A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
DeepICMGP surrogate models multiple outputs efficiently.
This study compares multivariate vs univariate machine learning for multi-output regression.
Multi-output learning aims to simultaneously predict multiple outputs given an input. It is an important learning problem due to the pressing need for sophisticated decision making in real-world applications. Inspired by big data, the 4Vs characteristics of multi-output imposes a set of challenges to multi-output learn…
Safe active learning for multi-output Gaussian processes reduces data acquisition costs and ensures safety.
Multi-output Gaussian processes (MOGP) are probability distributions over vector-valued functions, and have been previously used for multi-output regression and for multi-class classification. A less explored facet of the multi-output Gaussian process is that it can be used as a generative model for vector-valued rando…
Multi-Output Dependence (MOD) learning is a generalization of standard classification problems that allows for multiple outputs that are dependent on each other. A primary issue that arises in the context of MOD learning is that for any given input pattern there can be multiple correct output patterns. This changes the…
Unified study of nine multi-output conformal methods with generalized scores.
Enhances robustness of MOGP regression for multiple correlated outputs.
We present a novel extension of multi-output Gaussian processes for handling heterogeneous outputs. We assume that each output has its own likelihood function and use a vector-valued Gaussian process prior to jointly model the parameters in all likelihoods as latent functions. Our multi-output Gaussian process uses a c…
MO-GP models fill gaps in biophysical data with across-domain info transfer.
The paper develops exact and approximate conformal inference methods for multi-output regression.
New kernel models multi-output Gaussian processes accurately.
Gaussian processes (GPs), or distributions over arbitrary functions in a continuous domain, can be generalized to the multi-output case: a linear model of coregionalization (LMC) is one approach. LMCs estimate and exploit correlations across the multiple outputs. While model estimation can be performed efficiently for …
Multi-output regression seeks to borrow strength and leverage commonalities across different but related outputs in order to enhance learning and prediction accuracy. A fundamental assumption is that the output/group membership labels for all observations are known. This assumption is often violated in real application…
Optimal algorithms identify non-dominated arms in multi-output linear bandit models.
The paper explores dynamic ensembles for multi-step forecasting.
The paper presents a novel approach to multi-output regression using probabilistic circuits.
Paper introduces conformal prediction for reliable uncertainty quantification in landmark localization.
New method improves calibration in multi-output probabilistic models.
This paper introduces a multi-output Gaussian process for censored data.
We present MOGPTK, a Python package for multi-channel data modelling using Gaussian processes (GP). The aim of this toolkit is to make multi-output GP (MOGP) models accessible to researchers, data scientists, and practitioners alike. MOGPTK uses a Python front-end, relies on the GPflow suite and is built on a TensorFlo…
Multi-output Gaussian processes (MOGPs) are an extension of Gaussian Processes (GPs) for predicting multiple output variables (also called channels, tasks) simultaneously. In this paper we use the convolution theorem to design a new kernel for MOGPs, by modeling cross channel dependencies through cross convolution of t…
Enhances fairness in multi-output models using optimal transport.
Multi-output prediction deals with the prediction of several targets of possibly diverse types. One way to address this problem is the so called problem transformation method. This method is often used in multi-label learning, but can also be used for multi-output prediction due to its generality and simplicity. In thi…
We investigate the challenge of multi-output learning, where the goal is to learn a vector-valued function based on a supervised data set. This includes a range of important problems in Machine Learning including multi-target regression, multi-class classification and multi-label classification. We begin our analysis b…
Factorization machines and polynomial networks are supervised polynomial models based on an efficient low-rank decomposition. We extend these models to the multi-output setting, i.e., for learning vector-valued functions, with application to multi-class or multi-task problems. We cast this as the problem of learning a …
Develops nonstationary MOGP kernels for better performance.
The paper explores the identifiability and interpretability of Gaussian process models using different kernel structures.
The study addresses negative transfer in multi-output Gaussian processes by proposing latent structures.
A scalable MOGP model with stochastic variational inference for many outputs.
Proposes a deep tree-ensemble model for multi-output prediction.
Proposes a method to improve multi-output Gaussian process for transfer learning.
Brenier isotonic regression extends multi-output isotonic regression using optimal transport.
Multi-output regression models must exploit dependencies between outputs to maximise predictive performance. The application of Gaussian processes (GPs) to this setting typically yields models that are computationally demanding and have limited representational power. We present the Gaussian Process Autoregressive Regr…
In its simplest form, the traffic flow prediction problem is restricted to predicting a single time-step into the future. Multi-step traffic flow prediction extends this set-up to the case where predicting multiple time-steps into the future based on some finite history is of interest. This problem is significantly mor…
We construct flexible likelihoods for multi-output Gaussian process models that leverage neural networks as components. We make use of sparse variational inference methods to enable scalable approximate inference for the resulting class of models. An attractive feature of these models is that they can admit analytic pr…
Traffic speed data imputation is a fundamental challenge for data-driven transport analysis. In recent years, with the ubiquity of GPS-enabled devices and the widespread use of crowdsourcing alternatives for the collection of traffic data, transportation professionals increasingly look to such user-generated data for m…
This paper aims to decrease the time complexity of multi-output relevance vector regression from O(VM^3) to O(V^3+M^3), where V is the number of output dimensions, M is the number of basis functions, and V<M. The experimental results demonstrate that the proposed method is more competitive than the existing method, wit…
This paper tackles federated learning for automatic latent variable selection in multi-output Gaussian processes.
The paper introduces a non-linear version of the process convolution formalism for building covariance functions for multi-output Gaussian processes. The non-linearity is introduced via Volterra series, one series per each output. We provide closed-form expressions for the mean function and the covariance function of t…
A recent novel extension of multi-output Gaussian processes handles heterogeneous outputs assuming that each output has its own likelihood function. It uses a vector-valued Gaussian process prior to jointly model all likelihoods' parameters as latent functions drawn from a Gaussian process with a linear model of coregi…
Parallel gradient boosting speeds up multi-output regression.
Multi-output is essential in machine learning that it might suffer from nonconforming residual distributions, i.e., the multi-output residual distributions are not conforming to the expected distribution. In this paper, we propose "Wrapped Loss Function" to wrap the original loss function to alleviate the problem. This…
Gaussian process model for vector-valued function has been shown to be useful for multi-output prediction. The existing method for this model is to re-formulate the matrix-variate Gaussian distribution as a multivariate normal distribution. Although it is effective in many cases, re-formulation is not always workable a…
Proposes a flexible MGP model for dynamic, sparse correlations.
Paper develops efficient recursive learning for multi-channel systems with heterogeneous dynamics.
Scikit-multiflow is a multi-output/multi-label and stream data mining framework for the Python programming language. Conceived to serve as a platform to encourage democratization of stream learning research, it provides multiple state of the art methods for stream learning, stream generators and evaluators. scikit-mult…
Lung cancer is the leading cause of cancer-related death worldwide. Early diagnosis of pulmonary nodules in Computed Tomography (CT) chest scans provides an opportunity for designing effective treatment and making financial and care plans. In this paper, we consider the problem of diagnostic classification between beni…