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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,694 papers · 148 categories

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55109164218 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for ML-based Regression

SAR evaluates ML-based linear regression models for statistical significance.

problem Lack of formal statistical significance in ML-based regression models.
method Statistical Agnostic Regression (SAR) using concentration inequalities and worst-case scenario analysis.
result SAR provides a threshold for statistical significance without assuming underlying assumptions.

Given a graph in which a few vertices are deemed interesting a priori, the vertex nomination task is to order the remaining vertices into a nomination list such that there is a concentration of interesting vertices at the top of the list. Previous work has yielded several approaches to this problem, with theoretical re…

2016-07-05abs ↗pdf ↗

We propose a new neural sequence model training method in which the objective function is defined by αα-divergence. We demonstrate that the objective function generalizes the maximum-likelihood (ML)-based and reinforcement learning (RL)-based objective functions as special cases (i.e., ML corresponds to α0α\to 0 and R…

2017-06-30abs ↗pdf ↗

New monitoring method detects ML risk models' performance changes in medical interventions.

problem Monitoring ML risk models in healthcare is complicated by confounding medical interventions.
method Developed a new score-based CUSUM monitoring procedure with dynamic control limits.
result Valid inference is possible if conditional exchangeability or time-constant selection bias hold.

The paper develops ML algorithms for calibrating credit rating transition models for high and low default portfolios.

problem Calibration of credit rating transition models for high and low default portfolios.
method Developed Maximum likelihood (ML) algorithms, including Laplace approximation for high-default portfolios and particle filter with Gaussian process regression for low-default portfolios.
result Both algorithms produce accurate approximations of the likelihood function and ML estimates of model parameters.

Automates MIPs solution with semi-supervised graph neural networks.

problem Solving recurrent Mixed-Integer Programming (MIP) problems efficiently.
method Semi-supervised Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) for predicting variable values.
result GNNs can solve MIPs with unlabeled data and improve over other ML approaches.

The paper studies calibration in ML models for wireless networks, showing key theoretical and practical insights.

problem Ensuring ML models in wireless networks deliver well-calibrated confidence scores for reliable decision-making.
method Theoretical analysis and simulation-based experiments using Platt scaling and isotonic regression.
result Well-calibrated models improve the system's minimum achievable OP and are part of a broader class of predictors.

Researchers validate ML scenario generators by checking dependencies and detecting memorization effects.

problem Validation of machine learning-based scenario generators differs from classical methods due to data-driven dependencies.
method Two novel validation aspects: checking dependencies and detecting memorization effects. Novel memorization ratio introduced.
result Validation methods successfully detect dependencies and memorization effects in ML-based scenario generators.

Crash prediction is a critical component of road safety analyses. A widely adopted approach to crash prediction is application of regression based techniques. The underlying calibration process is often time-consuming, requiring significant domain knowledge and expertise and cannot be easily automated. This paper intro…

2018-12-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Framework for deferring decisions to experts in sequential medical settings.

problem Myopic and non-adaptive decision-making by ML models in sequential medical contexts.
method Sequential Learning-to-Defer (SLTD) framework using model-based reinforcement learning.
result Adaptive deferral policy improves trade-off between long-term outcomes and deferral frequency.

Shai-am simplifies ML for finance, solving code structure and scalability issues.

problem Challenges in integrating ML for investment strategies, including code structure and scalability.
method Integrates a Python framework with modern open-source technologies to manage containerized pipelines and unified interfaces.
result Facilitates collaborative work in quantitative finance by enhancing reusability and readability.

Hyper-parameter optimization remains as the core issue of Gaussian process (GP) for machine learning nowadays. The benchmark method using maximum likelihood (ML) estimation and gradient descent (GD) is impractical for processing big data due to its O(n3)O(n^3) complexity. Many sophisticated global or local approximation m…

2019-06-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Machine learning (ML) classifiers are vulnerable to adversarial examples. An adversarial example is an input sample which is slightly modified to induce misclassification in an ML classifier. In this work, we investigate white-box and grey-box evasion attacks to an ML-based malware detector and conduct performance eval…

2019-04-07abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper compares ML models for credit scoring and investment decisions using explainable AI.

problem The opacity of machine learning models in financial services.
method Comparison of various machine learning models (single classifiers, ensembles, neural networks) and explainability techniques (LIME, SHAP).
result Ensemble classifiers and neural networks outperform in credit scoring models.

We present a new algorithm for video coding, learned end-to-end for the low-latency mode. In this setting, our approach outperforms all existing video codecs across nearly the entire bitrate range. To our knowledge, this is the first ML-based method to do so. We evaluate our approach on standard video compression test …

2018-11-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Despite the high interest for Machine Learning (ML) in academia and industry, many issues related to the application of ML to real-life problems are yet to be addressed. Here we put forward one limitation which arises from a lack of adaptation of ML models and datasets to specific applications. We formalise a new notio…

2019-11-06abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper, we present a data-driven model for forecasting the production increase after hydraulic fracturing (HF). We use data from fracturing jobs performed at one of the Siberian oilfields. The data includes features, characterizing the jobs, and geological information. To predict an oil rate after the fracturing…

2019-02-05abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper presents preliminary work on learning the search heuristic for the optimal motion planning for automated driving in urban traffic. Previous work considered search-based optimal motion planning framework (SBOMP) that utilized numerical or model-based heuristics that did not consider dynamic obstacles. Optimal…

2018-05-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Combines ML and DA to infer unresolved scale parametrisation from noisy data.

problem Training ML-based parametrisations from realistic, noisy and sparse observations.
method Two-step process: DA for state estimation, ML for model error prediction.
result Hybrid model produces better forecasts and attractor representation.

The paper investigates causal relationships in heart failure prediction using machine learning.

problem Understanding the causal relationships between clinical variables and heart failure.
method Proposes a new computational framework for causal structure discovery (CSD) of mixed-type clinical variables for binary disease outcomes.
result Feature importance from nonlinear classifiers strongly correlates with causal strength of variables, but not differentiating cause and effect.

This research tackles monitoring machine learning algorithms post-deployment, addressing performativity issues.

problem Monitoring machine learning algorithms after deployment, especially when they affect their own data-generating process.
method Uses causal inference techniques to navigate performativity and compares different monitoring criteria and data sources.
result Different monitoring systems have varying operating characteristics and implications for ML monitoring design.

Paper discusses challenges in deploying ML models for structural engineering.

problem Challenges in deploying machine learning models for structural engineering applications.
method Illustrates challenges through two examples, focusing on model overfitting, underspecification, training data representativeness, variable omission bias, and cross-validation.
result Highlights the importance of rigorous model validation techniques.

This paper improves bidding price prediction for ancillary services markets, boosting revenues.

problem Volatility in renewable energy sources affects grid stability and revenue optimization.
method Machine learning models (SVR, DT, k-NN) and offset adjustment for pay-as-bid markets.
result The proposed approach increases potential revenues by 27.43% to 37.31% compared to baseline models.

\begin{abstract} We model individual T2DM patient blood glucose level (BGL) by stochastic process with discrete number of states mainly but not solely governed by medication regimen (e.g. insulin injections). BGL states change otherwise according to various physiological triggers which render a stochastic, statisticall…

2017-10-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Research uses CPS to estimate uncertainty in ML radio metric models.

problem Estimating uncertainty in machine learning models for radio metrics and path loss.
method Conformal Prediction (CP) in Conformal Predictive Systems (CPS) with diverse difficulty estimators.
result CPS models maintain high coverage and reliability across different cities.

Entity resolution (ER) is one of the fundamental problems in data integration, where machine learning (ML) based classifiers often provide the state-of-the-art results. Considerable human effort goes into feature engineering and training data creation. In this paper, we investigate a new problem: Given a dataset D_T fo…

2018-09-28abs ↗pdf ↗

The democratization of machine learning (ML) has led to ML-based machine vision systems for autonomous driving, traffic monitoring, and video surveillance. However, true democratization cannot be achieved without greatly simplifying the process of collecting groundtruth for training and testing these systems. This grou…

2018-11-08abs ↗pdf ↗

This research assesses uncertainty quantification and sensitivity analysis for DTs in nuclear fuel performance.

problem Understanding the reliability and performance of advanced nuclear fuels using DTs.
method Introduces ML-based uncertainty quantification and sensitivity analysis methods applied to BISON fuel performance code.
result Demonstrates the effectiveness of DTs in multi-criteria decision-making for nuclear fuel performance.

Novel ML model predicts solvation free energies from atom interactions.

problem Predicting solvation free energies from atomistic interactions.
method Two encoding functions extract atomic feature vectors, interactions calculated by inner product.
result Outstanding performance and transferability on 6,493 experimental measurements.