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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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128256383511 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Market Basket Analysis

OMBA learns product and user representations for better online market basket analysis.

problem Limited ability to uncover rarely occurring and temporal associations in MBA.
method Jointly learns product and user representations, captures temporal dynamics, scalable online method.
result OMBA outperforms state-of-the-art methods by 21% on real-world datasets.

Method calibrates basket options using rearranged samples from constituent processes.

problem Calibrate basket options with non-linear dependency structure.
method Propose a method to extract dependency structure from market data through systematic sampling rearrangement, then calibrate a local volatility model.
result Efficiently calibrates basket options with near-perfect accuracy.

The possibility that the collective dynamics of a set of stocks could lead to a specific basket violating the efficient market hypothesis is investigated. Precisely, we show that it is systematically possible to form a basket with a non-trivial autocorrelation structure when the examined time scales are at the order of…

2010-06-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Emerging market hard-currency bonds are an asset class of growing importance, and contain exposure to an EM sovereign and the underlying industry. The authors investigate how to model this as a modification of the well-known first-to-default (FtD) basket, using the structural model, and find the approach feasible.

2018-04-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Study bounds for European basket call options in a discrete-time market model with price jumps.

problem Bounding the prices of European basket call options in a market model with price jumps.
method Computed bounds using a binomial model and proved that the lower bound coincides with Jensen's bound.
result The upper bound of the price interval of European basket call options can be computed by restricting to a binomial model.

Generative model prices basket options efficiently.

problem Real-time pricing of basket options with varying market inputs.
method Truncated path signatures and Mixture Density Networks (MDN) for learning the terminal density.
result The model produces small pricing errors and matches Monte Carlo simulations closely.

The paper solves the skewness problem in high-dimensional basket options.

problem Inconsistent skewness between individual stock options and basket options on an index.
method Developed an effective local volatility model and calibrated the basket to the index smile using a jump-diffusion model.
result The method resolves the skewness issue, matching the index smile in basket option prices.

The study analyzes the differences between physical and risk-neutral correlation estimates for equity baskets.

problem Analyzing the differences between physical and risk-neutral correlation estimates for equity baskets.
method Assumed equicorrelation, reduced dimensionality, approximated ICS from implied volatilities, analyzed dynamics using dynamic semiparametric factor model.
result Proposed profitability improvement schemes based on implied correlation forecasts.

In this paper we give definitions of matrix rates of return which do not depend on the choice of basis describing baskets. We give their economic interpretation. The matrix rate of return describes baskets of arbitrary type and extends portfolio analysis to the complex variable domain. This allows us for simultaneous a…

2006-07-19abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper examines pricing and hedging strategies for cross-currency equity protection swaps.

problem Dynamic requirements from EPS buyers in cross-currency equity protection swaps.
method Detailed analysis of two hedging paradigms, including separate and aggregated returns, with consideration of different types of returns.
result Proposes various hedging strategies with practical implications for EPS providers and investors.

Pricing of high-dimensional options is a deep problem of the Theoretical Financial Mathematics. In this article we present a new class of Lévy driven models of stock markets. In our opinion, any market model should be based on a transparent and intuitively easily acceptable concept. In our case this is a linear system …

2014-01-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Study efficient numerical methods for American basket options.

problem Valuation of American basket options.
method Partial differential complementarity problems (PDCPs) and efficient discretization.
result Approximations of American basket options are close and converge favourably.

A strategy to beat benchmarks by investing in heavily shorted but fundamentally sound securities.

problem Overcoming behavioral biases in investing, particularly the 'rebound effect'.
method Quantitative metrics, historical data, and securities lending modeling.
result The Bounce Basket strategy can outperform market returns during market downturns.

Word embeddings are a powerful approach for capturing semantic similarity among terms in a vocabulary. In this paper, we develop exponential family embeddings, a class of methods that extends the idea of word embeddings to other types of high-dimensional data. As examples, we studied neural data with real-valued observ…

2016-08-02abs ↗pdf ↗

The DeepSurv model predicts purchase timing better than other survival models.

problem Predicting the exact purchase timing of consumers.
method Survival models (Kernel SVM, DeepSurv, Survival Random Forest, MTLR) were compared using various consumer attributes.
result DeepSurv model outperformed other models in predicting purchase completion.

The paper develops Hawkes-based models for LOB and applies them to European, spread, and basket option pricing.

problem Developing accurate models for pricing options in the context of limit order books (LOB).
method Introduces multivariate Hawkes processes and their limit theorems, applies to European, spread, and basket options.
result Hawkes-based models provide more market forecast information than classical models.

We examine the problem of dynamic reserving for risk in multiple currencies under a general coherent risk measure. The reserver requires to hedge risk in a time-consistent manner by trading in baskets of currencies. We show that reserving portfolios in multiple currencies V\mathbf{V} are time-consistent when (and only…

2017-12-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Quantum state preparation framework speeds up basket option pricing.

problem Limited practical benefit of quantum amplitude estimation due to state-preparation depth.
method Structure-aware tensor-train rank-based variational state preparation.
result State-preparation depth scaling replaced with linear scaling, maintaining low basket-pricing errors.

Flat plumbing basket surfaces of links were introduced to study the geometry of the complement of the links. In present article, we study links of the flat plumbing basket numbers 44 or less using a special presentation of the flat plumbing basket surfaces. We find a complete classification theorem of links of the fla…

2014-12-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Executing a basket of co-integrated assets is an important task facing investors. Here, we show how to do this accounting for the informational advantage gained from assets within and outside the basket, as well as for the permanent price impact of market orders (MOs) from all market participants, and the temporary imp…

2018-07-04abs ↗pdf ↗

The state price density of a basket, even under uncorrelated Black-Scholes dynamics, does not allow for a closed from density. (This may be rephrased as statement on the sum of lognormals and is especially annoying for such are used most frequently in Financial and Actuarial Mathematics.) In this note we discuss short …

2013-06-12abs ↗pdf ↗

A flat plumbing basket is a Seifert surface consisting of a disk and bands contained in distinct pages of the disk open book decomposition of the 3-sphere. In this paper, we examine close connections between flat plumbing baskets and the contact structure supported by the open book. As an application we give lower boun…

2017-10-31abs ↗pdf ↗

A flat plumbing basket is a surface consisting a disk and finitely many bands which are contained in distinct pages of the trivial open book decomposition of S3\mathbf{S}^{3}. In this paper, we construct a Legendrian link from a flat plumbing basket, and we describe a relation among the self-linking number, the Thursto…

2017-09-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Platform uses queries to elicit investor preferences for portfolio trades, improving allocation efficiency.

problem Hidden-information problem in institutional crossing markets where investors value trades as portfolios but liquidity discovery is organized by individual securities.
method Modeling portfolio crossing as preference elicitation, using price-directed demand queries and value queries to verify selected packages.
result Hybrid procedure using demand and value queries recovers 88-95% of full-information welfare with a limited query budget.

Tensor network surrogate for efficient option pricing in large portfolios.

problem Large-scale portfolio revaluation problems in market risk management.
method Tensor-train (TT) approximation for high-dimensional price surfaces, direct inference using Laplacian kernel and TT representations.
result Tensor surrogate achieves lower test error and faster evaluation times compared to standard GPR.

Develops M2 model for next-basket recommendation considering user preferences, item popularity, and transition patterns.

problem Next-basket recommendation problem considering user preferences, item popularity, and transition patterns.
method Mixed model with preferences, popularities, and transitions (M2) using ed-Trans for transition patterns among items.
result Significantly outperforms state-of-the-art methods on all datasets in all tasks, with up to 22.1% improvement.

Complementary products recommendation is an important problem in e-commerce. Such recommendations increase the average order price and the number of products in baskets. Complementary products are typically inferred from basket data. In this study, we propose the BB2vec model. The BB2vec model learns vector representat…

2018-09-25abs ↗pdf ↗

We study the problem of dynamically trading multiple futures contracts with different underlying assets. To capture the joint dynamics of stochastic bases for all traded futures, we propose a new model involving a multi-dimensional scaled Brownian bridge that is stopped before price convergence. This leads to the analy…

2019-10-11abs ↗pdf ↗

New formulas for pricing Asian and basket options using stochastic expansion.

problem Pricing Asian and basket options under time-dependent parameters.
method Stochastic Taylor expansion around a log-normal proxy model.
result Highly accurate approximations for Asian options and vanilla options with discrete dividends.

New approximations for Asian basket spread options using stochastic Taylor expansions.

problem Pricing Asian basket spread options under the Black-Scholes model.
method Stochastic Taylor expansion applied to a log-normal proxy model.
result Highly accurate approximations for Asian and spread options, without numerical integration.

New method detects and clusters market regimes in multidimensional data.

problem Detecting and clustering market regimes in complex data structures.
method Non-parametric online market regime detection and clustering using path-wise two-sample tests and maximum mean discrepancy.
result Successfully detected and clustered market regimes in various data structures.