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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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64128192256 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for Human Behavior

Study models human investors' sub-rational behavior in financial markets.

problem Lack of a comprehensive model for human sub-rationality in financial markets.
method Flexible reinforcement learning model incorporating five human sub-rational aspects.
result Model accurately reproduces human behavior and reveals insights into market dynamics.

To study how mental object representations are related to behavior, we estimated sparse, non-negative representations of objects using human behavioral judgments on images representative of 1,854 object categories. These representations predicted a latent similarity structure between objects, which captured most of the…

2019-01-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Study reveals LLM personality patterns but lacks behavioral consistency.

problem Understanding and validating personality traits in LLMs.
method Characterized LLM personality across three dimensions: training dynamics, self-report validity, and intervention effects.
result Self-reported traits do not reliably predict behavior, and instructional alignment affects trait expression but not behavior.

To widen their accessibility and increase their utility, intelligent agents must be able to learn complex behaviors as specified by (non-expert) human users. Moreover, they will need to learn these behaviors within a reasonable amount of time while efficiently leveraging the sparse feedback a human trainer is capable o…

2019-02-12abs ↗pdf ↗

AI assistants often give convincing but incorrect responses to match user beliefs.

problem Sycophancy in AI assistants that use human feedback.
method Examined five AI assistants across four tasks, analyzed human preference data, and compared model outputs against preference models.
result Sycophancy is a general behavior of AI assistants, driven in part by human preference judgments.

The paper addresses human-like decision-making in multi-agent systems using bounded risk-sensitive Markov Games.

problem Modeling human-like decision-making in multi-agent systems with risk-seeking and loss-aversion behaviors.
method Forward policy design and inverse reward learning with iterative reasoning and cumulative prospect theory.
result The proposed algorithms demonstrate both risk-averse and risk-seeking behaviors in multi-agent systems.

TRIBE model uses LLMs to simulate human trading behavior in bond markets.

problem Complexities in decentralized bond market transactions.
method Agent-based model augmented with LLMs to simulate human-like decision-making.
result Slight trade aversion in LLMs can lead to complete market collapse.

Human decision-making underlies all economic behavior. For the past four decades, human decision-making under uncertainty has continued to be explained by theoretical models based on prospect theory, a framework that was awarded the Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences. However, theoretical models of this kind have develop…

2019-05-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Unified framework for human-like decision making in various sequential tasks.

problem Real-life decision-making involves diverse strategies leading to similar outcomes.
method Two-stream reward processing mechanism for flexible and unified models.
result Framework unified MAB, CB, and RL with comparable performance.

VICE embeds concepts in a vector space using human data.

problem Developing numerical models for mental representations of object concepts.
method Variational Interpretable Concept Embeddings (VICE) using variational inference and triplet odd-one-out task data.
result VICE outperforms SPoSE at predicting human behavior and provides more reproducible object representations.

FinHEAR combines LLMs with human expertise for better financial decision-making.

problem Challenges in financial decision-making for language models.
method Multi-agent framework with specialized LLMs for historical analysis, event interpretation, and expert retrieval.
result FinHEAR outperforms baselines in financial tasks with higher accuracy and risk-adjusted returns.

For sophisticated reinforcement learning (RL) systems to interact usefully with real-world environments, we need to communicate complex goals to these systems. In this work, we explore goals defined in terms of (non-expert) human preferences between pairs of trajectory segments. We show that this approach can effective…

2017-06-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Study evaluates five LLMs for financial report analysis, revealing performance differences and variability.

problem Lack of understanding in reliability, consistency, and transparency of LLMs in financial analysis.
method Human evaluation, automated similarity metrics, and behavioral diagnostics applied to five transformer-based LLMs over U.S. 10-K filings.
result No single LLM consistently dominates across all evaluation perspectives, highlighting variability and need for interpretability.

RFC enhances humanoid control to imitate complex human motions.

problem Dynamics mismatch between humanoid models and real humans.
method Residual Force Control (RFC) augments control policies with external forces.
result RFC outperforms state-of-the-art methods in convergence speed and motion quality.

Robots need models of human behavior for both inferring human goals and preferences, and predicting what people will do. A common model is the Boltzmann noisily-rational decision model, which assumes people approximately optimize a reward function and choose trajectories in proportion to their exponentiated reward. Whi…

2020-01-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Understanding and modeling human driver behavior is crucial for advanced vehicle development. However, unique driving styles, inconsistent behavior, and complex decision processes render it a challenging task, and existing approaches often lack variability or robustness. To approach this problem, we propose Probabilist…

2020-01-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Poultry farms are an important contributor to the human food chain. Worldwide, humankind keeps an enormous number of domesticated birds (e.g. chickens) for their eggs and their meat, providing rich sources of low-fat protein. However, around the world, there have been growing concerns about the quality of life for the …

2018-11-07abs ↗pdf ↗

The ability to inferring latent psychological traits from human behavior is key to developing personalized human-interacting machine learning systems. Approaches to infer such traits range from surveys to manually-constructed experiments and games. However, these traditional games are limited because they are typically…

2019-12-12abs ↗pdf ↗

LLMs mimic human traders in finance, but not as much as expected.

problem Evaluating how LLMs behave in financial markets.
method Adapted experimental design with LLMs and human traders, analyzed in single and mixed model settings.
result LLMs tend to price assets near their fundamental value, but not as much as humans, and show less trading strategy variance.

Human stablecoin transactions predict political risk in cryptocurrency markets.

problem Predicting political risk in cryptocurrency markets.
method Structural break analysis and surrogate-based robustness tests.
result Human-driven stablecoin transactions shift significantly before major political events.

Bayesian nonparametric models, such as Gaussian processes, provide a compelling framework for automatic statistical modelling: these models have a high degree of flexibility, and automatically calibrated complexity. However, automating human expertise remains elusive; for example, Gaussian processes with standard kerne…

2015-10-26abs ↗pdf ↗

IAL uses interactive learning to improve model performance with minimal human feedback.

problem Overfitting and high human interaction cost in training neural networks.
method IAL framework with NAP attention generator and reranking algorithm.
result IAL significantly outperforms baselines with less retraining and human interaction.

The article presents methods to select models from behavioral learning data, with applications to contextual bandits.

problem Model selection for behavioral learning data, especially in non-stationary environments.
method Two model selection methods: a general hold-out procedure and an AIC-type criterion, adapted for non-stationary dependent data.
result Theoretical error bounds for these methods are close to those of the standard i.i.d. case.