The aim of this paper is to propose a heterogeneous agent model of stock markets that develop complicated endogenous price fluctuations. We find occurrences of non-stationary chaos, or speculative bubble, are caused by the heterogeneity of traders' strategies. Furthermore, we show that the distributions of returns gene…
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48 results for “Heterogeneous Agent Models”
New strategies improve multi-agent decision-making on irregular networks.
problem Maximizing group reward in multi-agent settings with heterogeneous strategies.
method Design and analysis of heterogeneous explore-exploit strategies for multi-star networks.
result Group performance improves under heterogeneous strategies compared to homogeneous strategies.
Model trains agents to optimize saving and investment strategies for diverse retirement needs.
problem Optimal saving and investment strategies for individuals in varied employment and income profiles.
method Deep reinforcement learning to train intelligent agents with heterogeneous profiles.
result Flexible methodology estimates lifetime consumption and investment choices for different profiles.
Study shows how diverse investors' learning and preferences shape financial markets.
problem Understanding how diverse investor behaviors and preferences affect market dynamics.
method Developed a multi-agent reinforcement learning framework with heterogeneous preferences and learning mechanisms.
result Diverse investors develop differentiated strategies through interaction, leading to realistic market dynamics.
Study dynamic matching in heterogeneous networks using ODE model.
problem Dynamic matching in heterogeneous networks with compatibility restrictions.
method Introduced an ODE model to evaluate matching algorithms.
result Demonstrated trade-off between quick matching and optimal matching.
PCL tackles collaborative learning for diverse agents, reducing sample complexity.
problem Balancing collaborative speedup with personalization for heterogeneous agents.
method AffPCL, with bias and importance correction mechanisms.
result AffPCL reduces sample complexity by a factor of , where is the number of agents and measures heterogeneity.
Study optimal investment in large populations of competitive, heterogeneous agents.
problem Maximizing utility in a large, interacting agent system with relative performance concerns.
method Analyzes stochastic utility maximization game in finite and infinite agent settings, using graphon models and backward stochastic differential equations.
result Convergence of Nash equilibria and optimal utilities from finite to infinite agent models under specific conditions.
The main aim of this work is to incorporate selected findings from behavioural finance into a Heterogeneous Agent Model using the Brock and Hommes (1998) framework. Behavioural patterns are injected into an asset pricing framework through the so-called `Break Point Date', which allows us to examine their direct impact.…
Securities markets are quintessential complex adaptive systems in which heterogeneous agents compete in an attempt to maximize returns. Species of trading agents are also subject to evolutionary pressure as entire classes of strategies become obsolete and new classes emerge. Using an agent-based model of interacting he…
FedSARSA converges with heterogeneous agents, achieving linear speed-up.
problem Convergence analysis of Federated SARSA with heterogeneous agents.
method Linear function approximation, local training, multi-step error expansion.
result FedSARSA achieves linear speed-up with respect to the number of agents.
ARCO-BO optimizes multi-agent design under heterogeneity, improving efficiency and performance.
problem Heterogeneous multi-agent optimization challenges in resource use and information sharing.
method ARCO-BO integrates a consensus mechanism, budget-aware sampling, and partial input sharing for heterogeneous design spaces.
result ARCO-BO outperforms independent and collaborative BO methods in complex multi-agent settings.
Patterns of consumption in socio-economic models with heterogeneous interacting agentscond-mat.stat-mech
We study consumption behaviour in systems with heterogeneous interacting agents. Two different models are introduced, respectively with long and short range interactions among agents. At any time step an agent decides whether or not to consume a good, doing so if this provides positive utility. Utility is affected by i…
Study risk sharing among agents with varying risk preferences.
problem Risk sharing among agents with heterogeneous risk measures.
method Derive explicit solutions for inf-convolution and counter-monotonic inf-convolution under varying risk seeking.
result Explicit solutions for inf-convolution and counter-monotonic inf-convolution can be represented by a generalization of distortion risk measures.
We introduce a stochastic heterogeneous interacting-agent model for the short-time non-equilibrium evolution of excess demand and price in a stylized asset market. We consider a combination of social interaction within peer groups and individually heterogeneous fundamentalist trading decisions which take into account t…
The goal of this paper is to study organized flocking behavior and systemic risk in heterogeneous mean-field interacting diffusions. We illustrate in a number of case studies the effect of heterogeneity in the behavior of systemic risk in the system, i.e., the risk that several agents default simultaneously as a result…
Study optimal investment decisions for diverse risk-tolerant agents.
problem Optimizing investment choices for agents with varying risk preferences.
method Characterizes optimal behavior using certainty equivalents and lognormal risks.
result Derives optimal decision menus under known and uncertain preference distributions.
Deep RL solves complex economic models with heterogeneous agents.
problem Solving models with heterogeneous economic actors is difficult.
method Reinforcement Learning techniques for solving general equilibrium models.
result Successfully captures economic behaviors induced by age-based health risks.
The dynamics of many socioeconomic systems is determined by the decision making process of agents. The decision process depends on agent's characteristics, such as preferences, risk aversion, behavioral biases, etc.. In addition, in some systems the size of agents can be highly heterogeneous leading to very different i…
The paper explains stock market predictability through a model of heterogeneous beliefs.
problem Understanding and predicting stock market behavior based on news and investor beliefs.
method A discrete-time model of heterogeneous beliefs where some agents receive noisy signals about asset fundamentals.
result Momentum and reversal in stock prices arise from investors' incorrect beliefs about signal accuracy and fundamental values.
We consider several estimation and learning problems that networked agents face when making decisions given their uncertainty about an unknown variable. Our methods are designed to efficiently deal with heterogeneity in both size and quality of the observed data, as well as heterogeneity over time (intermittence). The …
We develop a behavioral asset pricing model in which agents trade in a market with information friction. Profit-maximizing agents switch between trading strategies in response to dynamic market conditions. Due to noisy private information about the fundamental value, the agents form different evaluations about heteroge…
A General Theory of Risk Sharingq-fin.RM
Generalizes risk sharing models to a continuum of agents.
problem Risk sharing among a large number of heterogeneous agents.
method Modeling agents as points in a measure space, using risk measures on a probability space, and deriving dual representations.
result Explicit formulas for specific risk measures (entropic and expected shortfall) and applications to Pareto efficiency.
Proposes PFWCP for multi-agent tasks with privacy and validity guarantees.
problem Challenges in uncertainty quantification for multi-agent settings.
method Personalized federated weighted conformal prediction (PFWCP) combining local density ratio weighting and weighted quantile aggregation.
result Asymptotically valid coverage guarantees for each agent in heterogeneous settings.
Paper develops framework for AI agents in financial markets.
problem Systemic implications of AI in finance depend on agent architectures.
method Four-layer architecture and AFMM model for analysis.
result AI agents can improve market efficiency and resilience.
On the Linear Speedup of Personalized Federated Reinforcement Learning with Shared Representationscs.LG
PFedRL-Rep learns shared and personalized policies for heterogeneous environments.
problem Poor performance of single policy in heterogeneous environments.
method Develops PFedRL-Rep framework with shared feature representation and personalized weights.
result Proves linear convergence speedup with respect to the number of agents.
This paper examines a heterogeneous beliefs model in which there is a process that is only partially observed by the agents. The economy contains a risky asset producing dividends continuously in time. The dividends are observed by the agents. The dividends are assumed to be a known function of some other unobserved pr…
Study uses LLMs for financial sentiment analysis without fine-tuning.
problem Lack of prescriptive knowledge to leverage generative models in FSA.
method Proposes a design framework with heterogeneous LLM agents based on Minsky's theory.
result Framework yields better accuracies, especially with substantial discussions.
New model explains price dynamics of Bitcoin with psychological factors.
problem Understanding price variations in cryptocurrency markets with psychological factors.
method Extended agent-based model with heterogeneous psychological parameters.
result Model shows diverse dynamics based on psychological correlation.
A fair reward system boosts participation in federated learning.
problem Fairness in federated learning among competitive agents with siloed data.
method Hierarchically fair federated learning (HFFL) framework with proportional rewards based on contribution levels.
result Efficacy of HFFL in maintaining fairness and facilitating federated learning in competitive settings.
In this paper we study the price dynamics in a simple model of financial markets with heterogeneous agents. We concentrate on how increases in the total number of active traders influences fluctuations of asset prices. We find that a curious route to chaos is observed when the total number of [active traders] increases…
This work formalizes and extends parameter sharing in multi-agent reinforcement learning.
problem Parameter sharing limits multi-agent learning to a single policy, preventing different tasks or action spaces.
method Introduces agent indication and extends parameter sharing to heterogeneous observation and action spaces.
result Proves convergence to optimal policies for parameter sharing in heterogeneous environments.
Demand outstrips available resources in most situations, which gives rise to competition, interaction and learning. In this article, we review a broad spectrum of multi-agent models of competition (El Farol Bar problem, Minority Game, Kolkata Paise Restaurant problem, Stable marriage problem, Parking space problem and …
Optimal risk sharing found for heterogeneous risk attitudes using distortion risk measures.
problem Risk sharing in economies with diverse risk attitudes.
method Modeling preferences with distortion risk measures, using comonotonic and counter-monotonic principles.
result Optimal risk sharing strategies identified based on risk attitudes, reducing the -agent problem to a two-agent formulation.
Extracts intrinsic spatial coordinates for complex agent systems to learn PDEs.
problem Modeling collective dynamics of heterogeneous agents.
method Data-driven extraction of intrinsic spatial coordinates, learning PDEs in emergent space.
result Collective dynamics can be approximated through learned PDEs in emergent coordinates.
Federated Q-learning achieves linear speedup with heterogeneity, improving sample complexity.
problem Collaborative learning in distributed RL settings with limited data sharing.
method Analyzes synchronous and asynchronous federated Q-learning, proposes importance averaging.
result Achieves linear speedup with heterogeneity, robust to local trajectory heterogeneity.
Federated UCBVI: Communication-Efficient Federated Regret Minimization with Heterogeneous Agentscs.LG
Federated UCBVI reduces communication costs while minimizing regret in multi-agent settings.
problem Minimizing regret in federated learning with heterogeneous agents.
method Federated Upper Confidence Bound Value Iteration (Fed-UCBVI) algorithm.
result Regret bound scales as with small additional term due to heterogeneity.
Develops asset pricing models with mean field game theory for heterogeneous agents.
problem Tackles equilibrium asset pricing in incomplete markets with heterogeneous agents.
method Uses mean field game theory and mean field backward stochastic differential equations (BSDEs).
result Derives equilibrium risk premium and shows market clearing in the large population limit.
Study collaborative learning among multi-agents in multi-armed bandits.
problem Minimizing group cumulative regret in a heterogeneous multi-agent setting.
method Developed decentralized algorithms for collaboration between agents learning stochastic multi-armed bandits.
result Proved near-optimal behavior of proposed algorithms for group regret.
Evology models US equity mutual funds interactions for investment strategies.
problem Understanding complex interactions in financial markets.
method Agent-based model (ABM) of US stock market participants and their strategies.
result Trading strategies interact with other market participants and conditions.
Financial markets are often driven by latent factors which traders cannot observe. Here, we address an algorithmic trading problem with collections of heterogeneous agents who aim to perform optimal execution or statistical arbitrage, where all agents filter the latent states of the world, and their trading actions hav…
Dynamics of price and trading volume in a spin model of stock markets with heterogeneous agentscond-mat.stat-mech
The dynamics of a stock market with heterogeneous agents is discussed in the framework of a recently proposed spin model for the emergence of bubbles and crashes. We relate the log returns of stock prices to magnetization in the model and find that it is closely related to trading volume as observed in real markets. Th…
SIMPOL solves complex economic models using numerical methods.
problem Optimizing consumption and savings under uncertainty.
method SIMPOL uses a modular numerical framework combining policy iteration and finite difference schemes.
result SIMPOL produces solutions consistent with economic and mathematical theory.
We introduce reinforcement learning for heterogeneous teams in which rewards for an agent are additively factored into local costs, stimuli unique to each agent, and global rewards, those shared by all agents in the domain. Motivating domains include coordination of varied robotic platforms, which incur different costs…
We consider learning in decentralized heterogeneous networks: agents seek to minimize a convex functional that aggregates data across the network, while only having access to their local data streams. We focus on the case where agents seek to estimate a regression \emph{function} that belongs to a reproducing kernel Hi…
Two algorithms improve Federated RL in diverse environments.
problem Collaborative learning in environments with varying dynamics.
method Proposed two federated RL algorithms, QAvg and PAvg, and a personalization heuristic.
result Achieved better performance and generalization in diverse environments.
ODC protocol improves learning in asynchronous multi-agent bandits.
problem Cooperative multi-agent bandits with unknown, irregular pull times.
method ODC protocol for on-demand communication between agents.
result ODC protocol reduces communication complexity based on empirical pull times.
Studies report that firms do not invest in cost-effective green technologies. While economic barriers can explain parts of the gap, behavioural aspects cause further under-valuation. This could be partly due to systematic deviations of decision-making agents' perceptions from normative benchmarks, and partly due to the…
SCAFFLSA reduces communication complexity for federated learning with heterogeneous clients.
problem Quantifying and reducing communication complexity in federated learning with heterogeneous clients.
method Proposes SCAFFLSA, a variant of FedLSA using control variates to correct for client drift.
result SCAFFLSA achieves logarithmic communication complexity for statistically heterogeneous agents, scaling with the inverse of the desired accuracy.