New method certifies joint adversarial robustness of model ensembles.
problem Ensuring robustness of model ensembles against adversarial attacks.
method Proposes a novel technique to certify joint robustness, building on prior work on single-model robustness certification.
result Demonstrates the effectiveness of certifying joint robustness of ensembles, improving understanding of ensemble defenses.
Transforms ensemble predictions to maintain interpretability.
problem Loss of interpretability in deep ensembles.
method Proposes transformation ensembles that aggregate predictions while preserving interpretability.
result Transformation ensembles yield better predictions than individual models and maintain interpretability.
Overparameterized ensembles don't offer generalization benefits over single large models.
problem Theoretical limitations of ensembles in overparameterized settings.
method Using ensembles of random feature (RF) regressors, the paper clarifies how modern ensembles differ from underparameterized counterparts.
result Infinite ensembles of overparameterized RF regressors become pointwise equivalent to single infinite-width RF regressors, and finite width ensembles converge to single models with the same parameter budget.
Multi-headed ensembles boost model performance with faster training.
problem Limited computational resources hinder ensemble search performance.
method Extend NES to multi-headed ensembles, leveraging end-to-end training and one-shot NAS methods.
result Multi-headed ensemble search finds robust ensembles 3 times faster with comparable performance.
Self-paced ensemble learning improves audio classification models.
problem Improving performance of individual models in speech and audio classification.
method A self-paced ensemble learning scheme where models learn from each other over several iterations.
result SPEL significantly outperforms baseline ensemble models.
Embedded ensembles improve neural network performance efficiently.
problem Improving neural network performance with fewer resources.
method Analyzing the wide network limit of gradient descent dynamics using Neural-Tangent-Kernel.
result Embedded ensembles exhibit two regimes: independent and collective, affecting performance.
High-capacity neural network ensembles often benefit more from high-capacity models than from increased diversity.
problem The performance of high-capacity neural network ensembles is often harmed by interventions that promote predictive diversity.
method A large-scale study of nearly 600 neural network classification ensembles, examining various interventions and architectures.
result Discouraging predictive diversity can be benign in large-network ensembles, and higher-capacity models often yield better performance than diverse architectures.
This research tackles uncertainty in gradient boosting models using ensemble methods.
problem Quantifying uncertainty in gradient boosting models for high-risk applications.
method Probabilistic ensemble-based framework for gradient boosting classification and regression models.
result Ensembles of gradient boosting models detect anomalous inputs but have limited ability to improve total uncertainty.
Auto-Ensemble automates deep learning model ensembling with adaptive learning rate scheduling.
problem Difficulty in collecting diverse and accurate deep learning models through single training.
method Auto-Ensemble collects model checkpoints and uses adaptive learning rate scheduling to ensemble them.
result Ensembled models converge to various local optima, improving performance on few-shot learning.
Ensembles of random-feature models can't outperform a single large model.
problem Finding the optimal balance between model size and ensemble size.
method Deterministic equivalent risk estimates and scaling laws analysis.
result Ensembles of random-feature models achieve near-optimal performance only under specific conditions.
In this article, we propose a novel ensemble technique with a multi-scheme weighting based on a technique called coopetitive soft gating. This technique combines both, ensemble member competition and cooperation, in order to maximize the overall forecasting accuracy of the ensemble. The proposed algorithm combines the …
Jointly tuning ensemble models improves performance and uncertainty calibration.
problem Improving both predictive performance and uncertainty calibration in deep ensembles.
method Investigated the impact of jointly tuning weight decay, temperature scaling, and early stopping.
result Jointly tuning ensemble models generally matches or improves performance, with significant variation across tasks.
The paper explores dynamic ensembles for multi-step forecasting.
problem Lack of research on dynamic ensembles for multi-step forecasting.
method Extensive experiments with 3568 time series and an ensemble of 30 multi-output models.
result Dynamic ensembles based on arbitrating and windowing perform best.
Fed-ensemble improves FL by averaging predictions from multiple models.
problem Improving generalization in federated learning.
method Random permutations to update K models, averaging predictions.
result Predictions from all K models have the same predictive posterior distribution.
Ensembles of models often yield improvements in system performance. These ensemble approaches have also been empirically shown to yield robust measures of uncertainty, and are capable of distinguishing between different \emph{forms} of uncertainty. However, ensembles come at a computational and memory cost which may be…
Ensembles of neural networks have been shown to give better performance than single networks, both in terms of predictions and uncertainty estimation. Additionally, ensembles allow the uncertainty to be decomposed into aleatoric (data) and epistemic (model) components, giving a more complete picture of the predictive u…
In this paper, we propose to provide a general ensemble learning framework based on deep learning models. Given a group of unit models, the proposed deep ensemble learning framework will effectively combine their learning results via a multilayered ensemble model. In the case when the unit model mathematical mappings a…
Ensemble methods get better with more models if loss function is convex.
problem Whether ensemble methods improve with more models.
method Analyzing different ensemble methods and loss functions.
result Ensembles get better with more models only if the loss function is convex.
Voting ensemble of robust models improves robustness.
problem Improving robustness of defensive models against adversarial attacks.
method Hard-label voting ensemble of pretrained robust models.
result Voting ensemble can boost robust error over individual models.
We propose an algorithm to enhance certified robustness of a deep model ensemble by optimally weighting each base model. Unlike previous works on using ensembles to empirically improve robustness, our algorithm is based on optimizing a guaranteed robustness certificate of neural networks. Our proposed ensemble framewor…
Bayesian Neural Networks improve geophysical model ensembles with reduced uncertainty.
problem Improving geophysical model projections and uncertainty quantification.
method Developed a Bayesian Neural Network ensemble strategy for geophysical models.
result Bayesian Neural Network ensemble outperforms existing methods in ozone prediction.
Tree ensembles, such as random forest and boosted trees, are renowned for their high prediction performance, whereas their interpretability is critically limited. In this paper, we propose a post processing method that improves the model interpretability of tree ensembles. After learning a complex tree ensembles in a s…
ForestPrune optimizes tree ensemble pruning for compactness and speed.
problem Large tree ensembles in predictive models consume excessive memory and reduce interpretability.
method Developed a specialized optimization algorithm to efficiently prune tree ensembles by depth layers.
result ForestPrune produces compact, high-performing models that outperform existing post-processing methods.
Deep neural network (DNN) has demonstrated its success in multiple domains. However, DNN models are inherently vulnerable to adversarial examples, which are generated by adding adversarial perturbations to benign inputs to fool the DNN model to misclassify. In this paper, we present a cross-layer strategic ensemble fra…
Ensembling DNNs improves minority group performance, leading to fairness.
problem Improving subgroup performances in DNN classifiers.
method Simple homogeneous ensembling of DNNs.
result Fairness naturally emerges from ensembling, improving minority group performance.
Ensembles of models have been empirically shown to improve predictive performance and to yield robust measures of uncertainty. However, they are expensive in computation and memory. Therefore, recent research has focused on distilling ensembles into a single compact model, reducing the computational and memory burden o…
New method improves ensemble quality by exploring the pre-train basin more effectively.
problem Limited diversity in ensembles trained from a single pre-trained checkpoint.
method Proposed StarSSE modification of Snapshot Ensembles for transfer learning.
result Stronger ensembles and uniform model soups achieved.
Large models collapse epistemic uncertainty, challenging traditional wisdom.
problem Epistemic uncertainty collapse in large models.
method Implicit ensembling and decomposition techniques.
result Larger models can collapse epistemic uncertainty, contrary to expectations.
Ensemble learning is a methodology that integrates multiple DNN learners for improving prediction performance of individual learners. Diversity is greater when the errors of the ensemble prediction is more uniformly distributed. Greater diversity is highly correlated with the increase in ensemble accuracy. Another attr…
LOTOS improves ensemble robustness by promoting orthogonal transformations.
problem Transferability of adversarial examples threatens robustness of classification models.
method LOTOS promotes orthogonality among sub-spaces of transformations in ensemble models.
result LOTOS increases robust accuracy of ensembles by 6 percentage points against black-box attacks.
Ensembling improves performance when classifiers disagree more than average.
problem When do ensembles provide significant performance improvements in classification tasks?
method Theoretical and empirical analysis of ensemble improvement rate and disagreement-error ratio.
result Ensembling improves performance significantly when the disagreement rate is large relative to the average error rate.
Enhanced ensemble filters use machine learning to improve accuracy in filtering models.
problem Accuracy limitations of traditional ensemble Kalman filters.
method Introduces a measure neural mapping (MNM) to map joint predicted state and observation to updated state estimates.
result Superior root-mean-square-error performance compared to leading methods in filtering models.
Heterogeneous ensembles built from the predictions of a wide variety and large number of diverse base predictors represent a potent approach to building predictive models for problems where the ideal base/individual predictor may not be obvious. Ensemble selection is an especially promising approach here, not only for …
New ensemble method improves model stability exponentially.
problem Improving model stability for discontinuous base learners.
method Selecting the most frequently generated model from subsamples.
result Exponentially decaying tails for excess risk.
New framework learns interpretable rule ensembles without sacrificing accuracy.
problem Trade-off between accuracy and interpretability in rule ensembles.
method Introduces local interpretability and a regularizer to promote it, using coordinate descent with local search.
result Learns rule ensembles with fewer rules to explain individual predictions, maintaining comparable accuracy.
Tree ensembles, such as random forests and boosted trees, are renowned for their high prediction performance. However, their interpretability is critically limited due to the enormous complexity. In this study, we present a method to make a complex tree ensemble interpretable by simplifying the model. Specifically, we …
Gestalt combines two models to improve SQuAD2.0 performance.
problem Improving the accuracy of answering questions in context paragraphs.
method A stacking ensemble of ALBERT and RoBERTa models, combined with a CNN-based meta-model.
result Best ensemble achieved 87.117 EM and 90.306 F1 scores, improving baseline by 0.55% and 0.61% respectively.
Ensembles dynamic models using random feature approximations.
problem Online scalable Bayesian learning with dynamic models and ensembling.
method Random feature approximations and dynamic models using random walks.
result Better performance with alternative basis expansions like Hilbert space Gaussian processes.
MAC combines models without locking them, improving ensemble performance.
problem Improving ensemble learning performance with flexibility.
method Model agnostic combination technique that dynamically combines models.
result MAC outperforms classical methods and competitive to boosting.
Study on ensemble, distillation, and self-distillation in deep learning models.
problem Improving test accuracy in deep learning models using ensemble and distillation methods.
method Formal study of ensemble and distillation, considering multi-view data structure.
result Proven that ensemble and distillation can improve test accuracy in deep learning models, and the superior performance can be distilled into a single model.
Proposes a new method for ensembling neural subnetworks.
problem Computational expense and limited flexibility of traditional deep ensembles.
method Sequential Bayesian neural subnetwork ensembling.
result Outperforms traditional ensembles in various metrics.
Ensemble sampling approximates Thompson sampling for complex models.
problem Computational intractability of exact posterior distributions.
method Thompson sampling approximation with information-theoretic concepts.
result Established a first rigorous regret bound for ensemble sampling.
The paper analyzes and minimizes transferability of adversarial attacks between models in an ensemble.
problem Adversarial attacks can transfer between models, posing security risks.
method Introduces a gradient-based measure to assess and reduce transferability, and uses it during training to increase robustness.
result Demonstrates that the gradient-based measure can be used to increase an ensemble's robustness to adversarial attacks.
CE improves climate uncertainty quantification using GCM ensembles and observational data.
problem Uncertainty in climate projections due to model inadequacies and variability.
method Conformal ensembles integrating GCM ensembles and observational data.
result CE generates statistically rigorous, easy-to-interpret uncertainty estimates.
A new method selects models for ensemble learning to maximize mutual information, outperforming existing approaches.
problem Selecting models for ensemble learning to improve performance and reduce correlation issues.
method Formulate budgeted ensemble selection as maximizing mutual information, use Gaussian-copula to model correlated errors, propose a greedy mutual-information selection algorithm.
result Our method consistently outperforms strong baselines across multiple datasets.
VGE provides a practical approach to uncertainty estimation in ensemble models.
problem Uncertainty estimation in ensemble models using additive decomposition breaks down.
method Variance-Gated Ensembles (VGE) introduces a differentiable framework with a signal-to-noise gate.
result VGE provides a Variance-Gated Margin Uncertainty (VGMU) score and Variance-Gated Normalization (VGN) layer.
In this paper we propose to perform model ensembling in a multiclass or a multilabel learning setting using Wasserstein (W.) barycenters. Optimal transport metrics, such as the Wasserstein distance, allow incorporating semantic side information such as word embeddings. Using W. barycenters to find the consensus between…
This study evaluates the robustness of transformation-based ensemble defense against evasion attacks.
problem Understanding the reasons behind the robustness improvement in transformation-based ensemble defense.
method Designing two adaptive attacks to evaluate transformation-based ensemble defense, conducting experiments to analyze robustness.
result The robustness improvement is mainly from irreversible transformations rather than the ensemble of models.