Project forecasts crop prices to help Indian farmers choose optimal crops for better ROI.
problem Indian farmers struggle to choose crops that fetch decent profits due to lack of scientific decision-making.
method Price forecasting to create an optimal portfolio of crops for better ROI.
result Data-driven decision-making for crop selection leads to higher estimated ROI.
Deep learning predicts crop prices with improved accuracy.
problem Accurate prediction of agricultural crop prices for better decision-making.
method Innovative deep learning approach using GNNs and CNN models.
result At least 20% better performance than previous literature.
Over the past decade, the stellar growth of Indian economy has been challenged by persistently high levels of inflation, particularly in food prices. The primary reason behind this stubborn food inflation is mismatch in supply-demand, as domestic agricultural production has failed to keep up with rising demand owing to…
Favorit strategy helps farmers mitigate market price fluctuations.
problem Mitigating adverse impact of price fluctuation on farmers.
method Analyzes historical price data to select optimal market timing for crops.
result Developed a strategy to reduce volatility risk for Indian farmers.
Stochastic model prices weather derivatives for Indian states, highlighting temperature volatility impacts.
problem Quantifying financial risk in Indian markets due to seasonal weather variations.
method Modified Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with jumps for temperature dynamics, calibrated with historical data, Monte Carlo simulations for pricing.
result Volatility significantly impacts weather derivative pricing, with higher prices in colder states and lower in hotter states.
In this study, we applied a stochastic spread pairs trading strategy on the Indian commodity market. The complete set of commodities were taken whose spot price was available for the period of January 1st 2010 to December 31st 2018 including energy, metals and the agricultural commodity sector. Spot data was taken from…
SAGDA generates synthetic agricultural datasets to improve ML in African farming.
problem Data scarcity in African agriculture limits machine learning innovations.
method SAGDA is an open-source Python toolkit that generates, augments, and validates synthetic agricultural datasets.
result SAGDA enhances ML applications in agriculture, such as yield prediction and fertilizer recommendation.
This study analyzes the correlation structure of global agricultural futures markets using RMT.
problem Understanding the complex correlation structure of global agricultural futures markets.
method Random Matrix Theory (RMT) applied to analyze correlation coefficients and eigenvalues.
result The correlation structure is asymmetric and right skewed, with significant eigenvalues indicating market effects and commodity groups.
Study measures risk spillovers between US and China's agricultural futures markets.
problem Interconnectedness and risk transmission in agricultural futures markets.
method TVP-VAR-DY model with quantile method.
result CBOT corn, soybean, and wheat are primary risk transmitters; DCE corn and soybean are main receivers.
Study shows demonetization strengthened Indian currency and stock market.
problem Impact of demonetization on Indian stock market and foreign exchange rate.
method Daily rate of return analysis of foreign exchange rate and Nifty 50 index, use of dummy variable for demonetization period.
result Demonetization led to an upward trend in Indian stock market and strengthened the Indian currency (decreased foreign exchange rate).
Russia-Ukraine conflict impacts global agricultural futures and spot markets' extreme risks.
problem Impact of Russia-Ukraine conflict on global agricultural futures and spot markets' extreme risks.
method Analytical framework for tail dependence, Copula-CoVaR method, ARMA-GARCH-skewed Student-t model.
result The outbreak of the conflict intensified risks in the wheat market the most and showed significant asymmetries in extreme risk spillovers.
The paper examines spillovers between agriculture, crude oil, carbon, and climate markets.
problem Understanding dynamic spillovers between agriculture, crude oil, carbon emission, and climate markets.
method A novel R2 decomposed connectedness approach. result Overall spillovers are mainly contemporaneous, not lagged; climate change significantly impacts others; agricultural markets have heterogeneous effects; corn is a major risk contributor.
India's 2020-21 GDP growth forecast is projected at 1.9% due to COVID-19.
problem Impact of COVID-19 on India's 2020-21 GDP growth forecast.
method Quarterly GVA estimates using capacity utilisation assumptions and 2019-20 data.
result India's GDP growth in 2020-21 is expected to be 1.9%.
Study confirms Indian stock market is weak form inefficient.
problem Impact of stock market efficiency on investment returns.
method Runs test, Autocorrelation test, Autoregression test on daily stock indices.
result Indian stock market is weak form inefficient and can be outperformed.
Risk is an inherent feature of agricultural production and marketing and accurate measurement of it helps inform more efficient use of resources. This paper examines three tail quantile-based risk measures applied to the estimation of extreme agricultural financial risk for corn and soybean production in the US: Value …
Study improves paddy rice yield predictions in Peru using sparse regression and climatic variables.
problem Improving precision of paddy rice yield forecasts in Peru.
method Sparse regression, Elastic-Net regularization, climatic variables, dynamic transformations.
result Improved predictive performance of paddy rice yield forecasts.
Precision farming uses data analysis to optimize crop management.
problem Meeting increased food demand with sustainable practices.
method Statistical tools and machine learning for pattern recognition and prediction.
result Optimized farming processes in real-time reduce resource use.
Deep learning constitutes a recent, modern technique for image processing and data analysis, with promising results and large potential. As deep learning has been successfully applied in various domains, it has recently entered also the domain of agriculture. In this paper, we perform a survey of 40 research efforts th…
Deep RL applied for Indian stock trading strategies.
problem Designing profitable trading strategies for Indian stock markets.
method Applied deep reinforcement learning to ten Indian stock datasets.
result Models' performance compared and evaluated.
Study finds farmers are willing to pay higher premiums for higher coverage in agricultural insurance.
problem Determining the demand factors and WTP for agricultural insurance.
method Conducted a survey of 200 farmers to analyze the impact of socio-demographic variables and premium on insurance purchase decisions.
result Farmers are willing to pay higher premiums for higher coverage in agricultural insurance.
Python tool assesses European agricultural production resilience.
problem Estimating resilience of European agricultural production systems.
method Python software to compute annual production resilience indicator.
result Demonstrates resilience of European agricultural production.
Analyzes Indian commercial dynamism using time series data.
problem Understanding commercial dynamism in India.
method Time series analysis of various economic indicators.
result Detailed insights into growth rate, trade balance, etc.
This paper uses Monte Carlo simulation to value quality options in agricultural futures contracts.
problem Valuation of quality options in agricultural futures to prevent manipulation and improve hedging performance.
method Monte Carlo simulation with antithetic variables for efficiency.
result Demonstrates a method to estimate the value of quality options in agricultural futures contracts.
Recent introduction of ICT in agriculture has brought a number of changes in the way farming is done. This means use of Internet of Things(IoT), Cloud Computing(CC), Big Data (BD) and automation to gain better control over the process of farming. As the use of these technologies in farms has grown exponentially with ma…
Study analyzes climate impact on agricultural prices, offering insurance solutions.
problem Financial risk from climate-induced agricultural price volatility.
method Historical and future climate projections, EGARCH and SARIMAX models, Black-Scholes framework.
result Improved agricultural risk modeling and insurance mechanisms.
Study reveals clusters of resilient and vulnerable Spanish agri-food firms post-Ukraine-Russia war.
problem Financial resilience of agri-food companies in Spain during the Ukraine-Russia conflict.
method Cluster analysis using centred log-ratios for compositional data of financial ratios.
result Increase in resilient firms by 2023, highlighting sectoral adaptation to economic challenges.
Study reveals dynamic linkage between Peanut and Soybean Oil futures markets.
problem Exploring interdependence between Peanut and other agricultural commodities in Chinese futures market.
method Constructed multivariate linear regression models and used VAR and DCC-EGARCH models for dynamic relationships. Applied MLP, CNN, and LSTM neural networks for price prediction.
result Significant dynamic linkage between Peanut and Soybean Oil futures markets through DCC-EGARCH, limited influence from other futures markets through VAR model.
This paper evaluates financial competitiveness of Indian real estate companies using entropy method.
problem Improving financial competitiveness of Indian real estate companies in a competitive market.
method Financial competitiveness evaluation index system using key financial ratios and a scoring system.
result Companies with high scores have strong profitability and operational capacity, while those with lower scores struggle with solvency and working capital.
Botswana's agricultural credit scheme is unsustainable and needs reform.
problem The current scheme is unsustainable and based on flawed actuarial principles.
method Proposes a new subsidy and premium rate setting method considering non-drought years.
result A sustainable agricultural credit guarantee scheme is recommended.
Study finds multifractal cross-correlations between agricultural markets and external uncertainties.
problem Investigating relationships between agricultural spot markets and external uncertainties.
method Multifractal detrending moving-average cross-correlation analysis (MF-X-DMA).
result Maize exhibits intrinsic joint multifractality with all uncertainty proxies.
In this article, we analyze the application of options contract in special commodity supply chain such as fresh agricultural products. This problem is discussed in the point of the retailer. When spot market and future market are both available, we discuss how the retailer chooses the optimal production. Furthermore, o…
This study examines local co-movements in energy, agriculture, and metal markets using copulas.
problem Identifying local dependencies and asymmetries in energy, agriculture, and metal markets.
method Non-parametric mixture copula and copula-based local Kendall's tau approach.
result Increased co-movements in extreme situations, asymmetric local dependence, and diversification potential.
The nature of fluctuations in the Indian financial market is analyzed in this paper. We have looked at the price returns of individual stocks, with tick-by-tick data from the National Stock Exchange (NSE) and daily closing price data from both NSE and the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE), the two largest exchanges in India.…
In this paper we investigate the scaling behavior of the average daily exchange rate returns of the Indian Rupee against four foreign currencies namely US Dollar, Euro, Great Britain Pound and Japanese Yen. Average daily exchange rate return of the Indian Rupee against US Dollar is found to exhibit a persistent scaling…
This study compares three portfolio optimization methods on Indian stocks.
problem Comparing portfolio optimization methods on Indian stocks.
method Mean-Variance, Hierarchical Risk Parity, and Reinforcement Learning approaches.
result Reinforcement Learning outperformed other methods in terms of Sharpe ratio.
ICP models flexible DAG structures using Bayesian nonparametrics.
problem Learning the structure of complex neural networks.
method Bayesian nonparametric prior on DAGs and orders controlled by a latent Beta Process.
result ICP supports every possible DAG structure.
In this paper we investigate the adaptive market efficiency of the agricultural commodity futures market, using a sample of eight futures contracts. Using a battery of nonlinear tests, we uncover the nonlinear serial dependence in the returns series. We run the Hinich portmanteau bicorrelation test to uncover the momen…
We investigate a class of feature allocation models that generalize the Indian buffet process and are parameterized by Gibbs-type random measures. Two existing classes are contained as special cases: the original two-parameter Indian buffet process, corresponding to the Dirichlet process, and the stable (or three-param…
We investigate an economic system in which one large agent - the Japan government changes the environment of numerous smaller agents - the Japan agriculture producers by indirect regulation of prices of agriculture goods. The reason for this intervention was that before the oil crisis in 1974 Japan agriculture producti…
How an investor invests in the market is largely influenced by the market efficiency because if a market is efficient, it is extremely difficult to make excessive returns because in an efficient market there will be no undervalued securities i.e. securities whose value is less than its assumed intrinsic value, which of…
Develops adaptive algorithms for sustainable fertilizer use in agriculture.
problem Sustaining high yields while reducing environmental impacts of fertilizer use.
method Nonlinear model-based bandit algorithms linking biological processes to decision-making.
result Faster learning and higher profits with interpretable recommendations.
Analyzes Indian chemical industry post-Covid.
problem Global uncertainty impacts chemical industry performance.
method Fundamental analysis of key players and trends.
result Various geopolitical and macroeconomic trends shape industry performance.
Historical daily data for eleven years of the fifty constituent stocks of the NIFTY index traded on the National Stock Exchange have been analyzed to check for the stylized facts in the Indian market. It is observed that while some stylized facts of other markets are also observed in Indian market, there are significan…
Study finds physical momentum portfolios in Indian stock market yield higher returns than benchmarks.
problem Determining abnormal returns for physical momentum portfolios in the Indian stock market.
method Constructed physical momentum portfolios for daily, weekly, monthly, and yearly timescales, evaluated historical returns and risk profiles.
result Daily time scale physical momentum portfolios showed the strongest reversal with a 16-fold profit.
Study clusters Indian stocks using polyspectral means for nuanced market insights.
problem Analyzing temporal patterns and financial relationships in Indian stock market.
method k-means clustering algorithm applied to polyspectral means of stock data.
result Identified five distinctive clusters of stocks with varying ownership structures.
Machine learning improves financial stress testing in Indian markets.
problem Conventional stress testing limitations in Indian financial markets.
method Dimensionality reduction, latent factor modeling, Variational Autoencoders, Monte Carlo simulation.
result Improved flexibility, robustness, and realism in financial stress testing.
CIBP models feature abundance in latent feature models.
problem Modeling feature abundance in latent feature models.
method Proposes a new Bayesian nonparametric prior, the CIBP, for latent feature models.
result The expected number of features is bounded even as the number of objects increases.
Digital technologies ignited a revolution in the agrifood domain known as precision agriculture: a main question for enabling precision agriculture at scale is if accurate product quality control can be made available at minimal cost, leveraging existing technologies and agronomists' skills. As a contribution along thi…