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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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55110164219 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Multi-Output Regression

This study compares multivariate vs univariate machine learning for multi-output regression.

problem When to use multivariate ensemble techniques over separate univariate models.
method Comparative analysis of different multivariate approaches for multi-output regression.
result Multivariate ensemble techniques outperform separate univariate models in simulations.

Safe active learning for multi-output Gaussian processes reduces data acquisition costs and ensures safety.

problem Expensive data acquisition and safety concerns in multi-output regression problems.
method Proposes a safe active learning approach considering data informativeness and safety constraints.
result Improved convergence compared to competitors on simulated and real-world datasets.

The paper develops exact and approximate conformal inference methods for multi-output regression.

problem Uncertainty quantification in multi-output regression predictions.
method Exact derivations and approximations of conformal inference p-values for linear multi-output predictors, and efficient methods for nonlinear predictors.
result Efficient methods for approximating conformal prediction regions for multi-output predictors, both linear and nonlinear.

Paper introduces conformal prediction for reliable uncertainty quantification in landmark localization.

problem Systematic underestimation of total predictive uncertainty in landmark localization.
method Conformal prediction framework for multi-output regression, generating flexible prediction regions.
result Methods outperform existing approaches in validity and efficiency across 2D and 3D datasets.

Unified study of nine multi-output conformal methods with generalized scores.

problem Challenges in extending conformal prediction to multi-output problems.
method Nine conformal methods with generalized multi-output conformity scores.
result Generalized scores ensure asymptotic conditional coverage and exact finite-sample marginal coverage.

The paper presents a novel approach to multi-output regression using probabilistic circuits.

problem Capturing correlations between multiple output dimensions in large-scale regression problems.
method Employing a mixture of single-output Gaussian process experts encoded via a probabilistic circuit.
result The method can capture correlations between output dimensions and often outperforms other approaches.

New method improves calibration in multi-output probabilistic models.

problem Challenges in achieving multivariate calibration in multi-output regression.
method General regularization framework to enforce multivariate calibration during training for arbitrary pre-rank functions.
result Significant improvement in calibration across all pre-rank functions without sacrificing predictive accuracy.

This paper aims to decrease the time complexity of multi-output relevance vector regression from O(VM^3) to O(V^3+M^3), where V is the number of output dimensions, M is the number of basis functions, and V<M. The experimental results demonstrate that the proposed method is more competitive than the existing method, wit…

2017-04-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Optimistic bounds for multi-output learning using self-bounding Lipschitz condition.

problem Learning vector-valued functions from supervised data.
method Introducing self-bounding Lipschitz condition and proving optimistic bounds using local Rademacher complexity and Srebro's inequality.
result Minimax optimal generalization bounds for multi-output learning, up to logarithmic factors.

Multi-output prediction deals with the prediction of several targets of possibly diverse types. One way to address this problem is the so called problem transformation method. This method is often used in multi-label learning, but can also be used for multi-output prediction due to its generality and simplicity. In thi…

2019-04-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Parallel gradient boosting speeds up multi-output regression.

problem Efficiently predicting entire conditional distributions.
method Modification of gradient boosting to use a common descent direction.
result Significantly faster and comparable performance to state-of-the-art boosting libraries.

This paper introduces a multi-output Gaussian process for censored data.

problem Modeling bias in censored data using correlations between multiple outputs.
method Heteroscedastic multi-output Gaussian process with input-dependent noise and variational inference.
result The model better estimates the true process under complex censoring dynamics.

Multi-output regression models must exploit dependencies between outputs to maximise predictive performance. The application of Gaussian processes (GPs) to this setting typically yields models that are computationally demanding and have limited representational power. We present the Gaussian Process Autoregressive Regr…

2018-02-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes GPLFR for predicting high-dimensional outputs with few data.

problem Predicting high-dimensional outputs from limited data.
method GPLFR combines Gaussian process and linear-Gaussian decoding for high-dimensional prediction.
result GPLFR outperforms existing methods in predicting high-dimensional outputs.

Proposes SHORE model for efficient MOR with sparsity and scalability.

problem Challenges of interpretability and scalability in MOR with high-dimensional outputs.
method Incorporates sparsity requirements and a two-stage optimization framework for efficient compression.
result Theoretical and empirical validation of the proposed framework's efficiency and accuracy.

A new method for decision-focused learning reduces computational cost.

problem Efficiently solving combinatorial problems with uncertain parameters.
method Reframed as cost-sensitive multi-output regression, with novel loss components.
result Comparable downstream task quality with reduced computational cost.

In this paper, we propose hybrid building/floor classification and floor-level two-dimensional location coordinates regression using a single-input and multi-output (SIMO) deep neural network (DNN) for large-scale indoor localization based on Wi-Fi fingerprinting. The proposed scheme exploits the different nature of th…

2018-10-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Factorization machines and polynomial networks are supervised polynomial models based on an efficient low-rank decomposition. We extend these models to the multi-output setting, i.e., for learning vector-valued functions, with application to multi-class or multi-task problems. We cast this as the problem of learning a …

2017-05-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper extends multi-task Gaussian Cox processes for heterogeneous tasks.

problem Modeling multiple heterogeneous correlated tasks jointly.
method Data augmentation and mean-field approximation for non-conjugate Bayesian inference.
result Demonstrates improved performance and inference on synthetic and real data.

Enhances fairness in multi-output models using optimal transport.

problem Improving fairness in multi-output models like multi-task/multi-class classification and representation learning.
method Post-processing method using optimal transport mappings to move model outputs towards empirical Wasserstein barycenter.
result Demonstrates effectiveness of the proposed approach on multi-task/multi-class classification and representation learning tasks.

We are concerned with obtaining well-calibrated output distributions from regression models. Such distributions allow us to quantify the uncertainty that the model has regarding the predicted target value. We introduce the novel concept of distribution calibration, and demonstrate its advantages over the existing defin…

2019-05-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Optimal transport improves multivariate prediction uncertainty quantification.

problem Uncertainty quantification in multivariate learning tasks, especially in regression and classification.
method Introducing a novel Conformal Prediction procedure using optimal transport to handle multivariate score functions and construct flexible prediction regions.
result Ensures finite-sample, distribution-free coverage guarantees for multivariate prediction sets.

Multi-output learning aims to simultaneously predict multiple outputs given an input. It is an important learning problem due to the pressing need for sophisticated decision making in real-world applications. Inspired by big data, the 4Vs characteristics of multi-output imposes a set of challenges to multi-output learn…

2019-01-02abs ↗pdf ↗

DeepICMGP surrogate models multiple outputs efficiently.

problem Challenges in modeling dependencies between multiple outputs using traditional multi-output GPs.
method Introduces hierarchical coregionalization structures across layers in DGPs.
result Demonstrates competitive performance and active learning strategies.

A large number and diversity of techniques have been offered in the literature in recent years for solving multi-label classification tasks, including classifier chains where predictions are cascaded to other models as additional features. The idea of extending this chaining methodology to multi-output regression has a…

2019-07-18abs ↗pdf ↗

New kernel models multi-output Gaussian processes accurately.

problem Challenges in modelling cross-covariances for multiple-output Gaussian processes.
method Replaced Gaussian components with block components of finite bandwidth in spectral mixture kernel.
result First multi-output generalization of spectral mixture kernel that can approximate any stationary multi-output kernel to arbitrary precision.

Gaussian processes (GPs), or distributions over arbitrary functions in a continuous domain, can be generalized to the multi-output case: a linear model of coregionalization (LMC) is one approach. LMCs estimate and exploit correlations across the multiple outputs. While model estimation can be performed efficiently for …

2017-05-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Multi-output Gaussian processes (MOGPs) are an extension of Gaussian Processes (GPs) for predicting multiple output variables (also called channels, tasks) simultaneously. In this paper we use the convolution theorem to design a new kernel for MOGPs, by modeling cross channel dependencies through cross convolution of t…

2018-08-07abs ↗pdf ↗

We present a novel extension of multi-output Gaussian processes for handling heterogeneous outputs. We assume that each output has its own likelihood function and use a vector-valued Gaussian process prior to jointly model the parameters in all likelihoods as latent functions. Our multi-output Gaussian process uses a c…

2018-05-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Optimal algorithms identify non-dominated arms in multi-output linear bandit models.

problem Identifying the Pareto Set in multi-output linear bandit models.
method Design-based algorithms for Pareto Set Identification (PSI) in a structured multi-output linear bandit model.
result Nearly optimal guarantees in both fixed-budget and fixed-confidence settings.

The necessary and sufficient conditions for existence of a generalized representer theorem are presented for learning Hilbert space-valued functions. Representer theorems involving explicit basis functions and Reproducing Kernels are a common occurrence in various machine learning algorithms like generalized least squa…

2018-09-19abs ↗pdf ↗

MO-GP models fill gaps in biophysical data with across-domain info transfer.

problem Gap filling of biophysical parameters LAI and fAPAR over rice areas.
method Multi-output Gaussian Processes (MO-GP) based on Linear Model of Coregionalization (LMC).
result MO-GP models successfully predict biophysical variables even in high missing data regimes.

We present MOGPTK, a Python package for multi-channel data modelling using Gaussian processes (GP). The aim of this toolkit is to make multi-output GP (MOGP) models accessible to researchers, data scientists, and practitioners alike. MOGPTK uses a Python front-end, relies on the GPflow suite and is built on a TensorFlo…

2020-02-09abs ↗pdf ↗

The study addresses negative transfer in multi-output Gaussian processes by proposing latent structures.

problem Negative transfer in multi-output Gaussian processes leading to decreased performance.
method Defining negative transfer, deriving conditions for avoiding it, proposing latent structures.
result Latent structures can avoid negative transfer and scale to large datasets.

Physics-informed model predicts beam stiffness and monitors structural health.

problem Predicting and monitoring the stiffness of Euler-Bernoulli beams.
method Physics-informed Gaussian process model using the Euler-Bernoulli beam equation.
result Model accurately predicts bending stiffness and detects structural damage.

Positive definite operator-valued kernels generalize the well-known notion of reproducing kernels, and are naturally adapted to multi-output learning situations. This paper addresses the problem of learning a finite linear combination of infinite-dimensional operator-valued kernels which are suitable for extending func…

2012-03-07abs ↗pdf ↗