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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,786 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for Markov Stability

This paper analyzes stability and generalization of Markov chain stochastic gradient methods.

problem Analyzing stability and generalization of Markov chain stochastic gradient methods.
method Algorithmic stability in statistical learning theory.
result Established optimal generalization bounds for both smooth and non-smooth cases.

Study identifies and validates a method for system identification of Markov jump linear systems.

problem System identification for autonomous Markov jump linear systems with complete state observations.
method Proposes switched least squares method for identification and derives rates of convergence.
result Data-independent rate of convergence is O(log(T)/T)\mathcal{O}\big(\sqrt{\log(T)/T} \big), showing strong consistency.

The paper analyzes stability of random matrix products with Markovian noise.

problem Analyzing stability of random matrix products with Markovian noise.
method Using a super-Lyapunov drift condition and controlled growth of matrix-valued functions, the paper provides an exponential stability result for the p-th moment of random matrix product.
result Finite-time p-th moment bounds for linear stochastic approximation and TD learning algorithms.

We introduce a new braid-theoretic framework with which to understand the Legendrian and transversal classification of knots, namely a Legendrian Markov Theorem without Stabilization which induces an associated transversal Markov Theorem without Stabilization. We establish the existence of a nontrivial knot-type specif…

2008-01-22abs ↗pdf ↗

We give a new proof of Markov's classical theorem relating any two closed braid representations of the same knot or link. The proof is based upon ideas in a forthcoming paper by the authors, "Stabilization in the braid groups". The new proof of the classical Markov theorem is used by Nancy Wrinkle in her forthcoming ma…

2002-02-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper improves TD learning algorithm bounds with linear approx.

problem Sharp bounds for TD method performance in MDPs.
method Polyak-Ruppert averaging, universal step size, refined error bounds, stability of random matrices.
result Near-optimal variance and bias terms achieved.

Algorithm identifies bilinear dynamical systems from noisy data.

problem Learning a realization of a partially observed bilinear dynamical system.
method Regression of outputs to highly correlated covariates for Markov-like parameters.
result High probability error bounds on identification algorithm under uniform stability assumption.

RILA learns HQMMs robustly against adversarial corruption.

problem Robustness of HQMM learning algorithms under adversarial perturbations.
method Adversarially Corrupted HQMM (AC-HQMM) and Robust Iterative Learning Algorithm (RILA).
result RILA outperforms existing algorithms in convergence stability, corruption resilience, and physical validity.

We describe parallel Markov chain Monte Carlo methods that propagate a collective ensemble of paths, with local covariance information calculated from neighboring replicas. The use of collective dynamics eliminates multiplicative noise and stabilizes the dynamics thus providing a practical approach to difficult anisotr…

2016-07-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Regularization improves generalization in Bayesian RL, shown through algorithmic stability.

problem Ensuring good generalization in Bayesian reinforcement learning.
method Algorithmic stability, using regularization and fast convergence rates for mirror descent.
result Regularization makes the optimal policy stable, improving generalization.

Policy gradient algorithm with variable learning rates achieves near-optimal performance in multi-arm bandit problems.

problem Optimizing a policy gradient algorithm for multi-arm bandit problems with variable learning rates.
method Applied Foster-Lyapunov techniques to analyze a Markov chain formed by the state of the algorithm.
result The policy gradient algorithm converges to the optimal arm with logarithmic or poly-logarithmic regret.

Study analyzes price change patterns across different market capitalizations using Markov chains.

problem Understanding price dynamics in limit order markets across various market capitalizations.
method Discrete-time Markov chain analysis of intraday price changes in NASDAQ100 tick data.
result Systematic patterns in price inertia and stability across market capitalizations are identified.

We describe random walk boundaries (in particular, the Poisson--Furstenberg, or PF-boundary) for a vast family of groups in terms of the hyperbolic boundary of a special free subgroup. We prove that almost all trajectories of the random walk (with respect to an arbitrary nondegenerate measure on the group) converge to …

2007-07-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Hidden Markov Models analyze mobile health data to identify APNS states.

problem Subjective self-report measures of APNS lead to errors and biases.
method Exploratory hidden Markov factor models and Stabilized Expectation-Maximization algorithm.
result Identified homogeneous APNS states and dynamic transitions.

Paper analyzes stability and forgetting in score-based generative models.

problem Understanding the stability and long-time behavior of generative models.
method Quantitative bounds on sampling error using stability and forgetting properties of the Markov chain.
result Provides practical consequences of stability and contraction mechanism in sampling.

A new algorithm speeds up elliptical slice sampling for truncated multivariate normals.

problem Efficiently sampling from truncated multivariate normal distributions with linear constraints.
method Adapting elliptical slice sampling to linearly truncated multivariate normals, with an algorithm for ellipse-polytope intersection in O(m log m) time.
result The algorithm enhances numerical stability, speeds up running time, and is easy to parallelize.

We introduce a general framework for measuring risk in the context of Markov control processes with risk maps on general Borel spaces that generalize known concepts of risk measures in mathematical finance, operations research and behavioral economics. Within the framework, applying weighted norm spaces to incorporate …

2011-10-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Study on financial systems using perturbed unimodal maps with heteroscedastic noise.

problem Analyzing systemic risk in financial systems using mathematical models.
method Investigation of one-dimensional unimodal maps perturbed by heteroscedastic noise, proving stability, convergence, and Lyapunov exponent continuity.
result Continuous dependence of average Lyapunov exponent on Markov chain parameters, and Gumbel's law for extreme values.

We consider the problem of learning a realization for a linear time-invariant (LTI) dynamical system from input/output data. Given a single input/output trajectory, we provide finite time analysis for learning the system's Markov parameters, from which a balanced realization is obtained using the classical Ho-Kalman al…

2018-06-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Style Miner generates stable and significant style factors for time series analysis.

problem Finding significant and stable explanatory factors in high-dimensional time series data.
method Proposes a reinforcement learning method to balance explanatory power and stability constraints.
result Outperforms existing methods by a large margin and achieves a 10% gain in R-squared explanatory power.

In order to obtain a Markov theorem without stabilization, Birman and Menasco introduced the notion of exchange related braids. In this paper I study the way the Fiedler polynomial distinguishes conjugacy classes of some particular braided knots. I introduce the Kauffman bracket in the solid torus. Its Taylor expansion…

2007-09-27abs ↗pdf ↗

New approach to concentration inequalities for unbounded state space dynamical systems.

problem Concentration inequalities for unbounded state space dynamical systems.
method Functional analytic framework, transport-entropy inequality.
result Exponential concentration inequalities for sampling from stationary distribution.

Survey of RL methods for control systems with time delays.

problem Time delays in cyber-physical systems degrade RL performance and stability.
method Categorizes and analyzes five major families of RL methods for time delays.
result Identifies key trade-offs and practical guidelines for selecting RL methods.

This study analyzes convergence and stability of reinforcement learning algorithms.

problem Understanding the conditions under which reinforcement learning algorithms converge and remain stable.
method Theoretical analysis of convergence and stability of Episodic Upside-Down Reinforcement Learning, Goal-Conditioned Supervised Learning, and Online Decision Transformers.
result The algorithms can achieve near-optimal behavior if the transition kernel is close to a deterministic kernel.

This paper extends stable blanket theory to models with hidden variables and causal cycles.

problem Identifying stable predictors in models with hidden variables and causal cycles.
method Use acyclic directed mixed graphs (ADMGs) and directed graphs (DGs) with mm-separation and σσ-separation to characterize and construct intervention-stable predictor sets.
result Graphical characterizations of Markov blankets, stable frontiers, and stable blankets in models with hidden variables and cycles.

HOPE improves SSMs for long-memory tasks with robust initialization and training.

problem Improving state-space models for long-memory tasks with robust initialization and training.
method Developed a new parameterization scheme called HOPE using Hankel operators and Markov parameters.
result HOPE improves SSMs' performance on Long-Range Arena tasks and demonstrates non-decaying memory.

We define a homology HN\mathcal{H}_N for closed braids by applying Khovanov and Rozansky's matrix factorization construction with potential axN+1ax^{N+1}. Up to a grading shift, H0\mathcal{H}_0 is the HOMFLYPT homology defined in arXiv:math/0505056. We demonstrate that, for N1N \geq 1, HN\mathcal{H}_N is a $\mathbb{Z}_2\o…

2013-08-14abs ↗pdf ↗

The Markov Theorem Without Stabilization (MTWS) established the existence of a calculus of braid isotopies that can be used to move between closed braid representatives of a given oriented link type without having to increase the braid index by stabilization. Although the calculus is extensive there are three key isoto…

2012-01-26abs ↗pdf ↗

The Markov Theorem Without Stabilization (MTWS) (see math.GT/0310279) established the existence of a calculus of braid isotopies that can be used to move between closed braid representatives of a given oriented link type without having to increase the braid index by stabilization. Although the calculus is extensive the…

2005-07-06abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper tackles adaptive control of unknown Markov jump systems with sample complexity and regret bounds.

problem Adaptive control of unknown Markov jump systems with changing dynamics.
method Identification-based adaptive control using a system identification algorithm and certainty equivalent control.
result The proposed adaptive control scheme achieves O(T)\mathcal{O}(\sqrt{T}) regret, improving to O(polylog(T))\mathcal{O}(polylog(T)) with partial knowledge.

Batch normalization prevents rank collapse in deep networks, improving training stability.

problem Rank collapse in randomly initialized deep networks with increasing depth.
method Investigates spectral instabilities in random matrices and uses batch normalization to avoid rank collapse.
result Batch normalization prevents rank collapse in both linear and ReLU networks, improving training stability.

This paper improves MARL for networked systems through new protocols and discount factors.

problem Improving control in networked systems using multi-agent reinforcement learning.
method Formulated as a spatiotemporal Markov decision process, introduced a spatial discount factor, and proposed NeurComm.
result Appropriate spatial discount factor enhances learning curves of non-communicative MARL algorithms.