Research
On-device research index

arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

Trend · papers per month

2965938891,185 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for MCMC methods

The rapid development of computing power and efficient Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulation algorithms have revolutionized Bayesian statistics, making it a highly practical inference method in applied work. However, MCMC algorithms tend to be computationally demanding, and are particularly slow for large datasets…

2018-07-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Statistical inference methods are fundamentally important in machine learning. Most state-of-the-art inference algorithms are variants of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) or variational inference (VI). However, both methods struggle with limitations in practice: MCMC methods can be computationally demanding; VI methods …

2018-05-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Monte Carlo (MC) methods are widely used for Bayesian inference and optimization in statistics, signal processing and machine learning. A well-known class of MC methods are Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms. In order to foster better exploration of the state space, specially in high-dimensional applications, s…

2015-07-30abs ↗pdf ↗

It is known that the Langevin dynamics used in MCMC is the gradient flow of the KL divergence on the Wasserstein space, which helps convergence analysis and inspires recent particle-based variational inference methods (ParVIs). But no more MCMC dynamics is understood in this way. In this work, by developing novel conce…

2019-02-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian neural networks tutorial via MCMC in Python.

problem Bayesian inference for parameter estimation and uncertainty quantification in deep learning models.
method MCMC sampling methods to implement Bayesian inference, including advanced proposal distributions.
result Challenges in sampling multi-modal posterior distributions for Bayesian neural networks.

MetFlow combines MCMC and VI efficiently for better inference.

problem Combining MCMC and VI for efficient inference.
method Introduces MetFlow, a novel MCMC algorithm with Normalizing Flows, and a new method to combine it with VI.
result MetFlow produces expressive variational families with improved computational efficiency.

Sampling from posterior distributions using Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods can require an exhaustive number of iterations, particularly when the posterior is multi-modal as the MCMC sampler can become trapped in a local mode for a large number of iterations. In this paper, we introduce the pseudo-extended MCMC…

2017-08-17abs ↗pdf ↗

High-dimensional unimodal distributions can cause MCMC methods to fail.

problem Failure of MCMC methods in high-dimensional unimodal distributions.
method Examples and theoretical analysis of MCMC methods, including Metropolis-Hastings adjusted methods.
result MCMC methods can take an exponential run-time for high-dimensional unimodal distributions.

The paper proposes methods to estimate MCMC quality with couplings, bounding Wasserstein distance.

problem Improving MCMC efficiency without sacrificing asymptotic consistency.
method Estimators based on couplings of Markov chains to assess quality of asymptotically biased sampling methods.
result Empirical upper bounds of Wasserstein distance for assessing MCMC quality.

With the rapidly growing scales of statistical problems, subset based communication-free parallel MCMC methods are a promising future for large scale Bayesian analysis. In this article, we propose a new Weierstrass sampler for parallel MCMC based on independent subsets. The new sampler approximates the full data poster…

2013-12-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Stochastic gradient MCMC (SG-MCMC) algorithms have proven useful in scaling Bayesian inference to large datasets under an assumption of i.i.d data. We instead develop an SG-MCMC algorithm to learn the parameters of hidden Markov models (HMMs) for time-dependent data. There are two challenges to applying SG-MCMC in this…

2017-06-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Improved sampling accuracy in SG-MCMC methods via non-uniform gradient subsampling.

problem Computational inefficiency and sampling error in stochastic gradient MCMC methods.
method Proposes a non-uniform subsampling scheme to reduce sampling error in EWSG, a variant of SG-MCMC.
result EWSG reduces sampling error compared to uniform subsampling, improving accuracy without sacrificing convergence speed.

Stochastic gradient Markov chain Monte Carlo (SG-MCMC) has been increasingly popular in Bayesian learning due to its ability to deal with large data. A standard SG-MCMC algorithm simulates samples from a discretized-time Markov chain to approximate a target distribution. However, the samples are typically highly correl…

2017-11-29abs ↗pdf ↗

New MCMC method estimates differential privacy from multiple MIAs without worst-case assumptions.

problem Bayesian estimation of differential privacy from membership inference attacks.
method Bayesian estimation via MCMC algorithm (MCMC-DP-Est).
result More cautious privacy analysis with joint estimation of MIA strengths and privacy parameter.

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a popular and successful general-purpose tool for Bayesian inference. However, MCMC cannot be practically applied to large data sets because of the prohibitive cost of evaluating every likelihood term at every iteration. Here we present Firefly Monte Carlo (FlyMC) an auxiliary variabl…

2014-03-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Speeding up Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) for datasets with many observations by data subsampling has recently received considerable attention. A pseudo-marginal MCMC method is proposed that estimates the likelihood by data subsampling using a block-Poisson estimator. The estimator is a product of Poisson estimators,…

2016-03-27abs ↗pdf ↗

We propose Subsampling MCMC, a Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) framework where the likelihood function for nn observations is estimated from a random subset of mm observations. We introduce a highly efficient unbiased estimator of the log-likelihood based on control variates, such that the computing cost is much smal…

2014-04-16abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper tackles sampling issues in latent space EBMs by introducing diffusion-based amortization.

problem Degenerate MCMC sampling quality hinders latent space EBM learning and generation quality.
method Introduces diffusion-based amortization for long-run MCMC sampling.
result The learned amortization of MCMC is a valid long-run MCMC sampler.

This study evaluates different normalizing flow architectures for MCMC.

problem Lack of systematic comparison of normalizing flow architectures in MCMC.
method Extensive evaluation of various normalizing flow architectures on different MCMC methods and target distributions.
result Contractive residual flows are the best general-purpose models for MCMC.

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and Belief Propagation (BP) are the most popular algorithms for computational inference in Graphical Models (GM). In principle, MCMC is an exact probabilistic method which, however, often suffers from exponentially slow mixing. In contrast, BP is a deterministic method, which is typicall…

2016-05-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Existing Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods are either based on general-purpose and domain-agnostic schemes which can lead to slow convergence, or hand-crafting of problem-specific proposals by an expert. We propose A-NICE-MC, a novel method to train flexible parametric Markov chain kernels to produce samples with…

2017-06-23abs ↗pdf ↗

We study the underdamped Langevin diffusion when the log of the target distribution is smooth and strongly concave. We present a MCMC algorithm based on its discretization and show that it achieves ε\varepsilon error (in 2-Wasserstein distance) in O(d/ε)\mathcal{O}(\sqrt{d}/\varepsilon) steps. This is a significant improv…

2017-07-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Variational inference (VI) and Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) are two main approximate approaches for learning deep generative models by maximizing marginal likelihood. In this paper, we propose using annealed importance sampling for learning deep generative models. Our proposed approach bridges VI with MCMC. It gener…

2019-06-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods are widely used in machine learning. One of the major problems with MCMC is the question of how to design chains that mix fast over the whole state space; in particular, how to select the parameters of an MCMC algorithm. Here we take a different approach and, similarly to paralle…

2018-06-11abs ↗pdf ↗

We propose a method to construct a proposal density for the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm in Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulations of the GARCH model. The proposal density is constructed adaptively by using the data sampled by the MCMC metho d itself. It turns out that autocorrelations between the data generated …

2009-01-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Normalized random measures (NRMs) provide a broad class of discrete random measures that are often used as priors for Bayesian nonparametric models. Dirichlet process is a well-known example of NRMs. Most of posterior inference methods for NRM mixture models rely on MCMC methods since they are easy to implement and the…

2015-11-18abs ↗pdf ↗

New method speeds up Bayesian inverse problem solving with neural operators.

problem Solving infinite-dimensional Bayesian inverse problems with high computational cost.
method Delayed-acceptance geometric MCMC driven by derivative-informed neural operator surrogates.
result Significant speedup in generating posterior samples (3-9 times faster).

New MCMC method improves sampling efficiency across diverse structural models.

problem Low sampling efficiency in generic MCMC methods for specific problems.
method Adaptive Principal-Component (PC) Meta-learning Stochastic Gradient Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (APM-SGHMC) algorithm.
result Universal samplers achieve zero-shot generalization across structurally distinct models.

PL-MCMC samples from normalizing flows' conditional distributions.

problem Sampling from complex conditional distributions learned by normalizing flows.
method Metropolis-Hastings implementation of PL-MCMC.
result PL-MCMC asymptotically samples from exact conditional distributions.