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A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for Matthews Correlation Coefficient

In the last few years, many different performance measures have been introduced to overcome the weakness of the most natural metric, the Accuracy. Among them, Matthews Correlation Coefficient has recently gained popularity among researchers not only in machine learning but also in several application fields such as bio…

2010-08-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Enhanced metrics for multiclass classification improve on existing methods.

problem Lack of decisive poor classification results in existing multiclass metrics.
method Introduces three new metrics derived from multivariate Pearson correlation coefficients.
result New metrics decisively indicate poor classification results.

Logit-link models reveal socio-temporal effects on microfinance delinquency.

problem Understanding and quantifying socio-temporal factors affecting microfinance loan delinquency.
method Developed and evaluated discrete-time logit-link models with fixed-effects and frailty extensions.
result Simple random intercept structures capture latent heterogeneity in microfinance repayment behavior.

This paper visualizes uncertainty in classifier performance metrics.

problem Overemphasis on model performance metrics risks overlooking uncertainty.
method Developed visualizations of confusion matrix metric distributions.
result Uncertainty in performance metrics can overshadow model differences.

Predict stock price movements using financial data and news articles with LLMs.

problem Predicting stock price movements using financial data and news articles.
method Combining financial data and news articles, employing pre-trained LLMs, and using retrieval augmentation techniques.
result Predicted stock price movements with a weighted F1-score of 58.5% and 59.1%.

The paper discusses thresholds and bounds for accuracy in binary classification systems.

problem The accuracy of binary classification systems and its dependence on prevalence.
method Analyzing the precision-prevalence curve and negative predictive value-prevalence curve to find thresholds and bounds.
result Thresholds (φeφ_e and φnφ_n) bound various accuracy metrics (Fβ, F1, FM, MCC) and the ratio of maximum accuracy to prevalence.

Study improves machine learning models for GI tract disease detection using comprehensive evaluations and cross-dataset testing.

problem Incomplete or incorrect evaluation of machine learning models for GI tract diseases.
method Comprehensive evaluations of five machine learning models using Global Features and Deep Neural Networks, introducing performance hexagons and cross-dataset testing.
result Demonstrates the need for more sophisticated performance metrics and evaluation methods to build generalizable models.

Research predicts healthcare index movements using historical OHLC data.

problem Predicting the directional movement of healthcare indices based on historical data.
method Supervised classification task with a one-step-ahead rolling window, using a diverse feature set including OHLC ratios.
result Robust predictive performance with accuracy exceeding 0.8 and Matthews correlation coefficients above 0.6, highlighting the importance of nowcasting features.

Forest tree species mapped with high accuracy using satellite data.

problem Classifying dominant tree species in Swedish forests.
method Extreme gradient boosting model with Bayesian optimization, combining Sentinel-1/2 satellite data and field observations.
result Overall accuracy of 85%, F1 score of 0.82, Matthews correlation coefficient of 0.81.

Linear classifiers separate the data with a hyperplane. In this paper we focus on the novel method of construction of multithreshold linear classifier, which separates the data with multiple parallel hyperplanes. Proposed model is based on the information theory concepts -- namely Renyi's quadratic entropy and Cauchy-S…

2014-08-04abs ↗pdf ↗

A new weighted MCC measure improves classifier performance evaluation.

problem Lack of measures sensitive to observation weights in multiclass classification.
method Proposes weighted versions of Pearson-Matthews Correlation Coefficient (MCC) for binary and multiclass classification.
result Weighted MCC values are higher for classifiers that perform better on highly weighted observations.

Improved portfolio optimization using Kendall-like correlation coefficients.

problem Accurate estimation of eigenvectors in data-poor regimes for portfolio optimization.
method Developed generalized correlation coefficients based on Kendall's rank correlation.
result Markowitz portfolios with lower out-of-sample risk using these coefficients.

Heart disease is the leading cause of death, and experts estimate that approximately half of all heart attacks and strokes occur in people who have not been flagged as "at risk." Thus, there is an urgent need to improve the accuracy of heart disease diagnosis. To this end, we investigate the potential of using data ana…

2018-08-22abs ↗pdf ↗

The study uses DCC for financial market analysis, revealing hidden correlations.

problem Identifying hidden nonlinear correlations in financial markets.
method Agglomerative hierarchical clustering with distance correlation coefficient.
result DCC reveals more information than Pearson correlation for financial data.

The paper extends Pearson correlation to multi-variables, useful for noise measurement and feature selection.

problem The standard Pearson correlation coefficient is limited to two variables and doesn't meet the needs for multi-variable analysis.
method The authors use random matrix theory to extend Pearson's correlation coefficient to an arbitrary number of variables.
result The extended correlation coefficient is useful for gauging noise and selecting features, particularly in classification.

Machine learning predicts trauma patient mortality risk.

problem Predicting mortality risk in trauma patients using traditional regression models.
method Transfer learning-based machine learning algorithm applied to trauma patient data.
result Machine learning model achieved similar performance to contemporary models without restrictive criteria.

Standardizes weighted ranking correlation coefficients to maintain zero expected value.

problem Measuring correlation between weighted rankings of items.
method Develops a standardization function g(·) that transforms coefficients to zero expected value under randomness.
result A general standardization function g(Γ) that preserves the domain [-1,1] and reduces to the identity for coefficients already satisfying zero-expected-value property.

Method predicts which high-dimensional correlation signs will change in the future.

problem Predicting which correlation matrix coefficients will change signs in high-dimensional data.
method Stability of correlation signs depends on three-by-three relationships, inspired by Heider social cohesion theory.
result The method accurately predicts the stability of correlation signs in high-dimensional data.

We introduce the Randomized Dependence Coefficient (RDC), a measure of non-linear dependence between random variables of arbitrary dimension based on the Hirschfeld-Gebelein-Rényi Maximum Correlation Coefficient. RDC is defined in terms of correlation of random non-linear copula projections; it is invariant with respec…

2013-04-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Graph-based ML improves defect prediction in software development.

problem Challenges in predicting defect-prone changes in complex software development.
method Building contribution graphs from developers and source files, using graph-based ML for defect prediction.
result Graph-based ML leads to significantly better defect prediction (F1 score up to 77.55%, MCC up to 53.16%).

Discovering a correlation from one variable to another variable is of fundamental scientific and practical interest. While existing correlation measures are suitable for discovering average correlation, they fail to discover hidden or potential correlations. To bridge this gap, (i) we postulate a set of natural axioms …

2017-09-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Benchmark evaluates AI-generated financial QA hallucinations, highlighting system vulnerabilities.

problem Ensuring factual accuracy of AI-generated financial QA outputs.
method Developed a benchmark dataset and evaluated six detection methods under clean and noisy conditions.
result LLM-based judges and embedding methods perform best, but degrade under noisy conditions.

A large body of research into semantic textual similarity has focused on constructing state-of-the-art embeddings using sophisticated modelling, careful choice of learning signals and many clever tricks. By contrast, little attention has been devoted to similarity measures between these embeddings, with cosine similari…

2019-05-19abs ↗pdf ↗

EAST aligns neural network classifiers with user-defined evaluation metrics.

problem Mismatch between neural network training and evaluation metrics leads to suboptimal performance.
method EAST uses dynamic thresholding, soft-set confusion matrix, and annealing to align neural network predictions with target evaluation metrics.
result EAST improves alignment between training objectives and evaluation metrics, outperforming existing methods.

Study uses machine learning to predict potato clones suitable for processing.

problem Efficiently identifying high-yield, disease-resistant potato varieties.
method Leveraged machine learning algorithms on Russet potato clones data from Oregon.
result Non-linear models like SVM and HGBC outperform traditional linear models in agricultural trials.

This study uses local Gaussian correlation to analyze stock return tails, revealing more sensitive network properties.

problem Misleading results from Pearson correlation in financial networks.
method Local Gaussian correlation coefficient for capturing nonlinear dependence and heavy-tailed distributions.
result Local Gaussian correlation network among negative tails is more sensitive to stock market risks.

Model predicts epileptic seizures with high accuracy using EEG signals.

problem Predicting epileptic seizures with high accuracy for diagnosis and treatment.
method Pearson's product-moment correlation coefficient with a linear classifier on generalized Gaussian modeling.
result 100% effectiveness for sensitivity and specificity greater than 83%.