LEMPS predicts malaria prevalence with high accuracy in Ibadan, West Africa.
problem Inadequate malaria prediction systems in highly endemic countries.
method Developed and validated a Locality-specific Elastic-Net based Malaria Prediction System (LEMPS) using 22-years of prospective data.
result LEMPS achieves good generalization performance, predicting monthly prevalence with MAE<=6x10-2 and MSE<=7x10-3.