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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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5101419 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for MCMC Metropolis-Hastings

PL-MCMC samples from normalizing flows' conditional distributions.

problem Sampling from complex conditional distributions learned by normalizing flows.
method Metropolis-Hastings implementation of PL-MCMC.
result PL-MCMC asymptotically samples from exact conditional distributions.

Gradient-based MCMC for discrete spaces improves sampling performance.

problem Sampling in discrete spaces using traditional methods is challenging.
method Introduced new discrete Metropolis-Hastings samplers inspired by MALA, with a novel preconditioning technique.
result Demonstrated strong empirical performance across various challenging sampling problems.

AMAGOLD improves stochastic gradient MCMC by infrequent Metropolis-Hastings corrections.

problem Bias in stochastic gradient Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (SGHMC).
method AMAGOLD infrequently uses Metropolis-Hastings corrections to remove bias, with a fixed step size schedule.
result AMAGOLD converges to the target distribution with a fixed, rather than a diminishing, step size, and at most a constant factor slower convergence rate.

A new Metropolis-Hastings algorithm uses Gaussian Processes to speed up sampling from complex models.

problem Sampling from computationally expensive probabilistic models.
method Two-stage Metropolis-Hastings algorithm with a Gaussian Process surrogate model.
result The approach learns the target distribution while sampling, eliminating the need for pre-training.

Can we make Bayesian posterior MCMC sampling more efficient when faced with very large datasets? We argue that computing the likelihood for N datapoints in the Metropolis-Hastings (MH) test to reach a single binary decision is computationally inefficient. We introduce an approximate MH rule based on a sequential hypoth…

2013-04-19abs ↗pdf ↗

A Kernel Adaptive Metropolis-Hastings algorithm is introduced, for the purpose of sampling from a target distribution with strongly nonlinear support. The algorithm embeds the trajectory of the Markov chain into a reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS), such that the feature space covariance of the samples informs the…

2013-07-19abs ↗pdf ↗

LIC compiles probabilistic models to generate efficient MCMC proposals.

problem Creating accurate Metropolis-Hastings proposals for Bayesian inference.
method Integrates probabilistic graphical models and neural networks in an open-source framework to optimize proposal distributions.
result LIC produces more efficient and robust MCMC proposals compared to existing methods.

Many applications in signal processing require the estimation of some parameters of interest given a set of observed data. More specifically, Bayesian inference needs the computation of {\it a-posteriori} estimators which are often expressed as complicated multi-dimensional integrals. Unfortunately, analytical expressi…

2018-01-27abs ↗pdf ↗

We propose a method to construct a proposal density for the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm in Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulations of the GARCH model. The proposal density is constructed adaptively by using the data sampled by the MCMC metho d itself. It turns out that autocorrelations between the data generated …

2009-01-08abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider the approximation of expectations with respect to the distribution of a latent Markov process given noisy measurements. This is known as the smoothing problem and is often approached with particle and Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods. These methods provide consistent but biased estimators when run fo…

2019-02-05abs ↗pdf ↗

RLMH improves adaptive MCMC by optimizing contrastive divergence reward.

problem Tuning MCMC samplers is challenging and time-consuming.
method Formulated Metropolis-Hastings as a Markov decision process and used RL to adaptively tune it.
result A novel reward function based on contrastive divergence outperforms existing ones.

Traditional MCMC algorithms are computationally intensive and do not scale well to large data. In particular, the Metropolis-Hastings (MH) algorithm requires passing over the entire dataset to evaluate the likelihood ratio in each iteration. We propose a general framework for performing MH-MCMC using mini-batches of th…

2019-08-08abs ↗pdf ↗

New algorithm speeds up sampling from complex Bayesian mixture models.

problem Sampling from non-log-concave, multi-modal posterior distributions in Bayesian Gaussian mixtures.
method Introduced Reflected Metropolis-Hastings Random Walk (RMRW) algorithm.
result Proved mixing time bound for RMRW in symmetric two-component Gaussian mixtures.

High-dimensional unimodal distributions can cause MCMC methods to fail.

problem Failure of MCMC methods in high-dimensional unimodal distributions.
method Examples and theoretical analysis of MCMC methods, including Metropolis-Hastings adjusted methods.
result MCMC methods can take an exponential run-time for high-dimensional unimodal distributions.

Paper presents a fast, private MH algorithm for large-scale Bayesian inference.

problem Privacy-preserving Bayesian inference for large-scale data.
method Developed a novel DP-MH algorithm using minibatches.
result First exact and fast DP MH algorithm with privacy, scalability, and efficiency trade-offs.

Improved modeling of persistence diagrams for data analysis.

problem Determining significant outliers in persistence diagrams.
method Modification of the RST (Replicating Statistical Topology) model using MCMC Metropolis-Hastings algorithm.
result The modified RST model improves the goodness of fit in persistence diagram analysis.

It is well-known that irreversible MCMC algorithms converge faster to their stationary distributions than reversible ones. Using the special geometric structure of Lie groups G\mathcal G and dissipation fields compatible with the symplectic structure, we construct an irreversible HMC-like MCMC algorithm on $\mathcal G…

2019-03-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Particle Metropolis-Hastings (PMH) allows for Bayesian parameter inference in nonlinear state space models by combining Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and particle filtering. The latter is used to estimate the intractable likelihood. In its original formulation, PMH makes use of a marginal MCMC proposal for the parame…

2013-11-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Monte Carlo (MC) sampling methods are widely applied in Bayesian inference, system simulation and optimization problems. The Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are a well-known class of MC methods which generate a Markov chain with the desired invariant distribution. In this document, we focus on the Metropolis…

2017-04-15abs ↗pdf ↗

The study examines MCMC methods for arbitrary objectives and finds likelihood sharpness impacts performance and regularization.

problem Limitations of MCMC methods for arbitrary objective functions.
method Two-block MCMC framework with Metropolis-Hastings and Gibbs sampling, exploring likelihood curvature and sharpness.
result Likelihood sharpness governs in-sample performance and regularization inferred by training data.

This paper develops tools for nonreversible MCMC with convergence guarantees.

problem Designing nonreversible MCMC kernels with convergence guarantees.
method Develops tools for nonreversible Markov kernels using conditional invertible transforms.
result Ensures nonreversible kernels have the desired invariance property and lead to convergent algorithms.

New method improves high-dimensional Bayesian optimization efficiency using MCMC.

problem High-dimensional optimization challenges and computational complexity.
method Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) to efficiently sample from approximated posterior.
result Metropolis-Hastings and Langevin Dynamics versions outperform state-of-the-art methods.

Bayesian methods and their implementations by means of sophisticated Monte Carlo techniques have become very popular in signal processing over the last years. Importance Sampling (IS) is a well-known Monte Carlo technique that approximates integrals involving a posterior distribution by means of weighted samples. In th…

2017-04-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Normalized random measures (NRMs) provide a broad class of discrete random measures that are often used as priors for Bayesian nonparametric models. Dirichlet process is a well-known example of NRMs. Most of posterior inference methods for NRM mixture models rely on MCMC methods since they are easy to implement and the…

2015-11-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Probabilistic programming languages can simplify the development of machine learning techniques, but only if inference is sufficiently scalable. Unfortunately, Bayesian parameter estimation for highly coupled models such as regressions and state-space models still scales poorly; each MCMC transition takes linear time i…

2014-11-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Improved sampling accuracy in SG-MCMC methods via non-uniform gradient subsampling.

problem Computational inefficiency and sampling error in stochastic gradient MCMC methods.
method Proposes a non-uniform subsampling scheme to reduce sampling error in EWSG, a variant of SG-MCMC.
result EWSG reduces sampling error compared to uniform subsampling, improving accuracy without sacrificing convergence speed.

Decision trees are flexible models that are well suited for many statistical regression problems. In a Bayesian framework for regression trees, Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) search algorithms are required to generate samples of tree models according to their posterior probabilities. The critical component of such an …

2019-04-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Improves sampling quality in model composition using MH-like acceptance rule for score-based diffusion models.

problem Inability to apply MH corrections in score-based diffusion models for model composition.
method Introduces a novel MH-like acceptance rule based on line integration of the score function.
result Relative improvements similar to energy-based models without explicit energy parameterization.

We explore a general framework in Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling where sequential proposals are tried as a candidate for the next state of the Markov chain. This sequential-proposal framework can be applied to various existing MCMC methods, including Metropolis-Hastings algorithms using random proposals and m…

2019-07-15abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper improves importance sampling and MCMC methods for complex distributions.

problem Improving sampling efficiency for distributions with atoms or heavy tails.
method Develops minimax optimal trial distributions and importance-tempered MCMC.
result Importance-tempered MCMC can be uniformly ergodic for certain distributions.

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are ubiquitous in Bayesian computations. However, they need to access the full data set in order to evaluate the posterior density at every step of the algorithm. This results in a great computational burden in big data applications. In contrast to MCMC methods, Stochastic Gra…

2016-09-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Determining risk contributions of unit exposures to portfolio-wide economic capital is an important task in financial risk management. Computing risk contributions involves difficulties caused by rare-event simulations. In this study, we address the problem of estimating risk contributions when the total risk is measur…

2017-02-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Framework for Bayesian inference using GP emulated MH sampler for noisy likelihoods.

problem Approximate Bayesian inference with limited noisy log-likelihood evaluations.
method Gaussian process emulates MH sampler for log-likelihood evaluations; sequential experimental design selects evaluation points.
result Approximate sampler is sample-efficient and robust to GP assumptions.