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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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4385128170 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Modal Uncertainty

A framework for uncertainty-aware multimodal learning using conformal Shapley intervals.

problem Uncertainty and modality level importance in multimodal learning.
method Introduces conformal Shapley intervals to quantify modality level importance and uncertainty.
result Demonstrates meaningful uncertainty quantification and strong predictive performance.

This work tackles uncertainty in multi-agent multi-modal trajectory forecasting.

problem Measuring and ranking uncertainty in multi-agent multi-modal trajectory forecasting.
method Proposes collaborative uncertainty (CU) and a CU-aware regression framework.
result The CU-aware regression framework improves SOTA systems' performances.

Paper proposes a new framework for robust multi-modal data fusion under uncertainty.

problem Unexpected modality failures in nonlinear non-Gaussian dynamic processes.
method Dynamic model averaging (DMA) based particle filter (PF) algorithm.
result The proposed solution outperforms state-of-the-art methods in experiments.

This paper uses robust optimization to analyze supply chain resilience.

problem Supply chain resilience analysis of multi-modal logistics networks.
method Robust optimization with budget-of-uncertainty.
result Interactive effects of network size, disruption scale, and degree on resilience.

Develops multi-modal neural network models for improved prediction and uncertainty quantification.

problem Improving prediction accuracy and uncertainty quantification for multi-modal data.
method Multi-modal Bayesian neural network models with conjugate last-layer estimation using SVI.
result Improved prediction accuracy and uncertainty quantification compared to uni-modal models.

Framework estimates multiple plausible solutions with uncertainty measures.

problem Machine learning models need to propose multiple plausible solutions with meaningful uncertainty.
method Discrete latent variables model one-to-many mappings, allowing effective conditional probability estimation.
result Framework outperforms state-of-the-art in uncertainty estimation and is practical.

Shifts dataset evaluates uncertainty in real-world tasks across modalities.

problem Lack of standard datasets for evaluating uncertainty estimation and robustness to distributional shift.
method Proposes Shifts Dataset for evaluation of uncertainty estimates and robustness to distributional shift across tabular, audio, text, and sensor data.
result Baseline results for tabular weather prediction, machine translation, and SDC vehicle motion prediction.

Bayesian SSI improves modal parameter uncertainty in operational systems.

problem Uncertainty in modal parameters due to stochastic operational systems and lack of forcing information.
method Proposes a Bayesian stochastic subspace identification (SSI) algorithm with a hierarchical probabilistic model and two inference schemes (Markov Chain Monte Carlo and variational Bayes).
result Posterior distributions over modal properties are obtained, showing lower variance for mean values coinciding with natural frequencies.

Integrates neural encoders into GLMMs for multimodal data analysis.

problem Scalable Bayesian inference for GLMMs assumes low-dimensional tabular predictors and does not handle high-dimensional modalities.
method Jointly learns modality-specific neural encoders with GLMM objective, performs variance-corrected stochastic-gradient MCMC.
result Preserves interpretable fixed and random effects while scaling to large longitudinal datasets.

Unified predictive uncertainty disentangled using deep split ensembles.

problem Understanding and quantifying uncertainty in NNs for real-world applications.
method Deep split ensemble approach using multivariate Gaussian mixture model.
result Inherently well-calibrated models with high flexibility to group features.

CAMul forecasts with calibrated and accurate multi-view time-series data.

problem Combining diverse data sources for reliable time-series forecasting.
method CAMul integrates multi-modal data views dynamically, assigning importance based on context.
result CAMul outperforms state-of-the-art models by 25% in accuracy and calibration.

Framework corrects model form errors in structural dynamics predictions.

problem Model form errors in parametric models of structural dynamics.
method Gaussian Process Latent Force Model (GPLFM) for non-parametric discrepancy representation, linear Bayesian filtering for state and discrepancy estimation, modal reduction for computational tractability.
result Significant reduction of displacement and rotation prediction errors under unseen excitations.

Bayesian approach reduces FL communication cost by one-shot.

problem High communication cost in optimization-based FL for high-dimensional models.
method Bayesian pseudocoresets and function-space inference for one-shot FL.
result Achieves prediction performance competitive to state-of-the-art with up to 2 orders of magnitude reduction in communication cost.

This paper improves ensemble learning for vision tasks by encouraging diversity in predictions.

problem Generating effective ensembles of neural networks for multi-modal data.
method Explicitly optimize a diversity inducing adversarial loss for learning stochastic latent variables.
result Significant improvements in classification accuracy and out-of-distribution detection compared to baselines.

Unified framework explains few-shot multimodal medical imaging performance.

problem Limited labeled data in rare diseases and low-resource settings.
method PAC learning, VC theory, PAC Bayesian analysis, information gain, Chain of Thought reasoning.
result Unified theoretical framework for few-shot multimodal medical imaging.

Bayesian neural networks improve SHD classification and uncertainty quantification.

problem Improving screening for structural heart disease using noninvasive ECG and echocardiography.
method Comparing frequentist and Bayesian neural network classifiers on the EchoNext dataset.
result Bayesian classifiers provide more robust uncertainty quantification.

This paper proposes MM-DAGs for analyzing traffic congestion, learning multiple DAGs jointly.

problem Analyzing multi-modal traffic data with overlapping and distinct variables.
method Developed MM-DAGs for multi-task, multi-modal DAG learning, using multi-modal regression and CD measure.
result Proved the effectiveness of MM-DAGs in traffic congestion analysis.

UncertaintyPlayground simplifies uncertainty estimation in Python.

problem Uncertainty estimation in supervised learning tasks.
method Sparse and Variational Gaussian Process Regressions for normally distributed outcomes, Mixed Density Networks for mixed distributions.
result Fast and simplified uncertainty estimation through Python library.

Enhances uncertainty estimation in medical image segmentation.

problem Frequency-related noise in medical imaging leads to biased uncertainty estimates.
method Extends MC-Dropout to the frequency domain for better uncertainty estimation.
result MC-Frequency Dropout improves calibration and uncertainty in semantic segmentation.

Adaptive anchor methods improve multi-modal learning by balancing intra-modal and inter-modal information.

problem Fixed anchor methods limit multi-modal learning by over-reliance on a single modality and inadequate cross-modal correlation.
method Adaptive anchor methods using centroid-based anchors from all modalities.
result Adaptive anchor methods like CentroBind consistently outperform fixed anchor methods across various datasets.

Efficient MCMC sampling in Bayesian neural networks by exploiting symmetries.

problem Challenges in Bayesian inference due to high-dimensional, multi-modal posterior density landscapes.
method Exploiting symmetries in the posterior landscape to restrict the parameter space and derive an upper bound on Monte Carlo chains.
result Efficient sampling is possible, offering a promising path for accurate uncertainty quantification in deep learning.

KD-Net transfers knowledge from multi-modal to mono-modal segmentation networks.

problem Limited acquisition of multiple imaging modalities in clinical settings.
method Generalized distillation framework adapted for mono-modal networks.
result The student network outperforms baseline mono-modal networks in brain tumor segmentation.

MHVAE learns cross-modality inference inspired by human cognition.

problem Cross-modality inference in multimodal data.
method Hierarchical multimodal generative model with modality-specific and joint-modality distributions.
result MHVAE performs on par with state-of-the-art models on multimodal datasets.

The paper analyzes and proposes an algorithm for multi-modal nonlinear embeddings with theoretical performance bounds.

problem Generalizability of multi-modal nonlinear embeddings to unseen data.
method Theoretical analysis and a multi-modal nonlinear representation learning algorithm motivated by performance bounds.
result The proposed algorithm yields promising performance in multi-modal image classification and cross-modal image-text retrieval applications.

COBRA reduces modality gap in cross-modal tasks.

problem Joint embedding spaces fail to sufficiently reduce modality gap in multi-modal tasks.
method COBRA trains image and text modalities in a joint fashion using Contrastive Predictive Coding and Noise Contrastive Estimation.
result COBRA significantly reduces the modality gap and generates robust joint-embedding space.

Proposes a novel network for CTR prediction by learning modality-specific and modality-invariant representations.

problem Learning good representation of items from multimodal features in E-commerce is challenging due to redundant information across modalities.
method Introduces a Multimodal Adversarial Representation Network (MARN) that calculates modality-specific weights and learns modality-invariant representations.
result Consistently achieves remarkable improvements over state-of-the-art methods in CTR prediction.

Combining complementary information from multiple modalities is intuitively appealing for improving the performance of learning-based approaches. However, it is challenging to fully leverage different modalities due to practical challenges such as varying levels of noise and conflicts between modalities. Existing metho…

2018-05-29abs ↗pdf ↗

We investigate deep generative models that can exchange multiple modalities bi-directionally, e.g., generating images from corresponding texts and vice versa. Recently, some studies handle multiple modalities on deep generative models, such as variational autoencoders (VAEs). However, these models typically assume that…

2016-11-07abs ↗pdf ↗

PhysVarMix predicts diverse urban trajectories with physics constraints.

problem Predicting complex urban agent trajectories with multiple plausible scenarios.
method Physics-informed variational mixture model combining learning and physics constraints.
result Superior performance compared to existing methods on benchmark datasets.

MoCA uses a novel autoencoder to analyze multi-modal health data.

problem Challenges in analyzing continuous multi-modal health data from wearable devices.
method Proposes MoCA, a self-supervised learning framework combining transformer and masked autoencoder methods.
result Demonstrates strong performance boosts across reconstruction and classification tasks.

Obtaining common representations from different modalities is important in that they are interchangeable with each other in a classification problem. For example, we can train a classifier on image features in the common representations and apply it to the testing of the text features in the representations. Existing m…

2016-12-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Framework for handling long-tailed multi-modal data.

problem Class imbalance and long-tailed distributions in multi-modal data.
method Multi-expert architecture with modality-specific networks and dynamic fusion weights.
result Framework outperforms existing methods in long-tailed, class-imbalanced scenarios.

TAP transfers knowledge from unlabeled data to improve cross-modal learning.

problem Improving supervised learning performance using unlabeled data from a different modality.
method Probabilistic approach for missing information estimation, kernel regression, cross-attention module, TAP neural network.
result TAP significantly improves generalization across different domains and neural network architectures.