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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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146292437583 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Intrinsic Gaussian Processes

Develops intrinsic Gaussian process regression for manifold-valued data.

problem Lack of intrinsic Gaussian process methods for manifold-valued response variables.
method Proposes an intrinsic covariance structure and a novel intrinsic Gaussian process regression model.
result Establishes asymptotic properties and shows posterior consistency.

This study examines Gaussian processes on Riemannian manifolds and proves contraction rates.

problem Comparing intrinsic vs. extrinsic Gaussian processes on Riemannian manifolds.
method Proves optimal contraction rates for intrinsic Matérn Gaussian processes on compact Riemannian manifolds.
result Intrinsic Gaussian processes on Riemannian manifolds achieve better performance than extrinsic ones.

DeepICMGP surrogate models multiple outputs efficiently.

problem Challenges in modeling dependencies between multiple outputs using traditional multi-output GPs.
method Introduces hierarchical coregionalization structures across layers in DGPs.
result Demonstrates competitive performance and active learning strategies.

Enhances Gaussian process regression with multi-fidelity models and active subspaces for high-dimensional problems.

problem Data scarcity and high-dimensional input spaces with low intrinsic dimensionality.
method Employ Gaussian processes in a Bayesian setting, augmenting with low-fidelity models, and exploiting active subspaces.
result Improves model accuracy through multi-fidelity Gaussian process regression with active subspaces.

The paper introduces novel Gaussian process models for vector-valued signals on manifolds.

problem Modeling vector-valued signals on non-Euclidean domains, especially for applications like wind speeds.
method Intrinsically defined Gaussian vector fields on manifolds, accounting for manifold geometry.
result Gaussian vector fields provide more refined inductive biases than extrinsic fields.

We develop a novel Gaussian process method for manifold data.

problem Challenges in Gaussian processes on manifold-based predictors, especially in high dimensions.
method Intrinsic approach for constructing Gaussian processes on general manifolds, using the exponential map for heat kernel estimation.
result Remarkable efficiency gains and applicability to high-dimensional manifolds.

Combines additivity and active subspaces for high-dimensional Gaussian process modeling.

problem High-dimensional Gaussian process modeling challenges due to the curse of dimensionality.
method Combines additivity and active subspaces with a multi-fidelity strategy.
result Shows advantages through experiments on synthetic functions and datasets.

We propose a class of intrinsic Gaussian processes (in-GPs) for interpolation, regression and classification on manifolds with a primary focus on complex constrained domains or irregular shaped spaces arising as subsets or submanifolds of R, R2, R3 and beyond. For example, in-GPs can accommodate spatial domains arising…

2018-01-03abs ↗pdf ↗

A novel GPUM constructs Gaussian Processes for unknown manifolds with probabilistic metrics.

problem High-dimensional data on unknown manifolds with non-Euclidean geometry.
method Bayesian Gaussian Processes latent variable models (BGPLVM), Riemannian geometry, probabilistic metric tensor, Brownian Motion.
result GPUM provides more accurate predictions on unknown manifolds compared to traditional methods.

In-BO optimizes complex constrained domains using SIn-GP surrogate models.

problem Optimizing in complex constrained domains with irregular shapes.
method Sparse Intrinsic Gaussian Processes (SIn-GP) on manifolds with heat kernel estimation.
result In-BO outperforms traditional BO in complex constrained domains.

Kernel methods on discrete domains have shown great promise for many challenging data types, for instance, biological sequence data and molecular structure data. Scalable kernel methods like Support Vector Machines may offer good predictive performances but do not intrinsically provide uncertainty estimates. In contras…

2018-10-24abs ↗pdf ↗

New active learning methods for Gaussian process improve predictive modeling of composite fuselage.

problem Improving predictive modeling of composite fuselage with limited training samples and uncertainties.
method Proposed two new active learning algorithms for Gaussian process considering uncertainties.
result The proposed approach realizes better prediction performance for automatic shape control of composite fuselage.

Paper proposes a fast data-driven AC-OPF method using sparse hybrid Gaussian processes.

problem Optimizing electricity generation and delivery under generation uncertainty in modern power grids.
method Data-driven approach using sparse hybrid Gaussian processes to model power flow equations.
result Shows up to two times faster and more accurate solutions compared to state-of-the-art methods.

Designing a covariance function that represents the underlying correlation is a crucial step in modeling complex natural systems, such as climate models. Geospatial datasets at a global scale usually suffer from non-stationarity and non-uniformly smooth spatial boundaries. A Gaussian process regression using a non-stat…

2015-07-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Model predicts composite structures assembly quality with input uncertainty.

problem Accurate prediction of dimensional deviations and residual stress in composite structures assembly.
method Neural Network Gaussian Process considering input uncertainty.
result NNGPIU model outperforms other methods for nonsmooth, nonlinear responses.

New methods reduce computational cost for Gaussian Markov Random Fields with sparse constraints.

problem Inference and simulation of GMRFs are computationally prohibitive with many constraints.
method Proposes a basis transformation into blocks of constrained and non-constrained subspaces.
result Significantly outperforms existing alternatives in computational cost.

Study on predicting sequences with Gaussian constraints, linking to intrinsic volumes and metric complexity.

problem Predicting sequences almost as well as the best Gaussian distribution with mean in a given subset.
method Expressed minimax regret in terms of intrinsic volumes, established comparison inequality for Wills functional, characterized global covering numbers and local Gaussian widths.
result Sharp estimates on the log-Laplace transform of intrinsic volume sequence for a general nonconvex set.

Unified Bayesian framework for LTV system identification using neural networks and Gaussian Processes.

problem Identifying Linear Time-Varying systems from input-output data.
method Bayesian modeling of impulse response as a stochastic process, using neural networks and Gaussian Processes for inference.
result Framework can infer LTI system properties from a single noisy input-output pair, achieving lower error than classical methods.

Researchers develop a new spatial process model for non-Gaussian data.

problem Non-Gaussian spatial data with asymmetry and heavy-tailedness.
method Re-parameterized Unified Skew-Normal (SUN) distribution, GSUN process, neural Bayes inference with GATs.
result GSUN process captures non-Gaussian spatial data properties and outperforms conventional models.

This work develops discrete Gaussian models for vector-valued data on triangular meshes.

problem Discrete representation of continuous vector-valued environmental data.
method Develops discrete intrinsic Gaussian processes for vector-valued data on triangular meshes using discrete differential operators.
result Models can capture harmonic flows, incorporate boundary conditions, and model non-stationary data.

We propose stochastic, non-parametric activation functions that are fully learnable and individual to each neuron. Complexity and the risk of overfitting are controlled by placing a Gaussian process prior over these functions. The result is the Gaussian process neuron, a probabilistic unit that can be used as the basic…

2017-11-29abs ↗pdf ↗

We focus on variational inference in dynamical systems where the discrete time transition function (or evolution rule) is modelled by a Gaussian process. The dominant approach so far has been to use a factorised posterior distribution, decoupling the transition function from the system states. This is not exact in gene…

2018-12-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Improves Bayesian optimisation for engineering design problems with many variables.

problem Efficiently searching for global minima in high-dimensional design spaces.
method Integrates input and output data to identify a reduced latent subspace using probabilistic partial least squares.
result Significant improvements in convergence to the global minimum compared to existing methods.

Bayesian surrogate models reduce uncertainty in high-dimensional design optimisation problems.

problem Uncertainty in high-dimensional inputs for complex computational models.
method Variational Bayesian inference for constructing statistical surrogates with Gaussian process priors and KL divergence for approximation.
result The RDVGP surrogate provides accurate and versatile approximations for robust structural optimisation.

Market activity scales near a constant of 0.632 in intrinsic time.

problem Understanding the stability of market scaling laws.
method Modeling market directional changes as a memoryless exponential hazard process and identifying the intrinsic time scaling constant.
result The intrinsic time scaling constant is 11/e=0.6321 - 1/e = 0.632.

New method tunes prior IP to data for flexible predictive distributions.

problem Challenges in approximate inference for large models with high parameter dependencies.
method Inducing-point representation of prior IP to approximate posterior process.
result Scalable method that tunes prior IP to data and provides accurate non-Gaussian predictive distributions.

This work extends entropic optimal transport to non-product reference couplings, focusing on Gaussian cases.

problem Finding a diffuse coupling between two measures with non-product reference couplings.
method Reduction of the entropic optimal transport problem to a matrix optimization problem.
result Complete description of the solution for non-product reference couplings, including primal and dual variables.

Efficiently estimates material parameter space with multifidelity Gaussian process modeling.

problem Estimating a region of material parameter space with similar precipitate shapes.
method Multifidelity Gaussian process modeling to reduce computational cost.
result Significant reduction in sampling cost for accurate LER estimation.

Improved estimation of concentration using half-spaces for adversarial vulnerability.

problem Understanding the concentration of measure phenomenon and its impact on adversarial vulnerability.
method Extending Gaussian Isoperimetric Inequality to non-spherical Gaussian measures and arbitrary ℓ_p-norms, using half-spaces to estimate concentration.
result Proposed method finds tighter intrinsic robustness bounds, providing evidence against concentration as a cause of adversarial vulnerability.

This paper uses Gaussian processes to forecast short-term stock price volatility.

problem Inaccurate short-term volatility forecasts for high-frequency trades.
method Combines numerical and probabilistic models, specifically Gaussian Processes (GPs), to correct and forecast stock price data.
result Effective short-term volatility forecasts for high-frequency trades using Gaussian Processes.

Revisits VIC method to correct intrinsic reward bias in stochastic environments.

problem Intrinsic reward bias in VIC leading to suboptimal solutions.
method Proposes two methods based on transitional probability model and Gaussian mixture model to correct bias.
result Achieves maximal empowerment through corrected intrinsic reward.

Gaussian beams describe the amplitude and phase of rays and are widely used to model acoustic propagation. This paper describes four new results in the theory of Gaussian beams. (1) A new version of the Červený equations for the amplitude and phase of Gaussian beams is developed by applying the equivalence of Hamilton-…

2013-04-06abs ↗pdf ↗

We study the intrinsic geometry of a one-dimensional complex space provided with a Kaehler metric in the sense of Grauert. We show that if K is an upper bound for the Gaussian curvature on the regular locus, then the intrinsic metric has curvature at most K in the sense of Alexandrov.

2008-06-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian framework for sphere regression using Gaussian fields.

problem Nonparametric regression on the sphere with Gaussian priors.
method Isotropic Gaussian field priors, harmonic structure, exact posterior distributions, optimal spectral truncation, posterior contraction rates.
result Sharp posterior contraction rates for Gaussian priors with polynomially decaying angular power spectra.

GPS model predicts subspace-valued functions efficiently.

problem Accurate and efficient prediction of subspace-valued functions.
method Gaussian Process Subspace regression (GPS) model, using multivariate Gaussian distributions on Euclidean space.
result GPS provides accurate, smooth predictions with uncertainty quantification.

Proposes a nonparametric tensor factorization for sparse data.

problem Handling sparse tensor data with structural and interpretability benefits.
method Hierarchical Gamma processes and Poisson random measures for tensor-valued process, Dirichlet processes for sampling entry indices, Gaussian processes for values.
result Demonstrates superior performance on benchmark datasets.