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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for Incrementality measurement

Paper improves privacy-preserving measurement of advertising incrementality.

problem Privacy degradation in randomized lift tests for advertising measurement.
method Formulates a robust causal decision problem under signal losses, projecting clean worlds onto incrementality.
result Sharp decision frontier shows valid certification or rejection outside the frontier.

For classification of the high frequency trading quantities, waiting times, price increments within and between sessions are referred to as the a-, b-, and c-increments. Statistics of the a-b-c-increments are computed for the Time & Sales records posted by the Chicago Mercantile Exchange Group for the futures traded on…

2013-12-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Time and Sales of corn futures traded electronically on the CME Group Globex are studied. Theories of continuous prices turn upside down reality of intra-day trading. Prices and their increments are discrete and obey lattice probability distributions. A function for systematic evolution of futures trading volume is pro…

2017-04-03abs ↗pdf ↗

PEC improves class-incremental learning by measuring prediction error.

problem Challenges in class-incremental learning, particularly forgetting and class imbalance.
method Prediction Error-based Classification (PEC) measures prediction error of a model trained on data from a class.
result PEC outperforms other methods in class-incremental learning across multiple benchmarks.

InQMAD detects anomalies in streaming data using quantum measurements and density matrices.

problem Detecting anomalies in streaming data with challenges like conceptual drift and continuous learning.
method Incremental anomaly detection based on random Fourier features and quantum measurements.
result InQMAD outperforms 12 state-of-the-art methods in a systematic evaluation.

The state of a stochastic process evolving over a time tt is typically assumed to lie on a normal distribution whose width scales like t1/2t^{1/2}. However, processes where the probability distribution is not normal and the scaling exponent differs from 12\frac{1}{2} are known. The search for possible origins of such "a…

2017-04-07abs ↗pdf ↗

GD learns matrix solutions incrementally, revealing insights into generalization.

problem Matrix sensing problem of recovering low-rank matrices from linear measurements.
method Fine-grained analysis of GD dynamics for matrix sensing.
result GD follows an incremental learning procedure, solving matrices of increasing ranks.

Study on a pinning model with random walk increments, showing convergence to a critical disordered pinning measure.

problem Understanding the critical behavior of a disordered pinning model.
method Analyzing a disordered pinning model induced by a random walk with specific moment conditions, showing convergence to a limiting measure.
result Convergence of point-to-point partition functions to the critical disordered pinning measure in the critical window.

Bayesian inference over admissible histories leads to irreversible kinetics.

problem Modeling irreversible processes in systems with uncertain histories.
method A Gibbs-type measure weighted by energy-dissipation action and observation constraints, interpreted as a Bayesian posterior.
result The measure concentrates on maximum-a-posteriori (MAP) histories, recovering classical deterministic evolution.

New proof shows incremental flow models are essential for universal generation.

problem Understanding the universality of flow-based models in generating natural maps.
method Topological-dynamical argument and algebraic properties of flows.
result Incremental generation is necessary and sufficient for universal flow-based generation.

We introduce incremental variational inference and apply it to latent Dirichlet allocation (LDA). Incremental variational inference is inspired by incremental EM and provides an alternative to stochastic variational inference. Incremental LDA can process massive document collections, does not require to set a learning …

2015-07-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Enhances resilience evaluation by using dynamic convex risk measures.

problem Capturing the full risk profile of financial positions under adverse conditions.
method Introduces a new resilience evaluation method using dynamic convex risk measures.
result Shows that the resilience evaluation can distinguish between positions with the same expected recovery but different conditional risk profiles.

FedGTEA learns new tasks in federated learning with task embeddings and alignment.

problem Federated class-incremental learning with task-specific knowledge and model uncertainty.
method Cardinality-Agnostic Task Encoder (CATE) for Gaussian task embeddings, 2-Wasserstein distance for inter-task alignment.
result FedGTEA achieves superior classification performance and mitigates forgetting.

Many structured data-fitting applications require the solution of an optimization problem involving a sum over a potentially large number of measurements. Incremental gradient algorithms offer inexpensive iterations by sampling a subset of the terms in the sum. These methods can make great progress initially, but often…

2011-04-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper tackles few-shot class-incremental learning with a neural gas network.

problem Incrementally learn new classes from very few labelled samples without forgetting old classes.
method Proposes TOPIC framework using a neural gas network to preserve class topology and adapt to new samples.
result Significantly outperforms other methods on CIFAR100, miniImageNet, and CUB200 datasets.

A new model learns preferences incrementally without personal data.

problem Incremental session-based recommendation without personal data.
method Memory Augmented Neural model (MAN) that combines a neural recommender with a nonparametric memory.
result MAN consistently outperforms existing methods in incremental session-based recommendation.

Incremental versions of batch algorithms are often desired, for increased time efficiency in the streaming data setting, or increased memory efficiency in general. In this paper we present a novel algorithm for incremental kernel PCA, based on rank one updates to the eigendecomposition of the kernel matrix, which is mo…

2018-01-31abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper introduces Deep Incremental Boosting, a new technique derived from AdaBoost, specifically adapted to work with Deep Learning methods, that reduces the required training time and improves generalisation. We draw inspiration from Transfer of Learning approaches to reduce the start-up time to training each incr…

2017-08-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes CNE-net to tackle incremental learning in (T)ACSA tasks.

problem Catastrophic forgetting in multi-task incremental learning for (T)ACSA.
method Category Name Embedding network (CNE-net) with shared encoder and decoder.
result State-of-the-art performance on (T)ACSA benchmark datasets.

This paper presents a novel approach for incremental semiparametric inverse dynamics learning. In particular, we consider the mixture of two approaches: Parametric modeling based on rigid body dynamics equations and nonparametric modeling based on incremental kernel methods, with no prior information on the mechanical …

2016-01-18abs ↗pdf ↗

GraphSAIL updates GNN-based recommender models incrementally to reduce computation time and improve frequent updates.

problem Incremental updates in GNN-based recommender systems are computationally expensive and prone to forgetting.
method GraphSAIL uses a graph structure preservation strategy to update GNN models incrementally, preserving long-term preferences and properties.
result GraphSAIL reduces computation time and improves frequent updates compared to other incremental learning techniques.

Narrative disclosures in 10-K filings improve bankruptcy prediction beyond accounting ratios.

problem Traditional bankruptcy prediction models rely on accounting ratios, which may not capture early warning signals.
method Developed a PB Stress Score based on distress-specific language in 10-K narratives, evaluated against accounting and dictionary benchmarks.
result Adding the PB Stress Score increases AUC from 0.8323 to 0.9019 and improves top-decile bankruptcy capture from 44.12% to 64.71%.

Data is continuously generated by modern data sources, and a recent challenge in machine learning has been to develop techniques that perform well in an incremental (streaming) setting. In this paper, we investigate the problem of private machine learning, where as common in practice, the data is not given at once, but…

2017-01-04abs ↗pdf ↗

We analyze the question whether sliding window time averages applied to stationary increment processes converge to a limit in probability. The question centers on averages, correlations, and densities constructed via time averages of the increment x(t,T)=x(t+T)-x(t)and the assumption is that the increment is distribute…

2008-04-06abs ↗pdf ↗

New algorithm improves on EM for streaming data, outperforming existing methods.

problem Processing high-volume, streaming data efficiently.
method Incremental stochastic Majorization-Minimization (MM) algorithm.
result The algorithm converges to a stationary point with vanishing gradient.

We study the phase retrieval problem, which solves quadratic system of equations, i.e., recovers a vector xRn\boldsymbol{x}\in \mathbb{R}^n from its magnitude measurements yi=ai,x,i=1,...,my_i=|\langle \boldsymbol{a}_i, \boldsymbol{x}\rangle|, i=1,..., m. We develop a gradient-like algorithm (referred to as RWF representing reshaped W…

2016-05-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Unified study of active learning for deep neural networks.

problem Improving performance of deep neural networks through active learning.
method Investigation of incremental and cumulative training modes, model configurations, query strategies, and pseudo-labels.
result Proposed more efficient querying procedures and insights into active learning behavior.

It was recently shown that architectural, regularization and rehearsal strategies can be used to train deep models sequentially on a number of disjoint tasks without forgetting previously acquired knowledge. However, these strategies are still unsatisfactory if the tasks are not disjoint but constitute a single increme…

2018-06-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Tensor decompositions are invaluable tools in analyzing multimodal datasets. In many real-world scenarios, such datasets are far from being static, to the contrary they tend to grow over time. For instance, in an online social network setting, as we observe new interactions over time, our dataset gets updated in its "t…

2017-09-03abs ↗pdf ↗

A new generative classification strategy outperforms existing methods in class-incremental learning.

problem Incrementally training deep neural networks to recognize new classes is challenging.
method Proposes learning the joint distribution p(x,y) and performing classification using Bayes' rule, implemented with variational autoencoders and importance sampling.
result Performs very well on continual learning benchmarks, outperforming existing baselines.

The statistical properties of the increments x(t+T) - x(t) of a financial time series depend on the time resolution T on which the increments are considered. A non-parametric approach is used to study the scale dependence of the empirical distribution of the price increments x(t+T) - x(t) of S&P Index futures, for time…

1997-05-08abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper proposes an incremental solution to Fast Subclass Discriminant Analysis (fastSDA). We present an exact and an approximate linear solution, along with an approximate kernelized variant. Extensive experiments on eight image datasets with different incremental batch sizes show the superiority of the proposed ap…

2020-02-11abs ↗pdf ↗