I-GCN improves GCNs' robustness against adversarial attacks.
problem Adversarial attacks degrade GCNs' performance in security-critical applications.
method Influence mechanism divides node effects into introverted and extroverted influences.
result I-GCN achieves higher accuracy rates than state-of-the-art methods in defending against adversarial attacks.
DICE estimates data influence cascade in decentralized learning networks.
problem Lack of fair incentives discourages participation in decentralized learning.
method Designs DICE to estimate influence cascade in decentralized networks.
result Influence cascade is influenced by data, topology, and loss landscape curvature.
Motivated by the need to audit complex and black box models, there has been extensive research on quantifying how data features influence model predictions. Feature influence can be direct (a direct influence on model outcomes) and indirect (model outcomes are influenced via proxy features). Feature influence can also …
Quantum theory challenges traditional cause-effect relations, showing causal influences even without Bell inequality violations.
problem Challenging traditional concepts of cause-effect relations in quantum mechanics.
method Introducing a general framework to estimate causal influences without interventions or classical/quantum assumptions.
result Every pure bipartite entangled state violates classical bounds on causal influence, negating the idea that Bell inequalities are the only signature of incompatibility.
This study analyzes mutual influence on investment strategies of financial market agents.
problem Mutual influence among agents in financial markets and its impact on investment strategies.
method Formulated optimal investment differential game problem, derived analytical solutions, proposed fast algorithm, and theoretically analyzed mutual influence.
result Agents' optimal strategies converge to the asymptotic strategy when mutual influence is strong and approaches infinity.
New research investigates why influence functions are fragile and proposes new validation procedures.
problem Understanding and mitigating the fragility of influence functions in deep learning model explanations.
method Verification of influence functions using various conditions and procedures, including convexity and non-convexity.
result Validation procedures may cause the observed fragility of influence functions.
Study improves Bayesian calibration of mechanical properties using active learning and MCMC.
problem Inference of spatially varying material parameters in computational mechanics.
method Comprehensive comparative study of surrogate models and MCMC algorithms.
result Active learning strategy outperforms a priori trained models in posterior estimation.
We propose a unified mechanism for achieving coordination and communication in Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning (MARL), through rewarding agents for having causal influence over other agents' actions. Causal influence is assessed using counterfactual reasoning. At each timestep, an agent simulates alternate actions t…
Framework calculates positional influence in causal residual Transformers.
problem Understanding positional influence in causal residual Transformers.
method Adjoint-sensitivity framework for positional influence in causal residual Transformers.
result Exact evolution of adjoint-energy influence density and decomposition into residual transmission, nonlocal Volterra, and local channels.
We study how to communicate findings of Bayesian inference to third parties, while preserving the strong guarantee of differential privacy. Our main contributions are four different algorithms for private Bayesian inference on proba-bilistic graphical models. These include two mechanisms for adding noise to the Bayesia…
Predictive models can fail to generalize from training to deployment environments because of dataset shift, posing a threat to model reliability and the safety of downstream decisions made in practice. Instead of using samples from the target distribution to reactively correct dataset shift, we use graphical knowledge …
Cryptocurrency forecasting model considers macro, sentiment, and technical indicators.
problem High price volatility in cryptocurrency markets.
method Dual-prediction mechanism incorporating macroeconomic fluctuations, technical indicators, and individual cryptocurrency price changes.
result The proposed model outperforms ten comparison methods in short-term cryptocurrency forecasting.
Quantum systems learn like machine learning models, influenced by dissipation.
problem Understanding how quantum systems learn and evolve.
method Hydrodynamical formulation of quantum mechanics, gradient descent model, empirical demonstration.
result Quantum systems follow a disrupted gradient descent model, influenced by dissipation.
New model predicts dynamic tax evasion with audits and imitation.
problem Static treatment of tax compliance and evasion in Bertotti and Modanese model.
method Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes (PDMPs) for audits and imitation mechanisms.
result Model shows persistent fluctuations and stationary distribution, not extreme equilibrium.
This note treats the notion of Lagrange derivative for the third order mechanics in the context of covariant Riemannian geometry. The variational differential equation for geodesic circles in two dimensions is obtained. The influence of the curvature tensor on the Lagrange derivative leads to the emergence of the notio…
Algorithms are often used to produce decision-making rules that classify or evaluate individuals. When these individuals have incentives to be classified a certain way, they may behave strategically to influence their outcomes. We develop a model for how strategic agents can invest effort in order to change the outcome…
Model predicts activist fund targets with 78.2% accuracy.
problem Predicting activist fund targets to mitigate risks and inform investments.
method Evaluated 123 model configurations using machine learning techniques.
result Best model achieved AUC-ROC of 0.782.
CoI framework models clinical feature interactions, revealing temporal dependencies and enhancing transparency.
problem Capturing latent, time-varying dependencies among clinical features in time-series data.
method Chain-of-Influence (CoI) framework constructs an explicit, time-unfolded graph of feature interactions.
result Achieves state-of-the-art predictive performance (AUROC of 0.960 on CKD progression and 0.950 on ICU mortality).
According to conventional wisdom, ambiguity accelerates optimal timing by decreasing the value of waiting in comparison with the unambiguous benchmark case. We study this mechanism in a multidimensional setting and show that in a multifactor model ambiguity does not only influence the rate at which the underlying proce…
Study optimal investment under imitation of decision-changing rates.
problem Optimal investment under imitation of decision-changing rates.
method Proposed integral disparity to quantify imitation, derived general solution using variational method, analyzed asymptotic properties, validated with real data.
result Investor's optimal decisions under imitation of decision-changing rates.
New approach tackles nonidentifiability in nonlinear blind source separation.
problem Nonidentifiability in nonlinear blind source separation.
method Independent mechanism analysis, incorporating causal assumptions.
result Empirical and theoretical evidence shows improved identifiability.
Oil markets profoundly influence world economies through determination of prices of energy and transports. Using novel methodology devised in frequency domain, we study the information transmission mechanisms in oil-based commodity markets. Taking crude oil as a supply-side benchmark and heating oil and gasoline as dem…
The study investigates how branch points affect the shape and mechanics of hyperbolic surfaces.
problem Understanding the role of branch points in the shape and mechanics of hyperbolic surfaces.
method Developed a discrete differential geometric (DDG) approach to study deformations of hyperbolic objects with distributed branch points.
result Branch points influence the overall morphology of hyperbolic surfaces without concentrating energy, leading to sub-exponential growth in maximum curvature.
Study mutual insurance market dynamics using mean field games.
problem Understanding strategic interactions and wealth distribution in mutual insurance companies.
method Extended mean field game framework, mean field forward-backward stochastic differential equations (MF-FBSDE), deep BSDE algorithm.
result Established global-in-time existence and uniqueness of Nash equilibrium strategy.
A number of papers claim that a Log Periodic Power Law (LPPL) fitted to financial market bubbles that precede large market falls or 'crashes', contain parameters that are confined within certain ranges. The mechanism that has been claimed as underlying the LPPL, is based on influence percolation and a martingale condit…
A new privacy-preserving mechanism for shapes on manifolds.
problem Privacy-preserving sanitization of shapes on curved manifolds.
method Developed a K-norm gradient mechanism on Riemannian manifolds.
result The K-norm gradient mechanism offers better control over sensitivity than the Laplace mechanism on positively curved manifolds.
IMA improves representation learning even when assumptions are violated.
problem Recovering true latent codes from mixed data.
method IMA, which assumes independent causal mechanisms.
result IMA's benefits extend to violations of its assumptions.
Domain adaptation framework identifies latent variables for target distribution identifiability.
problem Unsupervised domain adaptation without identifiable joint distribution of features and labels.
method Formulated latent variable model with invariant and changing components, constrained domain shift to influence only changing components.
result Joint distribution of data and labels in target domain is identifiable under mild conditions.
Religious adherence reduces corporate greenwashing behavior.
problem Greenwashing behavior by corporations.
method Analysis of a large US firm sample (2005-2019), focusing on selective disclosure.
result Religious adherence correlates with lower greenwashing behavior.
We present a method for incorporating missing data in non-parametric statistical learning without the need for imputation. We focus on a tree-based method, Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART), enhanced with "Missingness Incorporated in Attributes," an approach recently proposed incorporating missingness into deci…
Paper proposes AI for stock market forecasting using external knowledge.
problem Forecasting stock prices influenced by external factors.
method Learning from historical data and external temporal knowledge graphs modeled as Hawkes processes.
result Dynamic representations effectively rank stocks based on returns.
Recovering hidden influence networks from cascade data using Jacobian-based machine learning.
problem Recovering influence networks behind dynamic cascades.
method CascadeNet, a Jacobian-based machine learning framework.
result CascadeNet achieves high accuracy in network recovery.
A simple Ising spin model which can describe the mechanism of price formation in financial markets is proposed. In contrast to other agent-based models, the influence does not flow inward from the surrounding neighbors to the center site, but spreads outward from the center to the neighbors. The model thus describes th…
Social-based recommendation systems exploit the selections of friends to combat the data sparsity on user preferences, and improve the recommendation accuracy of the collaborative filtering strategy. The main challenge is to capture and weigh friends' preferences, as in practice they do necessarily match. In this paper…
Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) are powerful to learn the representation of graph-structured data. Most of the GNNs use the message-passing scheme, where the embedding of a node is iteratively updated by aggregating the information of its neighbors. To achieve a better expressive capability of node influences, attention m…
Study reveals how features influence deep network decision boundaries.
problem Understanding the role of features in neural network decision boundaries.
method Adopted adversarial robustness tools to measure changes in CNN decision boundaries.
result Neural networks exhibit high invariance to non-discriminative features and are sensitive to small perturbations of training samples.
LLMs can be influenced by unseen dataset subtexts, revealing new ways to select data subsets.
problem Understanding how datasets subtly influence LLMs and their properties.
method Logit-Linear-Selection (LLS) method to select subsets of datasets.
result LLS reveals hidden effects in LLMs that persist across different models and architectures.
We analyze double descent in finite-width neural networks using influence functions.
problem Understanding double descent in finite-width neural networks.
method Using influence functions to derive population loss bounds and investigate loss function effects.
result Derived bounds exhibit double descent behavior at the interpolation threshold.
The common wisdom argues that, in general, large trades cause large price changes, while small trades cause small price changes. However, for extremely large price changes, the trade size and news play a minor role, while the liquidity (especially price gaps on the limit order book) is a more influencing factor. Hence,…
Linearized attention fails to converge to NTK limit even at large widths.
problem Understanding the convergence of attention mechanisms to the kernel regime.
method Analyzes linearized attention and its relationship to the NTK limit, considering practical widths and conditions.
result Linearized attention does not converge to its NTK limit at any practical width, revealing a fundamental trade-off.
A simple Ising spin model which can describe the mechanism of advertising in a duopoly market is proposed. In contrast to other agent-based models, the influence does not flow inward from the surrounding neighbors to the center site, but spreads outward from the center to the neighbors. The model thus describes the spr…
New memory models improve LSSVM's generalization and reduce time cost.
problem Improving LSSVM's generalization performance and reducing training time.
method Introducing MIMM and WIMM models that modify LSSVM's memory influence mechanism.
result MIMM and WIMM models outperform LSSVM in generalization and time efficiency.
The interpretability of prediction mechanisms with respect to the underlying prediction problem is often unclear. While several studies have focused on developing prediction models with meaningful parameters, the causal relationships between the predictors and the actual prediction have not been considered. Here, we co…
Softmax temperature influences model representation rank and performance.
problem Understanding and optimizing softmax function's impact on model representations.
method Investigated softmax function's role in deep neural networks, introduced rank deficit bias.
result Softmax temperature affects model representation rank and can improve performance.
Machine learning models simulate molecular spectra and reactions in solvents.
problem Accurate simulation of molecular spectra and reactions in solvent environments.
method Introduced FieldSchNet, a deep neural network for modeling molecular interactions with external fields.
result Demonstrated significant lowering of Claisen rearrangement reaction activation barrier using FieldSchNet.
ACI identifies cause-effect relationships and causal influence ranges in dynamical systems.
problem Detecting and quantifying causal influence ranges in complex systems.
method Bayesian data assimilation and assimilative causal inference (ACI) to trace causes back from observed effects.
result Mathematically rigorous formulations of forward and backward causal influence ranges (CIRs) for nonlinear dynamical systems.
Modern approaches to stock pricing in quantitative finance are typically founded on the 'Black-Scholes model' and the underlying 'random walk hypothesis'. Empirical data indicate that this hypothesis works well in stable situations but, in abrupt transitions such as during an economical crisis, the random walk model fa…
This study identifies financial risk paths in digital-transformed enterprises.
problem Identifying financial risks in digital-transformed enterprises.
method DEMATEL-ISM-MICMAC method.
result Political and economic environment affects enterprise's financial structure.