RSI uses Bayesian inference to monitor compliance in rule-governed domains.
problem Structural obstacles in compliance monitoring, including unlabeled outcomes and selective withholding of evidence.
method Rule-State Inference (RSI) treats formalized rules as Bayesian priors and infers compliance states through mean-field variational inference.
result RSI delivers formal guarantees of adaptability, consistency, and convergence, validated on a synthetic enterprise benchmark.
The artificial neural network shows powerful ability of inference, but it is still criticized for lack of interpretability and prerequisite needs of big dataset. This paper proposes the Rule-embedded Neural Network (ReNN) to overcome the shortages. ReNN first makes local-based inferences to detect local patterns, and t…
DeepCTRL integrates rules into deep learning models, allowing flexible control at inference.
problem Lack of flexibility in incorporating rules into deep learning models.
method Integrates rule representations into deep neural networks, enabling flexible control at inference.
result Improves rule verification ratio and accuracy gains at downstream tasks.
Study explores reinforcement learning in a complex game environment, analyzing rule inference and policy learning.
problem Learning optimal policies in environments with hidden rules.
method Investigated using the Game Of Hidden Rules (GOHR) environment, employing Feature-Centric and Object-Centric state representations with a Transformer-based A2C algorithm.
result Transformer-based A2C models outperform traditional methods in GOHR, demonstrating the effectiveness of representation strategies.
Active inference framework improves U-statistic estimation efficiency.
problem Costly acquisition of labels for U-statistics. method Active inference framework with optimal sampling rule.
result Substantial gains in estimation efficiency over baseline methods.
Kernel Bayesian inference is a principled approach to nonparametric inference in probabilistic graphical models, where probabilistic relationships between variables are learned from data in a nonparametric manner. Various algorithms of kernel Bayesian inference have been developed by combining kernelized basic probabil…
A method for concept-based learning using probabilistic inference and expert rules.
problem Concept-based learning with limited training data.
method Divide images into patches, transform into embeddings, cluster, and use frequentist inference to find concepts.
result FI-CBL outperforms concept bottleneck model in small data scenarios.
pRSL combines probabilistic rules to improve multi-label classification.
problem Modeling the structure between multi-label classes for better performance.
method Uses probabilistic propositional logic rules and belief propagation to combine predictions from multiple classifiers.
result pRSL achieves state-of-the-art performance on various benchmark datasets.
Enhances Bayesian learning with rule-based evolutionary techniques.
problem Improving Bayesian inference with expert knowledge and data patterns.
method Combines Bayesian inference with rule-based systems and grammatical evolution.
result Automatically derives rules from data, improving point predictions and uncertainty quantification.
Kernel Bayes' rule has been proposed as a nonparametric kernel-based method to realize Bayesian inference in reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces. However, we demonstrate both theoretically and experimentally that the prediction result by kernel Bayes' rule is in some cases unnatural. We consider that this phenomenon is i…
Statistical relational models provide compact encodings of probabilistic dependencies in relational domains, but result in highly intractable graphical models. The goal of lifted inference is to carry out probabilistic inference without needing to reason about each individual separately, by instead treating exchangeabl…
The paper tackles causal rule discovery from observational data.
problem Challenges in inferring causal effects from observational data due to confounding factors and high variance.
method Measures causal effect from observational data, providing graphical criteria and a conservative estimator.
result Proposes an efficient algorithm that maximises the estimator and discovers meaningful causal rules.
CIfly simplifies causal inference tasks with linear-time reachability primitives.
problem Efficiently solving complex causal inference problems.
method Formalizes reachability as a core operation, builds on state-space graphs, and uses rule tables.
result CIfly algorithms run in linear time, outperforming existing methods.
Bayesian method infers local rules for collective animal movement.
problem Learn local rules governing long-term group behaviors.
method Bayesian Inverse Reinforcement Learning with Linearly-Solvable Markov Decision Process.
result Recover true costs and find value of collective movement.
Proposes an alternative method to train RBMs with binary synapses using Bayesian learning rule.
problem Training RBMs with binary synapses is challenging due to discrete nature of synapses.
method Proposes an alternative optimization method using the Bayesian learning rule, updating natural parameters instead of expectation parameters.
result No additional clipping is needed as natural parameters take values in the entire real domain.
RATE metrics evaluate treatment prioritization rules, subsuming existing methods.
problem Comparing and testing the quality of treatment prioritization rules.
method Rank-weighted average treatment effect (RATE) metrics.
result RATE metrics enable asymptotically exact inference in various study settings.
PSD models simplify probability density estimation.
problem Effective modeling of probability densities for inference.
method Positive semi-definite (PSD) models for non-negative functions.
result PSD models efficiently support product and sum rules.
A method for collecting human supervision that combines rules and instance labels.
problem Lack of labeled data and inefficient human supervision.
method Rule-exemplar method with training algorithm for joint denoising and model training.
result Our algorithm is more accurate than existing methods and effectively denoises rules.
Kernel method optimizes personalized dose rules for patients.
problem Finding optimal individualized dose rules for patients.
method Kernel assisted learning method for estimating optimal dose rules.
result The method identifies the optimal individualized dose rule and produces favorable outcomes.
Introduces a rule-based Bayesian regression for better uncertainty quantification and expert knowledge integration.
problem Handling regression problems with uncertainty quantification and expert intuition.
method Combines Bayesian inference and rule-based systems for better model performance.
result Improves model performance with better uncertainty quantification and point predictions.
Study shows LLMs can extrapolate rules from out-of-distribution prompts.
problem Understanding LLMs' ability to generalize from unexpected inputs.
method Formal languages and rule-based scenarios to evaluate LLMs' OOD behavior.
result LLMs can extrapolate rules from out-of-distribution prompts, even in complex scenarios.
PVI seeks a posterior that makes predictions closer to true data, not approximating the Bayesian posterior.
problem Finding meaningful posterior distributions under model misspecification.
method Predictive variational inference (PVI) seeks an optimal posterior density for close predictive matching to true data.
result PVI learns a posterior that is not the same as the Bayesian posterior, but is closer to the true data generating process.
This paper proposes a new method to approximate posterior distributions using generative neural networks trained via scoring rule minimization.
problem Bayesian Likelihood-Free Inference for models with intractable likelihood.
method Approximate posterior with generative neural networks trained via scoring rule minimization, avoiding the instability of adversarial training.
result Scoring Rule minimization leads to better performance and uncertainty quantification compared to adversarial training.
An online decision-making algorithm using stochastic gradient descent for big data.
problem Efficiently updating decision rules in online decision making with big data.
method Stochastic gradient descent for online updates, asymptotic normality of estimators.
result Asymptotic normality of parameter and value estimators, enabling statistical inference.
Method measures weight similarity in neural networks using normalization and statistical inference.
problem Quantifying weight similarity in non-convex neural networks.
method Chain normalization rule and hypothesis-training-testing statistical inference.
result Weights of identical neural networks converge to similar local solutions.
New methods prune unpromising rules from KGs, improving scalability and runtime.
problem Scalability issues in walk-based rule learning from KGs.
method Rule Hierarchy Framework (RHF) and Hierarchical Pruning (HPMs).
result Significant reductions in runtime and number of learned rules without compromising predictive performance.
Proposes a method for inference in high-dimensional classification with non-differentiable surrogate losses.
problem Lack of inference procedures for identifying driving factors in high-dimensional classification with non-differentiable surrogate losses.
method Kernel-smoothed decorrelated score and cross-fitted version for hypothesis tests and interval estimators.
result Valid and superior inference methods for high-dimensional classification with non-differentiable surrogate losses.
The paper explores how to handle uncertain evidence in probabilistic models.
problem Handling uncertain evidence in probabilistic models and stochastic simulators.
method The paper considers distributional evidence, Jeffrey's rule, and virtual evidence as methods for interpreting uncertain evidence.
result The paper provides guidelines on how to account for uncertain evidence and highlights the importance of careful consideration.
Quantum Graphical Models (QGMs) generalize classical graphical models by adopting the formalism for reasoning about uncertainty from quantum mechanics. Unlike classical graphical models, QGMs represent uncertainty with density matrices in complex Hilbert spaces. Hilbert space embeddings (HSEs) also generalize Bayesian …
PLANS synthesizes programs from noisy inputs using neural specs and filtering.
problem Synthesizing robust programs from noisy, raw inputs.
method Hybrid model combining neural extraction and rule-based synthesis with noise filtering.
result State-of-the-art performance in diverse environments with no ground-truth training.
We propose a new procedure for inference on optimal treatment regimes in the model-free setting, which does not require to specify an outcome regression model. Existing model-free estimators for optimal treatment regimes are usually not suitable for the purpose of inference, because they either have nonstandard asympto…
The paper studies early stopping methods in linear contextual bandits.
problem Minimizing in-experiment regret and conducting robust post-experiment inferences in contextual bandits.
method The study proposes early stopping rules based on the Opportunity Cost and Threshold Method, using variances of estimators to quantify upper regret bounds.
result The proposed method provides a systematic approach to minimize in-experiment regret and conduct robust post-experiment inferences.
In this paper we propose a novel approach for learning from data using rule based fuzzy inference systems where the model parameters are estimated using Bayesian inference and Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) techniques. We show the applicability of the method for regression and classification tasks using synthetic data…
Dynamic treatment regimes are of growing interest across the clinical sciences as these regimes provide one way to operationalize and thus inform sequential personalized clinical decision making. A dynamic treatment regime is a sequence of decision rules, with a decision rule per stage of clinical intervention; each de…
The Bayesian learning rule is a natural-gradient variational inference method, which not only contains many existing learning algorithms as special cases but also enables the design of new algorithms. Unfortunately, when variational parameters lie in an open constraint set, the rule may not satisfy the constraint and r…
Confidence intervals improve evaluation of binary prediction rules in data mining.
problem Uncertainty in performance measures estimation from finite datasets.
method Asymptotic normal approximations for confidence intervals, with a blurring correction.
result Improved finite sample coverage probabilities and general performance measures inference.
IterefinE combines KG refinement with embeddings to improve KG quality.
problem Noisy Knowledge Graphs lead to poor performance in downstream tasks.
method Iterative KG refinement using embeddings and inference rules.
result Improved KG refinement leading to higher F1 scores.
New method for online statistical inference in contextual bandits using SGD.
problem Online decision-making in contextual bandits with statistical inference.
method Weighted stochastic gradient descent for adaptive data collection.
result Asymptotic normality of the parameter estimator with improved efficiency.
Improved Bayesian inference for neuronal ensemble inference reduces computational cost.
problem Efficient inference of neuronal ensembles from activity data.
method Modified MCMC algorithm with simulated annealing for hyperparameter control.
result Our method reduces computational cost while maintaining or improving inference accuracy.
Dynamic trees are mixtures of tree structured belief networks. They solve some of the problems of fixed tree networks at the cost of making exact inference intractable. For this reason approximate methods such as sampling or mean field approaches have been used. However, mean field approximations assume a factorized di…
New methods for Bayesian inference using mean shift particle systems.
problem Approximating expectations with unnormalized densities in Bayesian inference.
method Mean shift interacting particle systems that minimize maximum mean discrepancy (MMD).
result Mean shift interacting particle systems converge quickly and capture complex distributions.
We analyze a model of learning and belief formation in networks in which agents follow Bayes rule yet they do not recall their history of past observations and cannot reason about how other agents' beliefs are formed. They do so by making rational inferences about their observations which include a sequence of independ…
RIPE is a novel deterministic and easily understandable prediction algorithm developed for continuous and discrete ordered data. It infers a model, from a sample, to predict and to explain a real variable Y given an input variable X∈X (features). The algorithm extracts a sparse set of hyperrectangles $…
Improves risk control in predictions using semi-supervised calibration.
problem Noisy hyper-parameter tuning from limited labeled data.
method Semi-supervised calibration using unlabeled data to tune hyper-parameters rigorously.
result Improves prediction accuracy without sacrificing statistical validity.
RAF model explains neural networks' dual rule learning and fact memorization.
problem Understanding how neural networks learn rules and memorize facts simultaneously.
method Introduces the Rules-and-Facts (RAF) model to bridge generalization and memorization.
result Characterizes conditions for simultaneous rule learning and fact memorization in neural networks.
From doctors diagnosing patients to judges setting bail, experts often base their decisions on experience and intuition rather than on statistical models. While understandable, relying on intuition over models has often been found to result in inferior outcomes. Here we present a new method, select-regress-and-round, f…
Bayesian unlearning uses Bayes' rule to remove data from a model, but faces challenges in obtaining the exact posterior.
problem Removing data from a trained model while maintaining model accuracy.
method Uses Laplace approximation and Variational Inference to approximate the updated posterior.
result Insights on the applicability of Bayesian unlearning in practical scenarios for neural networks.
A new method for generating synthetic data using posterior distribution learning accelerates inference.
problem Generating high-quality synthetic data requires many discretization steps, which is computationally expensive.
method Learning the posterior distribution of clean data samples given noisy versions, using a scoring rule instead of regression loss.
result Consistently outperforms standard diffusion models at few discretization steps.