Study improves Hayashi-Yoshida estimator for high-dimensional stock covolatility.
problem Inconsistent performance of Hayashi-Yoshida estimator in high dimensions.
method Analyzed the limiting spectral distribution of the Hayashi-Yoshida estimator.
result Established the connection between the estimator's spectrum and the true covariance matrix in high dimensions.
This work further develops the properties of fractional differential forms. In particular, finite dimensional subspaces of fractional form spaces are considered. An inner product, Hodge dual, and covariant derivative are defined. Coordinate transformation rules for integral order forms are also computed. Matrix order f…
Enhanced Transformer models predict ETF portfolio performance by optimizing covariance and semi-covariance matrices.
problem Static covariance estimates fail to capture dynamic market fluctuations and non-linear correlations.
method Transformer-based models for real-time covariance and semi-covariance predictions.
result Portfolios optimized with semi-covariance matrix outperform those with standard covariance matrix, especially in volatile conditions.
A latent force model is a Gaussian process with a covariance function inspired by a differential operator. Such covariance function is obtained by performing convolution integrals between Green's functions associated to the differential operators, and covariance functions associated to latent functions. In the classica…
The paper explores how multiway data from PDEs can be accurately tracked using EnKF with specific covariance and precision estimators.
problem Tracking sparse and multiway structures in dynamical processes governed by PDEs.
method Examined several multiway covariance and precision matrix estimators in the context of physics-driven forecasting and EnKF.
result Multiway data from Poisson and convection-diffusion PDEs can be accurately tracked using EnKF with appropriate estimators.
Improved LDA method for better classification and dimensionality reduction.
problem Improving linear discriminant analysis for better classification performance.
method Integrates spectrally-corrected covariance matrix and regularized discriminant analysis.
result SRLDA has a linear classification global optimal solution under spiked model assumption.
The paper uses Fourier integral theorem for estimating multivariate distributions.
problem Estimating multivariate distributions and conditional distribution functions.
method Natural Monte Carlo and fully nonparametric estimators based on Fourier integral theorem.
result Explicit Monte Carlo estimators without estimated covariance matrix.
We consider the estimation of integrated covariance (ICV) matrices of high dimensional diffusion processes based on high frequency observations. We start by studying the most commonly used estimator, the realized covariance (RCV) matrix. We show that in the high dimensional case when the dimension p and the observati…
Hybrid ResNet and RMT improve covariance matrix estimation for cryptocurrency portfolios.
problem Noisy, non-Gaussian financial data leads to unstable covariance matrices.
method Combines RMT regularization and ResNet learning for data-driven corrections.
result Hybrid estimator outperforms traditional methods in portfolio optimization.
Compared with global average pooling in existing deep convolutional neural networks (CNNs), global covariance pooling can capture richer statistics of deep features, having potential for improving representation and generalization abilities of deep CNNs. However, integration of global covariance pooling into deep CNNs …
Classifies SL(n) covariant matrix-valued valuations on Lp-spaces.
problem Classifying SL(n) covariant matrix-valued valuations on Lp-spaces.
method Established a complete classification for continuous and SL(n) covariant matrix-valued valuations on Lp(Rn,|x|2dx), eliminating matrix symmetry assumption.
result Unique characterization of such valuations by the moment matrix in n>2, rotation matrix in 2D.
Paper presents a new framework for covariance matrix estimation with geometric insights.
problem Challenges in covariance matrix estimation, especially in finding suitable models and efficient estimation methods.
method General framework for linear restrictions on different transformations of the covariance matrix, including matrix logarithm and its inverse.
result Yields an M-estimator with M-estimation allowing for straightforward asymptotic and finite sample analysis. Transformers improve with Fourier integral attentions.
problem Inefficiency of dot-product attention in capturing feature dependencies.
method Interpreted attention as kernel regression, proposed FourierFormer with generalized Fourier integral kernels.
result FourierFormer achieves better accuracy and reduces redundancy.
We establish an explicit expression for the conditional Laplace transform of the integrated Volterra Wishart process in terms of a certain resolvent of the covariance function. The core ingredient is the derivation of the conditional Laplace transform of general Gaussian processes in terms of Fredholm's determinant and…
New methods estimate covariance for matrix data without assuming fixed size or specific distributions.
problem Estimating covariance for high-dimensional matrix data without distributional assumptions.
method Unified framework for bandable covariance estimation with rank one approximation, robust to heavy-tailed data.
result Proposed estimators are rate-optimal and perform well in simulations and real applications.
Machine learning improves high-dimensional matrix estimation.
problem Efficient estimation of high-dimensional matrices.
method Integrates machine learning with classical optimization algorithms for high-dimensional matrix estimation.
result The reparameterized LADMM achieves faster convergence and higher accuracy.
Improved stability for large-scale Bayesian sampling.
problem Reducing instability in Langevin dynamics for large datasets.
method Introducing a modified CCAdL thermostat with a scaling and squaring method and a truncated Taylor series approximation.
result Significantly improved numerical stability and accuracy over existing methods.
New method estimates sparse covariance matrices in logit mixtures.
problem Estimating correlations among random coefficients in logit models.
method Mixed-integer optimization (MIO) with Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) for posterior draws.
result Correctly recovers true covariance structure from synthetic data.
We simplify matrix computations for block matrices, especially useful for covariance and correlation matrices.
problem Complex computations for block matrices, especially for covariance and correlation matrices.
method Obtained a canonical representation for block matrices, facilitating computation of various matrix operations.
result Simplified computation of matrix operations for block matrices, particularly useful for covariance and correlation matrices.
The paper analyzes how Gaussian kernel parameters affect posterior covariance in Gaussian processes.
problem Understanding the influence of Gaussian kernel parameters on posterior covariance in Gaussian processes.
method Geometric analysis and a posteriori error estimation techniques from adaptive finite element methods.
result The bandwidth parameter and spatial distribution of observations significantly influence posterior covariance and its matrix.
Iterative method 'Concent' corrects spectrum bias in covariance matrices.
problem Consistent bias in the spectrum of covariance matrices.
method 'Concent' iterative algorithm.
result Corrects spectrum bias for small and moderate dimensions.
Proposes CoDEAL for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects in panel data models.
problem Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects in causal panel data models with covariate effects.
method Covariate-Adjusted Deep Causal Learning (CoDEAL) integrating neural networks and autoencoders.
result Establishes theoretical guarantees and demonstrates compelling performance in simulations and real data.
We prove an explicit residue formula for a meromorphic continuation of conformally covariant integral operators between differential forms on Rn and on its hyperplane. The results provide a simple and new construction of the conformally covariant differential symmetry breaking operators between differential fo…
Classification of SL(n) covariant valuations on Orlicz spaces.
problem Classifying continuous SL(n) covariant valuations on Orlicz spaces.
method Complete classification without symmetric assumptions, focusing on moment matrix and a new functional in dimension two.
result The moment matrix is the only SL(n) covariant valuation for n≥3, and a new functional appears in dimension two.
CovRegRF estimates covariance matrix from covariates using random forests.
problem Estimating conditional covariances or correlations among multivariate responses.
method Random forest trees with a custom splitting rule to maximize covariance difference.
result Accurate covariance matrix estimates and controlled Type-1 error.
S-VNNs improve VNNs by sparsifying covariance matrices.
problem Spurious correlations in covariance matrices degrade VNNs' performance and efficiency.
method Apply sparsification techniques on sample covariance matrix and integrate into VNN architecture.
result S-VNNs achieve improved performance, stability, and reduced computational time.
Improved graph matching using covariates for network data integration.
problem Matching networks without unique identifiers.
method Two novel covariate-assisted seeded graph matching methods.
result Improved alignment accuracy through covariate information.
Relying on recent advances in statistical estimation of covariance distances based on random matrix theory, this article proposes an improved covariance and precision matrix estimation for a wide family of metrics. The method is shown to largely outperform the sample covariance matrix estimate and to compete with state…
Markets composed of stocks with capitalization processes represented by positive continuous semimartingales are studied under the condition that the market excess growth rate is bounded away from zero. The following examples of these markets are given: i) a market with a singular covariance matrix and instantaneous rel…
Improved covariance matrix forecasting for S&P 500 using factor models and shrinkage.
problem Forecasting large covariance matrices of returns in finance.
method Decompose covariance matrix into firm-level factors and sectoral restrictions. Estimate using VHAR models with LASSO.
result Significantly improved forecasting precision compared to benchmarks.
The covariance matrix of a p-dimensional random variable is a fundamental quantity in data analysis. Given n i.i.d. observations, it is typically estimated by the sample covariance matrix, at a computational cost of O(np2) operations. When n,p are large, this computation may be prohibitively slow. Moreover, …
A regression algorithm uses Green's function and covariance matrix for predictive distributions.
problem Regression and uncertainty quantification for machine learning.
method Green's function theory, Bayesian approach, covariance matrix of normalized Green's function.
result The covariance matrix provides predictive distributions with mean and confidence intervals.
Study on neural network initialization with shaped infinite depth-and-width networks.
problem Understanding the distribution of random covariance matrices in shaped infinite-depth-and-width networks.
method Introduced the Neural Covariance SDE to model the distribution of the random covariance matrix.
result Identified the precise scaling of the activation function necessary for a non-trivial limit.
New algorithm improves matrix estimation with one-sided covariates.
problem Estimating matrix means with unobserved row covariates.
method Proposes an algorithm for nonparametric matrix estimation with observed column covariates.
result Achieves minimax optimal nonparametric rate in moderately proportioned matrices.
Improves BBVI for high-dimensional Gaussian approximations by using low-rank approximations.
problem Scalability issues with BBVI for high-dimensional multivariate Gaussian approximations.
method Extends BaM framework to handle full covariance matrices by integrating patch step for low-rank parameterization.
result Shows improved efficiency and scalability on synthetic and real-world high-dimensional inference problems.
New methods improve portfolio risk minimization by estimating covariance matrix more accurately.
problem Uncertainty in estimating covariance matrix leads to unreliable hedge trades.
method Proposes two new estimators of the inverse covariance matrix using l2 and l1 norms.
result Portfolio formed using proposed estimators achieves substantial risk reduction and improved returns.
DACE estimates covariance from compressed data, improving accuracy.
problem Estimating covariance from large, distributed data.
method Data-aware weighted sampling for unbiased estimation.
result DACE provides more accurate covariance estimation under compression.
We provide a method to prepare covariance matrices for quantum datasets.
problem No concrete protocol for preparing covariance matrices for quantum datasets.
method Amplitude encoding of data, exploiting global phase symmetry to center the dataset.
result Covariance matrix can be prepared for arbitrary quantum datasets or centered classical datasets.
Develops a new MCMC-based Wishart prior for Gaussian Process covariance matrix.
problem Difficult inference for multivariate Gaussian Processes with multiple lengthscale parameters.
method Introduces a self-assembled Wishart prior and uses MCMC for Bayesian inference on kernel hyperparameters.
result Demonstrates the effectiveness of the new prior in GP-based learning with empirical results.
Method cleans covariance matrices for better statistical inference.
problem Reducing estimation noise in covariance matrices for better statistical inference.
method Robust yet flexible hierarchical ansatz with bootstrap procedure.
result Lower realized risk in global minimum variance portfolios.
This paper focuses on the estimation of the sample covariance matrix from low-dimensional random projections of data known as compressive measurements. In particular, we present an unbiased estimator to extract the covariance structure from compressive measurements obtained by a general class of random projection matri…
NGD improves multivariate Gaussian inference by optimizing Fisher information.
problem Efficiently optimizing multivariate Gaussian models.
method Natural Gradient Descent applied to multivariate Gaussian parameters.
result NGD updates are more efficient for symmetric covariance matrices.
Enhanced EEG classification using augmented covariance matrix.
problem Improving motor imagery classification from EEG signals.
method Proposes a new framework based on the augmented covariance matrix derived from an autoregressive model.
result The augmented covariance matrix outperformed state-of-the-art methods.
Covariance graphical lasso applies a lasso penalty on the elements of the covariance matrix. This method is useful because it not only produces sparse estimation of covariance matrix but also discovers marginal independence structures by generating zeros in the covariance matrix. We propose and explore two new algorith…
Paper proposes a deep learning method for better covariance matrix forecasting.
problem Suboptimal predictive performance in traditional matrix volatility forecasting.
method Riemannian-geometry-aware deep learning framework for symmetric positive definite matrices.
result Our method outperforms traditional approaches in predictive accuracy.
The graphical lasso (glasso) is a widely-used fast algorithm for estimating sparse inverse covariance matrices. The glasso solves an L1 penalized maximum likelihood problem and is available as an R library on CRAN. The output from the glasso, a regularized covariance matrix estimate a sparse inverse covariance matrix e…
Study connects covariance cleaning theory to information theory for heavy-tailed distributions.
problem Optimizing covariance matrices for heavy-tailed distributions using information theory.
method Minimizing Frobenius norm and information loss between true and estimated covariance matrices.
result Asymptotic regime of large matrices minimizes information loss for Student's t distributions.
We uncover scaling laws and statistical structure in complex datasets.
problem Understanding universal traits in complex datasets.
method Analogizing data to physical systems, using statistical physics and RMT.
result Real-world datasets and Gaussian data with long-range correlations share the same RMT universality class.