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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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122244366488 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Markov numbers

This paper models time-series data with a mixture of Markov chains, automatically determining the number of components.

problem Tackles the inability of common Markov state modeling frameworks to discern heterogeneities in complex data.
method Uses a mixture of Markov chains and variational expectation-maximization algorithm for automatic component selection.
result Achieves performance consistent with theoretically optimal error scaling, identifying meaningful heterogeneities in various data sets.

Develops correlation number for specific potentials and Hitchin representations.

problem Analyzing correlation numbers for potentials with entropy gaps and Hitchin representations.
method Defines a correlation number for pairs of cusped Hitchin representations and explores its connection to the Manhattan curve.
result Establishes a connection between the correlation number and the Manhattan curve, revealing rigidity properties.

Algorithm learns mixtures of Markov chains and MDPs from short trajectories.

problem Learning mixtures of Markov chains and MDPs from short unlabeled trajectories.
method Subspace estimation, spectral clustering, EM algorithm, model estimation, classification.
result 96.6% average accuracy on a mixture of two MDPs in gridworld, outperforming EM algorithm with random initialization.

This thesis classifies pseudo-Anosov homeomorphisms using geometric Markov partitions.

problem Classifying pseudo-Anosov homeomorphisms up to topological conjugacy.
method Algorithmic approach using geometric Markov partitions.
result Geometric type is a complete invariant of conjugation.

Study improves generalization bounds for equivariant networks on Markov data.

problem Challenges in integrating equivariance with Markov dependencies in neural networks.
method Applied McDiarmid's inequality and computed covering number using group theory.
result Derived upper bound on Rademacher complexity for equivariant neural networks on Markov datasets.

Markov networks are widely used in many Machine Learning applications including natural language processing, computer vision, and bioinformatics . Learning Markov networks have many complications ranging from intractable computations involved to the possibility of learning a model with a huge number of parameters. In t…

2018-12-03abs ↗pdf ↗

New algorithms for RL in Markov games with independent linear function approximation, breaking the curse of multiagents.

problem Tackles the challenge of learning Markov equilibria in large state space Markov games with multiple agents.
method Proposes independent linear Markov games and designs new algorithms for learning Markov coarse correlated equilibria and Markov correlated equilibria with polynomial sample complexity.
result Breaks the curse of multiagents by achieving sample complexity bounds that scale polynomially with each agent's function class complexity.

Study nonparametric estimator for Markov chain transition matrices in offline setting.

problem Estimating transition matrices of finite controlled Markov chains from logged data.
method Developed sample complexity bounds and conditions for minimaxity.
result Achieving certain statistical risk requires balancing mixing properties and sample size.

Method reconstructs hidden Markov chains from insurance data.

problem Recovering hidden Markov chains from incomplete insurance data.
method Neural architecture to explicitly provide transition probabilities.
result Neural model successfully validates decompression of insurance information.

Learning Markov blanket (MB) structures has proven useful in performing feature selection, learning Bayesian networks (BNs), and discovering causal relationships. We present a formula for efficiently determining the number of MB structures given a target variable and a set of other variables. As expected, the number of…

2014-07-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Algorithm finds safe zones in policy Markov Decision Processes to limit trajectory escape.

problem Finding safe zones in policy Markov Decision Processes to limit trajectory escape.
method Bi-criteria approximation learning algorithm with polynomial sample complexity.
result Achieves almost 2 approximation for both escape probability and safe zone size.

Unified framework for drawdown risk computation under Markov models.

problem High computational challenges in drawdown risk metrics.
method Unified framework for computing five drawdown quantities under general Markov models, using linear systems and efficient algorithms.
result Efficient algorithms achieve same complexity as path-independent problems, validated by rigorous convergence analysis and extensive experiments.

Improved model-based reinforcement learning for multi-agent Markov games.

problem Suboptimal sample complexity for model-based algorithms in multi-agent reinforcement learning.
method Optimistic Nash Value Iteration (Nash-VI) for two-player zero-sum Markov games.
result First model-based algorithm matching information-theoretic lower bound with improved sample complexity.

Markov regime switching models have been used in numerous empirical studies in economics and finance. However, the asymptotic distribution of the likelihood ratio test statistic for testing the number of regimes in Markov regime switching models has been an unresolved problem. This paper derives the asymptotic distribu…

2018-01-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Infinite Hidden Markov Models (iHMM's) are an attractive, nonparametric generalization of the classical Hidden Markov Model which can automatically infer the number of hidden states in the system. However, due to the infinite-dimensional nature of transition dynamics performing inference in the iHMM is difficult. In th…

2015-05-03abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper considers a Bayesian view for estimating a sub-network in a Markov random field. The sub-network corresponds to the Markov blanket of a set of query variables, where the set of potential neighbours here is big. We factorize the posterior such that the Markov blanket is conditionally independent of the networ…

2015-10-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Jump Markov linear models consists of a finite number of linear state space models and a discrete variable encoding the jumps (or switches) between the different linear models. Identifying jump Markov linear models makes for a challenging problem lacking an analytical solution. We derive a new expectation maximization …

2014-09-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Algorithm finds ε-equilibrium policies for multi-agent Markov games with hidden low-rank structure.

problem Designing efficient algorithms for multi-agent Markov games with unknown representation and hidden low-rank structure.
method Model-based and model-free approaches using representation learning to construct an effective representation from data.
result Achieves poly(H,d,A,1/ε)(H,d,A,1/\varepsilon) sample complexity for both model-based and model-free approaches.

Non-negative curvature affects Markov chains' mixing and expansion properties.

problem Understanding the behavior of Markov chains with non-negative curvature.
method Analyzing conductance, displacement, and cutoff phenomenon in sparse Markov chains.
result Non-negatively curved Markov chains exhibit specific, non-standard behavior in terms of mixing and expansion.

New methods reduce computational cost for Gaussian Markov Random Fields with sparse constraints.

problem Inference and simulation of GMRFs are computationally prohibitive with many constraints.
method Proposes a basis transformation into blocks of constrained and non-constrained subspaces.
result Significantly outperforms existing alternatives in computational cost.

New research shows no-regret learning is impossible in Markov games under certain assumptions.

problem Achieving no-regret learning in decentralized Markov games.
method Novel application of aggregation techniques from online learning to prove lower bounds.
result No polynomial-time algorithm exists for independent no-regret learning in general-sum Markov games.

We study Lagrangian embeddings of a class of two-dimensional cell complexes Lp,qL_{p,q} into the complex projective plane. These cell complexes, which we call pinwheels, arise naturally in algebraic geometry as vanishing cycles for quotient singularities of type 1p2(pq1,1)\frac{1}{p^2}(pq-1,1) (Wahl singularities). We show that …

2016-06-28abs ↗pdf ↗

New algorithm finds near-optimal policies efficiently in zero-sum games.

problem Lack of provable efficiency guarantees for policy optimization in zero-sum games.
method Policy optimization algorithm with function approximation.
result Proves efficient convergence to near-optimal policies with polynomial samples and iterations.

New MARL algorithms resolve the curse of multiagency with function approximation.

problem Challenges in Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning (MARL) due to the curse of multiagency.
method V-Learning with Policy Replay and Decentralized Optimistic Policy Mirror Descent.
result First polynomial sample complexity results for learning approximate Coarse Correlated Equilibria (CCEs) of Markov Games under decentralized linear function approximation.

New algorithm improves sample efficiency for zero-sum Markov games.

problem Improving sample efficiency for model-free algorithms in zero-sum Markov games.
method Proposes a model-free stage-based Q-learning algorithm using variance reduction techniques.
result Achieves optimal sample complexity for finding ε-optimal Nash Equilibrium.