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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,694 papers · 148 categories

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4158311,2461,661 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Monte Carlo Graph Learning

Introduces data augmentation for graph convolutional networks, proposing Monte Carlo Graph Learning.

problem Lack of transparency in graph convolutional networks.
method Data augmentation through graph structure, training traditional classifiers on expanded training set.
result MCGL shows better tolerance to graph structure noise than GCN on noisy graphs.

Boost GNNs for node classification by incorporating label dependencies.

problem Current GNNs lack expressiveness and fail to capture label dependencies.
method Proposes a collective learning framework combining collective classification and self-supervised learning.
result Consistent, significant improvement in node classification accuracy across various GNNs.

TTERGM models improve social network predictions by incorporating triadic relationships.

problem Lack of models capturing triadic relationships and social learning theories in temporal network data.
method Introduced TTERGM, a generative model that includes triadic relationships and social learning theory as additional probability distributions. Parameters are estimated via Monte Carlo maximum likelihood.
result TTERGM achieves improved accuracy and fidelity compared to existing models on social network data.

SLMC improves sampling efficiency for high-dimensional distributions.

problem Sampling from high-dimensional distributions is computationally challenging.
method SLMC projects Langevin updates onto subsampled eigenblocks of a time-varying preconditioner.
result SLMC offers superior adaptability and computational efficiency compared to traditional methods.

ParaMonte::Python streamlines Bayesian data analysis with fast Monte Carlo and MCMC routines.

problem Efficiently sampling posterior distributions in Bayesian modeling and data science.
method Serial and MPI-parallelized Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) routines.
result Automated model calibration and uncertainty quantification in Bayesian analysis.

Monte Carlo Tree Search improves financial derivative hedging efficiency.

problem Optimizing pricing and hedging of derivative contracts in incomplete markets.
method Integrates tree search techniques with Reinforcement Learning for optimal control problems.
result Monte Carlo Tree Search outperforms QQ-learning in sample efficiency and learning speed.

This paper reviews various sampling methods from statistics and machine learning.

problem Addressing sampling methods in statistics and machine learning.
method Explains and reviews simple random sampling, bootstrapping, stratified sampling, cluster sampling, multistage sampling, network sampling, snowball sampling, and sampling from cumulative distribution function.
result Summarizes characteristics, pros, and cons of different sampling methods.

ParaMonte simplifies Monte Carlo simulations for various scientific fields.

problem Efficiently performing Monte Carlo simulations for complex models.
method Unified, high-performance, parallelized library for C, C++, Fortran.
result Automates and streamlines Monte Carlo sampling for arbitrary-dimensional functions.

Paper analyzes and accelerates Langevin Monte Carlo methods using large deviations theory.

problem High-dimensional sampling problems in machine learning.
method Unified approach using large deviations theory to study and accelerate Langevin dynamics variants.
result Efficiency of Langevin dynamics variants demonstrated through numerical experiments.

New algorithms bound treatment effects with unmeasured confounding.

problem Estimating causal effects when confounding is unmeasured.
method Formulate causal effects as objective functions in optimization, using stochastic methods and Monte Carlo.
result Efficient algorithms for bounded treatment effects in complex settings.

New wavelet frames constructed from reproducing kernels for continuous and discrete domains.

problem Generating wavelet frames on non-Euclidean structures.
method Spectral filtering of integral operators associated with reproducing kernels.
result Discrete frames as Monte Carlo estimates of continuous frames, with finite-sample rates derived.

Unified Bayesian framework for quantifying GNN uncertainty.

problem Quantifying uncertainty in GNN predictions due to modeling errors and measurement uncertainty.
method Unified Bayesian framework with aleatoric uncertainty from probabilistic links and feature noise, and epistemic uncertainty from model parameter distribution. Uses Assumed Density Filtering for aleatoric uncertainty and Monte Carlo dropout for model parameter uncertainty.
result Bayesian model performs similarly to frequentist model and provides additional uncertainty information.

Paper improves Monte Carlo sampling with new theoretical insights and methods.

problem Improving Monte Carlo sampling for variance reduction.
method Theoretical analysis of negatively dependent random variables and novel extensions using number theory and particle algorithms.
result Near-Orthogonal Monte Carlo (NOMC) consistently outperforms Orthogonal Monte Carlo (OMC) in various applications.

SBMC method improves uncertainty estimation in deep learning models.

problem Improving uncertainty quantification in deep learning models.
method A scalable Bayesian Monte Carlo method using a model and parallel SMC/MCMC algorithm.
result SBMC achieves comparable or better accuracy and improved uncertainty quantification compared to state-of-the-art methods.

PEMC uses ML to enhance Monte Carlo simulations, reducing variance and runtime.

problem Computational inefficiency in Monte Carlo simulations for complex tasks.
method Prediction-Enhanced Monte Carlo (PEMC) framework that uses ML surrogates as predictors.
result PEMC provides unbiased evaluations with reduced variance and runtime compared to standard Monte Carlo.

EEGNN improves graph neural networks by enhancing graph structure.

problem Mis-simplification of graphs by removing self-loops and unweighted edges reduces GNN performance.
method Proposes EEGNN framework using DMPGM for better graph structural information.
result EEGNN achieves significant performance improvement over baselines.

RQMC improves kernel-based learning by reducing deterministic error and offering computational advantages.

problem Improving kernel-based learning methods to reduce deterministic error and computational complexity.
method Randomized quasi-Monte Carlo (RQMC) methods applied to random feature approximations.
result RQMC methods improve deterministic approximation error bound from OP(1/M)O_P(1/\sqrt{M}) to O(1/M)O(1/M), matching QMC methods.

We introduce a stacking version of the Monte Carlo algorithm in the context of option pricing. Introduced recently for aeronautic computations, this simple technique, in the spirit of current machine learning ideas, learns control variates by approximating Monte Carlo draws with some specified function. We describe the…

2019-03-26abs ↗pdf ↗

PL-MCMC samples from normalizing flows' conditional distributions.

problem Sampling from complex conditional distributions learned by normalizing flows.
method Metropolis-Hastings implementation of PL-MCMC.
result PL-MCMC asymptotically samples from exact conditional distributions.

Many machine learning problems involve Monte Carlo gradient estimators. As a prominent example, we focus on Monte Carlo variational inference (MCVI) in this paper. The performance of MCVI crucially depends on the variance of its stochastic gradients. We propose variance reduction by means of Quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) sam…

2018-07-04abs ↗pdf ↗

New method denoises graph signals using wavelets, scalable for large graphs.

problem Denoising graph signals with overcomplete tight frames and correlated noise.
method Data-driven wavelet tight frame, Stein's unbiased risk estimate, Chebyshev-Jackson polynomial approximations, Monte-Carlo strategy.
result Method scales to large graphs and finds applications in differential privacy.

New insights into variational inference using Monte Carlo estimates.

problem Improving variational bounds in latent variable models.
method Analyzing properties of Monte Carlo estimates and their impact on variational gaps.
result Negative correlation reduces variational gaps, contrary to intuition.

A new method combines AIS and SMCI for efficient evaluation of Ising models.

problem Efficiently evaluating expectations on Ising models under various temperatures.
method Combining Annealed Importance Sampling (AIS) and Spatial Monte Carlo Integration (SMCI).
result The proposed method performs efficiently in both high- and low-temperature regions.

A new Monte Carlo sampling method derived from reverse diffusion.

problem Sampling from complex distributions, especially multi-modal ones.
method Transforming score matching into mean estimation; estimating means of regularized posterior distributions.
result rdMC can approximate sampling with any desired accuracy and is significantly faster than MCMC for complex distributions.

New method reduces uncertainty in AI-driven Monte Carlo simulations.

problem Epistemic uncertainty in AI surrogate models affects Monte Carlo sampling outcomes.
method Penalty Ensemble Method (PEM) modifies Metropolis acceptance rule to increase rejection probability in uncertain regions.
result PEM enhances reliability of Monte Carlo simulations by reducing uncertainty propagation.

The paper predicts cryptocurrency prices using a path-dependent Monte Carlo simulation.

problem Forecasting cryptocurrency prices with volatility and jumps.
method Merton's jump diffusion model with machine learning, traditional, and statistical methods.
result Introduced a path-dependent Monte Carlo simulation for cryptocurrency price prediction.

Utility based methods provide a very general theoretically consistent approach to pricing and hedging of securities in incomplete financial markets. Solving problems in the utility based framework typically involves dynamic programming, which in practise can be difficult to implement. This article presents a Monte Carl…

2002-11-25abs ↗pdf ↗