A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Study on identifying and inferring nonlinear dynamics on unknown networks.
problem Identifying network structure in nonlinear dynamic systems with unknown interactions.
method Showed network structure is not generically identified, requiring sufficient spectral heterogeneity. Developed necessary and sufficient conditions for identification and proposed a semiparametric estimator.
result Necessary and sufficient conditions for identification of network structure in nonlinear dynamic systems.
Equation discovery methods enable modelers to combine domain-specific knowledge and system identification to construct models most suitable for a selected modeling task. The method described and evaluated in this paper can be used as a nonlinear system identification method for gray-box modeling. It consists of two int…
Simplified identification methods for causal inference with arbitrary interventional distributions.
problem Estimating cause-effect relationships from data with experimental interventions.
method Using Single World Intervention Graphs and nested model factorization, we provide algorithms for identifying causal parameters from mixed observational and interventional distributions.
result Our algorithms are complete for certain types of interventional marginal distributions.
Modeling dynamical systems is important in many disciplines, e.g., control, robotics, or neurotechnology. Commonly the state of these systems is not directly observed, but only available through noisy and potentially high-dimensional observations. In these cases, system identification, i.e., finding the measurement map…
We establish a connection between trend filtering and system identification which results in a family of new identification methods for linear, time-varying (LTV) dynamical models based on convex optimization. We demonstrate how the design of the cost function promotes a model with either a continuous change in dynamic…
Recent developments within deep learning are relevant for nonlinear system identification problems. In this paper, we establish connections between the deep learning and the system identification communities. It has recently been shown that convolutional architectures are at least as capable as recurrent architectures …
This paper addresses the identification of insurance models with multidimensional screening where insurees have private information about their risk and risk aversion. The model includes a random damage and the possibility of several claims. Screening of insurees relies on their certainty equivalence. The paper then in…
We introduce a new family of graphical models that consists of graphs with possibly directed, undirected and bidirected edges but without directed cycles. We show that these models are suitable for representing causal models with additive error terms. We provide a set of sufficient graphical criteria for the identifica…
A new Bayesian approach to linear system identification has been proposed in a series of recent papers. The main idea is to frame linear system identification as predictor estimation in an infinite dimensional space, with the aid of regularization/Bayesian techniques. This approach guarantees the identification of stab…
This work is devoted to modelling and identification of the dynamics of the inter-sectoral balance of a macroeconomic system. An approach to the problem of specification and identification of a weakly formalized dynamical system is developed. A matching procedure for parameters of a linear stationary Cauchy problem wit…
Objective: Patient notes in electronic health records (EHRs) may contain critical information for medical investigations. However, the vast majority of medical investigators can only access de-identified notes, in order to protect the confidentiality of patients. In the United States, the Health Insurance Portability a…
Volterra series are especially useful for nonlinear system identification, also thanks to their capability to approximate a broad range of input-output maps. However, their identification from a finite set of data is hard, due to the curse of dimensionality. Recent approaches have shown how regularized kernel-based met…
An adversarial process between two deep neural networks is a promising approach to train a robust model. In this paper, we propose an adversarial process using cosine similarity, whereas conventional adversarial processes are based on inverted categorical cross entropy (CCE). When used for training an identification mo…
IIC decouples causal identification into two phases, significantly reducing the HTC gap in linear SEMs.
problem Determining causal effect coefficients in linear SEMs with latent confounders using the Half-Trek Criterion (HTC) leaves a gap of inconclusive causal effects.
method Iterative Identification Closure (IIC) framework that decouples causal identification into two phases: a seed function S_0 and Reduced HTC propagation.
result IIC strictly subsumes both HTC and ancestor decomposition, reducing the HTC gap by over 80% with combined seeds.
Gaussian process state-space models (GP-SSMs) are a very flexible family of models of nonlinear dynamical systems. They comprise a Bayesian nonparametric representation of the dynamics of the system and additional (hyper-)parameters governing the properties of this nonparametric representation. The Bayesian formalism e…