees in Erdős-Rényi graphs.
method Chi-square goodness of fit test, Anderson-Darling test, CDF comparison, maximum likelihood estimation.
result The degrees of nodes in Erdős-Rényi graphs do not follow a multivariate normal distribution, but the approximation is valid for large values of n and p.
Improved multivariate conformal prediction by standardizing residuals.
problem Weak conditional coverage in heteroskedastic multivariate settings.
method Natural extension of univariate normalization to multivariate setting, whitening residuals and standardizing local variance.
result Standardized residuals yield asymptotic conditional coverage under certain distributions.
Inference for normal and Monte Carlo distributions using minimum relative entropy.
problem Inference from partial information on expectations and covariances.
method Minimum relative entropy sub-manifolds, analytical formulas, Monte Carlo simulations.
result Improved numerical implementation for inference from partial information.
Four new methods for computing generalized chi-square distribution.
problem Computing the generalized chi-square distribution accurately and efficiently.
method Two exact and two approximate methods, with software for cdf, pdf, and inverse cdf.
result Comparison of methods' accuracy and speed, identifying best for different cases.
Multivariate regression model is a natural generalization of the classical univari- ate regression model for fitting multiple responses. In this paper, we propose a high- dimensional multivariate conditional regression model for constructing sparse estimates of the multivariate regression coefficient matrix that accoun…
The multivariate version of the Mixed Tempered Stable is proposed. It is a generalization of the Normal Variance Mean Mixtures. Characteristics of this new distribution and its capacity in fitting tails and capturing dependence structure between components are investigated. We discuss a random number generating procedu…
New method uses KL-divergence to create non-informative priors for multivariate Gaussian.
problem Handling hyperparameters for non-informative limits in multivariate Gaussian conjugate priors.
method Using scaled KL-divergence between multivariate Gaussians to construct Wishart and normal-Wishart conjugate priors.
result Forming non-informative priors without violating Wishart shape parameter restrictions.
This paper introduces a novel recalibration method for multivariate forecasts.
problem Multivariate calibration for potentially misspecified models.
method Local mappings between marginal probability integral transform values and observed space, using K-nearest neighbors or normalizing flows.
result Demonstrated effectiveness on currency exchange rate and childhood malnutrition data.
Optimizes cryptocurrency portfolios using MNTS GARCH model.
problem Optimizing cryptocurrency portfolios with non-Gaussian return dynamics.
method Multivariate normal tempered stable (MNTS) GARCH model for non-Gaussian returns, Foster-Hart risk optimization.
result Foster-Hart optimization yields a more profitable portfolio with better risk-return balance.
Derives an approximate solution for power utility optimization under predictable returns.
problem Optimizing portfolios with power utility functions under predictable returns.
method Approximate analytical solution using multivariate normal distribution and gradient descent algorithm.
result Gradient descent method provides a viable alternative to Taylor series expansion for portfolio optimization.
Quaternionic Brownian motion on flag manifold linked to sphere diffusion.
problem Modeling quaternionic stochastic areas on quaternionic flag manifolds.
method Relating quaternionic Brownian motion to symplectic Brownian motion and using radial dynamics.
result Quaternionic stochastic areas follow a multivariate normal distribution.
The paper monitors artificial neural networks using embeddings and multivariate control charts.
problem Ensuring the stability of artificial neural networks during deployment.
method Monitoring the latent feature representation (embedding) of ANN outputs using multivariate control charts based on data depth and ranks.
result The proposed method effectively detects nonstationary data streams in ANN outputs.