A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Algorithm optimizes ε-SVR with MAPE loss and sample-dependent constraints.
We study in this paper the consequences of using the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) as a measure of quality for regression models. We prove the existence of an optimal MAPE model and we show the universal consistency of Empirical Risk Minimization based on the MAPE. We also show that finding the best model under…
We study in this paper the consequences of using the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) as a measure of quality for regression models. We show that finding the best model under the MAPE is equivalent to doing weighted Mean Absolute Error (MAE) regression. We show that universal consistency of Empirical Risk Minimiza…
We study in this paper the consequences of using the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) as a measure of quality for regression models. We show that finding the best model under the MAPE is equivalent to doing weighted Mean Absolute Error (MAE) regression. We also show that, under some asumptions, universal consisten…
Adaptive framework predicts stock prices better during volatile periods.
Optimizes neural network for aerodynamic predictions with Bayesian Optimization.
Using artificial neural network for the prediction of heat demand has attracted more and more attention. Weather conditions, such as ambient temperature, wind speed and direct solar irradiance, have been identified as key input parameters. In order to further improve the model accuracy, it is of great importance to und…
Due to the significance of transportation planning, traffic management, and dispatch optimization, predicting passenger origin-destination has emerged as a crucial requirement for intelligent transportation systems management. In this study, we present a model designed to forecast the origin and destination of travels …
The purpose of this research is to apply technical analysis of Sutte Indicator in stock trading which will assist in the investment decision making process i.e. buying or selling shares. This research takes data of "A" on the Indonesia Stock Exchange(IDX or BEI) 29 November 2006 until 20 September 2016 period. To see t…
New model fusion method improves Bitcoin price prediction accuracy.
We use data on 124 batteries released by Stanford University to first try to solve the binary classification problem of determining if a battery is "good" or "bad" given only the first 5 cycles of data (i.e., will it last longer than a certain threshold of cycles), as well as the prediction problem of determining the e…
The uncertainties in future Bitcoin price make it difficult to accurately predict the price of Bitcoin. Accurately predicting the price for Bitcoin is therefore important for decision-making process of investors and market players in the cryptocurrency market. Using historical data from 01/01/2012 to 16/08/2019, machin…
Today, many public or private institutions provide professional food service for personnels working in their own organizations. Regarding the planning of the said service, there are some obstacles due to the fact that the number of the personnel working in the institutions is generally high and the personnel are out of…
This paper models yearly exchange rates between USD/KZT, EUR/KZT and SGD/KZT, and compares the actual data with developed forecasts using time series analysis over the period from 2006 to 2014. The official yearly data of National Bank of the Republic of Kazakhstan is used for present study. The main goal of this paper…
This study improves stock price prediction using multimodal data.
BusTr predicts bus travel times from real-time traffic forecasts.
MMformer improves forecasting of environmental time series data.
The study forecasts portfolio volatility using cointegrated asset dynamics.
This paper combines a node transformer with BERT sentiment analysis for more accurate stock market predictions.
Study improves stock index prediction accuracy using TPE-GRNN models.
We formulate the problem of matrix completion with and without side information as a non-convex optimization problem. We design fastImpute based on non-convex gradient descent and show it converges to a global minimum that is guaranteed to recover closely the underlying matrix while it scales to matrices of sizes beyon…
This paper compares ML models for predicting COVID-19 trends.
Improved genetic algorithm optimizes SVR for robust long-term stock index forecasting.
Defines manifolds of mappings between function spaces and discusses their properties.
Financial forecasting using news articles is an emerging field. In this paper, we proposed hybrid intelligent models for stock market prediction using the psycholinguistic variables (LIWC and TAALES) extracted from news articles as predictor variables. For prediction purpose, we employed various intelligent techniques …
Multiple seasonal patterns play a key role in time series forecasting, especially for business time series where seasonal effects are often dramatic. Previous approaches including Fourier decomposition, exponential smoothing, and seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) models do not reflect the disti…
Stock exchanges are considered major players in financial sectors of many countries. Most Stockbrokers, who execute stock trade, use technical, fundamental or time series analysis in trying to predict stock prices, so as to advise clients. However, these strategies do not usually guarantee good returns because they gui…
This study compares machine learning models for short-term stock price forecasting.
Paper proposes a hybrid MTL framework for improved stock market prediction accuracy.
Mammography is often used as the most common laboratory method for the detection of breast cancer, yet associated with the high cost and many side effects. Machine learning prediction as an alternative method has shown promising results. This paper presents a method based on a multilayer fuzzy expert system for the det…
A new metric optimizes forecasts for lumpy, intermittent demand.
A deep learning model is applied for predicting block-level parking occupancy in real time. The model leverages Graph-Convolutional Neural Networks (GCNN) to extract the spatial relations of traffic flow in large-scale networks, and utilizes Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN) with Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM) to capture …
MPANF improves naive forecast by incorporating directional information.
Optimizing storage assignment is a central problem in warehousing. Past literature has shown the superiority of the Duration-of-Stay (DoS) method in assigning pallets, but the methodology requires perfect prior knowledge of DoS for each pallet, which is unknown and uncertain under realistic conditions. The dynamic natu…
In regression modelling approach, the main step is to fit the regression line as close as possible to the target variable. In this process most algorithms try to fit all of the data in a single line and hence fitting all parts of target variable in one go. It was observed that the error between predicted and target var…
LAD-BNet improves real-time energy forecasting on edge devices.
Event-driven features improve forex price prediction accuracy.
Predict stock prices using financial news sentiment analysis.
Survey of deep learning methods for forex and stock price prediction.
Informer improves financial market prediction accuracy with global time stamp features.
Chronos models improve financial forecasting by integrating multivariate data.
This paper investigates a paradigm for offering artificial intelligence as a service (AI-aaS) on software-defined infrastructures (SDIs). The increasing complexity of networking and computing infrastructures is already driving the introduction of automation in networking and cloud computing management systems. Here we …
The paper forecasts Bitcoin prices using statistical and machine learning models.
Sales forecasting plays a prominent role in business planning and business strategy. The value and importance of advance information is a cornerstone of planning activity, and a well-set forecast goal can guide sale-force more efficiently. In this paper CPU sales forecasting of Intel Corporation, a multinational semico…
A hybrid physics-ML model predicts FO water flux with high accuracy and uncertainty quantification.
The paper predicts workload using process mining and neural networks.
How to price and hedge claims on nontraded assets are becoming increasingly important matters in option pricing theory today. The most common practice to deal with these issues is to use another similar or "closely related" asset or index which is traded, for hedging purposes. Implicitly, traders assume here that the h…
Study forecasts vegetable prices in Nepal using a novel index and ensemble model.