A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Method infers causal direction using data discretization and complexity calculation.
Unified framework for PDF estimation using MDL-based binning and tensor factorization.
Proposes a new method for two-dimensional data discretization.
A new complexity measure MDL-COMP for overparameterized models improves generalization performance.
Paper introduces Ddim, a new measure of model complexity, for MDL-based learning and change detection.
This paper extends the work in [Suzuki, 1996] and presents an efficient depth-first branch-and-bound algorithm for learning Bayesian network structures, based on the minimum description length (MDL) principle, for a given (consistent) variable ordering. The algorithm exhaustively searches through all network structures…
The Minimum Description Length (MDL) principle selects the model that has the shortest code for data plus model. We show that for a countable class of models, MDL predictions are close to the true distribution in a strong sense. The result is completely general. No independence, ergodicity, stationarity, identifiabilit…
We analyze MDL for binary classification, quantifying overfitting and underfitting.
MDL principle aids in learning neural network-based causal structures.
Many datasets are in the form of tables of binned data. Performing regression on these data usually involves either reading off bin heights, ignoring data from neighbouring bins or interpolating between bins thus over or underestimating the true bin integrals. In this paper we propose an elegant method for performing G…
New method detects concept drift in data streams with missing values.
During the past few years Boolean matrix factorization (BMF) has become an important direction in data analysis. The minimum description length principle (MDL) was successfully adapted in BMF for the model order selection. Nevertheless, a BMF algorithm performing good results from the standpoint of standard measures in…
Paper proves convergence of MDL to Einstein-Hilbert with boundary term.
This is an up-to-date introduction to and overview of the Minimum Description Length (MDL) Principle, a theory of inductive inference that can be applied to general problems in statistics, machine learning and pattern recognition. While MDL was originally based on data compression ideas, this introduction can be read w…
Histogram binning method proven with guarantees without splitting data.
Isotonic regression binning affects calibration statistics of machine learning models.
Improved binning technique boosts nUV measure performance.
Optimal binning method for numeric targets using mathematical programming.
The minimum description length (MDL) principle in supervised learning is studied. One of the most important theories for the MDL principle is Barron and Cover's theory (BC theory), which gives a mathematical justification of the MDL principle. The original BC theory, however, can be applied to supervised learning only …
Designs a classifier for malware detection using MDL principle.
Balls-and-Bins sampling improves DP-SGD privacy and utility.
New method improves bivariate causal discovery by accurately estimating cause variable complexity.
Study improves neural network performance in sequential learning for image classification.
Bin Packing problems have been widely studied because of their broad applications in different domains. Known as a set of NP-hard problems, they have different vari- ations and many heuristics have been proposed for obtaining approximate solutions. Specifically, for the 1D variable sized bin packing problem, the two ke…
This document provides a tutorial description of the use of the MDL principle in complex graph analysis. We give a brief summary of the preliminary subjects, and describe the basic principle, using the example of analysing the size of the largest clique in a graph. We also provide a discussion of how to interpret the r…
New methods reduce bias in estimating calibration error.
New model explains how concepts grow based on experience.
In this paper, we provide a new neural-network based perspective on multi-task learning (MTL) and multi-domain learning (MDL). By introducing the concept of a semantic descriptor, this framework unifies MDL and MTL as well as encompassing various classic and recent MTL/MDL algorithms by interpreting them as different w…
Improved kernel ridge regression for large datasets using weighted random binning.
We consider the fundamental problem of inferring the causal direction between two univariate numeric random variables and from observational data. The two-variable case is especially difficult to solve since it is not possible to use standard conditional independence tests between the variables. To tackle this …
This paper improves multi-class calibration methods using mutual information maximization-based binning.
Paper analyzes ECE bias and provides bounds for its estimation.
New methods improve estimation of nonhomogeneous Poisson processes from limited data.
A new method detects and displays pairwise dependence between variates.
The MAP-Elites algorithm produces a set of high-performing solutions that vary according to features defined by the user. This technique has the potential to be a powerful tool for design space exploration, but is limited by the need for numerous evaluations. The Surrogate-Assisted Illumination algorithm (SAIL), introd…
Optimizes sample and round complexity in adaptive sampling from multiple distributions.
The normalized maximized likelihood (NML) provides the minimax regret solution in universal data compression, gambling, and prediction, and it plays an essential role in the minimum description length (MDL) method of statistical modeling and estimation. Here we show that the normalized maximum likelihood has a Bayes-li…
We analyze differences between two information-theoretically motivated approaches to statistical inference and model selection: the Minimum Description Length (MDL) principle, and the Minimum Message Length (MML) principle. Based on this analysis, we present two revised versions of MML: a pointwise estimator which give…
Over the years, ensemble methods have become a staple of machine learning. Similarly, generalized linear models (GLMs) have become very popular for a wide variety of statistical inference tasks. The former have been shown to enhance out- of-sample predictive power and the latter possess easy interpretability. Recently,…
New bin-wise scaling methods improve prediction uncertainty calibration for machine learning.
A method for non-parametric conditional distribution estimation using CRPS-optimal binning.
The power of sparse signal modeling with learned over-complete dictionaries has been demonstrated in a variety of applications and fields, from signal processing to statistical inference and machine learning. However, the statistical properties of these models, such as under-fitting or over-fitting given sets of data, …
We tackle the problem of penalty selection of regularization on the basis of the minimum description length (MDL) principle. In particular, we consider that the design space of the penalty function is high-dimensional. In this situation, the luckiness-normalized-maximum-likelihood(LNML)-minimization approach is favorab…
The growing size of modern data brings many new challenges to existing statistical inference methodologies and theories, and calls for the development of distributed inferential approaches. This paper studies distributed inference for linear support vector machine (SVM) for the binary classification task. Despite a vas…
Solves online 3D bin packing with deep reinforcement learning under constraints.
Given data over variables we consider the problem of finding out whether jointly causes or whether they are all confounded by an unobserved latent variable . To do so, we take an information-theoretic approach based on Kolmogorov complexity. In a nutshell, we follow the postulate that firs…
Interpretable classifiers have recently witnessed an increase in attention from the data mining community because they are inherently easier to understand and explain than their more complex counterparts. Examples of interpretable classification models include decision trees, rule sets, and rule lists. Learning such mo…
Neural networks generalize on simple data generated by a programming language.