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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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140279419558 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Laplace distribution

An analytic solution for asset allocation with Laplace distribution.

problem Asset allocation with multivariate Laplace distribution.
method Specialization of elliptically symmetric distribution theory to Laplace distribution, accounting for dimensionality and variance rescaling.
result A result consistent with conjecture but with differences due to omitted term and rescaling.

A mixture of shifted asymmetric Laplace distributions is introduced and used for clustering and classification. A variant of the EM algorithm is developed for parameter estimation by exploiting the relationship with the general inverse Gaussian distribution. This approach is mathematically elegant and relatively comput…

2012-07-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian meta-reinforcement learning improves over point estimates with Laplace approximation.

problem Improving meta-reinforcement learning by providing full posterior distributions.
method Augmenting point estimates with Laplace approximation for full posterior distributions.
result Our method performs similarly to variational baselines with fewer parameters.

QLA improves Bayesian uncertainty estimation for DNNs without increasing computational cost.

problem Overconfident out-of-distribution predictions from DNNs.
method Proposes Quadratic Laplace Approximation (QLA) to improve Bayesian uncertainty quantification.
result QLA yields modest yet consistent uncertainty estimation improvements over Linearized Laplace Approximation (LLA) on five regression datasets.

This research proves that quadratic regularized optimal transport can approximate the Laplace-Beltrami operator on smooth manifolds.

problem Approximating the Laplace-Beltrami operator using optimal transport with quadratic regularization.
method Deriving first-order optimal potentials and analyzing the convergence of discrete Laplace operators.
result The discrete Laplace operators converge to the Laplace-Beltrami operator on smooth manifolds.

New techniques save bits in image compression with upsampling.

problem Lack of context dependence in current image compression methods with upsampling.
method Simple, inexpensive techniques exploiting context to predict Laplace distribution parameters.
result Average savings of 0.645 bits per difference, up to 1.489 bits.

Modeling stock returns and volatility using a bivariate gamma generalized Laplace law.

problem Analyzing stock returns and volatility using a new statistical model.
method Maximum likelihood estimation for a bivariate generalized Laplace distribution, simplifying to linear regression.
result Explicit estimators derived with nonstandard convergence rates for certain parameter configurations.

Develops a new method to compute risk-sharing allocations using Laplace transforms.

problem Complex integrals in computing conditional mean risk-sharing allocations.
method Uses Laplace-Stieltjes transforms to compute risk-sharing allocations from joint transforms.
result Provides closed-form or semi-analytic solutions for a broad class of distributions.

The paper calculates moments and conditional risks for skewed elliptical distributions.

problem Estimating moments and tail conditional risks for skewed elliptical distributions.
method Derives explicit expressions for multivariate doubly truncated moments and conditional risks for generalized skew-elliptical distributions.
result Explicit formulas for multivariate doubly truncated moments and conditional risks are derived for various skewed elliptical distributions.

A family of parsimonious shifted asymmetric Laplace mixture models is introduced. We extend the mixture of factor analyzers model to the shifted asymmetric Laplace distribution. Imposing constraints on the constitute parts of the resulting decomposed component scale matrices leads to a family of parsimonious models. An…

2013-11-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Enhances predictive performance in Bayesian deep learning via generalized Laplace approximation.

problem Inconsistency in Bayesian deep learning.
method Interprets posterior tempering as a correction for model misspecification and recalibration of priors. Introduces generalized Laplace approximation.
result Generalized Laplace approximation enhances predictive performance.

Improves Laplace approximation for Bayesian inference on Riemannian manifolds.

problem Inaccurate Gaussian approximations for complex targets and finite-data posteriors.
method Develops alternative variants of the Laplace approximation using a Riemannian metric.
result Exact approximations at the limit of infinite data, improving practical performance.

Bayesian neural networks approximate Gaussian, this method adapts to non-Gaussian posteriors.

problem Bayesian neural networks struggle with non-Gaussian posteriors, leading to poor performance.
method Proposes a Riemannian Laplace approximation to adapt to the shape of the true posterior.
result Consistently improves over conventional Laplace approximation across tasks.

We propose a generalized double Pareto prior for Bayesian shrinkage estimation and inferences in linear models. The prior can be obtained via a scale mixture of Laplace or normal distributions, forming a bridge between the Laplace and Normal-Jeffreys' priors. While it has a spike at zero like the Laplace density, it al…

2011-04-05abs ↗pdf ↗

This study examines the practical equivalence of Laplace and neural tangent kernels.

problem Understanding the practical equivalence of Laplace and neural tangent kernels.
method The study matches the kernels exactly and by matching posteriors of a Gaussian process. It also analyzes the kernels in R^d and experiments with them in regression tasks.
result The Laplace and neural tangent kernels are practically equivalent.

In this paper we propose a novel framework for the construction of sparsity-inducing priors. In particular, we define such priors as a mixture of exponential power distributions with a generalized inverse Gaussian density (EP-GIG). EP-GIG is a variant of generalized hyperbolic distributions, and the special cases inclu…

2012-04-19abs ↗pdf ↗

We establish an explicit expression for the conditional Laplace transform of the integrated Volterra Wishart process in terms of a certain resolvent of the covariance function. The core ingredient is the derivation of the conditional Laplace transform of general Gaussian processes in terms of Fredholm's determinant and…

2019-11-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Efficiently transforms samples from various statistical models.

problem Approximately transforming samples from one statistical model to another without knowing the source model's parameters.
method Constructs computationally efficient procedures to reduce uniform, Erlang, and Laplace models to general target families.
result Establishes nonasymptotic reductions between canonical high-dimensional problems, such as mixtures of experts, phase retrieval, and signal denoising.

Bayesian tensor train kernel machine uses Laplace approximation for scalable GP regression.

problem Scalability limitations of Gaussian process regression.
method Bayesian tensor train kernel machine with Laplace approximation and variational inference.
result VI replaces cross-validation and offers up to 65x faster training.

Exact 1-Wasserstein distance between location-scale distributions derived, with privacy effects studied.

problem Calculating the 1-Wasserstein distance between location-scale distributions and its impact on differential privacy.
method Exact expressions and special functions for 1-Wasserstein distance, new upper bounds, and asymptotic analysis.
result New linear upper bound and detailed asymptotic bounds for Gaussian case, effect of differential privacy studied.

New method calculates geometric Brownian motion with affine drift and its integral.

problem Calculating the distribution of geometric Brownian motion with affine drift and its integral.
method Laplace transform approach and Heun differential equation.
result Joint distribution of geometric Brownian motion with affine drift and its integral can be determined.

New VAE model improves data fitting without sacrificing computational efficiency.

problem Limitation of Gaussian assumption in VAE for continuous variable fitting.
method Infinite mixture of asymmetric Laplace distribution in decoder, nonparametric M-estimator for quantile estimation.
result Model demonstrates superior data privacy adjustment and better distribution fitting.

A novel Laplace-approximated Bayesian Tensor Network Kernel Machine (LA-TNKM) provides principled uncertainty estimates.

problem How to provide principled uncertainty estimates for tensor network kernel machines.
method Employing a linearized Laplace approximation for Bayesian inference.
result Consistently matches or surpasses Gaussian Processes and BNNs across diverse UCI regression benchmarks.

On a compact Kähler manifold there is a canonical action of a Lie-superalgebra on the space of differential forms. It is generated by the differentials, the Lefschetz operator and the adjoints of these operators. We determine the asymptotic distribution of irreducible representations of this Lie-superalgebra on the eig…

2008-05-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Efficiently approximates uncertainty in classification models using Dirichlet distributions.

problem Inefficient computation of uncertainty estimates in Bayesian deep learning.
method Revised Laplace Bridge method to construct a Dirichlet approximation of softmax output distributions.
result The Dirichlet approximation leads to more efficient computation and better uncertainty estimates.

L2R learns to denoise images without needing noise distribution knowledge.

problem Traditional denoising methods require noise distribution knowledge, limiting their applicability.
method L2R uses a learnable monotonic neural network to learn recorruption without distribution knowledge.
result L2R achieves state-of-the-art performance across various noise distributions.

A new method combines ANN and Laplace for fast Bayesian inference in ODE models.

problem Bayesian inference for ODE systems with non-analytical solutions is computationally expensive.
method Hybrid approach using ANN for tractable likelihood and Laplace approximation.
result Effective posterior inference with improved computational cost compared to traditional methods.

New iterative methods improve Vecchia-Laplace approximations for large data sets.

problem Inaccurate and slow Vecchia-Laplace approximations for large data sets.
method Iterative methods to improve Vecchia-Laplace approximations, including preconditioners and novel methods for predictive variances.
result Order of magnitude speed-up and threefold increase in prediction accuracy compared to state-of-the-art methods.

The paper presents an evolutionary economic model for the price evolution of stocks. Treating a stock market as a self-organized system governed by a fast purchase process and slow variations of demand and supply the model suggests that the short term price distribution has the form a logistic (Laplace) distribution. T…

2015-05-15abs ↗pdf ↗

We analyze a simple asset transfer model in which the transfer amount is a fixed fraction ff of the giver's wealth. The model is analyzed in a new way by Laplace transforming the master equation, solving it analytically and numerically for the steady-state distribution, and exploring the solutions for various values o…

2010-04-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper improves parameter estimation of continuous distributions using preference feedback.

problem Improving parameter estimation of continuous distributions.
method Preference-based M-estimators and deterministic preferences.
result Preference-based estimators achieve an estimation error scaling of O(1/n), significantly faster than sample-only methods.

SLUG method detects bias and out-of-distribution content in generative models.

problem Generative models can underrepresent certain groups and fail on out-of-distribution data.
method SLUG: A new uncertainty quantification method for VAEs combining Laplace approximations and stochastic trace estimators.
result SLUG's UQ score correlates with bias and out-of-distribution content.