This paper optimizes Iran's stock portfolio using neural networks and genetic algorithms.
problem Optimizing capital allocation in Iran's stock market with low risk and high return.
method Markowitz Mean-Variance-Skewness model with neural network prediction of stock returns and risks.
result Designing 8 different portfolios for various risk tolerance levels.
This paper presents a statistical analysis of Tehran Price Index (TePIx) for the period of 1992 to 2004. The results present asymmetric property of the return distribution which tends to the right hand of the mean. Also the return distribution can be fitted by a stable Levy distribution and the tails are very fatter th…
The study assesses how market competitiveness affects electricity price forecasting.
problem Impact of market competitiveness on electricity price estimation.
method Used a multi-layer perception model with back propagation and Levenberg-Marquardt mechanism, incorporating market power indices and other variables.
result Market power indices enhance forecasting accuracy of daily electricity prices.
Study examines impact of oil and gold prices on Tehran Stock Exchange.
problem Impact of oil and gold prices on Tehran Stock Exchange.
method ARIMA-Copula model, cross-validation, Clayton copula.
result TSE is indirectly influenced by gold price through other factors such as oil; TSE is not independent of oil price volatility.
Paper evaluates deadline-ILS on insider trading contracts, finding it distinguishes signals from noise.
problem Deadlines in insider trading contracts and information leakage detection.
method Empirical evaluation using FFIC dataset, hazard-rate estimation, cross-market wallet analysis.
result Deadline-ILS distinguishes signal from proxy artefact, with a significant shift in magnitude.
Paper proposes a network framework for prosumers to manage peak loads in Iran.
problem Balancing renewable prosumers' self-sufficiency with grid integration under uncertainty.
method Distributed contextual stochastic optimization (DCSO) framework with consensus-based sharing.
result Integration of prediction and optimization reduces peak loads and costs.
The paper validates the intensity of use model for Iran's steel consumption using economic activity indexes.
problem Validating the intensity of use model for Iran's steel consumption.
method Used support vector machines and economic activity indexes to model and predict steel consumption.
result Iran's steel consumption is strongly correlated with its economic activity.
The purpose of this study is to estimate the production function and examine the structure of production in the mining sector of Iran. Several studies have already been conducted in estimating production functions of various economic sectors; however, less attention has been paid to mining sectors. After examining the …
Study forecasts COVID-19 cases in Iran using deep learning.
problem Predicting the spread of COVID-19 in Iran.
method Deep learning models (Prophet, LSTM, AR, ARIMA) for forecasting.
result Deep learning models outperform time series forecasting.
Study reveals the 2020 U.S. stock crash was endogenous, not caused by COVID.
problem Understanding the cause of the 2020 U.S. stock market crash.
method Applied log-periodic power law singularity (LPPLS) methodology to analyze four major U.S. stock market indexes.
result The 2020 U.S. stock market crash was endogenous, stemming from systemic instability, not COVID.
It seems to be very unlikely that all relevant information in the stock market could be fully encoded in a geometrical shape. Still,the present paper will reveal the geometry behind the stock market transactions. The prices of market index (DJIA) stock components are arranged in ascending order from the smallest one in…
A simple and elegant arrangement of stock components of a portfolio (market index-DJIA) in a recent paper [1], has led to the construction of crossing of stocks diagram. The crossing stocks method revealed hidden remarkable algebraic and geometrical aspects of stock market. The present paper continues to uncover new ma…
Stock market indices are one of the most investigated complex systems in econophysics. Here we extend the existing literature on stock markets in connection with nonextensive statistical mechanics. We explore the nonextensivity of price volatilities for 34 major stock market indices between 2010 and 2019. We discover t…
Survey on deep learning methods for stock market prediction.
problem Lack of comprehensive survey on deep learning methods for stock market prediction.
method Propose a novel taxonomy summarizing state-of-the-art models based on deep neural networks.
result Provide detailed statistics on datasets and evaluation metrics.
Deep Q-Network predicts global stock market returns from chart images.
problem Predicting global stock market returns using chart images.
method Deep Q-Network with CNN approximator, trained on US stock market, tested on 31 countries.
result Artificial intelligence can predict stock prices in small markets.
Geography effect is investigated for the Chinese stock market including the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets, based on the daily data of individual stocks. The Shanghai city and the Guangdong province can be identified in the stock geographical sector. By investigating a geographical correlation on a geographical pa…
Investor expectations shifted pessimistically during the 2020 stock market crash and recovery.
problem Analyzing changes in investor expectations during the 2020 stock market crash and recovery.
method Surveying Vanguard clients at three points: before, during, and after the crash.
result Investor pessimism increased following the crash, with significant disagreement about future outcomes.
The study examines network analysis for predicting stock market performance.
problem Understanding lead-lag relationships in the NYSE.
method Network analysis of the NYSE to identify lead-lag effects.
result Network analysis reveals valuable insights for investors and analysts.
We study the temporal evolution of the market efficiency in the stock markets using the complexity, entropy density, standard deviation, autocorrelation function, and probability distribution of the log return for Standard and Poor's 500 (S&P 500), Nikkei stock average index, and Korean composition stock price index (K…
Study examines how economic policy uncertainty impacts stock markets.
problem Dynamic relationship between economic policy uncertainty and stock markets.
method Used symmetric thermal optimal path (TOPS) method.
result Different interaction patterns observed in emerging and developed markets.
Study shows stock market efficiency varies over time and can be networked.
problem Understanding the dynamic and collective aspects of stock market efficiency.
method Defined and calculated time-varying efficiency using permutation entropy of log-returns.
result Major world stock markets can be hierarchically classified into groups with similar efficiency profiles, but these rankings are unstable.
The paper reports the construction of artificial stock market that emerges the similar statistical facts with real data in Indonesian stock market. We use the individual but dominant data, i.e.: PT TELKOM in hourly interval. The artificial stock market shows standard statistical facts, e.g.: volatility clustering, the …
Study finds long memory in some emerging Asian stocks but not in developed markets.
problem Evaluating stock market efficiency in emerging vs developed markets.
method Improved wavelet estimator of long range dependence.
result Emerging Asian markets show more long memory in stock returns than developed markets.
In a stock market, the numeraire portfolio, if it exists, is the portfolio with the highest expected logarithmic growth rate at all times. A numeraire market is a stock market for which the market portfolio is the numeraire portfolio. We study open markets, markets comprising the higher capitalization stocks within a b…
This paper surveys NLP techniques for predicting stock market movements.
problem Predicting stock market movements with volatility, seasonality, and time dependence.
method Survey of recent literature in NLP and ML for stock market prediction.
result Illustrates recent trends in stock market prediction research.
How an investor invests in the market is largely influenced by the market efficiency because if a market is efficient, it is extremely difficult to make excessive returns because in an efficient market there will be no undervalued securities i.e. securities whose value is less than its assumed intrinsic value, which of…
Iran's FiT policy boosts REs but risks financial crisis and plant failure.
problem Financial challenges in maintaining renewable energy growth after policy targets.
method System dynamics model considering budget status, social tolerance, and investor trust.
result Adjusting tax on electricity consumption based on budget status prevents financial crises and maintains stable growth.
Deep learning predicts stock market trends using candlestick charts.
problem Predicting stock market prices with multiple influencing factors.
method Used Deep Convolutional Neural Networks and candlestick charts.
result 92.2% and 92.1% accuracy for Taiwan and Indonesian stock markets.
We investigate the strength and the direction of information transfer in the U.S. stock market between the composite stock price index of stock market and prices of individual stocks using the transfer entropy. Through the directionality of the information transfer, we find that individual stocks are influenced by the …
A surprising image of the stock market arises if the price time series of all Dow Jones Industrial Average stock components are represented in one chart at once. The chart evolves into a braid representation of the stock market by taking into account only the crossing of stocks and fixing a convention defining overcros…
Model shows stock markets can be inefficiently mispriced.
problem Limits of informationally efficient stock markets.
method Chartist-fundamentalist model with chartists and fundamentalists trading conditions.
result Stock markets can exhibit constant or oscillatory mispricing.
The paper analyzes the crash of stock and commodity markets during COVID-19 using Topological Data Analysis.
problem Identifying and understanding the dynamics and interdependence of stock and commodity markets during the COVID-19 crash.
method Topological Data Analysis (TDA) and Wasserstein Distance (WD) to identify crashes and compare market dynamics.
result Significant topological differences and interdependence between stock and commodity markets during the crash period.
Study confirms Indian stock market is weak form inefficient.
problem Impact of stock market efficiency on investment returns.
method Runs test, Autocorrelation test, Autoregression test on daily stock indices.
result Indian stock market is weak form inefficient and can be outperformed.
Study uses Kalman-Filter to assess market efficiency in major stock markets.
problem Assessing market efficiency in major stock markets.
method Utilizes Kalman-Filter in two stages, assuming a trendline representing true market value.
result Significant portfolio returns in emerging and developed markets.
Study finds varying market efficiency in prewar and wartime Japanese stock market.
problem Measuring market efficiency in prewar and wartime Japanese stock market.
method Using a new market capitalization-weighted stock price index, the study examines market efficiency over time and historical events.
result The adaptive market hypothesis is supported in the prewar and wartime Japanese stock market, with efficiency varying over time and with historical events.
This paper examines the short-run relationships between oil prices and GCC stock markets. Since GCC countries are major world energy market players, their stock markets may be susceptible to oil price shocks. To account for the fact that stock markets may respond nonlinearly to oil price shocks, we have examined both l…
Paper applies fluid dynamics to stock market behavior.
problem Understanding stock market dynamics using physical principles.
method Uses Stokes law to model stock market as fluid system.
result Stock market dynamics can be explained by physical properties.
Study shows economic policy uncertainty increases stock market crash risk during pandemic.
problem Impact of economic policy uncertainty on stock market crashes during the pandemic.
method Used GARCH-S model to estimate daily skewness as a proxy for crash risk, analyzed data from US stock market.
result Significantly negative correlation between economic policy uncertainty and stock market crash risk, stronger during pandemic.
Study shows gain-loss asymmetry in stock indices using a q-spin Potts model.
problem Understanding the dynamics of stock indices in complex markets.
method Developed a q-spin Potts model to represent stock market dynamics.
result Observed a self-organized gain-loss asymmetry in stock indices.
Advanced ML/DL models predict stock prices using technical analysis.
problem Accurately predicting stock prices in a complex market.
method Use of deep learning models for stock price prediction.
result Deep learning models can predict stock prices with high accuracy.
Study examines short-term stress of COVID-19 on major global stock indices.
problem Short-term impact of COVID-19 on global stock markets.
method Secondary data from 41 stock exchanges in 32 countries, focusing on first reported cases.
result Volatility in stock markets increases with the rise of COVID-19 cases, and there is a significant negative correlation.
Study improves stock price prediction by integrating international markets using deep learning.
problem Complex cross-correlation between international stock markets.
method Multimodal deep learning to forecast stock prices.
result Early and intermediate fusion models outperform late fusion and single modality models.
BERTopic enhances stock market prediction by analyzing sentiment in topic models.
problem Improving stock price prediction accuracy using sentiment analysis.
method Employed BERTopic for sentiment analysis of stock market comments integrated with deep learning models.
result Enhanced model performance through topic sentiment integration.
Mapping the economy to the some statistical physics models we get strong indications that, in contrary to the pure stock market, the stock market with derivatives could not self-regulate.
Research shows SBP's tone impacts stock market returns positively or negatively.
problem Impact of State Bank of Pakistan's monetary policy communications on stock market.
method Sentiment analysis and high frequency stock market returns analysis.
result Positive or negative tone in SBP communications affects stock returns positively or negatively.
To investigate the universality of the structure of interactions in different markets, we analyze the cross-correlation matrix C of stock price fluctuations in the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India. We find that this emerging market exhibits strong correlations in the movement of stock prices compared to developed…
Study finds financial YouTube channel 3PROTV predicts stock market performance and sentiment changes.
problem Determining the informational value of financial YouTube channels.
method Analyzing 3PROTV's content and its impact on stock market performance and sentiment.
result 3PROTV's content, particularly negative sentiment, predicts stock market performance and sentiment changes.
Study introduces TeMoP model for better stock market predictions.
problem Decreasing prediction errors and robustness across datasets in machine learning models.
method Probabilistic multiple lag order model based on trend encoding.
result TeMoP model outperforms machine learning models in accuracy and stability across different stock indexes.