LLM-Lasso uses LLMs to improve feature selection in Lasso regression.
problem Improving feature selection in Lasso regression with domain-specific knowledge.
method Combines LLMs with Lasso regularization to generate feature weights.
result Outperforms standard Lasso and feature selection baselines in biomedical studies.
Improves feature selection in high-dimensional data using LLM-generated weights.
problem Inaccurate LLM-generated weights degrade feature selection performance.
method Integrates LLM-generated weights into prior inclusion probabilities using LLM Sparsity Prior (LSP).
result Improves prediction accuracy and identifies clinically relevant features.
Enhances stock return prediction using LLMs and hybrid models.
problem Insufficient use of semantic information and alignment of LLMs with stock features.
method LG model with three strategies for global information modeling and SCRL for embedding alignment.
result Superior performance in Rank Information Coefficient and returns compared to models relying only on stock features.
LLMs can select predictive features without seeing training data.
problem Selecting the best features for prediction tasks.
method Zero-shot prompting LLMs with feature names and task descriptions.
result LLMs consistently identify predictive features across various mechanisms.
Model uses LLM features to predict stock returns effectively.
problem Predicting stock returns from text data.
method Structured Event Representation (SER) model with attention mechanisms.
result SER-based model outperforms existing models in stock return prediction.
LLMs can help explain credit risk models but not autonomously.
problem Leveraging LLMs for post-hoc explainability in credit risk models.
method Comparison of LLM outputs with SHAP and coefficient-based attributions on three LMs.
result LLMs reliably preserve feature-importance rankings but poorly align with autonomous explanations.
LFD method improves text classification by making features clearer and less label-leaking.
problem Creating interpretable text representations that are both predictive and understandable.
method LFD method: proposes lexical and semantic features from contrastive text pairs, screens candidates using κ, and selects features by residual gain. result LFD features achieve higher human-human and human-LLM agreement than baseline concepts and are less label-leaking.
LLM extracts actionable insights from customer reviews.
problem Extracting actionable insights from customer reviews.
method Large language model approach distinguishing perceptual attributes from actionable features.
result High consistency and predictive validity of LLM insights compared to human coders.
Study reveals LLM personas have two distinct components: frame-robust aggregated traits and frame-dependent geometric features.
problem Evaluation of LLM personas via psychometric questionnaires discards within-instance correlation structure.
method Constructed within-instance correlation matrices from IPIP-50 responses and analyzed geometry on SPD manifolds under manipulated question orderings.
result Persona expression comprises two dissociable components: aggregated features (Big Five scores) and geometric features (SPD manifold).
Traditional methods outperform LLMs in forecasting corporate credit ratings.
problem Forecasting corporate credit ratings using LLMs.
method Comparison of traditional methods (XGBoost) and LLMs (LLaMA) on credit rating forecasting.
result XGBoost outperforms LLMs in forecasting corporate credit ratings.
The paper proposes a method to analyze categorical feature interactions in large datasets using graph covariance and LLMs.
problem Analyzing complex datasets with numerous categorical features and timestamps.
method Binarization of categorical features using one-hot encoding, computation of graph covariance, identifying significant feature pairs, and using LLMs to generate explanations.
result The method identifies meaningful feature pairs and potential data stories underlying categorical feature interactions.
Study analyzes feedback complexity for sparse feature retrieval in deep networks.
problem Learning sparse superposed features with feedback.
method Analysis of feedback complexity in sparse settings, including triplet comparisons.
result Establishes tight bounds and strong upper bounds for feature recovery.
Paper uses LLMs to detect financial anomalies.
problem Detecting irregular financial entries.
method Non-semantic financial data encoding with LLMs embeddings, tested 3 models.
result LLMs improve anomaly detection in financial data.
New analysis shows interpretability doesn't guarantee steering utility in LLMs.
problem Does higher interpretability lead to better steering utility in large language models?
method Trained 90 SAEs across three LLMs, evaluated interpretability and steering utility, used Kendall's rank coefficients for analysis.
result Interpretability is only weakly associated with steering utility, and features selected by Delta Token Confidence improve steering performance.
Efficiently estimates uncertainty for LLM-based entity linking in tabular data.
problem Accurate and reliable uncertainty estimates for LLM-based entity linking in tabular data.
method Self-supervised approach using token-level features for single-shot inference.
result Effective uncertainty estimates detected at a fraction of computational cost.
LLMs mimic human traders in finance, but not as much as expected.
problem Evaluating how LLMs behave in financial markets.
method Adapted experimental design with LLMs and human traders, analyzed in single and mixed model settings.
result LLMs tend to price assets near their fundamental value, but not as much as humans, and show less trading strategy variance.
MadEvolve optimizes trading algorithms using LLMs, achieving significant improvements in feature generation and trading strategy optimization.
problem Optimizing trading algorithms for better performance and feature generation.
method A framework inspired by Alpha-Evolve, using LLMs to evolve trading strategies and feature pipelines.
result Significant improvements in trading performance across various tasks, including feature generation and trading strategy optimization.
New SAE algorithm proves feature recovery for LLMs with theoretical guarantees.
problem Achieving interpretable features in large language models (LLMs).
method Proposed a statistical framework and bias adaptation technique for sparse autoencoders (SAEs).
result Proved correct recovery of all monosemantic features under specific data sampling.
Statsformer validates and adapts LLM-derived semantic priors for improved supervised learning.
problem Unreliable semantic priors from LLMs can degrade supervised learning performance.
method Adapts LLM-derived feature scores into a family of learner-specific prior-injection mechanisms, calibrating their influence using out-of-fold validation.
result Improves prediction performance by adaptively downweighting unreliable LLM priors, ensuring a guardrailed statistical learning system.
Efficiently predict LLM benchmarks using feature selection and regression.
problem Predicting full benchmark scores with minimal question subsets.
method Multiple regression with feature selection, using kernel ridge regression and mRMR.
result Improved prediction accuracy and ranking correlation across various benchmarks.
FinRLlama wins FinRL Challenge 2024 by fine-tuning LLMs with market data.
problem Lack of contextual alignment for financial market applications in traditional LLMs.
method Fine-tuning LLaMA-3.2-3B-Instruct model with custom RLMF prompt design integrating historical data and reward feedback.
result RLMF-tuned FinRLlama framework outperforms baseline methods in signal consistency and trading outcomes.
ECC Analyzer uses LLMs to predict stock volatility from ECCs.
problem Leveraging unstructured ECC data for stock volatility prediction.
method Uses large language models to extract and fuse textual and audio features from ECCs.
result ECC Analyzer outperforms traditional benchmarks in volatility prediction.
Survey of AI in quant finance, from deep learning to LLMs.
problem Improving predictive modeling and automation in asset management.
method Exploring AI contributions to quant investment pipeline, from human-crafted features to LLMs.
result AI has enabled scalable modeling and autonomous agents in quant finance.
Benchmark assesses LLMs' causal inference skills, revealing significant limitations.
problem Lack of rigorous evaluation of LLMs' causal inference capabilities.
method CausalPitfalls benchmark with structured challenges and grading rubrics.
result Significant limitations in current LLMs' statistical causal inference.
LLMs' explanations are often insufficient and vary with input distribution.
problem Evaluating the sufficiency of LLM explanations without predefined biases.
method Generalizing sufficiency to arbitrary explanations, using LLM's input beliefs, and introducing SCSuff metric.
result Explanation sufficiency can vary with input distribution and is weakly correlated with model size, accuracy, or output entropy.
LLM forecasting benchmarks suffer from information leakage, which confounds model performance.
problem LLM forecasting benchmarks suffer from information leakage.
method A retrieval-augmented LLM forecaster observes only decision-time information.
result The full pipeline obtains a median monthly Spearman rank IC of +0.154.
LIDS assesses LLM summaries with interpretable key words.
problem Challenges in evaluating the quality of LLM summaries.
method BERT-SVD-based direction metric and SOFARI for key word extraction.
result LIDS provides interpretable key words for layered themes.
This study evaluates LLMs for sentiment analysis in stock price prediction.
problem Improving stock price prediction accuracy using LLMs for news sentiment analysis.
method Compared 3 LLMs (DeBERTa, RoBERTa, FinBERT) for sentiment-driven stock prediction.
result DeBERTa outperforms other models with 75% accuracy, and ensemble model increases accuracy to 80%.
LLMs outperform strong tabular baselines on industrial car retrofit prediction.
problem Industrial retrofit planning on structured operational data
method Embedding features, direct prompted classification, and ML+LLM stacking
result LLMs outperform strong tabular baselines on industrial car retrofit prediction
This work shows fine-tuning improves LLM uncertainty estimates efficiently.
problem Ensuring high-stakes predictions from large language models.
method Fine-tuning on a small dataset of correct and incorrect answers.
result Fine-tuned LLMs produce good generalization and tractable uncertainty estimates.
A new LLM-based method enhances diversity in oversampling for imbalanced classification.
problem Limited diversity in synthetic minority samples generated by current LLM-based approaches reduces robustness and generalizability.
method Condition synthetic sample generation on minority labels and features, use permutation strategy for fine-tuning, fine-tune on minority and interpolated samples.
result Significantly outperforms eight SOTA baselines in diverse synthetic sample generation and downstream classification tasks.
LLMs simulate financial markets, revealing consistent trading strategies and market dynamics.
problem Testing financial theories with AI trading agents.
method Simulated stock market with LLMs using a persistent order book and varied strategies.
result LLMs can simulate different trading strategies and market dynamics.
SAEs struggle with feature consistency across runs, hindering MI reliability.
problem Inconsistency of learned SAE features across different training runs.
method Propose using the Pairwise Dictionary Mean Correlation Coefficient (PW-MCC) to measure feature consistency.
result High levels of feature consistency (0.80 for TopK SAEs on LLM activations) are achievable with appropriate architectural choices.
We show LLMs can be locally linear, enabling better control of activations.
problem Suboptimal control of LLM activations during generation.
method Model LLM inference as a linear dynamical system, compute feedback controllers using Jacobians, and adapt classical control theory.
result Robust, fine-grained control of LLM activations across models and tasks.
TradingAgents uses LLM-powered multi-agent framework for financial trading.
problem Lack of collaborative dynamics in multi-agent financial trading systems.
method Inspired by real-world trading firms, TradingAgents features specialized LLM-powered agents and a risk management team.
result Framework outperforms baseline models in trading performance metrics.
A model integrates CNN and LSTM with LLM for better stock forecasting.
problem Complex stock market prediction with volatile patterns and multifaceted data.
method Two-Level Conv-LSTM Neural Network with LLM for holistic stock advising.
result Improved prediction accuracy and contextual insights.
This paper tackles interpretability of LLMs in finance.
problem Complexity and lack of transparency of LLMs in finance.
method Mechanistic interpretability to understand LLM behavior.
result Demonstrates practical relevance of mechanistic interpretability in financial use cases.
Improved crude oil price forecasting using multi-dimensional LLM sentiment signals.
problem Challenges in predicting crude oil prices due to unstructured news.
method Extracted five sentiment dimensions from GPT-4o, Llama 3.2-3b, and FinBERT models on energy-sector news articles.
result Combining GPT-4o and FinBERT yields the best predictive performance for weekly WTI crude oil futures returns.
ADR helps LLMs find and use historical analogies for foresight analysis.
problem LLMs struggle to find relevant historical analogies due to surface-level matching.
method Proposes CANA framework with mechanism alignment and cross-analogy confirmation.
result CANA improves historical analogy generation by up to 10%.
LLMs will inevitably hallucinate due to their mathematical structure.
problem The inherent limitations of Large Language Models (LLMs).
method Analysis of LLMs using computational theory and Godel's Incompleteness Theorem.
result Hallucinations in LLMs are an inevitable feature, not just errors.
AEN-SAEs address feature starvation in sparse autoencoders by stabilizing the geometric alignment of sparse coding.
problem Feature starvation in sparse autoencoders, leading to unstable and misaligned representations.
method Adaptive Elastic Net SAEs (AEN-SAEs) combine ℓ2 and ℓ1 terms to stabilize the sparse coding map and control feature interactions. result AEN-SAEs mitigate feature starvation without heuristic resampling, maintaining competitive reconstruction abilities.
A simple method reduces bias in LLM auto-evaluators by controlling output length.
problem Bias in LLM auto-annotators, particularly length bias.
method Simple regression analysis to control for length difference and other mediators.
result Improved robustness and increased correlation with human preferences.
Paper uses BERT to assess P2P borrowers' credit risk from loan descriptions.
problem Information asymmetry in P2P lending due to lack of borrower data.
method Fine-tunes BERT on Lending Club dataset to generate risk scores from loan descriptions.
result BERT-generated risk scores improve XGBoost classifier's performance in loan granting.
New method calibrates LLMs for safety-critical tasks with scalable Bayesian inference.
problem Overconfidence in LLMs after fine-tuning for specific tasks.
method Orthogonalized Low-Rank Adapters (PoLAR) with variational Bayesian inference.
result Scalable and well-calibrated uncertainty estimation for LLMs.
LLMs prefer Bitcoin under crisis frames, affecting financial decisions.
problem Testing whether LLMs have built-in biases towards specific financial assets.
method Developed a three-level audit protocol to examine Bitcoin's representation and influence in LLMs.
result An identifiable internal feature in LLMs can be perturbed to move financial choices, but only within measurable limits.
MallowsPO enhances LLM fine-tuning with a dispersion index of human preferences.
problem Lack of diversity in human preferences in DPO.
method Developed a dispersion index based on Mallows' theory to characterize preference diversity.
result Demonstrated improved performance in various tasks using the dispersion index.
LLmFPCA-detect detects anomalies in sparse longitudinal text data using LLMs and mFPCA.
problem Challenges in detecting patterns and anomalies in sparse longitudinal textual data.
method Pairs LLM-based text embeddings with mFPCA to detect clusters and anomalies.
result LLmFPCA-detect outperforms state-of-the-art baselines on Amazon and Wikipedia datasets.
Paper uses LLMs to analyze annual reports for stock investment, improving efficiency.
problem Manual analysis of annual reports is time-consuming and requires expertise.
method Leverages Large Language Models to extract and analyze annual reports.
result Machine Learning model trained on LLM outputs outperforms S&P500 returns.