Examines performance metrics for ML models in engineering.
problem Identifying proper assessment metrics for ML models.
method Analyzes commonly-used metrics for regression and classification.
result Identifies key performance metrics for ML models.
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48 results for “ML model performance”
The DoD needs a robust process to evaluate AI/ML model performance and robustness.
problem AI/ML models are brittle and nonrobust, posing risks in national security.
method Reviews AI/ML development process and best practices for evaluation.
result Recommendations for DoD evaluators to ensure robust AI/ML capabilities.
ML models predict stock prices poorly during recessions.
problem Predicting stock prices during economic downturns.
method Examined S&P 500 index, analyzed performance during recessions and expansions.
result ML models perform better during expansions, not due to ML methods but effective monetary policies.
Extends ML fairness to handle minority groups over time.
problem Limitations of existing fairness criteria.
method Performative Distributionally Robust Optimization.
result Improves fairness for minority groups over time.
New metrics needed for streaming ML due to delayed labels.
problem Streaming ML evaluation fails to identify unexpected performance.
method Recommend additional metrics for streaming ML performance.
result New metrics are needed for streaming ML due to delayed labels.
Machine-learning (ML) hardware and software system demand is burgeoning. Driven by ML applications, the number of different ML inference systems has exploded. Over 100 organizations are building ML inference chips, and the systems that incorporate existing models span at least three orders of magnitude in power consump…
As Machine Learning (ML) applications increase in data size and model complexity, practitioners turn to distributed clusters to satisfy the increased computational and memory demands. Unfortunately, effective use of clusters for ML requires considerable expertise in writing distributed code, while highly-abstracted fra…
The study examines how experimental design choices affect machine learning model performance.
problem Lack of guidelines on choosing experimental designs and machine learning models.
method 12 experimental designs, 7 families of predictive models, 7 test functions, 8 noise settings.
result Guidelines for practical applications of DOE and ML are provided.
Deployment of machine learning (ML) algorithms in production for extended periods of time has uncovered new challenges such as monitoring and management of real-time prediction quality of a model in the absence of labels. However, such tracking is imperative to prevent catastrophic business outcomes resulting from inco…
ML weather forecasts lack physical consistency, but add value.
problem Lack of physical consistency in ML weather forecasts.
method Examined Pangu-Weather forecasts for fidelity and physical consistency.
result ML forecasts lack physical consistency and accuracy can be partly due to this.
Insect cyborgs: Bio-mimetic feature generators improve machine learning accuracy on limited datacs.ET
Machine learning (ML) classifiers always benefit from more informative input features. We seek to auto-generate stronger feature sets in order to address the difficulty that ML methods often experience given limited training data. A wide range of biological neural nets (BNNs) excel at fast learning, implying that they …
Recently, machine learning (ML) has introduced advanced solutions to many domains. Since ML models provide business advantage to model owners, protecting intellectual property of ML models has emerged as an important consideration. Confidentiality of ML models can be protected by exposing them to clients only via predi…
Study assesses hyperparameter tuning for causal inference with DML.
problem Optimizing hyperparameters for causal inference with DML.
method Empirical simulation study using DML approach.
result Hyperparameter tuning crucial for causal estimation with DML.
Automatic Machine Learning (Auto-ML) has attracted more and more attention in recent years, our work is to solve the problem of data drift, which means that the distribution of data will gradually change with the acquisition process, resulting in a worse performance of the auto-ML model. We construct our model based on…
This paper emphasizes the need for uncertainty quantification in data-driven ML models for nuclear engineering.
problem Uncertainty in ML predictions due to data noise, model architecture, and stochastic training.
method Explains and compares uncertainties in physics-based and data-driven models, and presents techniques to quantify ML prediction uncertainties.
result The importance of uncertainty quantification in ML models for nuclear engineering applications.
The rise of Big Data has led to new demands for Machine Learning (ML) systems to learn complex models with millions to billions of parameters, that promise adequate capacity to digest massive datasets and offer powerful predictive analytics thereupon. In order to run ML algorithms at such scales, on a distributed clust…
MLDemon monitors ML systems post-deployment, improving reliability with real-time performance estimates and expert labels.
problem Ensuring reliability of machine learning systems post-deployment, especially when user inputs differ from training data.
method Integrates unlabeled and on-demand labeled data to monitor ML model performance in real-time, deciding when to acquire expert labels.
result Outperforms existing approaches in temporal datasets with diverse distribution drifts, providing theoretical optimality for distribution drifts.
Adversarial attacks can fool ML energy theft detection models.
problem Vulnerability of ML-based energy theft detection models to adversarial attacks.
method Design of an adversarial measurement generation algorithm.
result ML models can be significantly fooled by adversarial attacks, reducing their detection accuracy.
Operations is a key challenge in the domain of machine learning pipeline deployments involving monitoring and management of real-time prediction quality. Typically, metrics like accuracy, RMSE etc., are used to track the performance of models in deployment. However, these metrics cannot be calculated in production due …
BAR reprograms black-box ML models for transfer learning with scarce data.
problem Transfer learning with limited data and resources.
method Zeroth-order optimization and multi-label mapping techniques to reprogram black-box models.
result BAR outperforms state-of-the-art methods and baseline transfer learning approaches.
Floods are among the most destructive natural disasters, which are highly complex to model. The research on the advancement of flood prediction models contributed to risk reduction, policy suggestion, minimization of the loss of human life, and reduction the property damage associated with floods. To mimic the complex …
Review and benchmark 58 feature selection methods for ML applications.
problem Selecting appropriate features for predictive modeling in ML applications.
method Synthesizes literature on feature selection benchmarking and evaluates 58 methods.
result Well-performing candidate methods identified: random forest, DISR, JIM.
Despite the success of ensemble classification methods in multi-class classification problems, ensemble methods based on approaches other than bagging have not been widely explored for multi-label classification problems. The Kalman Filter-based Heuristic Ensemble (KFHE) is an ensemble method that exploits the sensor f…
A review of ML and DL for ecological data analysis.
problem Understanding the strengths and limitations of ML and DL in ecological research.
method Historical overview, algorithm families, differences, universal principles, and emerging trends.
result ML and DL excel in prediction tasks but are still debated for causal inference.
Machine learning (ML) has progressed rapidly during the past decade and the major factor that drives such development is the unprecedented large-scale data. As data generation is a continuous process, this leads to ML model owners updating their models frequently with newly-collected data in an online learning scenario…
In Pursuit of Interpretable, Fair and Accurate Machine Learning for Criminal Recidivism Predictionstat.ML
Interpretable ML models predict recidivism as well as non-interpretable methods and are more fair.
problem Improving recidivism prediction models for fairness and interpretability.
method Trained interpretable ML models on two recidivism datasets, compared to existing methods, and analyzed fairness.
result Interpretable ML models can predict recidivism as well as non-interpretable methods and are more fair.
Paper proposes counterfactual explanations for ML on multivariate time series data.
problem Lack of user trust and difficulty in debugging ML frameworks using multivariate time series data.
method Proposes a novel explainability technique for providing counterfactual explanations.
result Outperforms state-of-the-art explainability methods in metrics like faithfulness and robustness.
In distributed ML applications, shared parameters are usually replicated among computing nodes to minimize network overhead. Therefore, proper consistency model must be carefully chosen to ensure algorithm's correctness and provide high throughput. Existing consistency models used in general-purpose databases and moder…
The paper tackles individual fairness in ML models, developing statistical methods to detect bias.
problem Detecting and measuring violations of individual fairness in machine learning models.
method Formalizing the problem as adversarial attack, developing inference tools for the adversarial cost function.
result Statistical methods to assess and test hypotheses of model fairness with non-coverage error rate control.
Machine learning predicts ship performance changes over time.
problem Estimating ship hydrodynamic performance over time.
method Machine learning methods (NL-PCR, NL-PLSR, probabilistic ANN) calibrated with in-service data.
result Probabilistic ANN model performs best in predicting ship performance changes.
Machine unlearning can compromise privacy, study shows.
problem Machine unlearning may leave data imprints in ML models, risking privacy.
method Proposed a membership inference attack to detect leakage.
result Machine unlearning can lead to unintended privacy risks.
The study examines backward compatibility issues in ML systems, especially with noisy data.
problem Backward compatibility challenges in ML systems, especially with noisy data.
method Empirical analysis of ML systems across different architectures and datasets, focusing on data shifts and noise.
result Backward compatibility issues arise even without data shift due to optimization stochasticity and training on large-scale noisy datasets can significantly decrease compatibility.
A key challenge in developing and deploying Machine Learning (ML) systems is understanding their performance across a wide range of inputs. To address this challenge, we created the What-If Tool, an open-source application that allows practitioners to probe, visualize, and analyze ML systems, with minimal coding. The W…
A ML model accurately replicates chaotic dynamics across various parameters.
problem Replicating chaotic characteristics of non-linear dynamics using machine learning.
method A ML model trained to predict one-step-ahead states from historic states captures bifurcation diagrams and Lyapunov exponents universally.
result Variational quantum circuit outperforms classical models in reproducing long-term chaotic characteristics.
Physics-informed machine learning for composition-process-property alloy design: shape memory alloy demonstrationcond-mat.mtrl-sci
ML predicts alloy properties considering chemistry, processing, and data transformations.
problem Designing and predicting alloy properties in high-dimensional design space.
method Physics-informed machine learning with engineered features from chemistry and heat treatment.
result ML models accurately predict alloy properties, including hysteresis in shape memory alloys.
A rigorous ML pipeline for binary classification in biomedical studies, focusing on pancreatic cancer.
problem Handling bias in ML models for complex biomedical data.
method Customizable ML analysis pipeline with 9 algorithms, hyperparameter optimization, and thorough evaluation.
result Comparison of ML algorithms to ExSTraCS, highlighting interpretability and bias handling.
Mixed-integer optimization improves fairness and transparency in machine learning models.
problem Ensuring fairness and transparency in machine learning models deployed in sensitive areas.
method Embedding responsible ML considerations directly into the learning process using mixed-integer optimization.
result MIO enables the learning of inherently transparent models that can incorporate fairness or other constraints.
The paper evaluates various forecasting methods for inflation, finding ML models superior.
problem Forecasting inflation using disaggregated data and machine learning.
method Examines traditional and machine learning models, including random forest, for disaggregated and aggregated inflation forecasts.
result Aggregating disaggregated forecasts performs similarly to survey-based expectations and aggregate models.
Machine learning improves model forecasts by correcting errors.
problem Improving short- to mid-range forecasts by correcting model errors.
method Iterative method combining data assimilation and machine learning.
result Hybrid models outperform original models in forecasts.
Deep generative priors offer powerful models for complex-structured data, such as images, audio, and text. Using these priors in inverse problems typically requires estimating the input and/or hidden signals in a multi-layer deep neural network from observation of its output. While these approaches have been successful…
Survey on ML advances for personalized prediction considering entity characteristics.
problem Sub-optimal performance in personalized prediction due to heterogeneity in data across entities.
method Organized current literature on entity-aware modeling based on characteristics availability and training data amount.
result Recent innovations in uncertainty quantification, fairness, and knowledge-guided machine learning can improve entity-aware modeling.
HAR model outperforms ML in stock forecasting with correct fitting schemes.
problem Realized volatility forecasting using machine learning techniques.
method Investigated the role of fitting schemes in HAR model performance, focusing on training window and re-estimation frequency.
result HAR model consistently outperforms ML models when using a correctly specified fitting approach.
Underspecified ML models can behave unpredictably in real-world use.
problem ML models can fail in real-world deployment due to ambiguous predictors.
method Identified underspecification as the cause, showing it affects various ML domains.
result Underspecified models can behave differently in deployment domains.
The study assesses ML model robustness under worst-case subpopulations.
problem ML model performance degradation under non-training population.
method Two-stage estimation procedure for evaluating worst-case robustness over subpopulations.
result The method certifies model robustness and prevents unreliable deployments.
This paper investigates how machine learning APIs change over time and proposes an efficient method to monitor these changes.
problem Understanding and assessing changes in machine learning APIs over time.
method Systematic investigation of ML API shifts, proposing a principled adaptive sampling algorithm (MASA) for efficient estimation of confusion matrix shifts.
result MASA can accurately estimate confusion matrix shifts using up to 90% fewer samples compared to random sampling.
This research tackles monitoring machine learning algorithms post-deployment, addressing performativity issues.
problem Monitoring machine learning algorithms after deployment, especially when they affect their own data-generating process.
method Uses causal inference techniques to navigate performativity and compares different monitoring criteria and data sources.
result Different monitoring systems have varying operating characteristics and implications for ML monitoring design.
With few exceptions, the field of Machine Learning (ML) research has largely ignored the browser as a computational engine. Beyond an educational resource for ML, the browser has vast potential to not only improve the state-of-the-art in ML research, but also, inexpensively and on a massive scale, to bring sophisticate…
Enhances XGBoost for better uncertainty quantification in ML predictions.
problem Uncertainty in ML predictions, especially for XGBoost.
method Quantile Extreme Gradient Boosting (QXGBoost) using Huber norm in quantile regression.
result QXGBoost produces more accurate 90% prediction intervals.