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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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54108162216 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Multi-armed Gaussian

New algorithm reduces regret in multi-armed bandit problems with Gaussian rewards.

problem Optimizing decisions in multi-armed bandit problems with Gaussian rewards.
method Proposed TSCG and UTSCG algorithms using Thompson Sampling with Gaussian prior.
result Achieved lower regret bounds for optimal arm selection.

Gittins indices provide an optimal solution to the classical multi-armed bandit problem. An obstacle to their use has been the common perception that their computation is very difficult. This paper demonstrates an accessible general methodology for the calculating Gittins indices for the multi-armed bandit with a detai…

2019-09-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Improved statistical efficiency of Thompson Sampling for combinatorial semi-bandits.

problem Efficiency of policies in stochastic combinatorial multi-armed bandits with semi-bandit feedback.
method Analysis of Combinatorial Thompson Sampling (CTS) using Beta and Gaussian priors for mutually independent and multivariate sub-Gaussian outcomes.
result CTS provides an efficient policy with optimal asymptotic regret for both mutually independent and multivariate sub-Gaussian outcomes.

Optimism stabilizes Thompson Sampling for adaptive inference in multi-armed bandits.

problem Subtle inferential properties of Thompson Sampling under adaptive data collection.
method Introduced optimism as a key mechanism to restore stability and validity of inference.
result Suitably implemented optimism stabilizes Thompson Sampling and enables asymptotically valid Wald inference.

Proposes a general method to derive regret bounds for multi-armed bandit algorithms.

problem Deriving regret bounds for randomized multi-armed bandit algorithms.
method Checking sufficient conditions on sampling probabilities and distributions.
result Proves logarithmic regret bounds for various bandit algorithms and new models.

Satisficing is a relaxation of maximizing and allows for less risky decision making in the face of uncertainty. We propose two sets of satisficing objectives for the multi-armed bandit problem, where the objective is to achieve reward-based decision-making performance above a given threshold. We show that these new pro…

2015-12-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Method predicts future rewards from past actions in a linear Gaussian system.

problem Maximizing cumulative reward in a stochastic multi-armed bandit with linear Gaussian dynamics.
method Proposes a method using a modified Kalman filter to predict future rewards based on past rewards.
result Reward from any action can be used to predict another action's future reward.

Upper Confidence Bound (UCB) method is arguably the most celebrated one used in online decision making with partial information feedback. Existing techniques for constructing confidence bounds are typically built upon various concentration inequalities, which thus lead to over-exploration. In this paper, we propose a n…

2019-06-12abs ↗pdf ↗

We here adopt Bayesian nonparametric mixture models to extend multi-armed bandits in general, and Thompson sampling in particular, to scenarios where there is reward model uncertainty. In the stochastic multi-armed bandit, the reward for the played arm is generated from an unknown distribution. Reward uncertainty, i.e.…

2018-08-08abs ↗pdf ↗

New BO method optimizes functions efficiently even with unknown hyperparameters.

problem Inaccurate estimation of Gaussian process hyperparameters degrades BO performance.
method Exploits multi-armed bandit and novel training loss function for consistent hyperparameter estimation.
result Sub-linear convergence to global optimum with unknown hyperparameters.

KL-MS improves regret bounds for multi-armed bandits with bounded rewards.

problem Designing efficient exploration algorithms for multi-armed bandits with bounded rewards.
method Kullback-Leibler Maillard Sampling (KL-MS) for multi-armed bandits with bounded rewards.
result KL-MS achieves a worst-case regret bound of O(μ(1μ)KTlnK+KlnT)O(\sqrt{μ^*(1-μ^*) K T \ln K} + K \ln T).

ARTEO algorithm optimizes safety-critical systems with uncertainty.

problem Decision-making under uncertainty with safety constraints in real-time optimization.
method ARTEO algorithm uses multi-armed bandits as a mathematical programming problem subject to safety constraints, learning unknown characteristics through exploration and incorporating uncertainty quantification.
result ARTEO achieves less cumulative regret with accurate and safe decisions.

New algorithm uses machine learning to predict rewards for decision-making problems.

problem Sequential decision-making under uncertainty with scarce online data.
method Machine Learning-Assisted Upper Confidence Bound (MLA-UCB) algorithm.
result Proves to improve cumulative regret even with biased surrogate rewards.

In this paper, we propose a novel perturbation-based exploration method in bandit algorithms with bounded or unbounded rewards, called residual bootstrap exploration (\texttt{ReBoot}). The \texttt{ReBoot} enforces exploration by injecting data-driven randomness through a residual-based perturbation mechanism. This nove…

2020-02-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Study optimizes identifying the best arm with fixed rounds and Gaussian outcomes.

problem Designing efficient experiments to identify the best arm with fixed rounds and Gaussian outcomes.
method Developed worst-case lower bounds and the GNA-EBA strategy for optimal identification.
result GNA-EBA strategy is asymptotically worst-case optimal.

The stochastic multi-armed bandit problem is well understood when the reward distributions are sub-Gaussian. In this paper we examine the bandit problem under the weaker assumption that the distributions have moments of order 1+ε, for some ε(0,1]ε\in (0,1]. Surprisingly, moments of order 2 (i.e., finite variance) are suffi…

2012-09-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper presents a new method for optimizing hyperparameters in machine learning models.

problem Optimizing hyperparameters in machine learning models, especially for black-box functions.
method Adaptive local Bayesian optimization over multiple discrete variables, combining region reliability, Gaussian process kernel, and MAB approach.
result Method outperforms baseline algorithms by up to +20.39% across different tasks.

Paper uses subjective logic to estimate uncertainty in multi-armed bandit problems.

problem Estimating uncertainty in multi-armed bandit problems.
method Formalism of subjective logic applied to multi-armed bandits, proposing new algorithms.
result Subjective logic quantities enable useful assessment of uncertainty.

A new method optimizes in nonstationary environments with many arms efficiently.

problem Optimizing in nonstationary environments with a large number of arms.
method Gaussian interpolation to learn continuous Lipschitz reward functions in nonstationary environments.
result Efficiently learns continuous Lipschitz reward functions with O(T)\mathcal{O}^*(\sqrt{T}) cumulative regret.

Proposes an interpretable machine learning framework for multi-arm HTE estimation.

problem Challenges in estimating heterogeneous treatment effects in multi-arm settings.
method Rule-based ensemble approach for HTE estimation in multi-arm trials.
result Achieved lower bias and higher estimation accuracy compared to existing methods.

Study finds optimal regret bound for multi-armed bandit problem with expert advice.

problem Optimizing decision-making in a multi-armed bandit problem with expert advice.
method Proved a tight lower bound matching the upper bound of Kale (2014) for minimax expected regret.
result The minimax optimal expected regret is Θ(√(T K log (N/K))) for the problem.

A new algorithm balances global reward and group constraints in federated multi-armed bandits.

problem Maximizing global reward while protecting client privacy in federated learning.
method Combinatorial contextual bandit with group constraints, using a two-output Gaussian process.
result TCGP-UCB incurs low regret, balancing super arm reward and group reward constraints.

Quantum algorithms for multi-armed bandits are explored with limited reward access.

problem Exploring quantum speed-ups in multi-armed bandit problems with limited reward information.
method Introduced new bandit models and showed query complexity equivalence with classical algorithms.
result No quadratic speed-up is possible for multi-armed bandits with limited reward access.

New method for identifying best arm in batched multi-armed bandit problems.

problem Identifying the best arm in multi-armed bandit problems where arms are sampled in batches.
method General linear programming framework for best arm identification in batched multi-armed bandit problems.
result Demonstrated good performance in numerical studies compared to UCB-type or Thompson sampling methods.

Study on Pareto optimality in multi-objective bandit problems.

problem Pareto optimality in multi-objective multi-armed bandit problems.
method Formulated adversarial multi-objective multi-armed bandit, defined Pareto regrets, presented algorithms, established upper and lower bounds.
result New algorithms are optimal in adversarial settings and nearly optimal in stochastic settings.

In this paper, we study the multi-armed bandit problem in the batched setting where the employed policy must split data into a small number of batches. While the minimax regret for the two-armed stochastic bandits has been completely characterized in \cite{perchet2016batched}, the effect of the number of arms on the re…

2019-04-03abs ↗pdf ↗