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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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3547091,0631,417 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Multinomial Logistic Model

The paper proves asymptotic normality for multinomial logistic regression on null covariates.

problem Classical asymptotic normality results fail in high-dimensional multinomial logistic models.
method Developed asymptotic normality and chi-square results for multinomial logistic MLE on null covariates.
result Validated new methodology to test feature significance in high-dimensional classification problems.

Efficient RL algorithm for multinomial logistic MDPs with provable guarantees.

problem Model-based RL for episodic MDPs with unknown transition probabilities.
method Upper confidence bound-based algorithm for exploration-exploitation balance.
result Achieves ildeO(dH3T) ilde{O}(d \sqrt{H^3 T}) regret bound for multinomial logistic models.

Two algorithms achieve optimal regret with limited adaptivity in multinomial logistic bandits.

problem Achieving optimal regret with limited adaptivity in multinomial logistic bandits.
method Presented two algorithms, B-MNL-CB and RS-MNL, for batched and rarely-switching paradigms.
result Achieved ildeO(T) ilde{O}(\sqrt{T}) regret with limited adaptivity.

Improved regret bounds for logistic bandits via novel confidence set construction.

problem Dependencies in parameter space for logistic bandits, especially when SdS \geq d.
method Regret-to-confidence-set conversion (R2CS) to construct convex confidence sets.
result Strict improvement in regret bound w.r.t. SS in logistic bandits.

We improve MoE models for classification with rigorous guarantees and practical methods.

problem Limited guarantees for stable maximum-likelihood training and model selection in softmax-gated MoE models.
method Derived a batch MM algorithm with closed-form updates, proved finite-sample rates, and developed a dendrogram selector.
result Achieved near-parametric optimal rates for parameter recovery and improved accuracy over baselines.

In this paper we consider high-dimensional multiclass classification by sparse multinomial logistic regression. We propose first a feature selection procedure based on penalized maximum likelihood with a complexity penalty on the model size and derive the nonasymptotic bounds for misclassification excess risk of the re…

2020-03-04abs ↗pdf ↗

A new algorithm reduces the time and space complexity for multinomial logistic bandits.

problem High-dimensional feedback in multinomial logistic bandits makes existing algorithms inefficient.
method Integrates frequent directions matrix sketching into OFUL-MLogB to reduce time and space complexity.
result Achieves a regret bound of ildeO(ΔT(KdlnΔT+m)T) ilde{\mathcal{O}}(Δ_T(Kd\lnΔ_T+m)\sqrt{T}).

Improved regret bound for multinomial logistic bandits with non-linearity.

problem Maximizing rewards in multinomial logistic bandits with non-linear feedback.
method Extended the definition of κκ_* to multinomial setting and proposed an efficient algorithm.
result Minimax-optimal regret bound of O~(RdKT/κ) \smash{\widetilde{\mathcal{O}}( R d \sqrt{ {KT}/{κ_*}} ) } , improving over existing guarantees.

Proposes a method to use external machine-learning predictions in multinomial logistic regression.

problem Improving statistical inference using summary-level external machine-learning predictions.
method Empirical-likelihood framework incorporating moment constraints from external nonparametric machine-learning predictions.
result Fused estimator achieves strict efficiency gain over primary-only estimator under mild conditions.

Improved regret bound for MNL MDPs with variance-aware approach.

problem Optimal reinforcement learning for MNL MDPs with structured variance.
method Introducing a problem-dependent constant measuring average variance, proposing an algorithm with improved regret bound.
result Minimax optimal regret bound of O(dH2σˉTT)O(dH^2\barσ_T\sqrt{T}) for structured MDPs.

Improved online confidence bounds for multinomial logistic models in bandits.

problem Achieving optimal regret in multinomial logistic bandits with bounded parameters and outcomes.
method Deriving an improved online confidence bound and proposing OFU-MNL++ and OFU-MN2^2L algorithms.
result Achieved variance-dependent optimal regret for MNL bandits.

The paper establishes convergence rates for MoE models in classification problems.

problem Understanding the behavior of MoE models in classification settings.
method Established convergence rates for density and parameter estimation in softmax gating multinomial logistic MoE models.
result Parameter estimation rates are significantly improved with a novel modified softmax gating function.

For the problem of multi-class linear classification and feature selection, we propose approximate message passing approaches to sparse multinomial logistic regression (MLR). First, we propose two algorithms based on the Hybrid Generalized Approximate Message Passing (HyGAMP) framework: one finds the maximum a posterio…

2015-09-15abs ↗pdf ↗

The logistic normal distribution has recently been adapted via the transformation of multivariate Gaus- sian variables to model the topical distribution of documents in the presence of correlations among topics. In this paper, we propose a probit normal alternative approach to modelling correlated topical structures. O…

2014-10-03abs ↗pdf ↗

FisherSFT selects informative examples to fine-tune LLMs efficiently.

problem Adapting large language models to new domains efficiently.
method Selects examples maximizing information gain using Hessian of log-likelihood.
result Empirically demonstrates improved performance with reduced computational cost.

Researchers show mixtures of ranking models are generally identifiable.

problem Understanding when and how parameters of mixtures of ranking models can be uniquely determined.
method Algebraic geometry framework applied to verify the number of solutions in polynomial systems.
result Popular mixtures of ranking models with two components are generically identifiable.

The paper tackles learning mixtures of two multinomial logits, showing identifiability and presenting an algorithm.

problem Learning an arbitrary mixture of two multinomial logits.
method Reduction to solving a system of univariate quartic equations, followed by an algorithm using polynomial and linear samples.
result Identifiability of the mixture models may only fail on an algebraic variety of negligible measure.

Improved logistic MoE with sigmoid gate shows better sample efficiency.

problem Improving sample efficiency in logistic MoE models.
method Comprehensive analysis of multinomial logistic MoE with modified sigmoid gate, incorporating temperature parameter and using Euclidean score.
result The sigmoid gate leads to lower sample complexity than softmax gate for both parameter and expert estimation.

Model predicts individual insurance claim reserves using activation patterns.

problem Accurately predicting individual claim reserves in insurance contracts.
method Multinomial logistic regression to model claim activation and development.
result The model generates accurate predictions of total and per coverage reserves.

We present ADMM-Softmax, an alternating direction method of multipliers (ADMM) for solving multinomial logistic regression (MLR) problems. Our method is geared toward supervised classification tasks with many examples and features. It decouples the nonlinear optimization problem in MLR into three steps that can be solv…

2019-01-27abs ↗pdf ↗

New algorithms reduce regret in reinforcement learning with MNL approximations.

problem Efficient reinforcement learning with MNL function approximation for MDPs.
method Proposed randomized exploration algorithms with frequentist regret guarantees.
result Achieved improved regret bounds for MNL transition models.

Trans-GCR uses GCR model for node classification, providing theoretical guarantees and superior performance.

problem Challenges in obtaining node classification labels in real-world scenarios.
method Graph Convolutional Multinomial Logistic Regression (GCR) model and transfer learning method based on GCR.
result Trans-GCR provides superior empirical performance and theoretical guarantees.

Logistic regression models are a popular and effective method to predict the probability of categorical response data. However inference for these models can become computationally prohibitive for large datasets. Here we adapt ideas from symbolic data analysis to summarise the collection of predictor variables into his…

2019-12-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Fenrir efficiently estimates Bayesian MLN-DLMs for scalable inference.

problem Computational challenges in Bayesian MLN-DLMs for longitudinal count compositional data.
method Novel algorithm for MAP estimation and accurate posterior marginal approximation.
result Fenrir can be three orders of magnitude more efficient than Stan.

New algorithm reduces reinforcement learning regret by adapting to interaction variability.

problem Existing reinforcement learning methods lack adaptability to interaction variability.
method Developed a variance-adaptive optimal algorithm for MNL function approximation.
result Achieved instance-wise optimal regret bounds, validating efficiency in practice.

Paper tackles combinatorial reinforcement learning with preference feedback.

problem Modeling long-term user engagement in scenarios like recommender systems and online advertising.
method Assumes a contextual MNL preference model with linear mean utilities and approximates item values. Proposes MNL-VQL algorithm.
result Achieves nearly minimax-optimal regret for linear MDPs with preference feedback.

The paper provides guarantees for a tangent transform algorithm in logistic regression models.

problem Finding theoretical guarantees for statistical optimality and algorithmic convergence in non-conjugate models.
method Exploiting convex duality and minorizing the marginal likelihood, the paper derives non-asymptotic upper bounds and convergence guarantees for a tangent transform algorithm in logistic regression models.
result The tangent transform algorithm is shown to be locally asymptotically stable without assumptions on the data-generating process.

MM (majorization--minimization) algorithms are an increasingly popular tool for solving optimization problems in machine learning and statistical estimation. This article introduces the MM algorithm framework in general and via three popular example applications: Gaussian mixture regressions, multinomial logistic regre…

2016-11-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Machine learning predicts US and EuroZone business cycles with high accuracy.

problem Predicting the business cycle phases in US and EuroZone.
method Three machine learning approaches were compared: Multinomial Logistic Regression (MLR) achieved the best results.
result MLR achieved 65.25% accuracy for EuroZone and 75% for US in predicting business cycle phases.

We develop unbiased implicit variational inference (UIVI), a method that expands the applicability of variational inference by defining an expressive variational family. UIVI considers an implicit variational distribution obtained in a hierarchical manner using a simple reparameterizable distribution whose variational …

2018-08-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Efficiently models categorical data with low to medium class overlap, improving accuracy over standard distributions.

problem Poor parameter estimates and accuracy in multinomial and Dirichlet multinomial distributions when assumptions are violated.
method Introduces Beta-Liouville multinomial distribution and efficient estimation methods.
result Beta-Liouville multinomial outperforms standard distributions on two out of four datasets.

Dropout has been witnessed with great success in training deep neural networks by independently zeroing out the outputs of neurons at random. It has also received a surge of interest for shallow learning, e.g., logistic regression. However, the independent sampling for dropout could be suboptimal for the sake of conver…

2016-02-06abs ↗pdf ↗