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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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70140209279 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for Moving Target Monte Carlo

We propose kernel sequential Monte Carlo (KSMC), a framework for sampling from static target densities. KSMC is a family of sequential Monte Carlo algorithms that are based on building emulator models of the current particle system in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space. We here focus on modelling nonlinear covariance s…

2015-10-11abs ↗pdf ↗

New method samples from piecewise smooth distributions using Hamiltonian Monte Carlo.

problem Sampling from distributions with discontinuous gradients.
method Generalized Randomized Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (GRHMC) for piecewise smooth targets.
result GRHMC processes sample from piecewise smooth target distributions with the desired distribution as the invariant distribution.

New MCMC methods use auxiliary variables to sample from intractable distributions.

problem Sampling from distributions with unknown normalizing constants.
method Unified Markov chain Monte Carlo framework with auxiliary variables.
result New algorithms outperform existing methods on synthetic and real datasets.

Quantum computing techniques applied to Monte Carlo simulations in finance.

problem Efficiently simulating quantum algorithms for financial modeling.
method Introduces quantum computing basics, amplitude estimation, and Grover's algorithm for unstructured search.
result Demonstrates quantum approaches to Monte Carlo integration and counting in finance.

New algorithm speeds up MCMC for complex distributions.

problem Efficient sampling from complex, high-dimensional distributions.
method Numerical Generalized Randomized Hamiltonian Monte Carlo with state-dependent event rates.
result Approximates Hamiltonian trajectories for robust sampling.

The paper proposes a neural network architecture inspired by Langevin Monte Carlo for sampling from target distributions.

problem Sampling from complex target distributions efficiently.
method A neural network architecture inspired by Langevin Monte Carlo is proposed to map samples from a simple reference distribution to samples from the target.
result The proposed neural network architecture achieves approximation rates in the Wasserstein-2 distance for smooth, log-concave target distributions.

Pricing options is an important problem in financial engineering. In many scenarios of practical interest, financial option prices associated to an underlying asset reduces to computing an expectation w.r.t.~a diffusion process. In general, these expectations cannot be calculated analytically, and one way to approximat…

2016-08-11abs ↗pdf ↗

A new Monte Carlo sampling method derived from reverse diffusion.

problem Sampling from complex distributions, especially multi-modal ones.
method Transforming score matching into mean estimation; estimating means of regularized posterior distributions.
result rdMC can approximate sampling with any desired accuracy and is significantly faster than MCMC for complex distributions.

New methods improve efficiency of sampling algorithms for complex systems.

problem Efficiently sampling from complex, high-dimensional probability distributions.
method Randomized Runge-Kutta-Nyström methods tailored for Hamiltonian flows.
result Quantitative 5/25/2-order L2L^2-accuracy in approximating Hamiltonian flows.

A new method samples from a target density without initial samples using Monte Carlo estimation of the score.

problem Sampling from a target density without initial samples.
method Monte Carlo estimation of the score using oracle access to the log likelihood.
result Samples can be produced from the target density without needing initial samples.

We show how to speed up Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) for Bayesian inference in large data problems by data subsampling. SMC sequentially updates a cloud of particles through a sequence of distributions, beginning with a distribution that is easy to sample from such as the prior and ending with the posterior distributio…

2018-05-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Adaptive sampling method improves efficiency in complex target distributions.

problem Efficiency of importance sampling in complex target distributions, especially multimodal distributions in high-dimensional spaces.
method Proposes an adaptive scheme combining global sampling with delayed weighting to promote efficient exploration of target distributions.
result The proposed algorithm is geometrically convergent under mild assumptions and demonstrates improved efficiency in various numerical experiments.

Training-free method improves large language model sequence quality via reward-guided sampling.

problem Optimizing large language model sequence quality over token likelihood.
method Reward-augmented target distribution combined with Sequential Monte Carlo sampling.
result Significant gains in sequence generation and mathematical reasoning tasks.

Conventional Monte Carlo simulations are stochastic in the sense that the acceptance of a trial move is decided by comparing a computed acceptance probability with a random number, uniformly distributed between 0 and 1. Here we consider the case that the weight determining the acceptance probability itself is fluctuati…

2016-12-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Study improves sampling from complex distributions using annealed Langevin Monte Carlo.

problem Sampling from non-log-concave and multimodal distributions.
method Annealed Langevin Monte Carlo algorithm with theoretical guarantees.
result Oracle complexity of O(dβ²A²/ε⁶) for achieving ε² accuracy in Kullback-Leibler divergence.

Self-distillation improves constrained language generation by aligning models with target distributions.

problem Sparse and uninformative reward signals in constrained generation settings.
method Iteratively refining the base model through self-distillation, incorporating learned twist functions and proposals.
result Substantial gains in generation quality through improved model alignment with target distributions.

Enhances SMC² with Hessian info for more efficient posterior approximation.

problem Improving accuracy and efficiency in Bayesian inference.
method Integrates second-order information (Hessian) into SMC²'s proposal distribution.
result Second-order proposals lead to more accurate posterior approximations and better step-size selection.

This paper analyzes the bias of inexact MCMC methods in high dimensions.

problem Understanding the bias of inexact MCMC methods in high-dimensional spaces.
method Establishing bounds on Wasserstein distances between inexact MCMC methods and target distributions.
result The asymptotic bias of ULA and uHMC depends on key quantities related to the target distribution or the stationary probability measure of the scheme.

SRMC framework reduces Monte Carlo variance by history-based sampling in high-dimensional spaces.

problem Efficient sampling in high-dimensional discrete or continuous state spaces.
method Score-Repellent Monte Carlo (SRMC) framework that summarizes history through running average of score evaluations.
result Improves estimator variance and mode coverage with constant memory usage.

Simplified uHMC with time integration improves accuracy and efficiency.

problem Improving the efficiency and accuracy of Hamiltonian Monte Carlo algorithms.
method Randomized time integrator for uHMC with stratified Monte Carlo.
result Achieves more accurate approximations with fewer gradient evaluations.

A new MCMC method combines low and high-fidelity models to reduce computation.

problem Inefficient computation of expensive target densities in scientific applications.
method Pseudo-marginal MCMC approach using a telescoping series of low-fidelity models.
result Asymptotically exact multi-fidelity MCMC algorithms for reduced computational cost.

New bounds for SMC show its advantage over MCMC in multimodal distributions.

problem Estimating expectations under multimodal distributions with slow global mixing.
method Proves finite sample complexities for SMC with local mixing times, addressing bias through sequential resampling.
result SMC provides fully polynomial time approximation for multimodal problems.

Extends double linear policy with time-varying weights and proves robust positive expectation.

problem Ensuring robustness in policy optimization with time-varying parameters.
method Employed a novel elementary symmetric polynomials characterization approach to prove robust positive expectation (RPE). Derived explicit expressions for expected cumulative gain-loss and variance.
result Proved the robust positive expectation property holds for the extended double linear policy.

Develops diffusion samplers for target distributions with efficient score and density estimates.

problem Estimating scores and densities for time-varying distributions.
method Sequential Monte Carlo with diffusion paths and control variates.
result Effective samplers for time-varying distributions with theoretical guarantees and practical applications.

We explore a general framework in Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling where sequential proposals are tried as a candidate for the next state of the Markov chain. This sequential-proposal framework can be applied to various existing MCMC methods, including Metropolis-Hastings algorithms using random proposals and m…

2019-07-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Sampling from posterior distributions using Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods can require an exhaustive number of iterations, particularly when the posterior is multi-modal as the MCMC sampler can become trapped in a local mode for a large number of iterations. In this paper, we introduce the pseudo-extended MCMC…

2017-08-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is a popular Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm that generates proposals for a Metropolis-Hastings algorithm by simulating the dynamics of a Hamiltonian system. However, HMC is sensitive to large time discretizations and performs poorly if there is a mismatch between the spatial geo…

2016-09-14abs ↗pdf ↗