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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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141281422562 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for MCMC complexity reduction

New sampler reduces MCMC complexity for Bayesian variable selection.

problem High-dimensional Bayesian variable selection with high computation complexity.
method Variable-complexity subset weighted-Tempered Gibbs Sampler (wTGS) with Rao-Blackwellized estimator.
result Variances of Rao-Blackwellized estimator are smaller than those of subset wTGS.

Stochastic particle-optimization sampling (SPOS) is a recently-developed scalable Bayesian sampling framework that unifies stochastic gradient MCMC (SG-MCMC) and Stein variational gradient descent (SVGD) algorithms based on Wasserstein gradient flows. With a rigorous non-asymptotic convergence theory developed recently…

2018-11-20abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper we propose a novel variance reduction approach for additive functionals of Markov chains based on minimization of an estimate for the asymptotic variance of these functionals over suitable classes of control variates. A distinctive feature of the proposed approach is its ability to significantly reduce th…

2019-10-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian neural networks improve uncertainty quantification in non-linear dimensionality reduction.

problem Current neural network models lack adequate uncertainty quantification.
method Deploy Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling algorithms for Bayesian inference in ANN models with latent variables.
result New research directions are needed due to fundamental challenges in neural networks with latent variables.

Practitioners of Bayesian statistics have long depended on Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) to obtain samples from intractable posterior distributions. Unfortunately, MCMC algorithms are typically serial, and do not scale to the large datasets typical of modern machine learning. The recently proposed consensus Monte Car…

2015-06-09abs ↗pdf ↗

A new method reduces complexity of normalizing flows for MCMC preconditioning.

problem Improving sampling efficiency in MCMC algorithms for complex target distributions.
method Factorized preconditioning architecture combining a linear component and a conditional NF.
result Significantly better tail samples and higher effective sample sizes on various distributions.

DPMC improves inverse problem solving with MCMC, reducing error in noisy conditions.

problem Inaccurate posterior approximation in inverse problems with high noise levels.
method DPMC uses Annealed MCMC to sample through a series of intermediate distributions, reducing accumulated error.
result DPMC outperforms DPS in various inverse problems, reducing error and evaluations.

We introduce a doubly stochastic proximal gradient algorithm for optimizing a finite average of smooth convex functions, whose gradients depend on numerically expensive expectations. Our main motivation is the acceleration of the optimization of the regularized Cox partial-likelihood (the core model used in survival an…

2015-10-16abs ↗pdf ↗

It is well known that Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods scale poorly with dataset size. A popular class of methods for solving this issue is stochastic gradient MCMC. These methods use a noisy estimate of the gradient of the log posterior, which reduces the per iteration computational cost of the algorithm. Despi…

2017-06-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Langevin MCMC samples efficiently from Riemannian manifolds with geometric Euler-Murayama analysis.

problem Efficient sampling from Gibbs distributions on Riemannian manifolds.
method Geometric Langevin MCMC, discretization error bound, contraction guarantee for Langevin Diffusion.
result Langevin MCMC iterates converge to the target distribution after a number of steps proportional to the inverse square of the desired accuracy.

This paper develops tools for nonreversible MCMC with convergence guarantees.

problem Designing nonreversible MCMC kernels with convergence guarantees.
method Develops tools for nonreversible Markov kernels using conditional invertible transforms.
result Ensures nonreversible kernels have the desired invariance property and lead to convergent algorithms.

An ensemble of neural networks is known to be more robust and accurate than an individual network, however usually with linearly-increased cost in both training and testing. In this work, we propose a two-stage method to learn Sparse Structured Ensembles (SSEs) for neural networks. In the first stage, we run SG-MCMC wi…

2018-03-01abs ↗pdf ↗

The posteriors over neural network weights are high dimensional and multimodal. Each mode typically characterizes a meaningfully different representation of the data. We develop Cyclical Stochastic Gradient MCMC (SG-MCMC) to automatically explore such distributions. In particular, we propose a cyclical stepsize schedul…

2019-02-11abs ↗pdf ↗

MCMC complexity matches optimization for large nn and dd.

problem Lack of theoretical understanding of MCMC complexity for large nn and dd.
method Comparison of MCMC, LA, and VI complexities for linear, logistic, and Poisson regression.
result MCMC complexity matches optimization complexity for ndn\gtrsim d.

We propose a novel approximate inference algorithm that approximates a target distribution by amortising the dynamics of a user-selected MCMC sampler. The idea is to initialise MCMC using samples from an approximation network, apply the MCMC operator to improve these samples, and finally use the samples to update the a…

2017-02-27abs ↗pdf ↗

New analysis of SGD with MCMC gradient estimator shows convergence rate and saddle point escape.

problem Analyzing SGD with MCMC gradient estimator under complex conditions.
method Introduced MCMC-SGD, analyzed convergence rate and saddle point escape using Bernstein inequality.
result Proven first order convergence rate O(logK/nK)O(\log K/\sqrt{n K}) and saddle point escape at least O(ε11/2log2(1/ε))O(ε^{-11/2}\log^{2}(1/ε) ) steps.

A new Monte Carlo sampling method derived from reverse diffusion.

problem Sampling from complex distributions, especially multi-modal ones.
method Transforming score matching into mean estimation; estimating means of regularized posterior distributions.
result rdMC can approximate sampling with any desired accuracy and is significantly faster than MCMC for complex distributions.

Data assimilation for subsurface flow using latent diffusion models shows that ensemble Kalman methods may overestimate posterior uncertainty, while Monte Carlo sampling is more reliable.

problem Data assimilation for subsurface flow
method Ensemble Kalman smoother and Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling
result Monte Carlo sampling is more reliable than ensemble Kalman methods

Bayesian method refines surrogate models for accurate full waveform inversion.

problem Complex input/output relations in full waveform inversion make accurate surrogate models difficult.
method Iterative refinement of surrogate models using MCMC samples and progressively expanding frequency bandwidth.
result Highly accurate surrogate model across full bandwidth enables accurate final MCMC inversion.

Estimates covariance matrices using Markov chain Monte Carlo with improved sample complexity.

problem Complexity of covariance matrix estimation for Gibbs distributions.
method Uses Markov chain Monte Carlo with conditions on the chain's spectral gap and Poincaré inequality.
result Achieves similar sample complexity as i.i.d. samples with better query complexity.

Improved modeling of persistence diagrams for data analysis.

problem Determining significant outliers in persistence diagrams.
method Modification of the RST (Replicating Statistical Topology) model using MCMC Metropolis-Hastings algorithm.
result The modified RST model improves the goodness of fit in persistence diagram analysis.

Recent advances in stochastic gradient techniques have made it possible to estimate posterior distributions from large datasets via Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). However, when the target posterior is multimodal, mixing performance is often poor. This results in inadequate exploration of the posterior distribution. A…

2017-06-05abs ↗pdf ↗

We study the problem of sampling from a distribution p(x)exp(U(x))p^*(x) \propto \exp\left(-U(x)\right), where the function UU is LL-smooth everywhere and mm-strongly convex outside a ball of radius RR, but potentially nonconvex inside this ball. We study both overdamped and underdamped Langevin MCMC and establish upper bound…

2018-05-04abs ↗pdf ↗

New method reduces Gibbs partition function estimation complexity.

problem Estimating partition functions of Gibbs distributions.
method Doubly-adaptive MCMC with adaptive cooling schedule and mean estimator.
result Outperforms state-of-the-art algorithms in computational complexity and robustness.

New MCMC algorithm reduces subset selection passes to 2 for optimal kk-dimensional subspace approximation.

problem Subset selection for kk-dimensional subspace approximation with εε-approximation.
method MCMC sampling algorithm reducing passes to 2 for p=2p=2 case, poly(k/ε) size subset.
result Subset selection of nearly optimal size in 2 passes, (1+ε)(1+ε) approximation.